Bull case
If RSI mid-range — room to extend, a volatility-compressed setup resolving upward would accelerate the move, the upside path is the 80–95th percentile band shown here.
band +1.0% … +2.0% · 55.28 – 55.28
Qualcomm Inc.
QCOM NEUTRAL MEDIUM EQUITY DEMO
$55.28
-3.31%
1-day change from the stored snapshot · 27 hours ago
DEMO DATASET last stored bar 2026-10-23 · scores computed 2026-10-23 17:35:22 · every figure below is read from these rows, nothing is computed in the browser
Price · stored daily bars
126 bars ending 2026-10-23 · demo data
Indicators are computed from the same stored closes the score used; the forecast fan is drawn from qm_predictions, not from a live model call.
how this is drawn
Open$56.58
Day range$56.76 / $54.91
Prev close$57.17
Volume23.4M
RVOL 30d1.16×session volume over stored 30-day average
Avg $ volume$1.10B
Market cap$179B
HV2026.8% ann.
Beta0.51
RSI(14)50.5
ATR %4.59%
Max drawdown-44.3%
52-week rangefrom $50.05 to $89.57
52-week low / high$50.05 / $89.57
From 52w high-38.3%
Liquiditynot storeddays of average volume to fill 1% of float
Forecast
Stored scenarios from the last pipeline run. The model that wrote them is named on each row; no forecast is generated when you look at this page.
| Horizon | Ref | Bull high | Base range | Bear low | P10 → P90 | P(up) | Confidence | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1D
2026-10-23 17:35:22 |
55.28 | 56.39 +2.0% | 55.00 → 55.83 -0.5% … +1.0% |
54.17 -2.0% | 54.45 → 56.11 | 53.0% | 68 760 bars, blended vol 28%, score 57, coverage 100%% |
LOW
HV 27.7% ann. · 760 bars |
| 5D
2026-10-23 17:35:22 |
55.28 | 57.49 +4.0% | 54.73 → 56.39 -1.0% … +2.0% |
53.62 -3.0% | 54.17 → 56.94 | 54.0% | 68 760 bars, blended vol 28%, score 57, coverage 100%% |
LOW
HV 27.7% ann. · 760 bars |
| 1M
2026-10-23 17:35:22 |
55.28 | 59.70 +8.0% | 54.17 → 57.49 -2.0% … +4.0% |
51.41 -7.0% | 52.52 → 58.60 | 54.0% | 68 760 bars, blended vol 28%, score 57, coverage 100%% |
LOW
HV 27.7% ann. · 760 bars |
| 3M
2026-10-23 17:35:22 |
55.28 | 62.74 +13.5% | 52.79 → 58.60 -4.5% … +6.0% |
48.65 -12.0% | 50.30 → 61.08 | 54.0% | 68 760 bars, blended vol 28%, score 57, coverage 100%% |
LOW
HV 27.7% ann. · 760 bars |
| 6M
2026-10-23 17:35:22 |
55.28 | 66.06 +19.5% | 51.96 → 60.26 -6.0% … +9.0% |
46.16 -16.5% | 48.65 → 63.57 | 54.0% | 68 760 bars, blended vol 28%, score 57, coverage 100%% |
LOW
HV 27.7% ann. · 760 bars |
| 12M
2026-10-23 17:35:22 |
55.28 | 70.48 +27.5% | 51.13 → 62.19 -7.5% … +12.5% |
42.84 -22.5% | 45.61 → 67.72 | 54.0% | 68 760 bars, blended vol 28%, score 57, coverage 100%% |
MEDIUM
HV 27.7% ann. · 760 bars |
Base case
mildly positive
band -0.5% … +1.0% · 55.28 – 55.28
Bear case
Downside triggers: P/E 29.8× leaves no valuation buffer; momentum is fading. Treat the 5–20th percentile band as the stress case for sizing, not as a worst case.
band -2.0% … -1.0% · 55.28 – 55.28
Catalysts the model is watching
- Earnings report 2026-10-23 (after close)
- Demo synthetic: QCOM faces second request in pending acquisition
- Demo synthetic: QCOM faces second request in pending acquisition
- Demo synthetic: QCOM faces second request in pending acquisition
- Street target implies 3.9%
Key risks & invalidation
- Historic drawdown deeper than 44%
- Binary event: 2026-10-23
Model assumptions
- Realised volatility stays near its recent level (blended 27.7% annualised).
- The scoring tilt persists over the window; no structural break (fraud, delisting, forced guidance cut).
