Solana / US Dollar

SOLUSD CONSTRUCTIVE MEDIUM CRYPTO DEMO

$168.00 +1.56% 1-day change from the stored snapshot · 27 hours ago

DEMO DATASET last stored bar 2026-10-23 · scores computed 2026-10-23 17:35:23 · every figure below is read from these rows, nothing is computed in the browser

Price · stored daily bars

126 bars ending 2026-10-23 · demo data

Indicators are computed from the same stored closes the score used; the forecast fan is drawn from qm_predictions, not from a live model call. how this is drawn

Open$163.79

Day range$170.36 / $159.70

Prev close$165.42

Volume5.70B

RVOL 30d1.31×session volume over stored 30-day average

Avg $ volume$640B

Market capnot stored

HV2048.9% ann.

Beta-0.25

RSI(14)66.6

ATR %7.53%

Max drawdown-67.8%

52-week rangefrom $85.15 to $182.08

52-week low / high$85.15 / $182.08

From 52w high-7.7%

Liquiditynot storeddays of average volume to fill 1% of float

Forecast

Stored scenarios from the last pipeline run. The model that wrote them is named on each row; no forecast is generated when you look at this page.

Horizon	Ref	Bull high	Base range	Bear low	P10 → P90	P(up)	Confidence	Risk
1D 2026-10-23 17:35:23	168.00	173.88 +3.5%	167.16 → 170.52 -0.5% … +1.5%	163.80 -2.5%	164.64 → 172.20	57.0%	64 760 bars, blended vol 51%, score 64, coverage 84%%	LOW HV 51.1% ann. · 760 bars
5D 2026-10-23 17:35:23	168.00	181.44 +8.0%	164.64 → 174.72 -2.0% … +4.0%	159.60 -5.0%	161.28 → 178.08	57.0%	64 760 bars, blended vol 51%, score 64, coverage 84%%	LOW HV 51.1% ann. · 760 bars
1M 2026-10-23 17:35:23	168.00	193.20 +15.0%	162.96 → 181.44 -3.0% … +8.0%	149.52 -11.0%	154.56 → 188.16	57.0%	64 760 bars, blended vol 51%, score 64, coverage 84%%	LOW HV 51.1% ann. · 760 bars
3M 2026-10-23 17:35:23	168.00	213.36 +27.0%	157.92 → 190.68 -6.0% … +13.5%	135.24 -19.5%	142.80 → 203.28	57.0%	64 760 bars, blended vol 51%, score 64, coverage 84%%	MEDIUM HV 51.1% ann. · 760 bars
6M 2026-10-23 17:35:23	168.00	231.00 +37.5%	152.88 → 198.24 -9.0% … +18.0%	122.64 -27.0%	132.72 → 218.40	57.0%	64 760 bars, blended vol 51%, score 64, coverage 84%%	MEDIUM HV 51.1% ann. · 760 bars
12M 2026-10-23 17:35:23	168.00	256.20 +52.5%	147.00 → 210.00 -12.5% … +25.0%	100.80 -40.0%	117.60 → 239.40	57.0%	64 760 bars, blended vol 51%, score 64, coverage 84%%	HIGH HV 51.1% ann. · 760 bars

Bull case

If price above the 200-day average (trend intact), a volatility-compressed setup resolving upward would accelerate the move, the upside path is the 80–95th percentile band shown here.

band +2.0% … +3.5% · 168.00 – 168.00

Base case

mildly positive

band -0.5% … +1.5% · 168.00 – 168.00

Bear case

Downside triggers: realised volatility already elevated. Treat the 5–20th percentile band as the stress case for sizing, not as a worst case.

band -2.5% … -1.0% · 168.00 – 168.00

Catalysts the model is watching

None recorded for this horizon.

Key risks & invalidation

Elevated realised volatility (48.9%)
Historic drawdown deeper than 68%

Model assumptions

Realised volatility stays near its recent level (blended 51.1% annualised).
The scoring tilt persists over the window; no structural break (fraud, delisting, forced guidance cut).
Returns are approximated as lognormal; fat tails are handled by widening, not by point forecasts.
Index regime assumed: sideways.
Close below the 138.38 support band or the strategy stop.
Earnings or regulatory headline that changes forward estimates by more than the modelled window σ.
Volatility expanding beyond 82% annualised invalidates position sizing.
Loss of the fundamental pillars used in the score (guidance cut, covenant breach, auditor change).

Reference price 168.00 at 2026-10-23 17:35:23 · regime at generation sideways · data demo · freshness 0s. These bands are conditional distributions from stored inputs, not advice or a promise about outcomes.

Fundamentals and analyst coverage

Not applicable: SOLUSD is stored as CRYPTO, so there are no filings, EPS estimates or analyst ratings behind it. The technical, risk and sentiment components of the score still apply, and they are shown above.

Ownership, insiders and short interest

Inst. position changenot storedreported change vs the prior stored quarter

Net insider (USD)not stored

Short % of floatnot stored

Days to covernot stored

No ownership rows stored.

