{"ok":true,"security_id":138,"symbol":"HEAL","snapshot":{"security_id":138,"symbol":"HEAL","asset_type":"ipo","sector_code":"healthcare","industry":null,"exchange_code":null,"currency":"USD","data_mode":"demo","price":"18.000000","prev_close":"18.256300","chg_1d_pct":"-1.4040","volume":1922136,"rvol_30":"1.123","avg_volume_30d":1719143,"dollar_volume_avg":"30912746.8100","mcap":18345221478,"wk52_high":"30.476000","wk52_low":"17.052300","pct_from_52wh":"-40.9400","dist_to_52wh_pct":"-40.9400","rsi14":"44.877","macd":"-0.000500","macd_hist":"-0.013700","adx14":"26.714","atr_pct":"3.2400","hv20":"17.5300","hv60":"19.0500","vol_regime":"normal","bb_pctb":"0.3180","stoch_k":"26.442","above_sma20":0,"above_sma50":0,"above_sma200":0,"sma20":"18.230700","sma50":"18.282800","sma200":"23.165400","vwap":"18.120000","trend":"strong_down","support":"21.273300","resistance":"19.387600","perf_1d":"-1.4000","perf_5d":"-3.4400","perf_1m":"2.0000","perf_3m":"-13.8700","perf_6m":"-29.3500","perf_12m":"-7.5400","rel_strength_3m":"-18.2200","rs_rank":null,"mom_persist":null,"bars":760,"beta":"0.4540","mdd_pct":"-43.0900","gap_risk":"0.3900","liq_days":null,"pe_ttm":"28.5250","pe_fwd":"27.1770","peg":"5.7510","ps":"7.0810","pb":"0.8140","ev_ebitda":"19.6720","rev_g":"4.6990","eps_g":"6.9240","gross_margin":"57.1020","op_margin":"27.6180","fcf_margin":"26.4570","roe":"2.8520","roic":"13.7010","debt_equity":"2.0340","net_debt_ebitda":null,"div_yield":"1.3210","payout":"49.9900","buyback_yield":"1.6340","eps_surprise_pct":null,"rev_surprise_pct":null,"earnings_days_out":null,"earnings_date":null,"consensus_score":"47.800","pct_analyst_buy":null,"pt_upside_pct":null,"sent_score":null,"sent_label":null,"sent_delta":"-9.110","inst_ownership":null,"inst_chg_pct":null,"inst_top_name":null,"insider_net_usd":null,"insider_trades_90d":0,"short_pct_float":null,"score_total":"53.30","score_technical":"40.52","score_fundamental":"57.70","score_momentum":"36.34","score_sentiment":"53.64","score_institutional":"50.00","score_risk":"85.21","confidence":"52.00","risk_level":"low","stance":"neutral","cats":"","catalysts":"Demo synthetic: HEAL completes share buyback tranche · Demo synthetic: HEAL completes share buyback tranche · Demo synthetic: HEAL completes share buyback tranche","risks":"Historic drawdown deeper than 43%","model_version":"score-1.0.0","priced_at":"2026-10-23 16:00:00","computed_at":"2026-10-25 04:14:00"},"quote":{"security_id":138,"last_price":"18.000000","bid":null,"ask":null,"prev_close":"18.256300","open":"18.217600","day_high":"18.436100","day_low":"17.923800","volume":1922136,"avg_volume_30d":1709698,"change_abs":"-0.256300","change_pct":"-1.4040","market_state":"closed","quote_ts":"2026-10-23 16:00:00","latency_ms":null,"is_realtime":0,"data_source":"synthetic_demo","data_mode":"demo","updated_at":"2026-10-25 04:13:58","price":"18.000000","as_of":"2026-10-23 16:00:00"},"score":{"id":1530,"security_id":138,"model_id":1,"scored_at":"2026-10-25 04:14:00","total_score":"53.30","technical":"40.52","fundamental":"57.70","momentum":"36.34","sentiment":"53.64","institutional":"50.00","risk":"85.21","components_json":"{\"components\":{\"technical\":{\"score\":40.52,\"label\":\"Weak\",\"complete\":true,\"factors\":[{\"key\":\"trend_structure\",\"score\":14,\"why\":\"Price vs 20\\/50\\/200-day moving averages: strong down\",\"w\":1.8},{\"key\":\"trend_strength_adx\",\"score\":58.77,\"why\":\"ADX(14) 26.7 \\u2014 trending\",\"w\":1},{\"key\":\"rsi_condition\",\"score\":65.25,\"why\":\"RSI(14) 44.9 \\u2014 constructive zone\",\"w\":1},{\"key\":\"macd_signal\",\"score\":24.18,\"why\":\"MACD(12,26,9) bearish, histogram -0.014\",\"w\":1},{\"key\":\"volume_confirmation\",\"score\":55.9,\"why\":\"Relative volume 1.12\\u00d7 its own 30-day average\",\"w\":0.8},{\"key\":\"52w_position\",\"score\":30.88,\"why\":\"-40.9% from its 52-week high\",\"w\":1.4},{\"key\":\"volatility_compression\",\"score\":63.17,\"why\":\"Bollinger width 7%\",\"w\":0.7},{\"key\":\"candlestick_patterns\",\"score\":50,\"why\":\"No reversal\\/breakout pattern at the latest close\",\"w\":0.7},{\"key\":\"intraday_position\",\"score\":40,\"why\":\"Below session VWAP\",\"w\":0.4}]},\"fundamental\":{\"score\":57.7,\"label\":\"Available\",\"complete\":true,\"factors\":[{\"key\":\"gross_margin\",\"score\":77.39,\"why\":\"Gross margin 57.1%\",\"w\":1},{\"key\":\"operating_margin\",\"score\":79.75,\"why\":\"Operating margin 27.6%\",\"w\":1},{\"key\":\"free_cash_flow\",\"score\":82,\"why\":\"FCF margin 26.5%\",\"w\":1},{\"key\":\"return_on_equity\",\"score\":32.13,\"why\":\"ROE 2.9%\",\"w\":1},{\"key\":\"return_on_invested_capital\",\"score\":70.33,\"why\":\"ROIC 13.7%\",\"w\":1},{\"key\":\"leverage\",\"score\":34.66,\"why\":\"Debt\\/Equity 2.03 \\u2014 elevated\",\"w\":1},{\"key\":\"coverage\",\"score\":82,\"why\":\"Interest coverage 19.6\\u00d7\",\"w\":1},{\"key\":\"valuation_pe\",\"score\":46.67,\"why\":\"P\\/E 28.5\\u00d7 vs sector median 23.4\\u00d7 (in line)\",\"w\":1},{\"key\":\"peg\",\"score\":18,\"why\":\"PEG 5.75\",\"w\":1},{\"key\":\"valuation_sales\",\"score\":45.53,\"why\":\"P\\/S 7.1\\u00d7 vs sector median 5.1\\u00d7\",\"w\":1},{\"key\":\"valuation_book\",\"score\":76.29,\"why\":\"P\\/B 0.8\\u00d7\",\"w\":1},{\"key\":\"valuation_ebitda\",\"score\":39.24,\"why\":\"EV\\/EBITDA 19.7\\u00d7\",\"w\":1}]},\"momentum\":{\"score\":36.34,\"label\":\"Weak\",\"complete\":true,\"factors\":[{\"key\":\"multi_horizon_performance\",\"score\":32.05,\"why\":\"1M +2% \\u00b7 3M -13.9% \\u00b7 6M -29.4% \\u00b7 12M -7.5%\",\"w\":1},{\"key\":\"relative_strength_vs_index\",\"score\":22,\"why\":\"3-month return minus index -18.2%\",\"w\":1},{\"key\":\"volume_acceleration\",\"score\":45.07,\"why\":\"Today -1.4% on 1.1\\u00d7 volume\",\"w\":1},{\"key\":\"momentum_persistence\",\"score\":46.25,\"why\":\"1 of 4 measured horizons are positive\",\"w\":1}]},\"sentiment\":{\"score\":53.64,\"label\":\"Neutral\",\"complete\":true,\"factors\":[{\"key\":\"news_sentiment_index\",\"score\":47.8,\"why\":\"Aggregate news sentiment -4.4 (\\u2212100 bearish \\u2026 +100 bullish) from 35 scored items\",\"w\":1},{\"key\":\"sentiment_delta\",\"score\":18.12,\"why\":\"30-day sentiment change -9.1 pts\",\"w\":1},{\"key\":\"recent_headline_tone\",\"score\":95,\"why\":\"Last items: 4 positive \\/ 0 negative headlines\",\"w\":1}]},\"institutional\":{\"score\":50,\"label\":\"Not available (no licensed filing feed configured)\",\"complete\":false,\"factors\":[]},\"risk\":{\"score\":85.21,\"label\":\"Low risk\",\"complete\":true,\"factors\":[{\"key\":\"volatility\",\"score\":84.59,\"why\":\"20-day realised volatility 17.5% annualised\",\"w\":1.5},{\"key\":\"beta\",\"score\":85.62,\"why\":\"Beta 0.45 vs the reference index\",\"w\":1},{\"key\":\"drawdown_history\",\"score\":63.76,\"why\":\"Max drawdown in stored history -43.1%\",\"w\":1.2},{\"key\":\"liquidity\",\"score\":92.03,\"why\":\"Average $30.9M traded per session\",\"w\":1.3},{\"key\":\"gap_risk\",\"score\":95,\"why\":\"Median overnight gap 0.39% \\u2014 position sizing must survive opens\",\"w\":1},{\"key\":\"event_risk_earnings\",\"score\":82,\"why\":\"No scheduled earnings date on file\",\"w\":1},{\"key\":\"sector_risk\",\"score\":87.51,\"why\":\"Sector average volatility 22.4%\",\"w\":1},{\"key\":\"market_risk\",\"score\":84.63,\"why\":\"Benchmark volatility 20.1% \\u00b7 