NVIDIA Corp.

NVDA NEUTRAL MEDIUM EQUITY DEMO

$190.18 +0.10% 1-day change from the stored snapshot · 2 days ago

DEMO DATASET last stored bar 2026-10-23 · scores computed 2026-10-25 04:13:59 · every figure below is read from these rows, nothing is computed in the browser

Price · stored daily bars

126 bars ending 2026-10-23 · demo data

Indicators are computed from the same stored closes the score used; the forecast fan is drawn from qm_predictions, not from a live model call. how this is drawn

Open$184.45

Day range$192.66 / $180.60

Prev close$189.98

Volume26.8M

RVOL 30d1.34×session volume over stored 30-day average

Avg $ volume$3.43B

Market cap$383B

HV2060.0% ann.

Beta0.71

RSI(14)58.7

ATR %7.87%

Max drawdown-60.2%

52-week rangefrom $136.16 to $373.44

52-week low / high$136.16 / $373.44

From 52w high-49.1%

Liquiditynot storeddays of average volume to fill 1% of float

Forecast

Stored scenarios from the last pipeline run. The model that wrote them is named on each row; no forecast is generated when you look at this page.

Horizon	Ref	Bull high	Base range	Bear low	P10 → P90	P(up)	Confidence	Risk
1D 2026-10-25 04:13:59	190.18	198.74 +4.5%	187.33 → 193.98 -1.5% … +2.0%	182.57 -4.0%	184.47 → 196.84	53.0%	55 760 bars, blended vol 60%, score 58, coverage 100%%	LOW HV 60.0% ann. · 760 bars
5D 2026-10-25 04:13:59	190.18	211.10 +11.0%	184.47 → 199.69 -3.0% … +5.0%	173.06 -9.0%	176.87 → 205.39	53.0%	55 760 bars, blended vol 60%, score 58, coverage 100%%	LOW HV 60.0% ann. · 760 bars
1M 2026-10-25 04:13:59	190.18	232.02 +22.0%	176.87 → 209.20 -7.0% … +10.0%	154.05 -19.0%	161.65 → 222.51	53.0%	55 760 bars, blended vol 60%, score 58, coverage 100%%	LOW HV 60.0% ann. · 760 bars
3M 2026-10-25 04:13:59	190.18	261.50 +37.5%	167.36 → 221.56 -12.0% … +16.5%	127.42 -33.0%	141.68 → 247.23	53.0%	55 760 bars, blended vol 60%, score 58, coverage 100%%	MEDIUM HV 60.0% ann. · 760 bars
6M 2026-10-25 04:13:59	190.18	290.02 +52.5%	155.95 → 235.82 -18.0% … +24.0%	101.75 -46.5%	121.72 → 270.06	53.0%	55 760 bars, blended vol 60%, score 58, coverage 100%%	HIGH HV 60.0% ann. · 760 bars
12M 2026-10-25 04:13:59	190.18	332.82 +75.0%	142.64 → 251.99 -25.0% … +32.5%	66.56 -65.0%	95.09 → 304.29	53.0%	55 760 bars, blended vol 60%, score 58, coverage 100%%	VERY_HIGH HV 60.0% ann. · 760 bars

Bull case

If RSI mid-range — room to extend, a volatility-compressed setup resolving upward would accelerate the move, the upside path is the 80–95th percentile band shown here.

band +2.5% … +4.5% · 190.18 – 190.18

Base case

mildly positive

band -1.5% … +2.0% · 190.18 – 190.18

Bear case

Downside triggers: P/E 36.7× leaves no valuation buffer; realised volatility already elevated. Treat the 5–20th percentile band as the stress case for sizing, not as a worst case.

band -4.0% … -2.0% · 190.18 – 190.18

Catalysts the model is watching

Earnings report 2026-12-10 (after close)
Demo synthetic: NVDA cut to neutral on valuation
Demo synthetic: NVDA posts quarterly result inside modelled range
Demo synthetic: NVDA announces platform refresh for enterprise buyers
Street target implies 15.4%

Key risks & invalidation

Elevated realised volatility (60%)
Historic drawdown deeper than 60%
Binary event: 2026-12-10

Model assumptions

Realised volatility stays near its recent level (blended 60% annualised).
The scoring tilt persists over the window; no structural break (fraud, delisting, forced guidance cut).
Returns are approximated as lognormal; fat tails are handled by widening, not by point forecasts.
Index regime assumed: sideways.
Close below the 223.01 support band or the strategy stop.
Earnings or regulatory headline that changes forward estimates by more than the modelled window σ.
Volatility expanding beyond 96% annualised invalidates position sizing.
Loss of the fundamental pillars used in the score (guidance cut, covenant breach, auditor change).

