{"ok":true,"security_id":93,"symbol":"XLE","snapshot":{"security_id":93,"symbol":"XLE","asset_type":"etf","sector_code":"energy","industry":null,"exchange_code":null,"currency":"USD","data_mode":"demo","price":"88.000000","prev_close":"88.218900","chg_1d_pct":"-0.2480","volume":101179289,"rvol_30":"1.556","avg_volume_30d":66231162,"dollar_volume_avg":"5769363934.3700","mcap":null,"wk52_high":"132.129100","wk52_low":"81.958200","pct_from_52wh":"-33.4000","dist_to_52wh_pct":"-33.4000","rsi14":"49.302","macd":"0.037700","macd_hist":"-0.001000","adx14":"15.589","atr_pct":"2.9100","hv20":"23.5400","hv60":"22.4300","vol_regime":"normal","bb_pctb":"0.4619","stoch_k":"37.931","above_sma20":0,"above_sma50":0,"above_sma200":0,"sma20":"88.210800","sma50":"88.859800","sma200":"101.203900","vwap":"88.318400","trend":"strong_down","support":"86.812200","resistance":"91.927700","perf_1d":"-0.2500","perf_5d":"-3.3600","perf_1m":"5.3600","perf_3m":"-7.9100","perf_6m":"-11.3200","perf_12m":"-5.9500","rel_strength_3m":"-12.2600","rs_rank":null,"mom_persist":null,"bars":760,"beta":"0.5530","mdd_pct":"-36.2900","gap_risk":"0.3390","liq_days":null,"pe_ttm":null,"pe_fwd":null,"peg":null,"ps":null,"pb":null,"ev_ebitda":null,"rev_g":null,"eps_g":null,"gross_margin":null,"op_margin":null,"fcf_margin":null,"roe":null,"roic":null,"debt_equity":null,"net_debt_ebitda":null,"div_yield":null,"payout":null,"buyback_yield":null,"eps_surprise_pct":null,"rev_surprise_pct":null,"earnings_days_out":null,"earnings_date":null,"consensus_score":"58.230","pct_analyst_buy":null,"pt_upside_pct":null,"sent_score":null,"sent_label":null,"sent_delta":"6.860","inst_ownership":"195.0480","inst_chg_pct":"-71.1100","inst_top_name":"Vanguard Index Group","insider_net_usd":null,"insider_trades_90d":0,"short_pct_float":null,"score_total":"51.60","score_technical":"40.70","score_fundamental":"50.00","score_momentum":"40.81","score_sentiment":"75.75","score_institutional":"24.00","score_risk":"84.31","confidence":"51.00","risk_level":"low","stance":"neutral","cats":"","catalysts":"Demo synthetic: XLE announces platform refresh for enterprise buyers · Demo synthetic: XLE announces platform refresh for enterprise buyers · Demo synthetic: XLE announces platform refresh for enterprise buyers","risks":"No exceptional risk flags from stored data; normal market risk always applies","model_version":"score-1.0.0","priced_at":"2026-10-23 16:00:00","computed_at":"2026-10-25 04:14:00"},"quote":{"security_id":93,"last_price":"88.000000","bid":null,"ask":null,"prev_close":"88.218900","open":"88.470400","day_high":"89.842800","day_low":"87.112400","volume":101179289,"avg_volume_30d":65730510,"change_abs":"-0.218900","change_pct":"-0.2480","market_state":"closed","quote_ts":"2026-10-23 16:00:00","latency_ms":null,"is_realtime":0,"data_source":"synthetic_demo","data_mode":"demo","updated_at":"2026-10-25 04:13:58","price":"88.000000","as_of":"2026-10-23 16:00:00"},"score":{"id":1490,"security_id":93,"model_id":1,"scored_at":"2026-10-25 04:14:00","total_score":"51.60","technical":"40.70","fundamental":"50.00","momentum":"40.81","sentiment":"75.75","institutional":"24.00","risk":"84.31","components_json":"{\"components\":{\"technical\":{\"score\":40.7,\"label\":\"Weak\",\"complete\":true,\"factors\":[{\"key\":\"trend_structure\",\"score\":14,\"why\":\"Price vs 20\\/50\\/200-day moving averages: strong down\",\"w\":1.8},{\"key\":\"trend_strength_adx\",\"score\":34.3,\"why\":\"ADX(14) 15.6 \\u2014 weak\\/rangebound\",\"w\":1},{\"key\":\"rsi_condition\",\"score\":68.2,\"why\":\"RSI(14) 49.3 \\u2014 constructive zone\",\"w\":1},{\"key\":\"macd_signal\",\"score\":24.94,\"why\":\"MACD(12,26,9) bearish, histogram -0.001\",\"w\":1},{\"key\":\"volume_confirmation\",\"score\":74.78,\"why\":\"Relative volume 1.56\\u00d7 its own 30-day average\",\"w\":0.8},{\"key\":\"52w_position\",\"score\":37.17,\"why\":\"-33.4% from its 52-week high\",\"w\":1.4},{\"key\":\"volatility_compression\",\"score\":60.93,\"why\":\"Bollinger width 6.3%\",\"w\":0.7},{\"key\":\"candlestick_patterns\",\"score\":50,\"why\":\"No reversal\\/breakout pattern at the latest close\",\"w\":0.7},{\"key\":\"intraday_position\",\"score\":40,\"why\":\"Below session VWAP\",\"w\":0.4}]},\"fundamental\":{\"score\":50,\"label\":\"Partial (missing provider fields)\",\"complete\":false,\"factors\":[]},\"momentum\":{\"score\":40.81,\"label\":\"Weak\",\"complete\":true,\"factors\":[{\"key\":\"multi_horizon_performance\",\"score\":41.27,\"why\":\"1M +5.4% \\u00b7 3M -7.9% \\u00b7 6M -11.3% \\u00b7 12M -6%\",\"w\":1},{\"key\":\"relative_strength_vs_index\",\"score\":26.93,\"why\":\"3-month return minus index -12.3%\",\"w\":1},{\"key\":\"volume_acceleration\",\"score\":48.79,\"why\":\"Today -0.2% on 1.6\\u00d7 volume\",\"w\":1},{\"key\":\"momentum_persistence\",\"score\":46.25,\"why\":\"1 of 4 measured horizons are positive\",\"w\":1}]},\"sentiment\":{\"score\":75.75,\"label\":\"Neutral\",\"complete\":true,\"factors\":[{\"key\":\"news_sentiment_index\",\"score\":58.23,\"why\":\"Aggregate news sentiment 16.5 (\\u2212100 bearish \\u2026 +100 bullish) from 35 scored items\",\"w\":1},{\"key\":\"sentiment_delta\",\"score\":74.01,\"why\":\"30-day sentiment change 6.9 pts\",\"w\":1},{\"key\":\"recent_headline_tone\",\"score\":95,\"why\":\"Last items: 8 positive \\/ 0 negative headlines\",\"w\":1}]},\"institutional\":{\"score\":24,\"label\":\"Available\",\"complete\":true,\"factors\":[{\"key\":\"institutional_flows\",\"score\":22,\"why\":\"Reported 13F-style positioning change -71.1% vs prior quarter2026-09-01\",\"w\":1},{\"key\":\"ownership_crowding\",\"score\":26,\"why\":\"Institutions hold ~195% of float (crowding risk rises above ~78%)\",\"w\":1}]},\"risk\":{\"score\":84.31,\"label\":\"Low risk\",\"complete\":true,\"factors\":[{\"key\":\"volatility\",\"score\":74.5,\"why\":\"20-day realised volatility 23.5% annualised\",\"w\":1.5},{\"key\":\"beta\",\"score\":88.59,\"why\":\"Beta 0.55 vs the reference index\",\"w\":1},{\"key\":\"drawdown_history\",\"score\":70.04,\"why\":\"Max drawdown in stored history -36.3%\",\"w\":1.2},{\"key\":\"liquidity\",\"score\":96,\"why\":\"Average $5769.4M traded per session\",\"w\":1.3},{\"key\":\"gap_risk\",\"score\":95,\"why\":\"Median overnight gap 0.34% \\u2014 position sizing must survive opens\",\"w\":1},{\"key\":\"event_risk_earnings\",\"score\":82,\"why\":\"No scheduled earnings date on file\",\"w\":1},{\"key\":\"sector_risk\",\"score\":80.51,\"why\":\"Sector average volatility 28%\",\"w\":1},{\"key\":\"market_risk\",\"score\":84.63,\"why\":\"Benchmark volatility 20.1% \\u00b7 regime: Sideways \\u00b7 normal vol \\u00b7 risk-off\",\"w\":1},{\"key\":\"correlation\",\"score\":91.74,\"why\":\"Correlation to benchmark 0.63-year rolling: 0.49\",\"w\":1}]}},\"weights\":{\"technical\":25,\"fundamental\":25,\"momentum\":15,\"sentiment\":10,\"institutional\":10,\"risk\":15},\"confidence\":51,\"confidence_basis\":\"760 bars \\u00b7 data 31h old \\u00b7 components covered 89%% \\u00b7 risk drag 74\",\"coverage\":88.8}","factors_json":"{\"positive\":[{\"component\":\"risk\",\"key\":\"liquidity\",\"score\":96,\"why\":\"Average $5769.4M traded per session\"},{\"component\":\"sentiment\",\"key\":\"recent_headline_tone\",\"score\":95,\"why\":\"Last items: 8 positive \\/ 0 negative headlines\"},{\"component\":\"risk\",\"key\":\"gap_risk\",\"score\":95,\"why\":\"Median