Helios Therapeutics

HEAL NEUTRAL LOW IPO DEMO

$18.00 -1.40% 1-day change from the stored snapshot · 2 days ago

DEMO DATASET last stored bar 2026-10-23 · scores computed 2026-10-25 04:14:00 · every figure below is read from these rows, nothing is computed in the browser

Price · stored daily bars

126 bars ending 2026-10-23 · demo data

Indicators are computed from the same stored closes the score used; the forecast fan is drawn from qm_predictions, not from a live model call. how this is drawn

Open$18.22

Day range$18.44 / $17.92

Prev close$18.26

Volume1.92M

RVOL 30d1.12×session volume over stored 30-day average

Avg $ volume$30.9M

Market cap$18.3B

HV2017.5% ann.

Beta0.45

RSI(14)44.9

ATR %3.24%

Max drawdown-43.1%

52-week rangefrom $17.05 to $30.48

52-week low / high$17.05 / $30.48

From 52w high-40.9%

Liquiditynot storeddays of average volume to fill 1% of float

Forecast

Stored scenarios from the last pipeline run. The model that wrote them is named on each row; no forecast is generated when you look at this page.

Horizon	Ref	Bull high	Base range	Bear low	P10 → P90	P(up)	Confidence	Risk
1D 2026-10-25 04:14:00	18.00	18.18 +1.0%	17.91 → 18.09 -0.5% … +0.5%	17.82 -1.0%	17.82 → 18.18	52.0%	56 760 bars, blended vol 18%, score 53, coverage 96%%	LOW HV 18.4% ann. · 760 bars
5D 2026-10-25 04:14:00	18.00	18.36 +2.0%	17.82 → 18.18 -1.0% … +1.0%	17.64 -2.0%	17.64 → 18.36	52.0%	56 760 bars, blended vol 18%, score 53, coverage 96%%	LOW HV 18.4% ann. · 760 bars
1M 2026-10-25 04:14:00	18.00	18.90 +5.0%	17.64 → 18.36 -2.0% … +2.0%	17.10 -5.0%	17.28 → 18.72	52.0%	56 760 bars, blended vol 18%, score 53, coverage 96%%	LOW HV 18.4% ann. · 760 bars
3M 2026-10-25 04:14:00	18.00	19.62 +9.0%	17.46 → 18.54 -3.0% … +3.0%	16.65 -7.5%	16.92 → 19.08	52.0%	56 760 bars, blended vol 18%, score 53, coverage 96%%	LOW HV 18.4% ann. · 760 bars
6M 2026-10-25 04:14:00	18.00	20.16 +12.0%	17.19 → 18.81 -4.5% … +4.5%	15.84 -12.0%	16.38 → 19.62	52.0%	56 760 bars, blended vol 18%, score 53, coverage 96%%	LOW HV 18.4% ann. · 760 bars
12M 2026-10-25 04:14:00	18.00	21.15 +17.5%	16.65 → 19.35 -7.5% … +7.5%	15.30 -15.0%	15.75 → 20.25	52.0%	56 760 bars, blended vol 18%, score 53, coverage 96%%	LOW HV 18.4% ann. · 760 bars

Bull case

If a volatility-compressed setup resolving upward would accelerate the move, the upside path is the 80–95th percentile band shown here.

band +0.5% … +1.0% · 18.00 – 18.00

Base case

mildly positive

band -0.5% … +0.5% · 18.00 – 18.00

Bear case

Downside triggers: P/E 28.5× leaves no valuation buffer; momentum is fading. Treat the 5–20th percentile band as the stress case for sizing, not as a worst case.

band -1.0% … -0.5% · 18.00 – 18.00

Catalysts the model is watching

Demo synthetic: HEAL completes share buyback tranche
Demo synthetic: HEAL completes share buyback tranche
Demo synthetic: HEAL completes share buyback tranche

Key risks & invalidation

Historic drawdown deeper than 43%

Model assumptions

Realised volatility stays near its recent level (blended 18.4% annualised).
The scoring tilt persists over the window; no structural break (fraud, delisting, forced guidance cut).
Returns are approximated as lognormal; fat tails are handled by widening, not by point forecasts.
Index regime assumed: sideways.
Close below the 23.17 support band or the strategy stop.
Earnings or regulatory headline that changes forward estimates by more than the modelled window σ.
Volatility expanding beyond 29% annualised invalidates position sizing.
Loss of the fundamental pillars used in the score (guidance cut, covenant breach, auditor change).

Reference price 18.00 at 2026-10-25 04:14:00 · regime at generation sideways · data demo · freshness 112440s. These bands are conditional distributions from stored inputs, not advice or a promise about outcomes.

