Bull case
If a volatility-compressed setup resolving upward would accelerate the move, the upside path is the 80–95th percentile band shown here.
band +2.0% … +4.0% · 3,280.00 – 3,280.00
Ethereum / US Dollar
ETHUSD NEUTRAL MEDIUM CRYPTO DEMO
$3,280.00
-4.07%
1-day change from the stored snapshot · 27 hours ago
DEMO DATASET last stored bar 2026-10-23 · scores computed 2026-10-23 17:35:23 · every figure below is read from these rows, nothing is computed in the browser
Price · stored daily bars
126 bars ending 2026-10-23 · demo data
Indicators are computed from the same stored closes the score used; the forecast fan is drawn from qm_predictions, not from a live model call.
how this is drawn
Open$3,558.24
Day range$3,640.61 / $3,146.22
Prev close$3,419.08
Volume4.93B
RVOL 30d1.21×session volume over stored 30-day average
Avg $ volume$16.6T
Market capnot stored
HV2067.3% ann.
Beta0.39
RSI(14)30.8
ATR %11.45%
Max drawdown-81.1%
52-week rangefrom $3,057.12 to $5,877.23
52-week low / high$3,057.12 / $5,877.23
From 52w high-44.2%
Liquiditynot storeddays of average volume to fill 1% of float
Forecast
Stored scenarios from the last pipeline run. The model that wrote them is named on each row; no forecast is generated when you look at this page.
| Horizon | Ref | Bull high | Base range | Bear low | P10 → P90 | P(up) | Confidence | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1D
2026-10-23 17:35:23 |
3,280.00 | 3,411.20 +4.0% | 3,230.80 → 3,329.20 -1.5% … +1.5% |
3,165.20 -3.5% | 3,181.60 → 3,378.40 | 51.0% | 64 760 bars, blended vol 68%, score 53, coverage 84%% |
LOW
HV 67.6% ann. · 760 bars |
| 5D
2026-10-23 17:35:23 |
3,280.00 | 3,575.20 +9.0% | 3,181.60 → 3,411.20 -3.0% … +4.0% |
3,017.60 -8.0% | 3,083.20 → 3,509.60 | 51.0% | 64 760 bars, blended vol 68%, score 53, coverage 84%% |
LOW
HV 67.6% ann. · 760 bars |
| 1M
2026-10-23 17:35:23 |
3,280.00 | 3,870.40 +18.0% | 3,050.40 → 3,542.40 -7.0% … +8.0% |
2,722.40 -17.0% | 2,853.60 → 3,739.20 | 51.0% | 64 760 bars, blended vol 68%, score 53, coverage 84%% |
LOW
HV 67.6% ann. · 760 bars |
| 3M
2026-10-23 17:35:23 |
3,280.00 | 4,313.20 +31.5% | 2,886.40 → 3,722.80 -12.0% … +13.5% |
2,296.00 -30.0% | 2,542.00 → 4,067.20 | 51.0% | 64 760 bars, blended vol 68%, score 53, coverage 84%% |
MEDIUM
HV 67.6% ann. · 760 bars |
| 6M
2026-10-23 17:35:23 |
3,280.00 | 4,756.00 +45.0% | 2,738.80 → 3,919.60 -16.5% … +19.5% |
1,902.40 -42.0% | 2,197.60 → 4,411.60 | 51.0% | 64 760 bars, blended vol 68%, score 53, coverage 84%% |
HIGH
HV 67.6% ann. · 760 bars |
| 12M
2026-10-23 17:35:23 |
3,280.00 | 5,330.00 +62.5% | 2,542.00 → 4,182.00 -22.5% … +27.5% |
1,312.00 -60.0% | 1,804.00 → 4,920.00 | 51.0% | 64 760 bars, blended vol 68%, score 53, coverage 84%% |
HIGH
HV 67.6% ann. · 760 bars |
Base case
mildly positive
band -1.5% … +1.5% · 3,280.00 – 3,280.00
Bear case
Downside triggers: realised volatility already elevated; momentum is fading. Treat the 5–20th percentile band as the stress case for sizing, not as a worst case.
band -3.5% … -2.0% · 3,280.00 – 3,280.00
Catalysts the model is watching
- Demo synthetic: ETHUSD confirms exploratory talks with supplier
- Demo synthetic: ETHUSD confirms exploratory talks with supplier
- Demo synthetic: ETHUSD confirms exploratory talks with supplier
Key risks & invalidation
- Elevated realised volatility (67.3%)
- Historic drawdown deeper than 81%
Model assumptions
- Realised volatility stays near its recent level (blended 67.6% annualised).
