Apple Inc.

AAPL NEUTRAL MEDIUM EQUITY DEMO

$136.25 -0.95% 1-day change from the stored snapshot · 27 hours ago

DEMO DATASET last stored bar 2026-10-23 · scores computed 2026-10-23 17:35:22 · every figure below is read from these rows, nothing is computed in the browser

Price · stored daily bars

126 bars ending 2026-10-23 · demo data

Indicators are computed from the same stored closes the score used; the forecast fan is drawn from qm_predictions, not from a live model call. how this is drawn

Open$137.80

Day range$138.89 / $135.24

Prev close$137.55

Volume55.5M

RVOL 30d1.73×session volume over stored 30-day average

Avg $ volume$4.47B

Market cap$595B

HV2026.7% ann.

Beta0.45

RSI(14)44.3

ATR %3.91%

Max drawdown-52.4%

52-week rangefrom $126.50 to $274.57

52-week low / high$126.50 / $274.57

From 52w high-50.4%

Liquiditynot storeddays of average volume to fill 1% of float

Forecast

Stored scenarios from the last pipeline run. The model that wrote them is named on each row; no forecast is generated when you look at this page.

Horizon	Ref	Bull high	Base range	Bear low	P10 → P90	P(up)	Confidence	Risk
1D 2026-10-23 17:35:22	136.25	138.98 +2.0%	135.57 → 137.61 -0.5% … +1.0%	133.53 -2.0%	134.21 → 138.29	52.0%	68 760 bars, blended vol 25%, score 54, coverage 100%%	LOW HV 24.9% ann. · 760 bars
5D 2026-10-23 17:35:22	136.25	140.34 +3.0%	134.89 → 137.61 -1.0% … +1.0%	132.16 -3.0%	133.53 → 140.34	52.0%	68 760 bars, blended vol 25%, score 54, coverage 100%%	LOW HV 24.9% ann. · 760 bars
1M 2026-10-23 17:35:22	136.25	145.79 +7.0%	133.53 → 140.34 -2.0% … +3.0%	128.08 -6.0%	129.44 → 143.06	52.0%	68 760 bars, blended vol 25%, score 54, coverage 100%%	LOW HV 24.9% ann. · 760 bars
3M 2026-10-23 17:35:22	136.25	152.60 +12.0%	130.12 → 142.38 -4.5% … +4.5%	121.94 -10.5%	123.99 → 148.51	52.0%	68 760 bars, blended vol 25%, score 54, coverage 100%%	LOW HV 24.9% ann. · 760 bars
6M 2026-10-23 17:35:22	136.25	158.73 +16.5%	128.08 → 146.47 -6.0% … +7.5%	115.81 -15.0%	119.90 → 154.64	52.0%	68 760 bars, blended vol 25%, score 54, coverage 100%%	LOW HV 24.9% ann. · 760 bars
12M 2026-10-23 17:35:22	136.25	166.91 +22.5%	126.03 → 149.88 -7.5% … +10.0%	105.59 -22.5%	112.41 → 160.09	52.0%	68 760 bars, blended vol 25%, score 54, coverage 100%%	LOW HV 24.9% ann. · 760 bars

Bull case

If a volatility-compressed setup resolving upward would accelerate the move, the upside path is the 80–95th percentile band shown here.

band +1.0% … +2.0% · 136.25 – 136.25

Base case

mildly positive

band -0.5% … +1.0% · 136.25 – 136.25

Bear case

Downside triggers: momentum is fading. Treat the 5–20th percentile band as the stress case for sizing, not as a worst case.

band -2.0% … -1.0% · 136.25 – 136.25

Catalysts the model is watching

Earnings report 2026-10-23 (as scheduled)
Demo synthetic: AAPL announces platform refresh for enterprise buyers
Street target implies 4.2%

Key risks & invalidation

Historic drawdown deeper than 52%
Binary event: 2026-10-23

Model assumptions

Realised volatility stays near its recent level (blended 24.9% annualised).
The scoring tilt persists over the window; no structural break (fraud, delisting, forced guidance cut).
Returns are approximated as lognormal; fat tails are handled by widening, not by point forecasts.
Index regime assumed: sideways.
Close below the 200.38 support band or the strategy stop.
Earnings or regulatory headline that changes forward estimates by more than the modelled window σ.
Volatility expanding beyond 40% annualised invalidates position sizing.
Loss of the fundamental pillars used in the score (guidance cut, covenant breach, auditor change).