overnight gap 0.34% \\u2014 position sizing must survive opens\"},{\"component\":\"risk\",\"key\":\"correlation\",\"score\":91.74,\"why\":\"Correlation to benchmark 0.63-year rolling: 0.49\"},{\"component\":\"risk\",\"key\":\"beta\",\"score\":88.59,\"why\":\"Beta 0.55 vs the reference index\"},{\"component\":\"risk\",\"key\":\"market_risk\",\"score\":84.63,\"why\":\"Benchmark volatility 20.1% \\u00b7 regime: Sideways \\u00b7 normal vol \\u00b7 risk-off\"}],\"negative\":[{\"component\":\"technical\",\"key\":\"trend_structure\",\"score\":14,\"why\":\"Price vs 20\\/50\\/200-day moving averages: strong down\"},{\"component\":\"institutional\",\"key\":\"institutional_flows\",\"score\":22,\"why\":\"Reported 13F-style positioning change -71.1% vs prior quarter2026-09-01\"},{\"component\":\"technical\",\"key\":\"macd_signal\",\"score\":24.94,\"why\":\"MACD(12,26,9) bearish, histogram -0.001\"},{\"component\":\"institutional\",\"key\":\"ownership_crowding\",\"score\":26,\"why\":\"Institutions hold ~195% of float (crowding risk rises above ~78%)\"},{\"component\":\"momentum\",\"key\":\"relative_strength_vs_index\",\"score\":26.93,\"why\":\"3-month return minus index -12.3%\"},{\"component\":\"technical\",\"key\":\"trend_strength_adx\",\"score\":34.3,\"why\":\"ADX(14) 15.6 \\u2014 weak\\/rangebound\"}]}","inputs_snapshot":"{\"bars\":760,\"price\":\"88.000000\",\"trend\":\"strong_down\",\"pe\":null,\"sent\":16.45,\"sector\":\"energy\"}","data_mode":"demo","stance":"neutral","risk_level":"low","confidence":"51.00","model_version":"score-1.0.0","computed_at":"2026-10-25 04:14:00","catalysts":"Demo synthetic: XLE announces platform refresh for enterprise buyers · Demo synthetic: XLE announces platform refresh for enterprise buyers · Demo synthetic: XLE announces platform refresh for enterprise buyers","risks":"No exceptional risk flags from stored data; normal market risk always applies","sent_score":null,"sent_label":null,"snap_total":"51.60","score_total":51.6,"components":{"technical":25,"fundamental":25,"momentum":15,"sentiment":10,"institutional":10,"risk":15},"component_detail":{"technical":{"score":40.7,"label":"Weak","complete":true,"factors":[{"key":"trend_structure","score":14,"why":"Price vs 20/50/200-day moving averages: strong down","w":1.8},{"key":"trend_strength_adx","score":34.3,"why":"ADX(14) 15.6 — weak/rangebound","w":1},{"key":"rsi_condition","score":68.2,"why":"RSI(14) 49.3 — constructive zone","w":1},{"key":"macd_signal","score":24.94,"why":"MACD(12,26,9) bearish, histogram -0.001","w":1},{"key":"volume_confirmation","score":74.78,"why":"Relative volume 1.56× its own 30-day average","w":0.8},{"key":"52w_position","score":37.17,"why":"-33.4% from its 52-week high","w":1.4},{"key":"volatility_compression","score":60.93,"why":"Bollinger width 6.3%","w":0.7},{"key":"candlestick_patterns","score":50,"why":"No reversal/breakout pattern at the latest close","w":0.7},{"key":"intraday_position","score":40,"why":"Below session VWAP","w":0.4}]},"fundamental":{"score":50,"label":"Partial (missing provider fields)","complete":false,"factors":[]},"momentum":{"score":40.81,"label":"Weak","complete":true,"factors":[{"key":"multi_horizon_performance","score":41.27,"why":"1M +5.4% · 3M -7.9% · 6M -11.3% · 12M -6%","w":1},{"key":"relative_strength_vs_index","score":26.93,"why":"3-month return minus index -12.3%","w":1},{"key":"volume_acceleration","score":48.79,"why":"Today -0.2% on 1.6× volume","w":1},{"key":"momentum_persistence","score":46.25,"why":"1 of 4 measured horizons are positive","w":1}]},"sentiment":{"score":75.75,"label":"Neutral","complete":true,"factors":[{"key":"news_sentiment_index","score":58.23,"why":"Aggregate