regime: Sideways \\u00b7 normal vol \\u00b7 risk-off\",\"w\":1},{\"key\":\"correlation\",\"score\":94.31,\"why\":\"Correlation to benchmark 0.63-year rolling: 0.4\",\"w\":1}]}},\"weights\":{\"technical\":25,\"fundamental\":25,\"momentum\":15,\"sentiment\":10,\"institutional\":10,\"risk\":15},\"confidence\":52,\"confidence_basis\":\"760 bars \\u00b7 data 31h old \\u00b7 components covered 96%% \\u00b7 risk drag 72\",\"coverage\":95.5}","factors_json":"{\"positive\":[{\"component\":\"sentiment\",\"key\":\"recent_headline_tone\",\"score\":95,\"why\":\"Last items: 4 positive \\/ 0 negative headlines\"},{\"component\":\"risk\",\"key\":\"gap_risk\",\"score\":95,\"why\":\"Median overnight gap 0.39% \\u2014 position sizing must survive opens\"},{\"component\":\"risk\",\"key\":\"correlation\",\"score\":94.31,\"why\":\"Correlation to benchmark 0.63-year rolling: 0.4\"},{\"component\":\"risk\",\"key\":\"liquidity\",\"score\":92.03,\"why\":\"Average $30.9M traded per session\"},{\"component\":\"risk\",\"key\":\"sector_risk\",\"score\":87.51,\"why\":\"Sector average volatility 22.4%\"},{\"component\":\"risk\",\"key\":\"beta\",\"score\":85.62,\"why\":\"Beta 0.45 vs the reference index\"}],\"negative\":[{\"component\":\"technical\",\"key\":\"trend_structure\",\"score\":14,\"why\":\"Price vs 20\\/50\\/200-day moving averages: strong down\"},{\"component\":\"fundamental\",\"key\":\"peg\",\"score\":18,\"why\":\"PEG 5.75\"},{\"component\":\"sentiment\",\"key\":\"sentiment_delta\",\"score\":18.12,\"why\":\"30-day sentiment change -9.1 pts\"},{\"component\":\"momentum\",\"key\":\"relative_strength_vs_index\",\"score\":22,\"why\":\"3-month return minus index -18.2%\"},{\"component\":\"technical\",\"key\":\"macd_signal\",\"score\":24.18,\"why\":\"MACD(12,26,9) bearish, histogram -0.014\"},{\"component\":\"technical\",\"key\":\"52w_position\",\"score\":30.88,\"why\":\"-40.9% from its 52-week high\"}]}","inputs_snapshot":"{\"bars\":760,\"price\":\"18.000000\",\"trend\":\"strong_down\",\"pe\":\"28.5250\",\"sent\":-4.41,\"sector\":\"healthcare\"}","data_mode":"demo","stance":"neutral","risk_level":"low","confidence":"52.00","model_version":"score-1.0.0","computed_at":"2026-10-25 04:14:00","catalysts":"Demo synthetic: HEAL completes share buyback tranche · Demo synthetic: HEAL completes share buyback tranche · Demo synthetic: HEAL completes share buyback tranche","risks":"Historic drawdown deeper than 43%","sent_score":null,"sent_label":null,"snap_total":"53.30","score_total":53.3,"components":{"technical":25,"fundamental":25,"momentum":15,"sentiment":10,"institutional":10,"risk":15},"component_detail":{"technical":{"score":40.52,"label":"Weak","complete":true,"factors":[{"key":"trend_structure","score":14,"why":"Price vs 20/50/200-day moving averages: strong down","w":1.8},{"key":"trend_strength_adx","score":58.77,"why":"ADX(14) 26.7 — trending","w":1},{"key":"rsi_condition","score":65.25,"why":"RSI(14) 44.9 — constructive zone","w":1},{"key":"macd_signal","score":24.18,"why":"MACD(12,26,9) bearish, histogram -0.014","w":1},{"key":"volume_confirmation","score":55.9,"why":"Relative volume 1.12× its own 30-day average","w":0.8},{"key":"52w_position","score":30.88,"why":"-40.9% from its 52-week high","w":1.4},{"key":"volatility_compression","score":63.17,"why":"Bollinger width 7%","w":0.7},{"key":"candlestick_patterns","score":50,"why":"No reversal/breakout pattern at the latest close","w":0.7},{"key":"intraday_position","score":40,"why":"Below session VWAP","w":0.4}]},"fundamental":{"score":57.7,"label":"Available","complete":true,"factors":[{"key":"gross_margin","score":77.39,"why":"Gross margin 57.1%","w":1},{"key":"operating_margin","score":79.75,"why":"Operating