Fundamentals

Latest stored period · FY2026 · filed 2026-12-31

snapshot JSON

Revenue$2.55BYoY +4.7%

EPS (TTM)0.62growth +6.9%

Net income$634M

Free cash flow$562Mmargin 26.5%

Gross margin57.1%

Operating margin27.6%

ROE2.9%

ROIC13.7%

Debt / equity2.03

Current ratio1.40

Interest cover19.63×

Net debt$773M

P/E28.53×

P/E forward27.18×

PEG5.75

P/S · P/B · EV/EBITDA7.08 · 0.81 · 19.67

Dividend yield1.32%payout 50%

Buyback yield1.63%

Profit margin24.8%

Cash$909M

Stored periods (raw rows, newest first)

Period	Revenue	Revenue YoY	EPS	Gross margin	Op margin	FCF margin	ROE	Filed
FY2026 FY	$2.55B	+4.7%	0.62	57.1%	27.6%	26.5%	2.9%	2026-12-31
FY2025 FY	$2.51B	+3.8%	0.61	57.2%	26.3%	25.1%	6.1%	2025-12-31
FY2024 FY	$2.39B	+4.5%	0.58	51.0%	27.4%	24.1%	6.9%	2024-12-31
FY2023 FY	$2.23B	+5.2%	0.54	59.2%	26.7%	19.1%	4.7%	2023-12-31
Q4 2026 Q	$558M	+5.2%	0.14	59.2%	26.7%	19.1%	4.7%	2026-07-01

Earnings and estimates

No future report date stored.

Implied movenot storedfrom the stored option chain

EPS estimatenot stored

Revenue estimatenot stored

Consensus index47.8stored on 0–100 in the snapshot; higher = more constructive

% buy ratingsnot storednull on this row — the snapshot job did not store it

Target upsidenot stored

Gap risk0.39%median overnight gap

Time of daynot stated

Nothing stored yet.

No past report rows stored for this symbol — surprise history appears after ingestion.

Analyst actions

Stored rating changes and targets. The consensus numbers are the same ones the sentiment component read.

Nothing stored yet.

No analyst actions stored for this symbol.

Ownership, insiders and short interest

Inst. position changenot storedreported change vs the prior stored quarter

Net insider (USD)not stored

Short % of floatnot stored

Days to covernot stored

No ownership rows stored.

13F-style holdings, insider filings and short-interest settlements are separate ingestion jobs; none of them has written a row for this symbol.

The score card marks the institutional component as incomplete instead of guessing.

Options

No chain stored for this symbol

Full chain Flow

No option chain stored.

Chains are only stored for symbols the options job covers, and only for the expiry it snapshots.

Open the flow page for a symbol that has data, or run the options ingestion.

News mentioning HEAL

Stored headlines linked to this security, newest first. Sentiment scores come from the stored scorer, not from this page.

Demo synthetic: HEAL completes share buyback tranche

other 18 days ago +35% sentiment importance 0

Synthetic demo item generated to exercise the sentiment pipeline. No external source; no factual content.

Demo synthetic: HEAL completes share buyback tranche

other 18 days ago +35% sentiment importance 0

Synthetic demo item generated to exercise the sentiment pipeline. No external source; no factual content.

Demo synthetic: HEAL completes share buyback tranche

other 18 days ago +35% sentiment importance 0

Synthetic demo item generated to exercise the sentiment pipeline. No external source; no factual content.

Demo synthetic: HEAL completes share buyback tranche

other 18 days ago +35% sentiment importance 0

Synthetic demo item generated to exercise the sentiment pipeline. No external source; no factual content.

Score

qm_ai_scores row #1530

53.3

composite / 100 · model score-1.0.0

NEUTRAL risk LOW confidence 52

Technical 25 40.5

Fundamental 25 57.7

Momentum 15 36.3

Sentiment 10 53.6

Institutional 10 50.0

Risk 15 85.2

Why the model scored it this way

SENTIMENT Recent Headline Tone 95
Last items: 4 positive / 0 negative headlines
RISK Gap Risk 95
Median overnight gap 0.39% — position sizing must survive opens
RISK Correlation 94
Correlation to benchmark 0.63-year rolling: 0.4
RISK Liquidity 92
Average $30.9M traded per session
RISK Sector Risk 88
Sector average volatility 22.4%
TECHNICAL Trend Structure 14
Price vs 20/50/200-day moving averages: strong down
RISK Beta 86
Beta 0.45 vs the reference index
RISK Market Risk 85
Benchmark volatility 20.1% · regime: Sideways · normal vol · risk-off
RISK Volatility 85
20-day realised volatility 17.5% annualised
FUNDAMENTAL Free Cash Flow 82
FCF margin 26.5%
FUNDAMENTAL Coverage 82
Interest coverage 19.6×
FUNDAMENTAL Peg 18
PEG 5.75
RISK Event Risk Earnings 82
No scheduled earnings date on file
SENTIMENT Sentiment Delta 18
30-day sentiment change -9.1 pts

Scored on synthetic demonstration data. Directionally realistic, not a forecast of any real market.