news sentiment 16.5 (−100 bearish … +100 bullish) from 35 scored items","w":1},{"key":"sentiment_delta","score":74.01,"why":"30-day sentiment change 6.9 pts","w":1},{"key":"recent_headline_tone","score":95,"why":"Last items: 8 positive / 0 negative headlines","w":1}]},"institutional":{"score":24,"label":"Available","complete":true,"factors":[{"key":"institutional_flows","score":22,"why":"Reported 13F-style positioning change -71.1% vs prior quarter2026-09-01","w":1},{"key":"ownership_crowding","score":26,"why":"Institutions hold ~195% of float (crowding risk rises above ~78%)","w":1}]},"risk":{"score":84.31,"label":"Low risk","complete":true,"factors":[{"key":"volatility","score":74.5,"why":"20-day realised volatility 23.5% annualised","w":1.5},{"key":"beta","score":88.59,"why":"Beta 0.55 vs the reference index","w":1},{"key":"drawdown_history","score":70.04,"why":"Max drawdown in stored history -36.3%","w":1.2},{"key":"liquidity","score":96,"why":"Average $5769.4M traded per session","w":1.3},{"key":"gap_risk","score":95,"why":"Median overnight gap 0.34% — position sizing must survive opens","w":1},{"key":"event_risk_earnings","score":82,"why":"No scheduled earnings date on file","w":1},{"key":"sector_risk","score":80.51,"why":"Sector average volatility 28%","w":1},{"key":"market_risk","score":84.63,"why":"Benchmark volatility 20.1% · regime: Sideways · normal vol · risk-off","w":1},{"key":"correlation","score":91.74,"why":"Correlation to benchmark 0.63-year rolling: 0.49","w":1}]}},"coverage":88.8,"confidence_basis":"760 bars · data 31h old · components covered 89%% · risk drag 74","factors":[{"component":"risk","key":"liquidity","label":"Liquidity","score":96,"why":"Average $5769.4M traded per session","w":1.3,"direction":"positive"},{"component":"sentiment","key":"recent_headline_tone","label":"Recent Headline Tone","score":95,"why":"Last items: 8 positive / 0 negative headlines","w":1,"direction":"positive"},{"component":"risk","key":"gap_risk","label":"Gap Risk","score":95,"why":"Median overnight gap 0.34% — position sizing must survive opens","w":1,"direction":"positive"},{"component":"risk","key":"correlation","label":"Correlation","score":91.74,"why":"Correlation to benchmark 0.63-year rolling: 0.49","w":1,"direction":"positive"},{"component":"risk","key":"beta","label":"Beta","score":88.59,"why":"Beta 0.55 vs the reference index","w":1,"direction":"positive"},{"component":"technical","key":"trend_structure","label":"Trend Structure","score":14,"why":"Price vs 20/50/200-day moving averages: strong down","w":1.8,"direction":"negative"},{"component":"risk","key":"market_risk","label":"Market Risk","score":84.63,"why":"Benchmark volatility 20.1% · regime: Sideways · normal vol · risk-off","w":1,"direction":"positive"},{"component":"risk","key":"event_risk_earnings","label":"Event Risk Earnings","score":82,"why":"No scheduled earnings date on file","w":1,"direction":"positive"},{"component":"risk","key":"sector_risk","label":"Sector Risk","score":80.51,"why":"Sector average volatility 28%","w":1,"direction":"positive"},{"component":"institutional","key":"institutional_flows","label":"Institutional Flows","score":22,"why":"Reported 13F-style positioning change -71.1% vs prior quarter2026-09-01","w":1,"direction":"negative"},{"component":"technical","key":"macd_signal","label":"Macd Signal","score":24.94,"why":"MACD(12,26,9) bearish, histogram -0.001","w":1,"direction":"negative"},{"component":"technical","key":"volume_confirmation","label":"Volume Confirmation","score":74.78,"why":"Relative volume 1.56× its own 30-day average","w":0.8,"direction":"positive"},{"component":"risk","key":"volatility","label":"Volatility","score":74.5,"why":"20-day