margin 27.6%","w":1},{"key":"free_cash_flow","score":82,"why":"FCF margin 26.5%","w":1},{"key":"return_on_equity","score":32.13,"why":"ROE 2.9%","w":1},{"key":"return_on_invested_capital","score":70.33,"why":"ROIC 13.7%","w":1},{"key":"leverage","score":34.66,"why":"Debt/Equity 2.03 — elevated","w":1},{"key":"coverage","score":82,"why":"Interest coverage 19.6×","w":1},{"key":"valuation_pe","score":46.67,"why":"P/E 28.5× vs sector median 23.4× (in line)","w":1},{"key":"peg","score":18,"why":"PEG 5.75","w":1},{"key":"valuation_sales","score":45.53,"why":"P/S 7.1× vs sector median 5.1×","w":1},{"key":"valuation_book","score":76.29,"why":"P/B 0.8×","w":1},{"key":"valuation_ebitda","score":39.24,"why":"EV/EBITDA 19.7×","w":1}]},"momentum":{"score":36.34,"label":"Weak","complete":true,"factors":[{"key":"multi_horizon_performance","score":32.05,"why":"1M +2% · 3M -13.9% · 6M -29.4% · 12M -7.5%","w":1},{"key":"relative_strength_vs_index","score":22,"why":"3-month return minus index -18.2%","w":1},{"key":"volume_acceleration","score":45.07,"why":"Today -1.4% on 1.1× volume","w":1},{"key":"momentum_persistence","score":46.25,"why":"1 of 4 measured horizons are positive","w":1}]},"sentiment":{"score":53.64,"label":"Neutral","complete":true,"factors":[{"key":"news_sentiment_index","score":47.8,"why":"Aggregate news sentiment -4.4 (−100 bearish … +100 bullish) from 35 scored items","w":1},{"key":"sentiment_delta","score":18.12,"why":"30-day sentiment change -9.1 pts","w":1},{"key":"recent_headline_tone","score":95,"why":"Last items: 4 positive / 0 negative headlines","w":1}]},"institutional":{"score":50,"label":"Not available (no licensed filing feed configured)","complete":false,"factors":[]},"risk":{"score":85.21,"label":"Low risk","complete":true,"factors":[{"key":"volatility","score":84.59,"why":"20-day realised volatility 17.5% annualised","w":1.5},{"key":"beta","score":85.62,"why":"Beta 0.45 vs the reference index","w":1},{"key":"drawdown_history","score":63.76,"why":"Max drawdown in stored history -43.1%","w":1.2},{"key":"liquidity","score":92.03,"why":"Average $30.9M traded per session","w":1.3},{"key":"gap_risk","score":95,"why":"Median overnight gap 0.39% — position sizing must survive opens","w":1},{"key":"event_risk_earnings","score":82,"why":"No scheduled earnings date on file","w":1},{"key":"sector_risk","score":87.51,"why":"Sector average volatility 22.4%","w":1},{"key":"market_risk","score":84.63,"why":"Benchmark volatility 20.1% · regime: Sideways · normal vol · risk-off","w":1},{"key":"correlation","score":94.31,"why":"Correlation to benchmark 0.63-year rolling: 0.4","w":1}]}},"coverage":95.5,"confidence_basis":"760 bars · data 31h old · components covered 96%% · risk drag 72","factors":[{"component":"sentiment","key":"recent_headline_tone","label":"Recent Headline Tone","score":95,"why":"Last items: 4 positive / 0 negative headlines","w":1,"direction":"positive"},{"component":"risk","key":"gap_risk","label":"Gap Risk","score":95,"why":"Median overnight gap 0.39% — position sizing must survive opens","w":1,"direction":"positive"},{"component":"risk","key":"correlation","label":"Correlation","score":94.31,"why":"Correlation to benchmark 0.63-year rolling: 0.4","w":1,"direction":"positive"},{"component":"risk","key":"liquidity","label":"Liquidity","score":92.03,"why":"Average $30.9M traded per session","w":1.3,"direction":"positive"},{"component":"risk","key":"sector_risk","label":"Sector Risk","score":87.51,"why":"Sector average volatility 22.4%","w":1,"direction":"positive"},{"component":"technical","key":"trend_structure","label":"Trend Structure","score":14,"why":"Price vs 20/50/200-day