Bull case
If price above the 200-day average (trend intact), outperforming the benchmark over 3 months, a volatility-compressed setup resolving upward would accelerate the move, the upside path is the 80–95th percentile band shown here.
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DEMO DATASET last stored bar 2026-10-23 · scores computed 2026-10-23 17:35:22 · every figure below is read from these rows, nothing is computed in the browser
| Horizon | Ref | Bull high | Base range | Bear low | P10 → P90 | P(up) | Confidence | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1D
2026-10-23 17:35:22 |
239.64 | 244.43 +2.0% | 238.44 → 242.04 -0.5% … +1.0% |
236.05 -1.5% | 237.24 → 243.23 | 55.0% | 69 760 bars, blended vol 22%, score 63, coverage 100%% |
LOW
HV 22.0% ann. · 760 bars |
| 5D
2026-10-23 17:35:22 |
239.64 | 246.83 +3.0% | 237.24 → 244.43 -1.0% … +2.0% |
234.85 -2.0% | 234.85 → 246.83 | 57.0% | 69 760 bars, blended vol 22%, score 63, coverage 100%% |
LOW
HV 22.0% ann. · 760 bars |
| 1M
2026-10-23 17:35:22 |
239.64 | 256.41 +7.0% | 234.85 → 246.83 -2.0% … +3.0% |
227.66 -5.0% | 230.05 → 251.62 | 57.0% | 69 760 bars, blended vol 22%, score 63, coverage 100%% |
LOW
HV 22.0% ann. · 760 bars |
| 3M
2026-10-23 17:35:22 |
239.64 | 268.40 +12.0% | 232.45 → 254.02 -3.0% … +6.0% |
218.07 -9.0% | 225.26 → 261.21 | 57.0% | 69 760 bars, blended vol 22%, score 63, coverage 100%% |
LOW
HV 22.0% ann. · 760 bars |
| 6M
2026-10-23 17:35:22 |
239.64 | 279.18 +16.5% | 232.45 → 257.61 -3.0% … +7.5% |
210.88 -12.0% | 218.07 → 271.99 | 57.0% | 69 760 bars, blended vol 22%, score 63, coverage 100%% |
LOW
HV 22.0% ann. · 760 bars |
| 12M
2026-10-23 17:35:22 |
239.64 | 293.56 +22.5% | 227.66 → 263.60 -5.0% … +10.0% |
197.70 -17.5% | 209.69 → 281.58 | 57.0% | 69 760 bars, blended vol 22%, score 63, coverage 100%% |
LOW
HV 22.0% ann. · 760 bars |
If price above the 200-day average (trend intact), outperforming the benchmark over 3 months, a volatility-compressed setup resolving upward would accelerate the move, the upside path is the 80–95th percentile band shown here.
mildly positive
Downside triggers: a market-wide risk-off move alone can carry the 5–20th percentile band. Treat the 5–20th percentile band as the stress case for sizing, not as a worst case.
| Period | Revenue | Revenue YoY | EPS | Gross margin | Op margin | FCF margin | ROE | Filed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2026 FY | $39.4B | +8.5% | 10.71 | 35.3% | 20.6% | 13.4% | 21.9% | 2026-12-31 |
| FY2025 FY | $37.6B | +5.9% | 10.23 | 38.3% | 20.4% | 12.5% | 12.3% | 2025-12-31 |
| FY2024 FY | $33.9B | +8.1% | 9.21 | 36.5% | 18.7% | 13.6% | 13.1% | 2024-12-31 |
| FY2023 FY | $33.1B | +5.7% | 9.00 | 34.2% | 18.5% | 16.7% | 17.9% | 2023-12-31 |
| Q4 2026 Q | $8.28B | +5.7% | 2.25 | 34.2% | 18.5% | 16.7% | 17.9% | 2026-07-01 |
| Report | EPS est | EPS actual | Surprise | Rev est | Rev actual | Guidance | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-12-10 | 2.89 | not stored | not stored | $9.85B | not stored | none | synthetic_demo |
| 2026-10-23 | 2.67 | not stored | not stored | $9.85B | not stored | none | synthetic_demo |
| 2026-07-19 | 2.58 | 3.00 | +16.4% | $9.85B | $10.0B | lower | synthetic_demo |
| 2026-06-01 | 2.52 | 2.38 | -5.4% | $9.85B | $9.61B | lower | synthetic_demo |
| 2026-04-14 | 2.71 | 3.13 | +15.4% | $9.85B | $9.69B | raise | synthetic_demo |
| 2026-02-25 | 2.56 | 2.85 | +11.1% | $9.85B | $10.3B | raise | synthetic_demo |
| 2026-01-08 | 2.61 | 2.29 | -12.2% | $9.85B | $10.3B | lower | synthetic_demo |
| 2025-11-21 | 2.83 | 2.74 | -3.4% | $9.85B | $9.45B | maintain | synthetic_demo |