Levels

Stored support/resistance from the snapshot row, not drawn from the chart in the browser.

Resistance (stored): $19.39
Support (stored): $21.27
20-day SMA: $18.23
50-day SMA: $18.28
200-day SMA: $23.17
Trend: strong_down
Above SMA50 / SMA200: no / no
From 52w high: -40.9%
MACD histogram: -0.014
RSI(14): 44.9
Relative strength (3m): -18.2%
RS rank: not stored /100

Sentiment

Stored buckets (each row is one scoring run over the news window).

Bucket start	Score	Label	Mentions	Method
2026-10-22 04:00	-36%	negative	30	synthetic demo tone index — not real sentiment
2026-10-23 13:00	+46%	positive	21	synthetic demo tone index — not real sentiment
2026-10-23 14:00	+46%	positive	21	synthetic demo tone index — not real sentiment
2026-10-23 16:00	+46%	positive	21	synthetic demo tone index — not real sentiment
2026-10-23 17:00	+46%	positive	21	synthetic demo tone index — not real sentiment
2026-10-24 23:00	+46%	positive	21	synthetic demo tone index — not real sentiment
2026-10-25 02:00	+46%	positive	21	synthetic demo tone index — not real sentiment
2026-10-25 04:00	+46%	positive	21	synthetic demo tone index — not real sentiment

Catalysts and risks

Stored catalysts

Demo synthetic: HEAL completes share buyback tranche
Demo synthetic: HEAL completes share buyback tranche
Demo synthetic: HEAL completes share buyback tranche

Stored risks

Historic drawdown deeper than 43%

Same sector

Ranked by stored composite score.

Symbol	Price	1d	Score	Stance
TMO	$380.59	-1.07%	64.1	CONSTRUCTIVE
ABT	$239.64	+1.39%	63.4	CONSTRUCTIVE
AMGN	$384.83	-1.74%	59.8	CONSTRUCTIVE
MRK	$179.06	-1.52%	59.8	CONSTRUCTIVE
LLY	$197.94	-1.79%	59.4	CONSTRUCTIVE
ABBV	$106.19	-0.13%	59.3	CONSTRUCTIVE

Validation

Forecasts on this symbol whose horizon has matured, scored against the stored bars.

All models

Nothing to score yet: settle the matured forecasts with php bin/pipeline.php --cmd=settle and this table fills with realised-versus-forecast rows.

Peer comparison

Symbol	Price	1d	Cap	P/E	PEG	P/S	P/B	Rev growth	EPS growth	ROE	Gross	Op margin
UNH	$86.76	-1.63%	$49.3B	23.16×	2.42	3.51×	1.42×	+8.8%	+11.6%	6.1%	34.4%	17.5%
ABBV	$106.19	-0.13%	$63.4B	22.60×	1.44	4.83×	3.33×	+15.3%	+20.2%	14.7%	50.3%	25.2%
PFE	$87.79	-1.35%	$66.4B	10.37×	5.88	1.47×	4.90×	+2.7%	+2.1%	47.3%	28.4%	16.9%
MRK	$179.06	-1.52%	$121B	21.53×	1.78	5.57×	5.82×	+11.3%	+12.9%	27.0%	55.5%	26.4%
LLY	$197.94	-1.79%	$153B	27.29×	1.86	6.65×	5.94×	+13.8%	+17.2%	21.8%	50.3%	25.1%
ABT	$239.64	+1.39%	$157B	22.19×	3.07	3.94×	4.87×	+8.5%	+8.0%	21.9%	35.3%	20.6%
JNJ	$292.66	-0.23%	$276B	27.46×	3.46	4.81×	2.60×	+9.4%	+8.9%	9.5%	33.7%	17.6%
AMGN	$384.83	-1.74%	$284B	26.34×	3.93	5.11×	1.16×	+7.5%	+8.3%	4.4%	45.9%	22.5%
TMO	$380.59	-1.07%	$299B	18.63×	4.81	4.44×	5.08×	+4.6%	+4.3%	27.3%	55.3%	28.6%
ISRG	$541.81	-0.90%	$389B	24.16×	1.77	7.14×	4.12×	+12.5%	+15.3%	17.1%	67.4%	31.6%

What this page did not do.

It did not fetch a quote, call an external model, or extend the chart. It read 168800 stored bar rows in total across the universe (demo data, last trade 2026-10-23), and the score shown here was written at 2026-10-25 04:14 by model score-1.0.0.