moving averages: strong down","w":1.8,"direction":"negative"},{"component":"risk","key":"beta","label":"Beta","score":85.62,"why":"Beta 0.45 vs the reference index","w":1,"direction":"positive"},{"component":"risk","key":"market_risk","label":"Market Risk","score":84.63,"why":"Benchmark volatility 20.1% · regime: Sideways · normal vol · risk-off","w":1,"direction":"positive"},{"component":"risk","key":"volatility","label":"Volatility","score":84.59,"why":"20-day realised volatility 17.5% annualised","w":1.5,"direction":"positive"},{"component":"fundamental","key":"free_cash_flow","label":"Free Cash Flow","score":82,"why":"FCF margin 26.5%","w":1,"direction":"positive"},{"component":"fundamental","key":"coverage","label":"Coverage","score":82,"why":"Interest coverage 19.6×","w":1,"direction":"positive"},{"component":"fundamental","key":"peg","label":"Peg","score":18,"why":"PEG 5.75","w":1,"direction":"negative"},{"component":"risk","key":"event_risk_earnings","label":"Event Risk Earnings","score":82,"why":"No scheduled earnings date on file","w":1,"direction":"positive"},{"component":"sentiment","key":"sentiment_delta","label":"Sentiment Delta","score":18.12,"why":"30-day sentiment change -9.1 pts","w":1,"direction":"negative"}],"factors_positive":[{"component":"sentiment","key":"recent_headline_tone","score":95,"why":"Last items: 4 positive / 0 negative headlines"},{"component":"risk","key":"gap_risk","score":95,"why":"Median overnight gap 0.39% — position sizing must survive opens"},{"component":"risk","key":"correlation","score":94.31,"why":"Correlation to benchmark 0.63-year rolling: 0.4"},{"component":"risk","key":"liquidity","score":92.03,"why":"Average $30.9M traded per session"},{"component":"risk","key":"sector_risk","score":87.51,"why":"Sector average volatility 22.4%"},{"component":"risk","key":"beta","score":85.62,"why":"Beta 0.45 vs the reference index"}],"factors_negative":[{"component":"technical","key":"trend_structure","score":14,"why":"Price vs 20/50/200-day moving averages: strong down"},{"component":"fundamental","key":"peg","score":18,"why":"PEG 5.75"},{"component":"sentiment","key":"sentiment_delta","score":18.12,"why":"30-day sentiment change -9.1 pts"},{"component":"momentum","key":"relative_strength_vs_index","score":22,"why":"3-month return minus index -18.2%"},{"component":"technical","key":"macd_signal","score":24.18,"why":"MACD(12,26,9) bearish, histogram -0.014"},{"component":"technical","key":"52w_position","score":30.88,"why":"-40.9% from its 52-week high"}],"inputs":{"bars":760,"price":"18.000000","trend":"strong_down","pe":"28.5250","sent":-4.41,"sector":"healthcare"}},"predictions":[{"id":9175,"security_id":138,"model_id":2,"horizon_code":"1D","generated_at":"2026-10-25 04:14:00","ref_price":18,"bull_low_pct":0.5,"bull_high_pct":1,"base_low_pct":-0.5,"base_high_pct":0.5,"bear_low_pct":-1,"bear_high_pct":-0.5,"prob_up":0.52,"p10_pct":-1,"p25_pct":-0.5,"p50_pct":0,"p75_pct":0.5,"p90_pct":1,"expected_range_low":-0.5,"expected_range_high":0.5,"risk_range_low":-1,"risk_range_high":0.5,"confidence":56,"confidence_basis":"760 bars, blended vol 18%, score 53, coverage 96%%","risk_level":"low","volatility_ann":18.4,"max_hist_drawdown":"-43.1000","sample_size":760,"data_freshness_secs":112440,"bull_case":"If a volatility-compressed setup resolving upward would accelerate the move, the upside path is the 80–95th percentile band shown here.","base_case":"mildly positive","bear_case":"Downside triggers: P/E 28.5× leaves no valuation buffer; momentum is fading. Treat the 5–20th percentile band as the stress case for sizing, not as a worst case.","catalysts":["Demo synthetic: HEAL completes