| As of | Horizon | EPS avg | EPS high | EPS low | Revenue | Analysts | 90d revisions |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-23 | FY1 | 11.99 | 12.36 | 9.49 | $41.1B | 22 | 7 / 3 |
| 2026-10-23 | FY2 | 12.13 | 13.33 | 10.25 | $42.4B | 33 | 5 / 7 |
| 2026-10-23 | Q1 | 3.07 | 3.16 | 2.58 | $10.6B | 10 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-23 | Q2 | 3.00 | 3.31 | 2.89 | $10.7B | 19 | 11 / 8 |
| Date | Firm | Action | From | To | Target | Consensus | % buy |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-07 | Blue Harbor Capital Research | upgrade | Hold | Sell | $235.03 | 1.59 | 66% |
| 2026-08-24 | Halcyon Partners | maintained | Hold | Hold | $305.97 | 1.59 | 60% |
| 2026-07-16 | Meridian Research | maintained | Neutral | Neutral | $271.04 | 1.59 | 58% |
| 2026-05-25 | Kestrel Analytics | downgrade | Buy | Buy | $237.43 | 1.59 | 58% |
| 2026-04-07 | Kestrel Analytics | upgrade | Hold | Neutral | $238.06 | 1.59 | 65% |
| Period end | Holder | Type | Shares | Value | % float | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | Vanguard Index Group | fund | 29.6M | $7.10B | 7.3% | not stored |
| 2026-09-01 | Vanguard Index Group | fund | 29.6M | $7.10B | 7.3% | not stored |
| 2026-09-01 | Vanguard Index Group | fund | 29.6M | $7.10B | 7.3% | not stored |
| 2026-09-01 | Vanguard Index Group | fund | 29.6M | $7.10B | 7.3% | not stored |
| 2026-09-01 | Vanguard Index Group | fund | 29.6M | $7.10B | 7.3% | not stored |
| 2026-09-01 | BlackRock Fund Advisors | fund | 21.6M | $5.18B | 5.3% | not stored |
| 2026-09-01 | BlackRock Fund Advisors | fund | 21.6M | $5.18B | 5.3% | not stored |
| 2026-09-01 | BlackRock Fund Advisors | fund | 21.6M | $5.18B | 5.3% | not stored |
| Ex-date | Pay date | Amount | Frequency | Yield at ex |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | 2026-09-29 | $1.438 | quarterly | 2.40% |
| 2026-06-05 | 2026-06-23 | $1.444 | quarterly | 2.40% |
| 2026-03-13 | 2026-03-31 | $1.450 | quarterly | 2.40% |
| 2025-12-19 | 2026-01-06 | $1.456 | quarterly | 2.40% |
| 2025-09-19 | 2025-10-07 | $1.461 | quarterly | 2.40% |
| 2025-06-20 | 2025-07-08 | $1.467 | quarterly | 2.40% |
| 2025-03-14 | 2025-04-01 | $1.473 | quarterly | 2.40% |
| 2024-12-06 | 2024-12-24 | $1.479 | quarterly | 2.40% |
| 2024-09-06 | 2024-09-24 | $1.484 | quarterly | 2.40% |
Chains are only stored for symbols the options job covers, and only for the expiry it snapshots.
Open the flow page for a symbol that has data, or run the options ingestion.
Synthetic demo item generated to exercise the sentiment pipeline. No external source; no factual content.
Synthetic demo item generated to exercise the sentiment pipeline. No external source; no factual content.
Synthetic demo item generated to exercise the sentiment pipeline. No external source; no factual content.
Synthetic demo item generated to exercise the sentiment pipeline. No external source; no factual content.
Synthetic demo item generated to exercise the sentiment pipeline. No external source; no factual content.
Synthetic demo item generated to exercise the sentiment pipeline. No external source; no factual content.
Synthetic demo item generated to exercise the sentiment pipeline. No external source; no factual content.
Synthetic demo item generated to exercise the sentiment pipeline. No external source; no factual content.
Synthetic demo item generated to exercise the sentiment pipeline. No external source; no factual content.
Synthetic demo item generated to exercise the sentiment pipeline. No external source; no factual content.
Synthetic demo item generated to exercise the sentiment pipeline. No external source; no factual content.
Synthetic demo item generated to exercise the sentiment pipeline. No external source; no factual content.