Reference price 190.18 at 2026-10-25 04:13:59 · regime at generation sideways · data demo · freshness 112439s. These bands are conditional distributions from stored inputs, not advice or a promise about outcomes.

Fundamentals

Latest stored period · FY2026 · filed 2026-12-31

snapshot JSON

Revenue$186BYoY +45.5%

EPS (TTM)5.02growth +59.2%

Net income$10.1B

Free cash flow$8.22Bmargin 5.3%

Gross margin12.1%

Operating margin6.0%

ROE12.4%

ROIC4.8%

Debt / equity2.02

Current ratio1.75

Interest cover22.02×

Net debt$63.2B

P/E36.75×

P/E forward25.51×

PEG0.83

P/S · P/B · EV/EBITDA2.00 · 4.56 · 25.34

Dividend yield0.08%payout 16%

Buyback yield1.90%

Profit margin5.4%

Cash$57.5B

Stored periods (raw rows, newest first)

Period	Revenue	Revenue YoY	EPS	Gross margin	Op margin	FCF margin	ROE	Filed
FY2026 FY	$186B	+45.5%	5.02	12.1%	6.0%	5.3%	12.4%	2026-12-31
FY2025 FY	$131B	+42.6%	3.54	11.7%	5.9%	5.4%	8.9%	2025-12-31
FY2024 FY	$90.7B	+44.2%	2.45	11.4%	6.3%	5.6%	15.1%	2024-12-31
FY2023 FY	$62.9B	+43.9%	1.70	12.7%	5.6%	5.9%	10.7%	2023-12-31
Q4 2026 Q	$15.7B	+43.9%	0.42	12.7%	5.6%	5.9%	10.7%	2026-07-01

Earnings and estimates

Next stored report 2026-12-10 · 33 day(s) away

Implied move5.6%from the stored option chain

EPS estimate1.29

Revenue estimate$46.6B

Consensus index57.3stored on 0–100 in the snapshot; higher = more constructive

% buy ratingsnot storednull on this row — the snapshot job did not store it

Target upsidenot stored

Gap risk1.11%median overnight gap

Time of dayamc

Report	EPS est	EPS actual	Surprise	Rev est	Rev actual	Guidance	Source
2026-12-10	1.29	not stored	not stored	$46.6B	not stored	none	synthetic_demo
2026-10-23	1.21	not stored	not stored	$46.6B	not stored	none	synthetic_demo
2026-07-19	1.27	1.20	-5.7%	$46.6B	$44.9B	lower	synthetic_demo
2026-06-01	1.20	1.13	-5.8%	$46.6B	$46.7B	raise	synthetic_demo
2026-04-14	1.25	1.11	-11.2%	$46.6B	$45.3B	lower	synthetic_demo
2026-02-25	1.32	1.43	+8.3%	$46.6B	$48.4B	maintain	synthetic_demo
2026-01-08	1.22	1.36	+11.9%	$46.6B	$46.9B	raise	synthetic_demo
2025-11-21	1.22	1.36	+11.1%	$46.6B	$48.6B	raise	synthetic_demo

As of	Horizon	EPS avg	EPS high	EPS low	Revenue	Analysts	90d revisions
2026-10-25	FY1	5.63	6.41	4.48	$186B	34	7 / 7
2026-10-25	FY2	5.57	5.75	5.55	$200B	13	5 / 0
2026-10-25	Q1	1.41	1.54	1.29	$47.7B	22	5 / 0
2026-10-25	Q2	1.39	1.66	1.30	$49.4B	22	7 / 6
2026-10-24	FY1	5.63	6.41	4.48	$186B	34	7 / 7
2026-10-24	FY2	5.57	5.75	5.55	$200B	13	5 / 0
2026-10-24	Q1	1.41	1.54	1.29	$47.7B	22	5 / 0
2026-10-24	Q2	1.39	1.66	1.30	$49.4B	22	7 / 6

Analyst actions

Stored rating changes and targets. The consensus numbers are the same ones the sentiment component read.

