Johnson & Johnson

JNJ NEUTRAL MEDIUM EQUITY DEMO

$292.66 -0.23% 1-day change from the stored snapshot · 27 hours ago

DEMO DATASET last stored bar 2026-10-23 · scores computed 2026-10-23 17:35:22 · every figure below is read from these rows, nothing is computed in the browser

Price · stored daily bars

126 bars ending 2026-10-23 · demo data

Indicators are computed from the same stored closes the score used; the forecast fan is drawn from qm_predictions, not from a live model call. how this is drawn

Open$292.98

Day range$297.53 / $288.78

Prev close$293.33

Volume5.98M

RVOL 30d1.38×session volume over stored 30-day average

Avg $ volume$1.31B

Market cap$276B

HV2025.2% ann.

Beta0.54

RSI(14)39.2

ATR %3.22%

Max drawdown-32.0%

52-week rangefrom $287.20 to $431.54

52-week low / high$287.20 / $431.54

From 52w high-32.2%

Liquiditynot storeddays of average volume to fill 1% of float

Forecast

Stored scenarios from the last pipeline run. The model that wrote them is named on each row; no forecast is generated when you look at this page.

Horizon	Ref	Bull high	Base range	Bear low	P10 → P90	P(up)	Confidence	Risk
1D 2026-10-23 17:35:22	292.66	297.05 +1.5%	291.20 → 294.12 -0.5% … +0.5%	288.27 -1.5%	288.27 → 297.05	51.0%	69 760 bars, blended vol 23%, score 53, coverage 100%%	LOW HV 23.3% ann. · 760 bars
5D 2026-10-23 17:35:22	292.66	301.44 +3.0%	289.73 → 295.59 -1.0% … +1.0%	283.88 -3.0%	286.81 → 298.51	52.0%	69 760 bars, blended vol 23%, score 53, coverage 100%%	LOW HV 23.3% ann. · 760 bars
1M 2026-10-23 17:35:22	292.66	310.22 +6.0%	286.81 → 301.44 -2.0% … +3.0%	275.10 -6.0%	278.03 → 307.29	52.0%	69 760 bars, blended vol 23%, score 53, coverage 100%%	LOW HV 23.3% ann. · 760 bars
3M 2026-10-23 17:35:22	292.66	323.39 +10.5%	279.49 → 305.83 -4.5% … +4.5%	261.93 -10.5%	270.71 → 319.00	52.0%	69 760 bars, blended vol 23%, score 53, coverage 100%%	LOW HV 23.3% ann. · 760 bars
6M 2026-10-23 17:35:22	292.66	336.56 +15.0%	275.10 → 310.22 -6.0% … +6.0%	248.76 -15.0%	261.93 → 327.78	52.0%	69 760 bars, blended vol 23%, score 53, coverage 100%%	LOW HV 23.3% ann. · 760 bars
12M 2026-10-23 17:35:22	292.66	358.51 +22.5%	270.71 → 321.93 -7.5% … +10.0%	234.13 -20.0%	248.76 → 343.88	52.0%	69 760 bars, blended vol 23%, score 53, coverage 100%%	LOW HV 23.3% ann. · 760 bars

Bull case

If a volatility-compressed setup resolving upward would accelerate the move, the upside path is the 80–95th percentile band shown here.

band +1.0% … +1.5% · 292.66 – 292.66

Base case

mildly positive

band -0.5% … +0.5% · 292.66 – 292.66

Bear case

Downside triggers: momentum is fading. Treat the 5–20th percentile band as the stress case for sizing, not as a worst case.

band -1.5% … -1.0% · 292.66 – 292.66

Catalysts the model is watching

Earnings report 2026-10-23 (as scheduled)
Street target implies 10.4%

Key risks & invalidation

Binary event: 2026-10-23

Model assumptions

Realised volatility stays near its recent level (blended 23.3% annualised).
The scoring tilt persists over the window; no structural break (fraud, delisting, forced guidance cut).
Returns are approximated as lognormal; fat tails are handled by widening, not by point forecasts.
Index regime assumed: sideways.
Close below the 349 support band or the strategy stop.
Earnings or regulatory headline that changes forward estimates by more than the modelled window σ.
Volatility expanding beyond 37% annualised invalidates position sizing.
Loss of the fundamental pillars used in the score (guidance cut, covenant breach, auditor change).

