Lumen Optics

LUMN PRICED DEMO

NASDAQ · priced 2026-11-17 · lists 2026-11-20 · lockup 2027-05-19

DEMO DATASET last stored bar 2026-10-23 · scores computed 2026-10-23 17:35:24 · every figure below is read from these rows, nothing is computed in the browser

Synthetic demo listing generated for UI/algorithm testing. Company is fictional; no real filing exists at the internal:// URL.

Offer range17.00 – 19.00priced at 18.00

Shares offered34.4M

Gross proceeds$1.45B

Valuation range$4.14B – $5.15B

Day-one returnnot storedfirst trade versus the final offer

Since listingnot stored

Float offered16.4%

Greenshoe15%

Revenue (TTM)$910Mgrowth 27.0%

Net income$74.0M

Gross margin56.5%

Cash − debt$-160Mdebt/revenue 0.57×

Runwaynot burningfrom the stored burn column

Altman Z10.07computed on the stored columns

Lead underwritersGoldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, J.P. Mor…tier 2

Intel score68.1stored ranking column

Score breakdown

The parts stored in intel_breakdown_json, each on 0–100. The composite is their mean — the model's own arithmetic, reproduced from the row.

Growth 77.8

Revenue 100.0

Profitability 69.6

Valuation 58.7

Balance 41.1

Market 61.1

Since listing

Stored daily bars for the listed security, starting at its first stored session.

Short histories are common for new listings; the indicators need 200 bars to be meaningful and are simply absent before that. how this is drawn

Comparables stored with the filing

Whatever the row holds. Blank cells mean the comparable was recorded without metrics, not that it trades at zero.

Comparable	P/E	P/S	EV/Revenue	Growth	Note on the row
AAPL	23.6×	6.6×	not stored	8.7%	Demo comparable selected by sector tag (synthetic financials).

Implied at the offer: P/S 5.7× at the top of the valuation range, revenue 910M.

Security score

57.8

composite / 100 · model score-1.0.0

NEUTRAL risk LOW confidence 65

Technical 25 46.7

Fundamental 25 58.0

Momentum 15 37.0

Sentiment 10 80.3

Institutional 10 50.0

Risk 15 84.3

Why the model scored it this way

SENTIMENT Sentiment Delta 95
30-day sentiment change 60.4 pts
RISK Gap Risk 95
Median overnight gap 0.38% — position sizing must survive opens
RISK Liquidity 92
Average $30.4M traded per session
RISK Correlation 92
Correlation to benchmark 0.63-year rolling: 0.49
RISK Beta 88
Beta 0.52 vs the reference index
TECHNICAL Trend Structure 14
Price vs 20/50/200-day moving averages: strong down
RISK Market Risk 85
Benchmark volatility 20.1% · regime: Sideways · normal vol · risk-off
RISK Volatility 83
20-day realised volatility 18.5% annualised
RISK Event Risk Earnings 82
No scheduled earnings date on file
TECHNICAL Volatility Compression 78
Bollinger width 5.5% — coiled, breakout potential
MOMENTUM Relative Strength Vs Index 22
3-month return minus index -16.9%
FUNDAMENTAL Free Cash Flow 76
FCF margin 16.6%
RISK Sector Risk 76
Sector average volatility 32%
FUNDAMENTAL Coverage 76
Interest coverage 9.8×

Scored on synthetic demonstration data. Directionally realistic, not a forecast of any real market.

Forecast

Horizon	Ref	Bull high	Base range	Bear low	P10 → P90	P(up)	Confidence	Risk
1D 2026-10-23 17:35:24	18.00	18.27 +1.5%	17.91 → 18.09 -0.5% … +0.5%	17.82 -1.0%	17.82 → 18.18	54.0%	69 760 bars, blended vol 21%, score 58, coverage 96%%	LOW HV 21.1% ann. · 760 bars
5D 2026-10-23 17:35:24	18.00	18.54 +3.0%	17.82 → 18.18 -1.0% … +1.0%	17.64 -2.0%	17.64 → 18.36	54.0%	69 760 bars, blended vol 21%, score 58, coverage 96%%	LOW HV 21.1% ann. · 760 bars
1M 2026-10-23 17:35:24	18.00	19.08 +6.0%	17.64 → 18.54 -2.0% … +3.0%	17.10 -5.0%	17.28 → 18.90	54.0%	69 760 bars, blended vol 21%, score 58, coverage 96%%	LOW HV 21.1% ann. · 760 bars
3M 2026-10-23 17:35:24	18.00	19.89 +10.5%	17.46 → 18.81 -3.0% … +4.5%	16.38 -9.0%	16.92 → 19.62	54.0%	69 760 bars, blended vol 21%, score 58, coverage 96%%	LOW HV 21.1% ann. · 760 bars
6M 2026-10-23 17:35:24	18.00	20.70 +15.0%	17.19 → 19.08 -4.5% … +6.0%	15.84 -12.0%	16.38 → 20.16	54.0%	69 760 bars, blended vol 21%, score 58, coverage 96%%	LOW HV 21.1% ann. · 760 bars
12M 2026-10-23 17:35:24	18.00	21.60 +20.0%	17.10 → 19.80 -5.0% … +10.0%	14.85 -17.5%	15.75 → 21.15	54.0%	69 760 bars, blended vol 21%, score 58, coverage 96%%	LOW HV 21.1% ann. · 760 bars

Bull case

If RSI mid-range — room to extend, a volatility-compressed setup resolving upward would accelerate the move, the upside path is the 80–95th percentile band shown here.

band +0.5% … +1.5% · 18.00 – 18.00

Base case

mildly positive

band -0.5% … +0.5% · 18.00 – 18.00

Bear case

Downside triggers: P/E 31.8× leaves no valuation buffer; momentum is fading. Treat the 5–20th percentile band as the stress case for sizing, not as a worst case.

band -1.0% … -0.5% · 18.00 – 18.00

Catalysts the model is watching

Volatility compression (squeeze)

Key risks & invalidation

No exceptional risk flags from stored data; normal market risk always applies

Model assumptions

Realised volatility stays near its recent level (blended 21.1% annualised).
The scoring tilt persists over the window; no structural break (fraud, delisting, forced guidance cut).
Returns are approximated as lognormal; fat tails are handled by widening, not by point forecasts.
Index regime assumed: sideways.
Close below the 22.17 support band or the strategy stop.
Earnings or regulatory headline that changes forward estimates by more than the modelled window σ.
Volatility expanding beyond 34% annualised invalidates position sizing.
Loss of the fundamental pillars used in the score (guidance cut, covenant breach, auditor change).

Reference price 18.00 at 2026-10-23 17:35:24 · regime at generation sideways · data demo · freshness 0s. These bands are conditional distributions from stored inputs, not advice or a promise about outcomes.

Read this as a record, not a recommendation.

The filing data in this application is descriptive: offer sizes, dates and the stored score. It is not a prospectus, and the synthetic demo rows here describe fictional companies.