Date	Firm	Action	From	To	Target	Consensus	% buy
2026-10-06	Kestrel Analytics	initiated	Sell	Sell	$241.53	1.98	60%
2026-08-23	Blue Harbor Capital Research	upgrade	Hold	Hold	$187.18	1.98	57%
2026-07-19	Kestrel Analytics	initiated	Neutral	Neutral	$205.00	1.98	56%
2026-06-03	Blue Harbor Capital Research	upgrade	Hold	Neutral	$228.54	1.98	58%
2026-04-17	Northgate Securities	upgrade	Hold	Sell	$234.94	1.98	51%

Ownership, insiders and short interest

Inst. position change-66.8%reported change vs the prior stored quarter

Net insider (USD)$-44.3M

Short % of float12.0%

Days to cover28.1

Period end	Holder	Type	Shares	Value	% float	Change
2026-09-01	Capital Research Global	fund	110M	$21.0B	8.8%	not stored
2026-09-01	Capital Research Global	fund	110M	$21.0B	8.8%	not stored
2026-09-01	Capital Research Global	fund	110M	$21.0B	8.8%	not stored
2026-09-01	Capital Research Global	fund	110M	$21.0B	8.8%	not stored
2026-09-01	Capital Research Global	fund	110M	$21.0B	8.8%	not stored
2026-09-01	Capital Research Global	fund	110M	$21.0B	8.8%	not stored
2026-09-01	Capital Research Global	fund	110M	$21.0B	8.8%	not stored
2026-09-01	Capital Research Global	fund	110M	$21.0B	8.8%	not stored

Trade date	Owner	Title	Type	Shares	Price	Value	Owned after
2026-10-17	Demo Officer 1B8644	Director	Sale - Tax	64.7k	$198.62	$12.3M	2.20M
2026-07-27	Demo Officer BEA035	Director	Sale - Open Market	168k	$203.85	$32.0M	1.06M
2026-07-11	Demo Officer 259B46	Director	Grant	239k	$192.09	$45.5M	1.88M
2026-02-05	Demo Officer 0E76BB	General Counsel	Buy - 10b5-1 Plan	176k	$204.57	$33.5M	4.02M
2026-01-13	Demo Officer 748BEF	General Counsel	Sale - Open Market	149k	$220.03	$28.3M	6.15M

