SPDR Gold Shares

GLD CONSTRUCTIVE LOW ETF DEMO

$232.00 -0.30% 1-day change from the stored snapshot · 28 hours ago

DEMO DATASET last stored bar 2026-10-23 · scores computed 2026-10-23 17:35:23 · every figure below is read from these rows, nothing is computed in the browser

Price · stored daily bars

126 bars ending 2026-10-23 · demo data

Indicators are computed from the same stored closes the score used; the forecast fan is drawn from qm_predictions, not from a live model call. how this is drawn

Open$232.50

Day range$232.78 / $231.65

Prev close$232.70

Volume77.0M

RVOL 30d1.39×session volume over stored 30-day average

Avg $ volume$12.9B

Market capnot stored

HV204.3% ann.

Beta0.13

RSI(14)61.8

ATR %0.57%

Max drawdown-6.5%

52-week rangefrom $215.71 to $233.22

52-week low / high$215.71 / $233.22

From 52w high-0.5%

Liquiditynot storeddays of average volume to fill 1% of float

Forecast

Stored scenarios from the last pipeline run. The model that wrote them is named on each row; no forecast is generated when you look at this page.

Horizon	Ref	Bull high	Base range	Bear low	P10 → P90	P(up)	Confidence	Risk
1D 2026-10-23 17:35:23	232.00	233.16 +0.5%	232.00 → 232.00 +0.0% … +0.0%	230.84 -0.5%	232.00 → 233.16	52.0%	71 760 bars, blended vol 6%, score 63, coverage 89%%	LOW HV 6.0% ann. · 760 bars
5D 2026-10-23 17:35:23	232.00	234.32 +1.0%	232.00 → 232.00 +0.0% … +0.0%	229.68 -1.0%	232.00 → 234.32	56.0%	71 760 bars, blended vol 6%, score 63, coverage 89%%	LOW HV 6.0% ann. · 760 bars
1M 2026-10-23 17:35:23	232.00	236.64 +2.0%	232.00 → 234.32 +0.0% … +1.0%	229.68 -1.0%	229.68 → 234.32	57.0%	71 760 bars, blended vol 6%, score 63, coverage 89%%	LOW HV 6.0% ann. · 760 bars
3M 2026-10-23 17:35:23	232.00	238.96 +3.0%	232.00 → 235.48 +0.0% … +1.5%	225.04 -3.0%	228.52 → 238.96	57.0%	71 760 bars, blended vol 6%, score 63, coverage 89%%	LOW HV 6.0% ann. · 760 bars
6M 2026-10-23 17:35:23	232.00	242.44 +4.5%	228.52 → 235.48 -1.5% … +1.5%	225.04 -3.0%	225.04 → 238.96	57.0%	71 760 bars, blended vol 6%, score 63, coverage 89%%	LOW HV 6.0% ann. · 760 bars
12M 2026-10-23 17:35:23	232.00	243.60 +5.0%	226.20 → 237.80 -2.5% … +2.5%	220.40 -5.0%	226.20 → 243.60	57.0%	71 760 bars, blended vol 6%, score 63, coverage 89%%	LOW HV 6.0% ann. · 760 bars

Bull case

If price above the 200-day average (trend intact), RSI mid-range — room to extend, a volatility-compressed setup resolving upward would accelerate the move, the upside path is the 80–95th percentile band shown here.

band +0.0% … +0.5% · 232.00 – 232.00

Base case

mildly positive

band +0.0% … +0.0% · 232.00 – 232.00

Bear case

Downside triggers: the name is priced near its 52-week high, leaving little cushion. Treat the 5–20th percentile band as the stress case for sizing, not as a worst case.

band -0.5% … +0.0% · 232.00 – 232.00

Catalysts the model is watching

Volatility compression (squeeze)

Key risks & invalidation

No exceptional risk flags from stored data; normal market risk always applies

Model assumptions

Realised volatility stays near its recent level (blended 6% annualised).
The scoring tilt persists over the window; no structural break (fraud, delisting, forced guidance cut).
Returns are approximated as lognormal; fat tails are handled by widening, not by point forecasts.
Index regime assumed: sideways.
Close below the 226.03 support band or the strategy stop.
Earnings or regulatory headline that changes forward estimates by more than the modelled window σ.
Volatility expanding beyond 10% annualised invalidates position sizing.
Loss of the fundamental pillars used in the score (guidance cut, covenant breach, auditor change).

Reference price 232.00 at 2026-10-23 17:35:23 · regime at generation sideways · data demo · freshness 0s. These bands are conditional distributions from stored inputs, not advice or a promise about outcomes.

Fundamentals and analyst coverage

Not applicable: GLD is stored as ETF, so there are no filings, EPS estimates or analyst ratings behind it. The technical, risk and sentiment components of the score still apply, and they are shown above.