- Returns are approximated as lognormal; fat tails are handled by widening, not by point forecasts.
- Index regime assumed: sideways.
- Close below the 67.19 support band or the strategy stop.
- Earnings or regulatory headline that changes forward estimates by more than the modelled window σ.
- Volatility expanding beyond 44% annualised invalidates position sizing.
- Loss of the fundamental pillars used in the score (guidance cut, covenant breach, auditor change).
Reference price 55.28 at
2026-10-23 17:35:22 · regime at generation
sideways · data
demo · freshness
0s.
These bands are conditional distributions from stored inputs, not advice or a promise about outcomes.
Fundamentals
Latest stored period · FY2026 · filed 2026-12-31
Revenue$31.2BYoY +6.0%
EPS (TTM)1.80growth +7.8%
Net income$5.84B
Free cash flow$4.70Bmargin 18.5%
Gross margin42.9%
Operating margin19.1%
ROE16.2%
ROIC10.5%
Debt / equity0.59
Current ratio1.32
Interest cover18.54×
Net debt$386M
P/E29.84×
P/E forward27.90×
PEG4.28
P/S · P/B · EV/EBITDA5.58 · 4.84 · 20.58
Dividend yield1.22%payout 15%
Buyback yield2.90%
Profit margin18.7%
Cash$9.87B
Stored periods (raw rows, newest first)
| Period | Revenue | Revenue YoY | EPS | Gross margin | Op margin | FCF margin | ROE | Filed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2026 FY | $31.2B | +6.0% | 1.80 | 42.9% | 19.1% | 18.5% | 16.2% | 2026-12-31 |
| FY2025 FY | $30.4B | +8.4% | 1.75 | 35.9% | 19.0% | 16.8% | 12.0% | 2025-12-31 |
| FY2024 FY | $28.6B | +8.1% | 1.65 | 41.2% | 21.0% | 21.5% | 16.8% | 2024-12-31 |
| FY2023 FY | $25.9B | +7.6% | 1.49 | 43.8% | 21.9% | 21.6% | 13.8% | 2023-12-31 |
| Q4 2026 Q | $6.49B | +7.6% | 0.37 | 43.8% | 21.9% | 21.6% | 13.8% | 2026-07-01 |
Earnings and estimates
Next stored report 2026-12-10 · 0 day(s) away
Implied move9.9%from the stored option chain
EPS estimate0.49
Revenue estimate$7.81B
Consensus index65.0stored on 0–100 in the snapshot; higher = more constructive
% buy ratingsnot storednull on this row — the snapshot job did not store it
Target upsidenot stored
Gap risk0.51%median overnight gap
Time of dayamc
| Report | EPS est | EPS actual | Surprise | Rev est | Rev actual | Guidance | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-12-10 | 0.49 | not stored | not stored | $7.81B | not stored | none | synthetic_demo |
| 2026-10-23 | 0.44 | not stored | not stored | $7.81B | not stored | none | synthetic_demo |
| 2026-07-19 | 0.44 | 0.49 | +10.7% | $7.81B | $7.93B | maintain | synthetic_demo |
| 2026-06-01 | 0.42 | 0.47 | +11.1% | $7.81B | $8.14B | maintain | synthetic_demo |
| 2026-04-14 | 0.48 | 0.55 | +14.1% | $7.81B | $7.54B | raise | synthetic_demo |
| 2026-02-25 | 0.45 | 0.46 | +2.7% | $7.81B | $7.89B | lower | synthetic_demo |
| 2026-01-08 | 0.45 | 0.41 | -9.5% | $7.81B | $7.88B | raise | synthetic_demo |
| 2025-11-21 | 0.48 | 0.43 | -11.4% | $7.81B | $7.78B | raise | synthetic_demo |
| As of | Horizon | EPS avg | EPS high | EPS low | Revenue | Analysts | 90d revisions |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-23 | FY1 | 1.97 | 2.13 | 1.80 | $33.7B | 18 | 3 / 8 |
| 2026-10-23 | FY2 | 2.07 | 2.20 | 1.77 | $34.3B | 21 | 8 / 2 |
| 2026-10-23 | Q1 | 0.49 | 0.54 | 0.49 | $8.19B | 20 | 11 / 6 |
| 2026-10-23 | Q2 | 0.48 | 0.49 | 0.47 | $8.35B | 35 | 8 / 5 |
Analyst actions
Stored rating changes and targets. The consensus numbers are the same ones the sentiment component read.