Reference price 136.25 at 2026-10-23 17:35:22 · regime at generation sideways · data demo · freshness 0s. These bands are conditional distributions from stored inputs, not advice or a promise about outcomes.

Fundamentals

Latest stored period · FY2026 · filed 2026-12-31

snapshot JSON

Revenue$88.8BYoY +8.7%

EPS (TTM)5.69growth +7.4%

Net income$24.9B

Free cash flow$19.2Bmargin 26.4%

Gross margin57.5%

Operating margin29.2%

ROE3.6%

ROIC15.3%

Debt / equity0.55

Current ratio2.02

Interest cover5.03×

Net debt$43.7B

P/E23.62×

P/E forward22.02×

PEG3.25

P/S · P/B · EV/EBITDA6.62 · 0.85 · 16.29

Dividend yield0.95%payout 31%

Buyback yield-0.87%

Profit margin28.0%

Cash$12.4B

Stored periods (raw rows, newest first)

Period	Revenue	Revenue YoY	EPS	Gross margin	Op margin	FCF margin	ROE	Filed
FY2026 FY	$88.8B	+8.7%	5.69	57.5%	29.2%	26.4%	3.6%	2026-12-31
FY2025 FY	$85.6B	+8.6%	5.48	53.6%	32.4%	28.6%	24.4%	2025-12-31
FY2024 FY	$79.7B	+7.7%	5.11	62.7%	28.6%	30.5%	22.7%	2024-12-31
FY2023 FY	$74.7B	+7.2%	4.79	66.1%	29.8%	32.3%	22.3%	2023-12-31
Q4 2026 Q	$18.7B	+7.2%	1.20	66.1%	29.8%	32.3%	22.3%	2026-07-01

Earnings and estimates

Next stored report 2026-12-10 · 0 day(s) away

Implied move9.9%from the stored option chain

EPS estimate1.49

Revenue estimate$22.2B

Consensus index42.9stored on 0–100 in the snapshot; higher = more constructive

% buy ratingsnot storednull on this row — the snapshot job did not store it

Target upsidenot stored

Gap risk0.42%median overnight gap

Time of daybmo

Report	EPS est	EPS actual	Surprise	Rev est	Rev actual	Guidance	Source
2026-12-10	1.49	not stored	not stored	$22.2B	not stored	none	synthetic_demo
2026-10-23	1.56	not stored	not stored	$22.2B	not stored	none	synthetic_demo
2026-07-19	1.46	1.41	-3.0%	$22.2B	$23.3B	maintain	synthetic_demo
2026-06-01	1.38	1.29	-6.2%	$22.2B	$22.0B	maintain	synthetic_demo
2026-04-14	1.46	1.36	-6.4%	$22.2B	$21.6B	raise	synthetic_demo
2026-02-25	1.41	1.23	-12.6%	$22.2B	$22.2B	lower	synthetic_demo
2026-01-08	1.36	1.54	+13.1%	$22.2B	$22.9B	lower	synthetic_demo
2025-11-21	1.36	1.27	-6.5%	$22.2B	$21.9B	lower	synthetic_demo

As of	Horizon	EPS avg	EPS high	EPS low	Revenue	Analysts	90d revisions
2026-10-23	FY1	6.75	7.74	6.55	$97.1B	18	5 / 4
2026-10-23	FY2	6.63	7.46	5.95	$90.9B	15	3 / 6
2026-10-23	Q1	1.69	1.90	1.35	$22.9B	12	4 / 9
2026-10-23	Q2	1.53	1.82	1.51	$23.6B	32	9 / 6

Analyst actions

Stored rating changes and targets. The consensus numbers are the same ones the sentiment component read.