Options

Stored chain for expiry 2026-11-06 · 9 call / 9 put strikes

Full chain Flow

Strikes stored189 calls / 9 puts on this expiry

Chain volume87.6kcontracts across all listed strikes

Chain open interest637k

Chain IV (mean)56.0%the column stores a fraction; ×100 for display

Put/call volume1.046from the daily aggregate row for 2026-10-25

Call / put volume34.8k / 36.3k

IV3050.2%stored as a fraction

HV3051.9%realised 30-day vol

IV rank35.9 /100

OI change+2.1%percent, as stored

Expiries stored12

Chain as of2026-10-23 17:35

When	Expiry	Strike	Right	Contracts	Premium	Unusual	Context
2026-10-21 13:46	2026-11-03	$197.50	CALL	453k	$2.59M	1.20	volume ≫ open interest (new positioning)
2026-10-22 23:42	2026-11-04	$197.50	CALL	453k	$2.59M	1.20	volume ≫ open interest (new positioning)
2026-10-21 14:25	2026-11-03	$197.50	CALL	453k	$2.59M	1.20	volume ≫ open interest (new positioning)
2026-10-23 02:40	2026-11-05	$197.50	CALL	453k	$2.59M	1.20	volume ≫ open interest (new positioning)
2026-10-21 16:05	2026-11-03	$197.50	CALL	453k	$2.59M	1.20	volume ≫ open interest (new positioning)
2026-10-23 04:13	2026-11-05	$197.50	CALL	453k	$2.59M	1.20	volume ≫ open interest (new positioning)
2026-10-21 16:58	2026-11-03	$197.50	CALL	453k	$2.59M	1.20	volume ≫ open interest (new positioning)
2026-10-21 17:35	2026-11-03	$197.50	CALL	453k	$2.59M	1.20	volume ≫ open interest (new positioning)
2026-10-23 13:46	2026-11-07	$195.00	PUT	297k	$1.70M	0.85	volume ≫ open interest (new positioning) sweep
2026-10-24 23:42	2026-11-08	$195.00	PUT	297k	$1.70M	0.85	volume ≫ open interest (new positioning) sweep
2026-10-23 14:25	2026-11-07	$195.00	PUT	297k	$1.70M	0.85	volume ≫ open interest (new positioning) sweep
2026-10-25 02:40	2026-11-09	$195.00	PUT	297k	$1.70M	0.85	volume ≫ open interest (new positioning) sweep
2026-10-23 16:05	2026-11-07	$195.00	PUT	297k	$1.70M	0.85	volume ≫ open interest (new positioning) sweep
2026-10-25 04:13	2026-11-09	$195.00	PUT	297k	$1.70M	0.85	volume ≫ open interest (new positioning) sweep
2026-10-23 16:58	2026-11-07	$195.00	PUT	297k	$1.70M	0.85	volume ≫ open interest (new positioning) sweep
2026-10-23 17:35	2026-11-07	$195.00	PUT	297k	$1.70M	0.85	volume ≫ open interest (new positioning) sweep
2026-10-20 13:46	2026-11-05	$182.00	CALL	191k	$1.09M	6.36	sweep across exchanges
2026-10-21 23:42	2026-11-06	$182.00	CALL	191k	$1.09M	6.36	sweep across exchanges
2026-10-20 14:25	2026-11-05	$182.00	CALL	191k	$1.09M	6.36	sweep across exchanges
2026-10-22 02:40	2026-11-07	$182.00	CALL	191k	$1.09M	6.36	sweep across exchanges
2026-10-20 16:05	2026-11-05	$182.00	CALL	191k	$1.09M	6.36	sweep across exchanges
2026-10-22 04:13	2026-11-07	$182.00	CALL	191k	$1.09M	6.36	sweep across exchanges
2026-10-20 16:58	2026-11-05	$182.00	CALL	191k	$1.09M	6.36	sweep across exchanges
2026-10-20 17:35	2026-11-05	$182.00	CALL	191k	$1.09M	6.36	sweep across exchanges

Flow rows are stored observations of size, not information about who traded. The flagged note on each row says so; nothing here implies insider activity.

News mentioning NVDA

Stored headlines linked to this security, newest first. Sentiment scores come from the stored scorer, not from this page.

Demo synthetic: NVDA cut to neutral on valuation

analyst 7 days ago -59% sentiment importance 0

Synthetic demo item generated to exercise the sentiment pipeline. No external source; no factual content.

Demo synthetic: NVDA posts quarterly result inside modelled range

earnings 12 days ago +76% sentiment importance 0 earnings

Synthetic demo item generated to exercise the sentiment pipeline. No external source; no factual content.

Demo synthetic: NVDA announces platform refresh for enterprise buyers

product 16 days ago +43% sentiment importance 0

Synthetic demo item generated to exercise the sentiment pipeline. No external source; no factual content.