Reference price 292.66 at 2026-10-23 17:35:22 · regime at generation sideways · data demo · freshness 0s. These bands are conditional distributions from stored inputs, not advice or a promise about outcomes.

Fundamentals

Latest stored period · FY2026 · filed 2026-12-31

snapshot JSON

Revenue$58.8BYoY +9.4%

EPS (TTM)10.92growth +8.9%

Net income$10.3B

Free cash flow$10.5Bmargin 20.6%

Gross margin33.7%

Operating margin17.6%

ROE9.5%

ROIC10.2%

Debt / equity0.18

Current ratio1.97

Interest cover7.33×

Net debt$29.0B

P/E27.46×

P/E forward25.44×

PEG3.46

P/S · P/B · EV/EBITDA4.81 · 2.60 · 18.94

Dividend yield1.69%payout 47%

Buyback yield-0.80%

Profit margin17.5%

Cash$6.16B

Stored periods (raw rows, newest first)

Period	Revenue	Revenue YoY	EPS	Gross margin	Op margin	FCF margin	ROE	Filed
FY2026 FY	$58.8B	+9.4%	10.92	33.7%	17.6%	20.6%	9.5%	2026-12-31
FY2025 FY	$52.3B	+8.1%	9.71	41.8%	18.2%	17.8%	13.7%	2025-12-31
FY2024 FY	$48.6B	+6.9%	9.02	33.9%	18.1%	13.0%	11.0%	2024-12-31
FY2023 FY	$46.0B	+7.8%	8.55	35.5%	20.6%	18.1%	17.9%	2023-12-31
Q4 2026 Q	$11.5B	+7.8%	2.14	35.5%	20.6%	18.1%	17.9%	2026-07-01

Earnings and estimates

Next stored report 2026-12-10 · 0 day(s) away

Implied move10.9%from the stored option chain

EPS estimate2.71

Revenue estimate$14.7B

Consensus index68.6stored on 0–100 in the snapshot; higher = more constructive

% buy ratingsnot storednull on this row — the snapshot job did not store it

Target upsidenot stored

Gap risk0.40%median overnight gap

Time of dayamc

Report	EPS est	EPS actual	Surprise	Rev est	Rev actual	Guidance	Source
2026-12-10	2.71	not stored	not stored	$14.7B	not stored	none	synthetic_demo
2026-10-23	2.84	not stored	not stored	$14.7B	not stored	none	synthetic_demo
2026-07-19	2.74	2.73	-0.6%	$14.7B	$14.2B	raise	synthetic_demo
2026-06-01	2.59	2.63	+1.6%	$14.7B	$15.0B	maintain	synthetic_demo
2026-04-14	2.64	2.50	-5.2%	$14.7B	$14.5B	lower	synthetic_demo
2026-02-25	2.88	3.03	+5.1%	$14.7B	$14.2B	maintain	synthetic_demo
2026-01-08	2.64	2.91	+10.3%	$14.7B	$14.3B	lower	synthetic_demo
2025-11-21	2.91	2.63	-9.6%	$14.7B	$15.2B	lower	synthetic_demo

As of	Horizon	EPS avg	EPS high	EPS low	Revenue	Analysts	90d revisions
2026-10-23	FY1	11.90	13.96	11.66	$64.0B	24	0 / 7
2026-10-23	FY2	12.74	14.09	10.68	$62.5B	37	11 / 3
2026-10-23	Q1	3.13	3.53	2.52	$14.7B	37	3 / 8
2026-10-23	Q2	3.16	3.39	2.84	$15.8B	31	4 / 7

Analyst actions

Stored rating changes and targets. The consensus numbers are the same ones the sentiment component read.

Date	Firm	Action	From	To	Target	Consensus	% buy
2026-10-09	Meridian Research	upgrade	Hold	Hold	$335.72	2.05	52%
2026-08-27	Blue Harbor Capital Research	downgrade	Buy	Neutral	$364.64	2.05	61%
2026-07-13	Northgate Securities	downgrade	Buy	Hold	$288.07	2.05	59%
2026-05-29	Kestrel Analytics	downgrade	Buy	Neutral	$345.16	2.05	64%
2026-03-30	Northgate Securities	maintained	Outperform	Outperform	$282.24	2.05	67%

