Helios Therapeutics

HEAL EXPECTED DEMO

NASDAQ · priced 2026-12-29 · lists 2027-01-01 · lockup 2027-06-30

DEMO DATASET last stored bar 2026-10-23 · scores computed 2026-10-23 17:35:24 · every figure below is read from these rows, nothing is computed in the browser

Synthetic demo listing generated for UI/algorithm testing. Company is fictional; no real filing exists at the internal:// URL.

Offer range16.00 – 18.00not priced yet

Shares offered37.9M

Gross proceeds$1.21B

Valuation range$846M – $1.05B

Day-one returnnot storedfirst trade versus the final offer

Since listingnot stored

Float offered19.0%

Greenshoe15%

Revenue (TTM)$0.00growth 0.0%

Net income$-58.0M

Gross margin20.7%

Cash − debt$8.00Mdebt/revenue n/a

Runway6 monthsfrom the stored burn column

Altman Z0.79computed on the stored columns

Lead underwritersGoldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, J.P. Mor…tier 3

Intel score43.9stored ranking column

Score breakdown

The parts stored in intel_breakdown_json, each on 0–100. The composite is their mean — the model's own arithmetic, reproduced from the row.

Growth 40.0

Revenue 30.0

Profitability 5.0

Valuation 30.0

Balance 100.0

Market 58.6

Risk flags on the row: unprofitable,high leverage,slow growth,rich valuation

Since listing

Stored daily bars for the listed security, starting at its first stored session.

Short histories are common for new listings; the indicators need 200 bars to be meaningful and are simply absent before that. how this is drawn

Comparables stored with the filing

Whatever the row holds. Blank cells mean the comparable was recorded without metrics, not that it trades at zero.

Comparable	P/E	P/S	EV/Revenue	Growth	Note on the row
LLY	27.3×	6.6×	not stored	13.8%	Demo comparable selected by sector tag (synthetic financials).

Stored headlines

Demo synthetic: HEAL completes share buyback tranche

other17 days ago+35%

Demo synthetic: HEAL completes share buyback tranche

other17 days ago+35%

Demo synthetic: HEAL completes share buyback tranche

other17 days ago+35%

Demo synthetic: HEAL completes share buyback tranche

other17 days ago+35%

Security score

53.3

composite / 100 · model score-1.0.0

NEUTRAL risk LOW confidence 65

Technical 25 40.5

Fundamental 25 57.7

Momentum 15 36.3

Sentiment 10 53.6

Institutional 10 50.0

Risk 15 85.2

Why the model scored it this way

SENTIMENT Recent Headline Tone 95
Last items: 4 positive / 0 negative headlines
RISK Gap Risk 95
Median overnight gap 0.39% — position sizing must survive opens
RISK Correlation 94
Correlation to benchmark 0.63-year rolling: 0.4
RISK Liquidity 92
Average $30.9M traded per session
RISK Sector Risk 88
Sector average volatility 22.4%
TECHNICAL Trend Structure 14
Price vs 20/50/200-day moving averages: strong down
RISK Beta 86
Beta 0.45 vs the reference index
RISK Market Risk 85
Benchmark volatility 20.1% · regime: Sideways · normal vol · risk-off
RISK Volatility 85
20-day realised volatility 17.5% annualised
FUNDAMENTAL Free Cash Flow 82
FCF margin 26.5%
FUNDAMENTAL Coverage 82
Interest coverage 19.6×
FUNDAMENTAL Peg 18
PEG 5.75
RISK Event Risk Earnings 82
No scheduled earnings date on file
SENTIMENT Sentiment Delta 18
30-day sentiment change -9.1 pts

Scored on synthetic demonstration data. Directionally realistic, not a forecast of any real market.

Forecast

Horizon	Ref	Bull high	Base range	Bear low	P10 → P90	P(up)	Confidence	Risk
1D 2026-10-23 17:35:24	—	0.00 +1.0%	0.00 → 0.00 -0.5% … +0.5%	0.00 -1.0%	0.00 → 0.00	52.0%	69 760 bars, blended vol 18%, score 53, coverage 96%%	LOW HV 18.4% ann. · 760 bars
5D 2026-10-23 17:35:24	—	0.00 +2.0%	0.00 → 0.00 -1.0% … +1.0%	0.00 -2.0%	0.00 → 0.00	52.0%	69 760 bars, blended vol 18%, score 53, coverage 96%%	LOW HV 18.4% ann. · 760 bars
1M 2026-10-23 17:35:24	—	0.00 +5.0%	0.00 → 0.00 -2.0% … +2.0%	0.00 -5.0%	0.00 → 0.00	52.0%	69 760 bars, blended vol 18%, score 53, coverage 96%%	LOW HV 18.4% ann. · 760 bars
3M 2026-10-23 17:35:24	—	0.00 +9.0%	0.00 → 0.00 -3.0% … +3.0%	0.00 -7.5%	0.00 → 0.00	52.0%	69 760 bars, blended vol 18%, score 53, coverage 96%%	LOW HV 18.4% ann. · 760 bars
6M 2026-10-23 17:35:24	—	0.00 +12.0%	0.00 → 0.00 -4.5% … +6.0%	0.00 -12.0%	0.00 → 0.00	52.0%	69 760 bars, blended vol 18%, score 53, coverage 96%%	LOW HV 18.4% ann. · 760 bars
12M 2026-10-23 17:35:24	—	0.00 +17.5%	0.00 → 0.00 -5.0% … +7.5%	0.00 -15.0%	0.00 → 0.00	52.0%	69 760 bars, blended vol 18%, score 53, coverage 96%%	LOW HV 18.4% ann. · 760 bars

Bull case

If a volatility-compressed setup resolving upward would accelerate the move, the upside path is the 80–95th percentile band shown here.

band +0.5% … +1.0% · 0.00 – 0.00

Base case

mildly positive

band -0.5% … +0.5% · 0.00 – 0.00

Bear case

Downside triggers: P/E 28.5× leaves no valuation buffer; momentum is fading. Treat the 5–20th percentile band as the stress case for sizing, not as a worst case.

band -1.0% … -0.5% · 0.00 – 0.00

Catalysts the model is watching

Demo synthetic: HEAL completes share buyback tranche
Demo synthetic: HEAL completes share buyback tranche
Demo synthetic: HEAL completes share buyback tranche

Key risks & invalidation

Historic drawdown deeper than 43%

Model assumptions

Realised volatility stays near its recent level (blended 18.4% annualised).
The scoring tilt persists over the window; no structural break (fraud, delisting, forced guidance cut).
Returns are approximated as lognormal; fat tails are handled by widening, not by point forecasts.
Index regime assumed: sideways.
Close below the 23.17 support band or the strategy stop.
Earnings or regulatory headline that changes forward estimates by more than the modelled window σ.
Volatility expanding beyond 29% annualised invalidates position sizing.
Loss of the fundamental pillars used in the score (guidance cut, covenant breach, auditor change).

Reference price 0.00 at 2026-10-23 17:35:24 · regime at generation sideways · data demo · freshness 0s. These bands are conditional distributions from stored inputs, not advice or a promise about outcomes.

Read this as a record, not a recommendation.

The filing data in this application is descriptive: offer sizes, dates and the stored score. It is not a prospectus, and the synthetic demo rows here describe fictional companies.