share buyback tranche","Demo synthetic: HEAL completes share buyback tranche","Demo synthetic: HEAL completes share buyback tranche"],"key_risks":"Historic drawdown deeper than 43%","assumptions":["Realised volatility stays near its recent level (blended 18.4% annualised).","The scoring tilt persists over the window; no structural break (fraud, delisting, forced guidance cut).","Returns are approximated as lognormal; fat tails are handled by widening, not by point forecasts.","Index regime assumed: sideways.","Close below the 23.17 support band or the strategy stop.","Earnings or regulatory headline that changes forward estimates by more than the modelled window σ.","Volatility expanding beyond 29% annualised invalidates position sizing.","Loss of the fundamental pillars used in the score (guidance cut, covenant breach, auditor change)."],"invalidation":null,"regime_at_time":"sideways","status":"active","invalidated_at":null,"invalidated_reason":null,"data_mode":"demo"},{"id":9176,"security_id":138,"model_id":2,"horizon_code":"5D","generated_at":"2026-10-25 04:14:00","ref_price":18,"bull_low_pct":1,"bull_high_pct":2,"base_low_pct":-1,"base_high_pct":1,"bear_low_pct":-2,"bear_high_pct":-1,"prob_up":0.52,"p10_pct":-2,"p25_pct":-1,"p50_pct":0,"p75_pct":1,"p90_pct":2,"expected_range_low":-1,"expected_range_high":1,"risk_range_low":-2,"risk_range_high":1,"confidence":56,"confidence_basis":"760 bars, blended vol 18%, score 53, coverage 96%%","risk_level":"low","volatility_ann":18.4,"max_hist_drawdown":"-43.1000","sample_size":760,"data_freshness_secs":112440,"bull_case":"If a volatility-compressed setup resolving upward would accelerate the move, the upside path is the 80–95th percentile band shown here.","base_case":"mildly positive","bear_case":"Downside triggers: P/E 28.5× leaves no valuation buffer; momentum is fading. Treat the 5–20th percentile band as the stress case for sizing, not as a worst case.","catalysts":["Demo synthetic: HEAL completes share buyback tranche","Demo synthetic: HEAL completes share buyback tranche","Demo synthetic: HEAL completes share buyback tranche"],"key_risks":"Historic drawdown deeper than 43%","assumptions":["Realised volatility stays near its recent level (blended 18.4% annualised).","The scoring tilt persists over the window; no structural break (fraud, delisting, forced guidance cut).","Returns are approximated as lognormal; fat tails are handled by widening, not by point forecasts.","Index regime assumed: sideways.","Close below the 23.17 support band or the strategy stop.","Earnings or regulatory headline that changes forward estimates by more than the modelled window σ.","Volatility expanding beyond 29% annualised invalidates position sizing.","Loss of the fundamental pillars used in the score (guidance cut, covenant breach, auditor change)."],"invalidation":null,"regime_at_time":"sideways","status":"active","invalidated_at":null,"invalidated_reason":null,"data_mode":"demo"},{"id":9177,"security_id":138,"model_id":2,"horizon_code":"1M","generated_at":"2026-10-25 04:14:00","ref_price":18,"bull_low_pct":3,"bull_high_pct":5,"base_low_pct":-2,"base_high_pct":2,"bear_low_pct":-5,"bear_high_pct":-2,"prob_up":0.52,"p10_pct":-4,"p25_pct":-2,"p50_pct":0,"p75_pct":2,"p90_pct":4,"expected_range_low":-2,"expected_range_high":2,"risk_range_low":-5,"risk_range_high":2,"confidence":56,"confidence_basis":"760 bars, blended vol 18%, score 53, coverage 96%%","risk_level":"low","volatility_ann":18.4,"max_hist_drawdown":"-43.1000","sample_size":760,"data_freshness_secs":112440,"bull_case":"If a volatility-compressed setup resolving upward would accelerate the move, the upside path is the 80–95th