Date	Firm	Action	From	To	Target	Consensus	% buy
2026-10-18	Blue Harbor Capital Research	upgrade	Hold	Neutral	$121.06	2.51	54%
2026-08-22	Halcyon Partners	downgrade	Buy	Sell	$126.10	2.51	41%
2026-07-03	Blue Harbor Capital Research	maintained	Neutral	Neutral	$166.34	2.51	56%
2026-05-27	Northgate Securities	initiated	Sell	Sell	$157.93	2.51	46%
2026-04-15	Halcyon Partners	maintained	Outperform	Outperform	$138.09	2.51	44%

Ownership, insiders and short interest

Inst. position change-63.4%reported change vs the prior stored quarter

Net insider (USD)$25.1M

Short % of float8.0%

Days to cover21.0

Period end	Holder	Type	Shares	Value	% float	Change
2026-09-01	Vanguard Index Group	fund	223M	$30.4B	8.2%	not stored
2026-09-01	Vanguard Index Group	fund	223M	$30.4B	8.2%	not stored
2026-09-01	Vanguard Index Group	fund	223M	$30.4B	8.2%	not stored
2026-09-01	Vanguard Index Group	fund	223M	$30.4B	8.2%	not stored
2026-09-01	Vanguard Index Group	fund	223M	$30.4B	8.2%	not stored
2026-09-01	BlackRock Fund Advisors	fund	222M	$30.3B	8.2%	not stored
2026-09-01	BlackRock Fund Advisors	fund	222M	$30.3B	8.2%	not stored
2026-09-01	BlackRock Fund Advisors	fund	222M	$30.3B	8.2%	not stored

Trade date	Owner	Title	Type	Shares	Price	Value	Owned after
2026-09-02	Demo Officer DD09EC	Chief Financial Officer	Buy - Open Market	184k	$148.68	$25.1M	5.47M
2026-02-09	Demo Officer 2113D6	Chief Executive Officer	Sale - Open Market	84.2k	$123.21	$11.5M	1.16M
2026-01-11	Demo Officer 414BCC	Chief Financial Officer	Sale - Open Market	169k	$121.44	$23.1M	2.46M

Dividends and splits

Ex-date	Pay date	Amount	Frequency	Yield at ex
2026-09-11	2026-09-29	$0.322	quarterly	0.95%
2026-06-12	2026-06-30	$0.323	quarterly	0.95%
2026-02-27	2026-03-17	$0.325	quarterly	0.95%
2025-11-28	2025-12-16	$0.326	quarterly	0.95%
2025-09-19	2025-10-07	$0.327	quarterly	0.95%
2025-06-06	2025-06-24	$0.329	quarterly	0.95%
2025-03-14	2025-04-01	$0.330	quarterly	0.95%
2024-12-06	2024-12-24	$0.331	quarterly	0.95%
2024-08-30	2024-09-17	$0.333	quarterly	0.95%

Nothing stored yet.