realised volatility 23.5% annualised","w":1.5,"direction":"positive"},{"component":"sentiment","key":"sentiment_delta","label":"Sentiment Delta","score":74.01,"why":"30-day sentiment change 6.9 pts","w":1,"direction":"positive"}],"factors_positive":[{"component":"risk","key":"liquidity","score":96,"why":"Average $5769.4M traded per session"},{"component":"sentiment","key":"recent_headline_tone","score":95,"why":"Last items: 8 positive / 0 negative headlines"},{"component":"risk","key":"gap_risk","score":95,"why":"Median overnight gap 0.34% — position sizing must survive opens"},{"component":"risk","key":"correlation","score":91.74,"why":"Correlation to benchmark 0.63-year rolling: 0.49"},{"component":"risk","key":"beta","score":88.59,"why":"Beta 0.55 vs the reference index"},{"component":"risk","key":"market_risk","score":84.63,"why":"Benchmark volatility 20.1% · regime: Sideways · normal vol · risk-off"}],"factors_negative":[{"component":"technical","key":"trend_structure","score":14,"why":"Price vs 20/50/200-day moving averages: strong down"},{"component":"institutional","key":"institutional_flows","score":22,"why":"Reported 13F-style positioning change -71.1% vs prior quarter2026-09-01"},{"component":"technical","key":"macd_signal","score":24.94,"why":"MACD(12,26,9) bearish, histogram -0.001"},{"component":"institutional","key":"ownership_crowding","score":26,"why":"Institutions hold ~195% of float (crowding risk rises above ~78%)"},{"component":"momentum","key":"relative_strength_vs_index","score":26.93,"why":"3-month return minus index -12.3%"},{"component":"technical","key":"trend_strength_adx","score":34.3,"why":"ADX(14) 15.6 — weak/rangebound"}],"inputs":{"bars":760,"price":"88.000000","trend":"strong_down","pe":null,"sent":16.45,"sector":"energy"}},"predictions":[{"id":8935,"security_id":93,"model_id":2,"horizon_code":"1D","generated_at":"2026-10-25 04:14:00","ref_price":88,"bull_low_pct":0.5,"bull_high_pct":1.5,"base_low_pct":-0.5,"base_high_pct":0.5,"bear_low_pct":-1.5,"bear_high_pct":-0.5,"prob_up":0.51,"p10_pct":-1,"p25_pct":-0.5,"p50_pct":0,"p75_pct":0.5,"p90_pct":1,"expected_range_low":-0.5,"expected_range_high":0.5,"risk_range_low":-1.5,"risk_range_high":0.5,"confidence":55,"confidence_basis":"760 bars, blended vol 23%, score 52, coverage 89%%","risk_level":"low","volatility_ann":22.9,"max_hist_drawdown":"-36.3000","sample_size":760,"data_freshness_secs":112440,"bull_case":"If RSI mid-range — room to extend, a volatility-compressed setup resolving upward would accelerate the move, the upside path is the 80–95th percentile band shown here.","base_case":"mildly positive","bear_case":"Downside triggers: a market-wide risk-off move alone can carry the 5–20th percentile band. Treat the 5–20th percentile band as the stress case for sizing, not as a worst case.","catalysts":["Demo synthetic: XLE announces platform refresh for enterprise buyers","Demo synthetic: XLE announces platform refresh for enterprise buyers","Demo synthetic: XLE announces platform refresh for enterprise buyers"],"key_risks":"No exceptional risk flags from stored data; normal market risk always applies","assumptions":["Realised volatility stays near its recent level (blended 22.9% annualised).","The scoring tilt persists over the window; no structural break (fraud, delisting, forced guidance cut).","Returns are approximated as lognormal; fat tails are handled by widening, not by point forecasts.","Index regime assumed: sideways.","Close below the 101.2 support band or the strategy stop.","Earnings or regulatory headline that changes forward estimates by more than the modelled window