Ownership, insiders and short interest

Inst. position change-62.9%reported change vs the prior stored quarter

Net insider (USD)not stored

Short % of floatnot stored

Days to covernot stored

Period end	Holder	Type	Shares	Value	% float	Change
2026-09-01	Capital Research Global	fund	77.3M	$17.9B	8.2%	not stored
2026-09-01	Capital Research Global	fund	77.3M	$17.9B	8.2%	not stored
2026-09-01	Capital Research Global	fund	77.3M	$17.9B	8.2%	not stored
2026-09-01	Capital Research Global	fund	77.3M	$17.9B	8.2%	not stored
2026-09-01	Capital Research Global	fund	77.3M	$17.9B	8.2%	not stored
2026-09-01	BlackRock Fund Advisors	fund	42.6M	$9.89B	4.5%	not stored
2026-09-01	BlackRock Fund Advisors	fund	42.6M	$9.89B	4.5%	not stored
2026-09-01	BlackRock Fund Advisors	fund	42.6M	$9.89B	4.5%	not stored

Options

Stored chain for expiry 2026-11-06 · 9 call / 9 put strikes

Full chain Flow

Strikes stored189 calls / 9 puts on this expiry

Chain volume83.3kcontracts across all listed strikes

Chain open interest626k

Chain IV (mean)11.2%the column stores a fraction; ×100 for display

Put/call volume1.557from the daily aggregate row for 2026-10-23

Call / put volume23.8k / 37.1k

IV3010.0%stored as a fraction

HV309.3%realised 30-day vol

IV rank67.8 /100

OI change-2.8%percent, as stored

Expiries stored4

Chain as of2026-10-23 17:35

News mentioning GLD

Stored headlines linked to this security, newest first. Sentiment scores come from the stored scorer, not from this page.

No stored headline mentions this symbol.

Score

qm_ai_scores row #882

62.9

composite / 100 · model score-1.0.0

CONSTRUCTIVE risk LOW confidence 67

Technical 25 68.4

Fundamental 25 50.0

Momentum 15 62.6

Sentiment 10 66.0

Institutional 10 24.0

Risk 15 89.8

Why the model scored it this way

RISK Liquidity 96
Average $12920.1M traded per session
MOMENTUM Momentum Persistence 95
4 of 4 measured horizons are positive
RISK Drawdown History 95
Max drawdown in stored history -6.5%
RISK Gap Risk 95
Median overnight gap 0.07% — position sizing must survive opens
RISK Volatility 94
20-day realised volatility 4.3% annualised
RISK Sector Risk 90
Sector average volatility 20%
TECHNICAL 52w Position 90
-0.5% from its 52-week high
RISK Correlation 90
Correlation to benchmark 0.63-year rolling: 0.56
TECHNICAL Trend Structure 88
Price vs 20/50/200-day moving averages: strong up
RISK Market Risk 85
Benchmark volatility 20.1% · regime: Sideways · normal vol · risk-off
RISK Event Risk Earnings 82
No scheduled earnings date on file
TECHNICAL Volatility Compression 78
Bollinger width 3.2% — coiled, breakout potential
INSTITUTIONAL Institutional Flows 22
Reported 13F-style positioning change -62.9% vs prior quarter2026-09-01
SENTIMENT Sentiment Delta 78
30-day sentiment change 7.9 pts

Scored on synthetic demonstration data. Directionally realistic, not a forecast of any real market.

Levels

Stored support/resistance from the snapshot row, not drawn from the chart in the browser.

Resistance (stored): $223.99
Support (stored): $223.12
20-day SMA: $231.10
50-day SMA: $228.48
200-day SMA: $226.03
Trend: strong_up
Above SMA50 / SMA200: yes / no
From 52w high: -0.5%
MACD histogram: -0.079
RSI(14): 61.8
Relative strength (3m): -1.2%
RS rank: not stored /100

Sentiment

Stored buckets (each row is one scoring run over the news window).

Bucket start	Score	Label	Mentions	Method
2026-10-20 13:00	-3%	neutral	25	synthetic demo tone index — not real sentiment
2026-10-20 14:00	-3%	neutral	25	synthetic demo tone index — not real sentiment
2026-10-20 16:00	-3%	neutral	25	synthetic demo tone index — not real sentiment
2026-10-20 17:00	-3%	neutral	25	synthetic demo tone index — not real sentiment
2026-10-23 13:00	-21%	negative	10	synthetic demo tone index — not real sentiment
2026-10-23 14:00	-21%	negative	10	synthetic demo tone index — not real sentiment
2026-10-23 16:00	-21%	negative	10	synthetic demo tone index — not real sentiment
2026-10-23 17:00	-21%	negative	10	synthetic demo tone index — not real sentiment

Catalysts and risks

Stored catalysts

Volatility compression (squeeze)

Stored risks

No exceptional risk flags from stored data; normal market risk always applies

Validation

Forecasts on this symbol whose horizon has matured, scored against the stored bars.

All models

Nothing to score yet: settle the matured forecasts with php bin/pipeline.php --cmd=settle and this table fills with realised-versus-forecast rows.

Peer comparison

Nothing stored yet.

No peer set stored (peers are matched on the stored sector/industry columns).

What this page did not do.

It did not fetch a quote, call an external model, or extend the chart. It read 156000 stored bar rows in total across the universe (demo data, last trade 2026-10-23), and the score shown here was written at 2026-10-23 17:35 by model score-1.0.0.