Ownership, insiders and short interest

Inst. position change-72.6%reported change vs the prior stored quarter

Net insider (USD)$-41.9M

Short % of float2.8%

Days to cover12.0

Period end	Holder	Type	Shares	Value	% float	Change
2026-09-01	BlackRock Fund Advisors	fund	40.5M	$11.8B	6.9%	not stored
2026-09-01	BlackRock Fund Advisors	fund	40.5M	$11.8B	6.9%	not stored
2026-09-01	BlackRock Fund Advisors	fund	40.5M	$11.8B	6.9%	not stored
2026-09-01	BlackRock Fund Advisors	fund	40.5M	$11.8B	6.9%	not stored
2026-09-01	BlackRock Fund Advisors	fund	40.5M	$11.8B	6.9%	not stored
2026-09-01	Capital Research Global	fund	36.1M	$10.6B	6.2%	not stored
2026-09-01	Capital Research Global	fund	36.1M	$10.6B	6.2%	not stored
2026-09-01	Capital Research Global	fund	36.1M	$10.6B	6.2%	not stored

Trade date	Owner	Title	Type	Shares	Price	Value	Owned after
2026-10-09	Demo Officer 011D63	Chief Executive Officer	Buy - Open Market	94.8k	$254.91	$27.8M	293k
2026-08-16	Demo Officer C3910B	VP, Product	Sale - Tax	238k	$292.26	$69.7M	8.71M
2026-05-12	Demo Officer AD4EB6	Director	Grant	10.9k	$334.95	$3.19M	437k
2026-04-27	Demo Officer 8DC765	VP, Product	Grant	235k	$293.14	$68.8M	3.88M
2026-04-16	Demo Officer 016C28	VP, Product	Buy - Open Market	43.6k	$304.62	$12.8M	307k
2026-04-12	Demo Officer 1ACFFF	General Counsel	Sale - Tax	42.5k	$267.01	$12.4M	346k

Dividends and splits

Ex-date	Pay date	Amount	Frequency	Yield at ex
2026-09-18	2026-10-06	$1.234	quarterly	1.69%
2026-05-29	2026-06-16	$1.239	quarterly	1.69%
2026-02-27	2026-03-17	$1.243	quarterly	1.69%
2025-12-19	2026-01-06	$1.248	quarterly	1.69%
2025-09-12	2025-09-30	$1.253	quarterly	1.69%
2025-06-13	2025-07-01	$1.258	quarterly	1.69%
2025-03-07	2025-03-25	$1.263	quarterly	1.69%
2024-12-20	2025-01-07	$1.268	quarterly	1.69%
2024-09-06	2024-09-24	$1.273	quarterly	1.69%

Date	Ratio	Type
not stored	—	—

Options

No chain stored for this symbol

Full chain Flow

No option chain stored.

Chains are only stored for symbols the options job covers, and only for the expiry it snapshots.

Open the flow page for a symbol that has data, or run the options ingestion.

News mentioning JNJ

Stored headlines linked to this security, newest first. Sentiment scores come from the stored scorer, not from this page.

No stored headline mentions this symbol.

Score

qm_ai_scores row #827

53.0

composite / 100 · model score-1.0.0

NEUTRAL risk MEDIUM confidence 64

Technical 25 45.3

Fundamental 25 56.4

Momentum 15 33.3

Sentiment 10 68.9

Institutional 10 31.7

Risk 15 83.4

Why the model scored it this way

SENTIMENT Analyst Distribution 100
113% Buy/Strong Buy · 0% Hold · 0% Sell/Short
RISK Liquidity 96
Average $1314.9M traded per session
SENTIMENT Sentiment Delta 95
30-day sentiment change 55.8 pts
RISK Gap Risk 95
Median overnight gap 0.4% — position sizing must survive opens
RISK Correlation 92
Correlation to benchmark 0.63-year rolling: 0.48
SENTIMENT Estimate Revisions 10
Net EPS estimate revisions (90d): -7
RISK Beta 88
Beta 0.54 vs the reference index
RISK Sector Risk 88
Sector average volatility 22.4%
TECHNICAL Trend Structure 14
Price vs 20/50/200-day moving averages: strong down
RISK Market Risk 85
Benchmark volatility 20.1% · regime: Sideways · normal vol · risk-off
TECHNICAL Trend Strength Adx 82
ADX(14) 37.4 — trending
FUNDAMENTAL Free Cash Flow 82
FCF margin 20.6%
FUNDAMENTAL Leverage 79
Debt/Equity 0.18
MOMENTUM Relative Strength Vs Index 22
3-month return minus index -18.6%

Scored on synthetic demonstration data. Directionally realistic, not a forecast of any real market.