σ.","Volatility expanding beyond 37% annualised invalidates position sizing.","Loss of the fundamental pillars used in the score (guidance cut, covenant breach, auditor change)."],"invalidation":null,"regime_at_time":"sideways","status":"active","invalidated_at":null,"invalidated_reason":null,"data_mode":"demo"},{"id":8936,"security_id":93,"model_id":2,"horizon_code":"5D","generated_at":"2026-10-25 04:14:00","ref_price":88,"bull_low_pct":2,"bull_high_pct":3,"base_low_pct":-1,"base_high_pct":1,"bear_low_pct":-3,"bear_high_pct":-1,"prob_up":0.51,"p10_pct":-2,"p25_pct":-1,"p50_pct":0,"p75_pct":1,"p90_pct":2,"expected_range_low":-1,"expected_range_high":1,"risk_range_low":-3,"risk_range_high":1,"confidence":55,"confidence_basis":"760 bars, blended vol 23%, score 52, coverage 89%%","risk_level":"low","volatility_ann":22.9,"max_hist_drawdown":"-36.3000","sample_size":760,"data_freshness_secs":112440,"bull_case":"If RSI mid-range — room to extend, a volatility-compressed setup resolving upward would accelerate the move, the upside path is the 80–95th percentile band shown here.","base_case":"mildly positive","bear_case":"Downside triggers: a market-wide risk-off move alone can carry the 5–20th percentile band. Treat the 5–20th percentile band as the stress case for sizing, not as a worst case.","catalysts":["Demo synthetic: XLE announces platform refresh for enterprise buyers","Demo synthetic: XLE announces platform refresh for enterprise buyers","Demo synthetic: XLE announces platform refresh for enterprise buyers"],"key_risks":"No exceptional risk flags from stored data; normal market risk always applies","assumptions":["Realised volatility stays near its recent level (blended 22.9% annualised).","The scoring tilt persists over the window; no structural break (fraud, delisting, forced guidance cut).","Returns are approximated as lognormal; fat tails are handled by widening, not by point forecasts.","Index regime assumed: sideways.","Close below the 101.2 support band or the strategy stop.","Earnings or regulatory headline that changes forward estimates by more than the modelled window σ.","Volatility expanding beyond 37% annualised invalidates position sizing.","Loss of the fundamental pillars used in the score (guidance cut, covenant breach, auditor change)."],"invalidation":null,"regime_at_time":"sideways","status":"active","invalidated_at":null,"invalidated_reason":null,"data_mode":"demo"},{"id":8937,"security_id":93,"model_id":2,"horizon_code":"1M","generated_at":"2026-10-25 04:14:00","ref_price":88,"bull_low_pct":3,"bull_high_pct":6,"base_low_pct":-2,"base_high_pct":3,"bear_low_pct":-6,"bear_high_pct":-3,"prob_up":0.51,"p10_pct":-5,"p25_pct":-2,"p50_pct":0,"p75_pct":3,"p90_pct":5,"expected_range_low":-2,"expected_range_high":3,"risk_range_low":-6,"risk_range_high":3,"confidence":55,"confidence_basis":"760 bars, blended vol 23%, score 52, coverage 89%%","risk_level":"low","volatility_ann":22.9,"max_hist_drawdown":"-36.3000","sample_size":760,"data_freshness_secs":112440,"bull_case":"If RSI mid-range — room to extend, a volatility-compressed setup resolving upward would accelerate the move, the upside path is the 80–95th percentile band shown here.","base_case":"mildly positive","bear_case":"Downside triggers: a market-wide risk-off move alone can carry the 5–20th percentile band. Treat the 5–20th percentile band as the stress case for sizing, not as a worst case.","catalysts":["Demo synthetic: XLE announces platform refresh for enterprise buyers","Demo synthetic: XLE announces platform refresh for enterprise buyers","Demo synthetic: XLE announces platform refresh for enterprise buyers"],"key_risks":"No exceptional risk flags