Score

qm_ai_scores row #1400

57.9

composite / 100 · model score-1.0.0

NEUTRAL risk MEDIUM confidence 50

Technical 25 54.1

Fundamental 25 53.9

Momentum 15 58.2

Sentiment 10 79.7

Institutional 10 25.9

Risk 15 77.5

Why the model scored it this way

SENTIMENT Analyst Distribution 100
114% Buy/Strong Buy · 0% Hold · 0% Sell/Short
RISK Correlation 97
Correlation to benchmark 0.63-year rolling: 0.25
RISK Liquidity 96
Average $3428.3M traded per session
SENTIMENT Sentiment Delta 95
30-day sentiment change 32.5 pts
RISK Gap Risk 94
Median overnight gap 1.11% — position sizing must survive opens
RISK Beta 93
Beta 0.71 vs the reference index
SENTIMENT Estimate Revisions 92
Net EPS estimate revisions (90d): 33
FUNDAMENTAL Valuation Sales 85
P/S 2× vs sector median 6.9×
RISK Market Risk 85
Benchmark volatility 20.1% · regime: Sideways · normal vol · risk-off
FUNDAMENTAL Coverage 82
Interest coverage 22×
RISK Event Risk Earnings 82
No earnings inside the next 3 weeks
FUNDAMENTAL Peg 81
PEG 0.83
MOMENTUM Momentum Persistence 79
3 of 4 measured horizons are positive
INSTITUTIONAL Institutional Flows 22
Reported 13F-style positioning change -66.8% vs prior quarter2026-09-01

Scored on synthetic demonstration data. Directionally realistic, not a forecast of any real market.

Category ranks

Position among scored securities in each evidence category.

Category	Score	Rank	Evidence
GROWTH	104.7	1	Revenue 45.5% / EPS 59.2% growth
GROWTH	104.7	1	Revenue 45.5% / EPS 59.2% growth
GROWTH	104.7	1	Revenue 45.5% / EPS 59.2% growth
GROWTH	104.7	1	Revenue 45.5% / EPS 59.2% growth
GROWTH	104.7	1	Revenue 45.5% / EPS 59.2% growth
GROWTH	104.7	1	Revenue 45.5% / EPS 59.2% growth
GROWTH	104.7	1	Revenue 45.5% / EPS 59.2% growth
GROWTH	104.7	1	Revenue 45.5% / EPS 59.2% growth
HIGH_RISK	60.0	2	Volatility 60% / ATR 7.9% of price — expected move per bar is large
HIGH_RISK	60.0	2	Volatility 60% / ATR 7.9% of price — expected move per bar is large
HIGH_RISK	60.0	2	Volatility 60% / ATR 7.9% of price — expected move per bar is large
HIGH_RISK	60.0	2	Volatility 60% / ATR 7.9% of price — expected move per bar is large
HIGH_RISK	60.0	2	Volatility 60% / ATR 7.9% of price — expected move per bar is large
HIGH_RISK	60.0	2	Volatility 60% / ATR 7.9% of price — expected move per bar is large
HIGH_RISK	60.0	2	Volatility 60% / ATR 7.9% of price — expected move per bar is large
HIGH_RISK	60.0	2	Volatility 60% / ATR 7.9% of price — expected move per bar is large
VALUE	0.0	3	P/E 36.7× · PEG 0.83 · P/B 4.6× with ROE 12.4%
VALUE	0.0	3	P/E 36.7× · PEG 0.83 · P/B 4.6× with ROE 12.4%
VALUE	0.0	3	P/E 36.7× · PEG 0.83 · P/B 4.6× with ROE 12.4%
VALUE	0.0	3	P/E 36.7× · PEG 0.83 · P/B 4.6× with ROE 12.4%
VALUE	0.0	3	P/E 36.7× · PEG 0.83 · P/B 4.6× with ROE 12.4%
VALUE	0.0	3	P/E 36.7× · PEG 0.83 · P/B 4.6× with ROE 12.4%
VALUE	0.0	3	P/E 36.7× · PEG 0.83 · P/B 4.6× with ROE 12.4%
VALUE	0.0	3	P/E 36.7× · PEG 0.83 · P/B 4.6× with ROE 12.4%

Levels

Stored support/resistance from the snapshot row, not drawn from the chart in the browser.

Resistance (stored): $201.20
Support (stored): $145.58
20-day SMA: $179.69
50-day SMA: $181.55
200-day SMA: $223.01
Trend: up
Above SMA50 / SMA200: yes / no
From 52w high: -49.1%
MACD histogram: 1.405
RSI(14): 58.7
Relative strength (3m): -2.7%
RS rank: not stored /100

Sentiment

Stored buckets (each row is one scoring run over the news window).