Levels

Stored support/resistance from the snapshot row, not drawn from the chart in the browser.

Resistance (stored): $351.24
Support (stored): $296.73
20-day SMA: $300.96
50-day SMA: $309.94
200-day SMA: $349.00
Trend: strong_down
Above SMA50 / SMA200: no / no
From 52w high: -32.2%
MACD histogram: -0.405
RSI(14): 39.2
Relative strength (3m): -18.6%
RS rank: not stored /100

Sentiment

Stored buckets (each row is one scoring run over the news window).

Bucket start	Score	Label	Mentions	Method
2026-10-20 13:00	+40%	positive	41	synthetic demo tone index — not real sentiment
2026-10-20 14:00	+40%	positive	41	synthetic demo tone index — not real sentiment
2026-10-20 16:00	+40%	positive	41	synthetic demo tone index — not real sentiment
2026-10-20 17:00	+40%	positive	41	synthetic demo tone index — not real sentiment
2026-10-23 13:00	+38%	positive	38	synthetic demo tone index — not real sentiment
2026-10-23 14:00	+38%	positive	38	synthetic demo tone index — not real sentiment
2026-10-23 16:00	+38%	positive	38	synthetic demo tone index — not real sentiment
2026-10-23 17:00	+38%	positive	38	synthetic demo tone index — not real sentiment

Catalysts and risks

Stored catalysts

Earnings report 2026-10-23 (as scheduled)
Street target implies 10.4%

Stored risks

Binary event: 2026-10-23

Same sector

Ranked by stored composite score.

Symbol	Price	1d	Score	Stance
TMO	$380.59	-1.07%	63.8	CONSTRUCTIVE
ABT	$239.64	+1.39%	63.0	CONSTRUCTIVE
AMGN	$384.83	-1.74%	59.8	CONSTRUCTIVE
MRK	$179.06	-1.52%	59.6	CONSTRUCTIVE
LLY	$197.94	-1.79%	59.5	CONSTRUCTIVE
ABBV	$106.19	-0.13%	59.1	CONSTRUCTIVE

Validation

Forecasts on this symbol whose horizon has matured, scored against the stored bars.

All models

Nothing to score yet: settle the matured forecasts with php bin/pipeline.php --cmd=settle and this table fills with realised-versus-forecast rows.

Peer comparison

Symbol	Price	1d	Cap	P/E	PEG	P/S	P/B	Rev growth	EPS growth	ROE	Gross	Op margin
AMGN	$384.83	-1.74%	$284B	26.34×	3.93	5.11×	1.16×	+7.5%	+8.3%	4.4%	45.9%	22.5%
TMO	$380.59	-1.07%	$299B	18.63×	4.81	4.44×	5.08×	+4.6%	+4.3%	27.3%	55.3%	28.6%
ISRG	$541.81	-0.90%	$389B	24.16×	1.77	7.14×	4.12×	+12.5%	+15.3%	17.1%	67.4%	31.6%
ABT	$239.64	+1.39%	$157B	22.19×	3.07	3.94×	4.87×	+8.5%	+8.0%	21.9%	35.3%	20.6%
LLY	$197.94	-1.79%	$153B	27.29×	1.86	6.65×	5.94×	+13.8%	+17.2%	21.8%	50.3%	25.1%
MRK	$179.06	-1.52%	$121B	21.53×	1.78	5.57×	5.82×	+11.3%	+12.9%	27.0%	55.5%	26.4%
PFE	$87.79	-1.35%	$66.4B	10.37×	5.88	1.47×	4.90×	+2.7%	+2.1%	47.3%	28.4%	16.9%
ABBV	$106.19	-0.13%	$63.4B	22.60×	1.44	4.83×	3.33×	+15.3%	+20.2%	14.7%	50.3%	25.2%
UNH	$86.76	-1.63%	$49.3B	23.16×	2.42	3.51×	1.42×	+8.8%	+11.6%	6.1%	34.4%	17.5%

What this page did not do.

It did not fetch a quote, call an external model, or extend the chart. It read 156000 stored bar rows in total across the universe (demo data, last trade 2026-10-23), and the score shown here was written at 2026-10-23 17:35 by model score-1.0.0.