from stored data; normal market risk always applies","assumptions":["Realised volatility stays near its recent level (blended 22.9% annualised).","The scoring tilt persists over the window; no structural break (fraud, delisting, forced guidance cut).","Returns are approximated as lognormal; fat tails are handled by widening, not by point forecasts.","Index regime assumed: sideways.","Close below the 101.2 support band or the strategy stop.","Earnings or regulatory headline that changes forward estimates by more than the modelled window σ.","Volatility expanding beyond 37% annualised invalidates position sizing.","Loss of the fundamental pillars used in the score (guidance cut, covenant breach, auditor change)."],"invalidation":null,"regime_at_time":"sideways","status":"active","invalidated_at":null,"invalidated_reason":null,"data_mode":"demo"},{"id":8938,"security_id":93,"model_id":2,"horizon_code":"3M","generated_at":"2026-10-25 04:14:00","ref_price":88,"bull_low_pct":6,"bull_high_pct":10.5,"base_low_pct":-4.5,"base_high_pct":4.5,"bear_low_pct":-10.5,"bear_high_pct":-4.5,"prob_up":0.51,"p10_pct":-7.5,"p25_pct":-4.5,"p50_pct":0,"p75_pct":4.5,"p90_pct":9,"expected_range_low":-4.5,"expected_range_high":4.5,"risk_range_low":-10.5,"risk_range_high":4.5,"confidence":55,"confidence_basis":"760 bars, blended vol 23%, score 52, coverage 89%%","risk_level":"low","volatility_ann":22.9,"max_hist_drawdown":"-36.3000","sample_size":760,"data_freshness_secs":112440,"bull_case":"If RSI mid-range — room to extend, a volatility-compressed setup resolving upward would accelerate the move, the upside path is the 80–95th percentile band shown here.","base_case":"mildly positive","bear_case":"Downside triggers: a market-wide risk-off move alone can carry the 5–20th percentile band. Treat the 5–20th percentile band as the stress case for sizing, not as a worst case.","catalysts":["Demo synthetic: XLE announces platform refresh for enterprise buyers","Demo synthetic: XLE announces platform refresh for enterprise buyers","Demo synthetic: XLE announces platform refresh for enterprise buyers"],"key_risks":"No exceptional risk flags from stored data; normal market risk always applies","assumptions":["Realised volatility stays near its recent level (blended 22.9% annualised).","The scoring tilt persists over the window; no structural break (fraud, delisting, forced guidance cut).","Returns are approximated as lognormal; fat tails are handled by widening, not by point forecasts.","Index regime assumed: sideways.","Close below the 101.2 support band or the strategy stop.","Earnings or regulatory headline that changes forward estimates by more than the modelled window σ.","Volatility expanding beyond 37% annualised invalidates position sizing.","Loss of the fundamental pillars used in the score (guidance cut, covenant breach, auditor change)."],"invalidation":null,"regime_at_time":"sideways","status":"active","invalidated_at":null,"invalidated_reason":null,"data_mode":"demo"},{"id":8939,"security_id":93,"model_id":2,"horizon_code":"6M","generated_at":"2026-10-25 04:14:00","ref_price":88,"bull_low_pct":7.5,"bull_high_pct":15,"base_low_pct":-6,"base_high_pct":6,"bear_low_pct":-15,"bear_high_pct":-7.5,"prob_up":0.51,"p10_pct":-10.5,"p25_pct":-6,"p50_pct":0,"p75_pct":6,"p90_pct":12,"expected_range_low":-6,"expected_range_high":6,"risk_range_low":-15,"risk_range_high":6,"confidence":55,"confidence_basis":"760 bars, blended vol 23%, score 52, coverage 89%%","risk_level":"low","volatility_ann":22.9,"max_hist_drawdown":"-36.3000","sample_size":760,"data_freshness_secs":112440,"bull_case":"If RSI mid-range — room to extend, a volatility-compressed setup resolving