Bucket start	Score	Label	Mentions	Method
2026-10-22 04:00	+45%	positive	5	synthetic demo tone index — not real sentiment
2026-10-23 13:00	+51%	positive	31	synthetic demo tone index — not real sentiment
2026-10-23 14:00	+51%	positive	31	synthetic demo tone index — not real sentiment
2026-10-23 16:00	+51%	positive	31	synthetic demo tone index — not real sentiment
2026-10-23 17:00	+51%	positive	31	synthetic demo tone index — not real sentiment
2026-10-24 23:00	+51%	positive	31	synthetic demo tone index — not real sentiment
2026-10-25 02:00	+51%	positive	31	synthetic demo tone index — not real sentiment
2026-10-25 04:00	+51%	positive	31	synthetic demo tone index — not real sentiment

Catalysts and risks

Stored catalysts

Earnings report 2026-12-10 (after close)
Demo synthetic: NVDA cut to neutral on valuation
Demo synthetic: NVDA posts quarterly result inside modelled range
Demo synthetic: NVDA announces platform refresh for enterprise buyers
Street target implies 15.4%

Stored risks

Elevated realised volatility (60%)
Historic drawdown deeper than 60%
Binary event: 2026-12-10

Same sector

Ranked by stored composite score.

Symbol	Price	1d	Score	Stance
CSCO	$310.38	+1.53%	65.6	ACCUMULATE
NOW	$0.81	+1.39%	65.3	ACCUMULATE
ATLS	$27.00	-1.03%	64.8	CONSTRUCTIVE
XLK	$240.00	-0.59%	64.6	CONSTRUCTIVE
PLTR	$48.96	+0.32%	61.1	CONSTRUCTIVE
NVX	$24.50	-0.16%	60.7	CONSTRUCTIVE

Validation

Forecasts on this symbol whose horizon has matured, scored against the stored bars.

All models

Nothing to score yet: settle the matured forecasts with php bin/pipeline.php --cmd=settle and this table fills with realised-versus-forecast rows.

Peer comparison

Symbol	Price	1d	Cap	P/E	PEG	P/S	P/B	Rev growth	EPS growth	ROE	Gross	Op margin
SHOP	$96.96	+3.50%	$191B	63.65×	1.58	10.73×	2.13×	+41.4%	+53.5%	3.3%	34.9%	19.8%
QCOM	$55.28	-3.31%	$179B	29.84×	4.28	5.58×	4.84×	+6.0%	+7.8%	16.2%	42.9%	19.1%
AAPL	$136.25	-0.95%	$595B	23.62×	3.25	6.62×	0.85×	+8.7%	+7.4%	3.6%	57.5%	29.2%
INTC	$143.92	-3.62%	$139B	11.58×	not stored	1.67×	2.31×	-2.0%	-2.0%	19.9%	30.7%	15.7%
PLTR	$48.96	+0.32%	$99.4B	78.80×	1.69	12.45×	2.42×	+48.1%	+61.9%	3.1%	31.8%	18.7%
ARM	$25.12	+0.54%	$38.6B	63.61×	1.85	3.45×	6.06×	+34.4%	+39.2%	9.5%	11.9%	5.7%
NOW	$0.81	+1.39%	$53.6M	58.28×	1.58	11.79×	2.08×	+38.2%	+34.4%	3.6%	39.6%	20.6%
AMD	$521.19	-2.33%	$971B	38.99×	0.96	5.19×	3.70×	+39.7%	+42.5%	9.5%	29.0%	13.6%
CRM	$205.75	-4.05%	$1.22T	27.69×	2.85	5.85×	4.82×	+10.3%	+9.6%	17.4%	48.6%	21.3%
MSFT	$235.96	-2.04%	$1.40T	21.12×	2.31	7.04×	5.41×	+10.3%	+8.9%	25.6%	75.0%	37.6%

What this page did not do.

It did not fetch a quote, call an external model, or extend the chart. It read 168800 stored bar rows in total across the universe (demo data, last trade 2026-10-23), and the score shown here was written at 2026-10-25 04:13 by model score-1.0.0.