13F-style holdings, insider filings and short-interest settlements are separate ingestion jobs; none of them has written a row for this symbol.

The score card marks the institutional component as incomplete instead of guessing.

Options

No chain stored for this symbol

Full chain Flow

No option chain stored.

Chains are only stored for symbols the options job covers, and only for the expiry it snapshots.

Open the flow page for a symbol that has data, or run the options ingestion.

News mentioning SOLUSD

Stored headlines linked to this security, newest first. Sentiment scores come from the stored scorer, not from this page.

No stored headline mentions this symbol.

Score

qm_ai_scores row #897

64.3

composite / 100 · model score-1.0.0

CONSTRUCTIVE risk MEDIUM confidence 60

Technical 25 66.7

Fundamental 25 50.0

Momentum 15 76.8

Sentiment 10 48.4

Institutional 10 50.0

Risk 15 76.7

Why the model scored it this way

RISK Correlation 97
Correlation to benchmark 0.63-year rolling: -0.04
RISK Liquidity 96
Average $640004.6M traded per session
MOMENTUM Momentum Persistence 95
4 of 4 measured horizons are positive
RISK Gap Risk 92
Median overnight gap 1.43% — position sizing must survive opens
RISK Sector Risk 90
Sector average volatility 20%
TECHNICAL Trend Structure 88
Price vs 20/50/200-day moving averages: strong up
RISK Market Risk 85
Benchmark volatility 20.1% · regime: Sideways · normal vol · risk-off
RISK Event Risk Earnings 82
No scheduled earnings date on file
MOMENTUM Multi Horizon Performance 76
1M +22.3% · 3M +9% · 6M +11.5% · 12M +76.8%
TECHNICAL Macd Signal 72
MACD(12,26,9) above, histogram 2.154
TECHNICAL 52w Position 71
-7.7% from its 52-week high
MOMENTUM Volume Acceleration 70
Today +1.6% on 1.3× volume
TECHNICAL Rsi Condition 68
RSI(14) 66.6 — constructive zone
RISK Beta 68
Beta -0.25 vs the reference index

Scored on synthetic demonstration data. Directionally realistic, not a forecast of any real market.

Category ranks

Position among scored securities in each evidence category.

Category	Score	Rank	Evidence
HIGH_RISK	48.9	1	Volatility 48.9% / ATR 7.5% of price — expected move per bar is large
HIGH_RISK	48.9	1	Volatility 48.9% / ATR 7.5% of price — expected move per bar is large
HIGH_RISK	48.9	1	Volatility 48.9% / ATR 7.5% of price — expected move per bar is large
HIGH_RISK	48.9	1	Volatility 48.9% / ATR 7.5% of price — expected move per bar is large
HIGH_RISK	48.9	1	Volatility 48.9% / ATR 7.5% of price — expected move per bar is large

Levels

Stored support/resistance from the snapshot row, not drawn from the chart in the browser.

Resistance (stored): $165.58
Support (stored): $120.78
20-day SMA: $150.52
50-day SMA: $148.92
200-day SMA: $138.38
Trend: strong_up
Above SMA50 / SMA200: yes / no
From 52w high: -7.7%
MACD histogram: 2.154
RSI(14): 66.6
Relative strength (3m): +4.6%
RS rank: not stored /100

Sentiment

Stored buckets (each row is one scoring run over the news window).

Bucket start	Score	Label	Mentions	Method
2026-10-20 13:00	-27%	negative	40	synthetic demo tone index — not real sentiment
2026-10-20 14:00	-27%	negative	40	synthetic demo tone index — not real sentiment
2026-10-20 16:00	-27%	negative	40	synthetic demo tone index — not real sentiment
2026-10-20 17:00	-27%	negative	40	synthetic demo tone index — not real sentiment
2026-10-23 13:00	-22%	negative	46	synthetic demo tone index — not real sentiment
2026-10-23 14:00	-22%	negative	46	synthetic demo tone index — not real sentiment
2026-10-23 16:00	-22%	negative	46	synthetic demo tone index — not real sentiment
2026-10-23 17:00	-22%	negative	46	synthetic demo tone index — not real sentiment

Catalysts and risks

Stored catalysts

none stored

Stored risks

Elevated realised volatility (48.9%)
Historic drawdown deeper than 68%

Validation

Forecasts on this symbol whose horizon has matured, scored against the stored bars.

All models

Nothing to score yet: settle the matured forecasts with php bin/pipeline.php --cmd=settle and this table fills with realised-versus-forecast rows.

Peer comparison

Nothing stored yet.

No peer set stored (peers are matched on the stored sector/industry columns).

What this page did not do.

It did not fetch a quote, call an external model, or extend the chart. It read 156000 stored bar rows in total across the universe (demo data, last trade 2026-10-23), and the score shown here was written at 2026-10-23 17:35 by model score-1.0.0.