- The scoring tilt persists over the window; no structural break (fraud, delisting, forced guidance cut).
- Returns are approximated as lognormal; fat tails are handled by widening, not by point forecasts.
- Index regime assumed: sideways.
- Close below the 4349.9 support band or the strategy stop.
- Earnings or regulatory headline that changes forward estimates by more than the modelled window σ.
- Volatility expanding beyond 108% annualised invalidates position sizing.
- Loss of the fundamental pillars used in the score (guidance cut, covenant breach, auditor change).
Reference price 3,280.00 at
2026-10-23 17:35:23 · regime at generation
sideways · data
demo · freshness
0s.
These bands are conditional distributions from stored inputs, not advice or a promise about outcomes.
Fundamentals and analyst coverage
Not applicable: ETHUSD is stored as
CRYPTO, so there are no filings, EPS estimates or analyst ratings behind it.
The technical, risk and sentiment components of the score still apply, and they are shown above.
Ownership, insiders and short interest
Inst. position changenot storedreported change vs the prior stored quarter
Net insider (USD)not stored
Short % of floatnot stored
Days to covernot stored
No ownership rows stored.
13F-style holdings, insider filings and short-interest settlements are separate ingestion jobs; none of them has written a row for this symbol.
The score card marks the institutional component as incomplete instead of guessing.
Options
No chain stored for this symbol
No option chain stored.
Chains are only stored for symbols the options job covers, and only for the expiry it snapshots.
Open the flow page for a symbol that has data, or run the options ingestion.
News mentioning ETHUSD
Stored headlines linked to this security, newest first. Sentiment scores come from the stored scorer, not from this page.
Demo synthetic: ETHUSD confirms exploratory talks with supplier
Synthetic demo item generated to exercise the sentiment pipeline. No external source; no factual content.
Demo synthetic: ETHUSD confirms exploratory talks with supplier
Synthetic demo item generated to exercise the sentiment pipeline. No external source; no factual content.
Demo synthetic: ETHUSD confirms exploratory talks with supplier
Synthetic demo item generated to exercise the sentiment pipeline. No external source; no factual content.
Demo synthetic: ETHUSD confirms exploratory talks with supplier
Synthetic demo item generated to exercise the sentiment pipeline. No external source; no factual content.
Demo synthetic: rate expectations shift, ETHUSD beta repriced
Synthetic demo item generated to exercise the sentiment pipeline. No external source; no factual content.
Demo synthetic: rate expectations shift, ETHUSD beta repriced
Synthetic demo item generated to exercise the sentiment pipeline. No external source; no factual content.
Demo synthetic: rate expectations shift, ETHUSD beta repriced
Synthetic demo item generated to exercise the sentiment pipeline. No external source; no factual content.
Demo synthetic: rate expectations shift, ETHUSD beta repriced
Synthetic demo item generated to exercise the sentiment pipeline. No external source; no factual content.
Demo synthetic: ETHUSD posts quarterly result inside modelled range
Synthetic demo item generated to exercise the sentiment pipeline. No external source; no factual content.
Demo synthetic: ETHUSD posts quarterly result inside modelled range
Synthetic demo item generated to exercise the sentiment pipeline. No external source; no factual content.
Demo synthetic: ETHUSD posts quarterly result inside modelled range
Synthetic demo item generated to exercise the sentiment pipeline. No external source; no factual content.
Demo synthetic: ETHUSD posts quarterly result inside modelled range
Synthetic demo item generated to exercise the sentiment pipeline. No external source; no factual content.