percentile band shown here.","base_case":"mildly positive","bear_case":"Downside triggers: P/E 28.5× leaves no valuation buffer; momentum is fading. Treat the 5–20th percentile band as the stress case for sizing, not as a worst case.","catalysts":["Demo synthetic: HEAL completes share buyback tranche","Demo synthetic: HEAL completes share buyback tranche","Demo synthetic: HEAL completes share buyback tranche"],"key_risks":"Historic drawdown deeper than 43%","assumptions":["Realised volatility stays near its recent level (blended 18.4% annualised).","The scoring tilt persists over the window; no structural break (fraud, delisting, forced guidance cut).","Returns are approximated as lognormal; fat tails are handled by widening, not by point forecasts.","Index regime assumed: sideways.","Close below the 23.17 support band or the strategy stop.","Earnings or regulatory headline that changes forward estimates by more than the modelled window σ.","Volatility expanding beyond 29% annualised invalidates position sizing.","Loss of the fundamental pillars used in the score (guidance cut, covenant breach, auditor change)."],"invalidation":null,"regime_at_time":"sideways","status":"active","invalidated_at":null,"invalidated_reason":null,"data_mode":"demo"},{"id":9178,"security_id":138,"model_id":2,"horizon_code":"3M","generated_at":"2026-10-25 04:14:00","ref_price":18,"bull_low_pct":4.5,"bull_high_pct":9,"base_low_pct":-3,"base_high_pct":3,"bear_low_pct":-7.5,"bear_high_pct":-4.5,"prob_up":0.52,"p10_pct":-6,"p25_pct":-3,"p50_pct":0,"p75_pct":3,"p90_pct":6,"expected_range_low":-3,"expected_range_high":3,"risk_range_low":-7.5,"risk_range_high":3,"confidence":56,"confidence_basis":"760 bars, blended vol 18%, score 53, coverage 96%%","risk_level":"low","volatility_ann":18.4,"max_hist_drawdown":"-43.1000","sample_size":760,"data_freshness_secs":112440,"bull_case":"If a volatility-compressed setup resolving upward would accelerate the move, the upside path is the 80–95th percentile band shown here.","base_case":"mildly positive","bear_case":"Downside triggers: P/E 28.5× leaves no valuation buffer; momentum is fading. Treat the 5–20th percentile band as the stress case for sizing, not as a worst case.","catalysts":["Demo synthetic: HEAL completes share buyback tranche","Demo synthetic: HEAL completes share buyback tranche","Demo synthetic: HEAL completes share buyback tranche"],"key_risks":"Historic drawdown deeper than 43%","assumptions":["Realised volatility stays near its recent level (blended 18.4% annualised).","The scoring tilt persists over the window; no structural break (fraud, delisting, forced guidance cut).","Returns are approximated as lognormal; fat tails are handled by widening, not by point forecasts.","Index regime assumed: sideways.","Close below the 23.17 support band or the strategy stop.","Earnings or regulatory headline that changes forward estimates by more than the modelled window σ.","Volatility expanding beyond 29% annualised invalidates position sizing.","Loss of the fundamental pillars used in the score (guidance cut, covenant breach, auditor change)."],"invalidation":null,"regime_at_time":"sideways","status":"active","invalidated_at":null,"invalidated_reason":null,"data_mode":"demo"},{"id":9179,"security_id":138,"model_id":2,"horizon_code":"6M","generated_at":"2026-10-25 04:14:00","ref_price":18,"bull_low_pct":6,"bull_high_pct":12,"base_low_pct":-4.5,"base_high_pct":4.5,"bear_low_pct":-12,"bear_high_pct":-6,"prob_up":0.52,"p10_pct":-9,"p25_pct":-4.5,"p50_pct":0,"p75_pct":4.5,"p90_pct":9,"expected_range_low":-4.5,"expected_range_high":4.5,"risk_range_low":-12,"risk_range_high":4.5,"confidence":56,"confidence_basis":"760 