| Date | Firm | Action | From | To | Target | Consensus | % buy |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | Northgate Securities | downgrade | Buy | Outperform | $57.51 | 1.52 | 70% |
| 2026-08-24 | Meridian Research | maintained | Hold | Hold | $49.77 | 1.52 | 65% |
| 2026-07-14 | Halcyon Partners | initiated | Neutral | Neutral | $64.92 | 1.52 | 67% |
| 2026-05-27 | Northgate Securities | maintained | Sell | Sell | $66.92 | 1.52 | 62% |
| 2026-04-17 | Kestrel Analytics | downgrade | Buy | Outperform | $48.14 | 1.52 | 70% |
Ownership, insiders and short interest
Inst. position change-63.6%reported change vs the prior stored quarter
Net insider (USD)not stored
Short % of float8.3%
Days to cover26.9
| Period end | Holder | Type | Shares | Value | % float | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | Vanguard Index Group | fund | 176M | $9.72B | 8.7% | not stored |
| 2026-09-01 | Vanguard Index Group | fund | 176M | $9.72B | 8.7% | not stored |
| 2026-09-01 | Vanguard Index Group | fund | 176M | $9.72B | 8.7% | not stored |
| 2026-09-01 | Vanguard Index Group | fund | 176M | $9.72B | 8.7% | not stored |
| 2026-09-01 | Vanguard Index Group | fund | 176M | $9.72B | 8.7% | not stored |
| 2026-09-01 | Capital Research Global | fund | 159M | $8.81B | 7.9% | not stored |
| 2026-09-01 | Capital Research Global | fund | 159M | $8.81B | 7.9% | not stored |
| 2026-09-01 | Capital Research Global | fund | 159M | $8.81B | 7.9% | not stored |
| Trade date | Owner | Title | Type | Shares | Price | Value | Owned after |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-19 | Demo Officer EA85E0 | Chief Executive Officer | Option Exercise (option) | 184k | $55.38 | $10.2M | 4.65M |
| 2026-02-15 | Demo Officer 172F10 | Director | Option Exercise (option) | 202k | $55.14 | $11.2M | 4.06M |
| 2026-02-02 | Demo Officer E98FB4 | General Counsel | Grant | 82.6k | $63.11 | $4.56M | 989k |
Dividends and splits
| Ex-date | Pay date | Amount | Frequency | Yield at ex |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-18 | 2026-10-06 | $0.168 | quarterly | 1.22% |
| 2026-06-05 | 2026-06-23 | $0.169 | quarterly | 1.22% |
| 2026-03-06 | 2026-03-24 | $0.170 | quarterly | 1.22% |
| 2025-12-12 | 2025-12-30 | $0.170 | quarterly | 1.22% |
| 2025-09-05 | 2025-09-23 | $0.171 | quarterly | 1.22% |
| 2025-06-06 | 2025-06-24 | $0.172 | quarterly | 1.22% |
| 2025-03-07 | 2025-03-25 | $0.172 | quarterly | 1.22% |
| 2024-12-13 | 2024-12-31 | $0.173 | quarterly | 1.22% |
| 2024-09-20 | 2024-10-08 | $0.174 | quarterly | 1.22% |
Nothing stored yet.
Options
Stored chain for expiry 2026-11-06 · 9 call / 9 put strikes
Strikes stored189 calls / 9 puts on this expiry
Chain volume72.1kcontracts across all listed strikes
Chain open interest540k
Chain IV (mean)32.9%the column stores a fraction; ×100 for display
Put/call volume0.665from the daily aggregate row for 2026-10-23
Call / put volume49.2k / 32.7k
IV3028.9%stored as a fraction
HV3028.1%realised 30-day vol
IV rank33.4 /100
OI change+3.2%percent, as stored
Expiries stored4
Chain as of2026-10-23 17:35
News mentioning QCOM
Stored headlines linked to this security, newest first. Sentiment scores come from the stored scorer, not from this page.
Demo synthetic: QCOM faces second request in pending acquisition
Synthetic demo item generated to exercise the sentiment pipeline. No external source; no factual content.
Demo synthetic: QCOM faces second request in pending acquisition
Synthetic demo item generated to exercise the sentiment pipeline. No external source; no factual content.
Demo synthetic: QCOM faces second request in pending acquisition
Synthetic demo item generated to exercise the sentiment pipeline. No external source; no factual content.
Demo synthetic: QCOM faces second request in pending acquisition
Synthetic demo item generated to exercise the sentiment pipeline. No external source; no factual content.
Demo synthetic: QCOM faces second request in pending acquisition
Synthetic demo item generated to exercise the sentiment pipeline. No external source; no factual content.