Options

Stored chain for expiry 2026-11-06 · 9 call / 9 put strikes

Full chain Flow

Strikes stored189 calls / 9 puts on this expiry

Chain volume64.4kcontracts across all listed strikes

Chain open interest375k

Chain IV (mean)24.8%the column stores a fraction; ×100 for display

Put/call volume1.337from the daily aggregate row for 2026-10-23

Call / put volume26.1k / 34.8k

IV3021.7%stored as a fraction

HV3020.7%realised 30-day vol

IV rank60.0 /100

OI change+0.2%percent, as stored

Expiries stored4

Chain as of2026-10-23 17:35

When	Expiry	Strike	Right	Contracts	Premium	Unusual	Context
2026-10-18 13:46	2026-12-06	$135.50	CALL	698k	$2.85M	2.02	sweep across exchanges sweep
2026-10-18 14:25	2026-12-06	$135.50	CALL	698k	$2.85M	2.02	sweep across exchanges sweep
2026-10-18 16:05	2026-12-06	$135.50	CALL	698k	$2.85M	2.02	sweep across exchanges sweep
2026-10-18 16:58	2026-12-06	$135.50	CALL	698k	$2.85M	2.02	sweep across exchanges sweep
2026-10-18 17:35	2026-12-06	$135.50	CALL	698k	$2.85M	2.02	sweep across exchanges sweep
2026-10-20 13:46	2026-11-21	$133.00	CALL	444k	$1.82M	2.38	volume ≫ open interest (new positioning) sweep
2026-10-20 14:25	2026-11-21	$133.00	CALL	444k	$1.82M	2.38	volume ≫ open interest (new positioning) sweep
2026-10-20 16:05	2026-11-21	$133.00	CALL	444k	$1.82M	2.38	volume ≫ open interest (new positioning) sweep
2026-10-20 16:58	2026-11-21	$133.00	CALL	444k	$1.82M	2.38	volume ≫ open interest (new positioning) sweep
2026-10-20 17:35	2026-11-21	$133.00	CALL	444k	$1.82M	2.38	volume ≫ open interest (new positioning) sweep
2026-10-18 13:46	2026-11-03	$138.00	CALL	398k	$1.63M	2.05	sweep across exchanges
2026-10-18 14:25	2026-11-03	$138.00	CALL	398k	$1.63M	2.05	sweep across exchanges
2026-10-18 16:05	2026-11-03	$138.00	CALL	398k	$1.63M	2.05	sweep across exchanges
2026-10-18 16:58	2026-11-03	$138.00	CALL	398k	$1.63M	2.05	sweep across exchanges
2026-10-18 17:35	2026-11-03	$138.00	CALL	398k	$1.63M	2.05	sweep across exchanges
2026-10-20 13:46	2026-11-10	$135.50	PUT	375k	$1.53M	5.46	sweep across exchanges sweep
2026-10-20 14:25	2026-11-10	$135.50	PUT	375k	$1.53M	5.46	sweep across exchanges sweep
2026-10-20 16:05	2026-11-10	$135.50	PUT	375k	$1.53M	5.46	sweep across exchanges sweep
2026-10-20 16:58	2026-11-10	$135.50	PUT	375k	$1.53M	5.46	sweep across exchanges sweep
2026-10-20 17:35	2026-11-10	$135.50	PUT	375k	$1.53M	5.46	sweep across exchanges sweep

Flow rows are stored observations of size, not information about who traded. The flagged note on each row says so; nothing here implies insider activity.

News mentioning AAPL

Stored headlines linked to this security, newest first. Sentiment scores come from the stored scorer, not from this page.

Demo synthetic: AAPL announces platform refresh for enterprise buyers

product 14 days ago +48% sentiment importance 0

Synthetic demo item generated to exercise the sentiment pipeline. No external source; no factual content.

Score

qm_ai_scores row #781

53.7

composite / 100 · model score-1.0.0

NEUTRAL risk MEDIUM confidence 63

Technical 25 45.0

Fundamental 25 61.3

Momentum 15 34.8

Sentiment 10 54.7

Institutional 10 44.2

Risk 15 80.1

Why the model scored it this way

SENTIMENT Analyst Distribution 99
99% Buy/Strong Buy · 1% Hold · 3% Sell/Short
RISK Liquidity 96
Average $4471M traded per session
RISK Correlation 95
Correlation to benchmark 0.63-year rolling: 0.36
SENTIMENT Sentiment Delta 5
30-day sentiment change -21 pts
SENTIMENT Recent Headline Tone 95
Last items: 1 positive / 0 negative headlines
RISK Gap Risk 95
Median overnight gap 0.42% — position sizing must survive opens
INSTITUTIONAL Insider Activity 88
Net insider purchases ≈ $25.1M over 1 filings
TECHNICAL Trend Structure 14
Price vs 20/50/200-day moving averages: strong down
RISK Beta 86
Beta 0.45 vs the reference index
RISK Market Risk 85
Benchmark volatility 20.1% · regime: Sideways · normal vol · risk-off
FUNDAMENTAL Free Cash Flow 82
FCF margin 26.4%
FUNDAMENTAL Valuation Pe 82
P/E 23.6× vs sector median 37.5× (discount)
FUNDAMENTAL Operating Margin 81
Operating margin 29.2%
MOMENTUM Relative Strength Vs Index 22
3-month return minus index -25.8%

Scored on synthetic demonstration data. Directionally realistic, not a forecast of any real market.

Levels

Stored support/resistance from the snapshot row, not drawn from the chart in the browser.