bars, blended vol 18%, score 53, coverage 96%%","risk_level":"low","volatility_ann":18.4,"max_hist_drawdown":"-43.1000","sample_size":760,"data_freshness_secs":112440,"bull_case":"If a volatility-compressed setup resolving upward would accelerate the move, the upside path is the 80–95th percentile band shown here.","base_case":"mildly positive","bear_case":"Downside triggers: P/E 28.5× leaves no valuation buffer; momentum is fading. Treat the 5–20th percentile band as the stress case for sizing, not as a worst case.","catalysts":["Demo synthetic: HEAL completes share buyback tranche","Demo synthetic: HEAL completes share buyback tranche","Demo synthetic: HEAL completes share buyback tranche"],"key_risks":"Historic drawdown deeper than 43%","assumptions":["Realised volatility stays near its recent level (blended 18.4% annualised).","The scoring tilt persists over the window; no structural break (fraud, delisting, forced guidance cut).","Returns are approximated as lognormal; fat tails are handled by widening, not by point forecasts.","Index regime assumed: sideways.","Close below the 23.17 support band or the strategy stop.","Earnings or regulatory headline that changes forward estimates by more than the modelled window σ.","Volatility expanding beyond 29% annualised invalidates position sizing.","Loss of the fundamental pillars used in the score (guidance cut, covenant breach, auditor change)."],"invalidation":null,"regime_at_time":"sideways","status":"active","invalidated_at":null,"invalidated_reason":null,"data_mode":"demo"},{"id":9180,"security_id":138,"model_id":2,"horizon_code":"12M","generated_at":"2026-10-25 04:14:00","ref_price":18,"bull_low_pct":10,"bull_high_pct":17.5,"base_low_pct":-7.5,"base_high_pct":7.5,"bear_low_pct":-15,"bear_high_pct":-7.5,"prob_up":0.52,"p10_pct":-12.5,"p25_pct":-7.5,"p50_pct":0,"p75_pct":7.5,"p90_pct":12.5,"expected_range_low":-7.5,"expected_range_high":7.5,"risk_range_low":-15,"risk_range_high":7.5,"confidence":56,"confidence_basis":"760 bars, blended vol 18%, score 53, coverage 96%%","risk_level":"low","volatility_ann":18.4,"max_hist_drawdown":"-43.1000","sample_size":760,"data_freshness_secs":112440,"bull_case":"If a volatility-compressed setup resolving upward would accelerate the move, the upside path is the 80–95th percentile band shown here.","base_case":"mildly positive","bear_case":"Downside triggers: P/E 28.5× leaves no valuation buffer; momentum is fading. Treat the 5–20th percentile band as the stress case for sizing, not as a worst case.","catalysts":["Demo synthetic: HEAL completes share buyback tranche","Demo synthetic: HEAL completes share buyback tranche","Demo synthetic: HEAL completes share buyback tranche"],"key_risks":"Historic drawdown deeper than 43%","assumptions":["Realised volatility stays near its recent level (blended 18.4% annualised).","The scoring tilt persists over the window; no structural break (fraud, delisting, forced guidance cut).","Returns are approximated as lognormal; fat tails are handled by widening, not by point forecasts.","Index regime assumed: sideways.","Close below the 23.17 support band or the strategy stop.","Earnings or regulatory headline that changes forward estimates by more than the modelled window σ.","Volatility expanding beyond 29% annualised invalidates position sizing.","Loss of the fundamental pillars used in the score (guidance cut, covenant breach, auditor change)."],"invalidation":null,"regime_at_time":"sideways","status":"active","invalidated_at":null,"invalidated_reason":null,"data_mode":"demo"}],"available":true,"as_of":"2026-10-23","mode":"demo","note":"Stored snapshot values; not a real-time feed."}