upward would accelerate the move, the upside path is the 80–95th percentile band shown here.","base_case":"mildly positive","bear_case":"Downside triggers: a market-wide risk-off move alone can carry the 5–20th percentile band. Treat the 5–20th percentile band as the stress case for sizing, not as a worst case.","catalysts":["Demo synthetic: XLE announces platform refresh for enterprise buyers","Demo synthetic: XLE announces platform refresh for enterprise buyers","Demo synthetic: XLE announces platform refresh for enterprise buyers"],"key_risks":"No exceptional risk flags from stored data; normal market risk always applies","assumptions":["Realised volatility stays near its recent level (blended 22.9% annualised).","The scoring tilt persists over the window; no structural break (fraud, delisting, forced guidance cut).","Returns are approximated as lognormal; fat tails are handled by widening, not by point forecasts.","Index regime assumed: sideways.","Close below the 101.2 support band or the strategy stop.","Earnings or regulatory headline that changes forward estimates by more than the modelled window σ.","Volatility expanding beyond 37% annualised invalidates position sizing.","Loss of the fundamental pillars used in the score (guidance cut, covenant breach, auditor change)."],"invalidation":null,"regime_at_time":"sideways","status":"active","invalidated_at":null,"invalidated_reason":null,"data_mode":"demo"},{"id":8940,"security_id":93,"model_id":2,"horizon_code":"12M","generated_at":"2026-10-25 04:14:00","ref_price":88,"bull_low_pct":10,"bull_high_pct":20,"base_low_pct":-7.5,"base_high_pct":10,"bear_low_pct":-20,"bear_high_pct":-10,"prob_up":0.51,"p10_pct":-15,"p25_pct":-7.5,"p50_pct":0,"p75_pct":10,"p90_pct":17.5,"expected_range_low":-7.5,"expected_range_high":10,"risk_range_low":-20,"risk_range_high":10,"confidence":55,"confidence_basis":"760 bars, blended vol 23%, score 52, coverage 89%%","risk_level":"low","volatility_ann":22.9,"max_hist_drawdown":"-36.3000","sample_size":760,"data_freshness_secs":112440,"bull_case":"If RSI mid-range — room to extend, a volatility-compressed setup resolving upward would accelerate the move, the upside path is the 80–95th percentile band shown here.","base_case":"mildly positive","bear_case":"Downside triggers: a market-wide risk-off move alone can carry the 5–20th percentile band. Treat the 5–20th percentile band as the stress case for sizing, not as a worst case.","catalysts":["Demo synthetic: XLE announces platform refresh for enterprise buyers","Demo synthetic: XLE announces platform refresh for enterprise buyers","Demo synthetic: XLE announces platform refresh for enterprise buyers"],"key_risks":"No exceptional risk flags from stored data; normal market risk always applies","assumptions":["Realised volatility stays near its recent level (blended 22.9% annualised).","The scoring tilt persists over the window; no structural break (fraud, delisting, forced guidance cut).","Returns are approximated as lognormal; fat tails are handled by widening, not by point forecasts.","Index regime assumed: sideways.","Close below the 101.2 support band or the strategy stop.","Earnings or regulatory headline that changes forward estimates by more than the modelled window σ.","Volatility expanding beyond 37% annualised invalidates position sizing.","Loss of the fundamental pillars used in the score (guidance cut, covenant breach, auditor change)."],"invalidation":null,"regime_at_time":"sideways","status":"active","invalidated_at":null,"invalidated_reason":null,"data_mode":"demo"}],"available":true,"as_of":"2026-10-23","mode":"demo","note":"Stored snapshot values; not a real-time feed."}