Resistance (stored): $143.06
Support (stored): $136.75
20-day SMA: $138.32
50-day SMA: $141.83
200-day SMA: $200.38
Trend: strong_down
Above SMA50 / SMA200: no / no
From 52w high: -50.4%
MACD histogram: 0.226
RSI(14): 44.3
Relative strength (3m): -25.8%
RS rank: not stored /100

Sentiment

Stored buckets (each row is one scoring run over the news window).

Bucket start	Score	Label	Mentions	Method
2026-10-20 13:00	+40%	positive	6	synthetic demo tone index — not real sentiment
2026-10-20 14:00	+40%	positive	6	synthetic demo tone index — not real sentiment
2026-10-20 16:00	+40%	positive	6	synthetic demo tone index — not real sentiment
2026-10-20 17:00	+40%	positive	6	synthetic demo tone index — not real sentiment
2026-10-23 13:00	-47%	negative	10	synthetic demo tone index — not real sentiment
2026-10-23 14:00	-47%	negative	10	synthetic demo tone index — not real sentiment
2026-10-23 16:00	-47%	negative	10	synthetic demo tone index — not real sentiment
2026-10-23 17:00	-47%	negative	10	synthetic demo tone index — not real sentiment

Catalysts and risks

Stored catalysts

Earnings report 2026-10-23 (as scheduled)
Demo synthetic: AAPL announces platform refresh for enterprise buyers
Street target implies 4.2%

Stored risks

Historic drawdown deeper than 52%
Binary event: 2026-10-23

Same sector

Ranked by stored composite score.

Symbol	Price	1d	Score	Stance
CSCO	$310.38	+1.53%	65.4	ACCUMULATE
ATLS	$27.00	-1.03%	64.8	CONSTRUCTIVE
XLK	$240.00	-0.59%	64.6	CONSTRUCTIVE
NOW	$409.75	+1.39%	64.6	CONSTRUCTIVE
PLTR	$48.96	+0.32%	60.8	CONSTRUCTIVE
ORCL	$584.14	-0.31%	60.4	CONSTRUCTIVE

Validation

Forecasts on this symbol whose horizon has matured, scored against the stored bars.

All models

Nothing to score yet: settle the matured forecasts with php bin/pipeline.php --cmd=settle and this table fills with realised-versus-forecast rows.

Peer comparison

Symbol	Price	1d	Cap	P/E	PEG	P/S	P/B	Rev growth	EPS growth	ROE	Gross	Op margin
NVDA	$190.18	+0.10%	$383B	36.75×	0.83	2.00×	4.56×	+45.5%	+59.2%	12.4%	12.1%	6.0%
AMD	$521.19	-2.33%	$971B	38.99×	0.96	5.19×	3.70×	+39.7%	+42.5%	9.5%	29.0%	13.6%
SHOP	$96.96	+3.50%	$191B	63.65×	1.58	10.73×	2.13×	+41.4%	+53.5%	3.3%	34.9%	19.8%
QCOM	$55.28	-3.31%	$179B	29.84×	4.28	5.58×	4.84×	+6.0%	+7.8%	16.2%	42.9%	19.1%
INTC	$143.92	-3.62%	$139B	11.58×	not stored	1.67×	2.31×	-2.0%	-2.0%	19.9%	30.7%	15.7%
PLTR	$48.96	+0.32%	$99.4B	78.80×	1.69	12.45×	2.42×	+48.1%	+61.9%	3.1%	31.8%	18.7%
ARM	$25.12	+0.54%	$38.6B	63.61×	1.85	3.45×	6.06×	+34.4%	+39.2%	9.5%	11.9%	5.7%
NOW	$409.75	+1.39%	$1.18T	58.28×	1.58	11.79×	6.30×	+38.2%	+34.4%	10.8%	39.6%	20.6%
CRM	$205.75	-4.05%	$1.22T	27.69×	2.85	5.85×	4.82×	+10.3%	+9.6%	17.4%	48.6%	21.3%
MSFT	$235.96	-2.04%	$1.40T	21.12×	2.31	7.04×	5.41×	+10.3%	+8.9%	25.6%	75.0%	37.6%

What this page did not do.

It did not fetch a quote, call an external model, or extend the chart. It read 156000 stored bar rows in total across the universe (demo data, last trade 2026-10-23), and the score shown here was written at 2026-10-23 17:35 by model score-1.0.0.