Cisco Systems
CSCO
ACCUMULATE MEDIUM EQUITY
DEMO
$310.38
+1.53% 1-day change from the stored snapshot · 27 hours ago
DEMO DATASET
last stored bar 2026-10-23 · scores computed 2026-10-23 17:35:22 · every figure below is read from these rows, nothing is computed in the browser
Price · stored daily bars
126 bars ending 2026-10-23 · demo data
1M
3M
6M
1Y
2Y
5Y
MAX
SMA 20
SMA 50
SMA 200
Bollinger
VWAP
Indicators are computed from the same stored closes the score used; the forecast fan is drawn from qm_predictions, not from a live model call.
how this is drawn
Open $311.32
Day range $320.64 / $305.86
Prev close $305.72
Volume 87.1M
RVOL 30d 1.49× session volume over stored 30-day average
Avg $ volume $17.6B
Market cap $1.53T
HV20 32.7% ann.
Beta 0.58
RSI(14) 58.2
ATR % 4.22%
Max drawdown -31.4%
52-week range from $211.35 to $340.52
52-week low / high $211.35 / $340.52
From 52w high -8.8%
Liquidity not stored days of average volume to fill 1% of float
Forecast
Stored scenarios from the last pipeline run. The model that wrote them is named on each row; no forecast is generated when you look at this page.
1D +1.5%
5D +2.0%
1M +5.0%
3M +9.0%
6M +12.0%
12M +17.5%
Horizon Ref Bull high Base range Bear low
P10 → P90 P(up) Confidence Risk
1D
2026-10-23 17:35:22
310.38
318.14 +2.5%
308.83 → 315.04 -0.5% … +1.5%
304.17 -2.0%
305.72 → 316.59
56.0% 68 760 bars, blended vol 32%, score 65, coverage 100%%
LOW
HV 31.6% ann. · 760 bars
5D
2026-10-23 17:35:22
310.38
325.90 +5.0%
307.28 → 316.59 -1.0% … +2.0%
297.96 -4.0%
301.07 → 322.80
58.0% 68 760 bars, blended vol 32%, score 65, coverage 100%%
LOW
HV 31.6% ann. · 760 bars
1M
2026-10-23 17:35:22
310.38
341.42 +10.0%
304.17 → 325.90 -2.0% … +5.0%
288.65 -7.0%
294.86 → 335.21
58.0% 68 760 bars, blended vol 32%, score 65, coverage 100%%
LOW
HV 31.6% ann. · 760 bars
3M
2026-10-23 17:35:22
310.38
366.25 +18.0%
301.07 → 338.31 -3.0% … +9.0%
273.13 -12.0%
282.45 → 352.28
58.0% 68 760 bars, blended vol 32%, score 65, coverage 100%%
LOW
HV 31.6% ann. · 760 bars
6M
2026-10-23 17:35:22
310.38
389.53 +25.5%
296.41 → 347.63 -4.5% … +12.0%
254.51 -18.0%
268.48 → 370.90
58.0% 68 760 bars, blended vol 32%, score 65, coverage 100%%
LOW
HV 31.6% ann. · 760 bars
12M
2026-10-23 17:35:22
310.38
419.01 +35.0%
287.10 → 364.70 -7.5% … +17.5%
232.79 -25.0%
256.06 → 395.73
58.0% 68 760 bars, blended vol 32%, score 65, coverage 100%%
MEDIUM
HV 31.6% ann. · 760 bars
Bull case
If price above the 200-day average (trend intact), RSI mid-range — room to extend, a volatility-compressed setup resolving upward would accelerate the move, the upside path is the 80–95th percentile band shown here.
band +1.5% … +2.5% · 310.38 – 310.38
Base case
mildly positive
band -0.5% … +1.5% · 310.38 – 310.38
Bear case
Downside triggers: a market-wide risk-off move alone can carry the 5–20th percentile band. Treat the 5–20th percentile band as the stress case for sizing, not as a worst case.
band -2.0% … -1.0% · 310.38 – 310.38
Catalysts the model is watching
Earnings report 2026-10-23 (after close)
Demo synthetic: CSCO cut to neutral on valuation
Demo synthetic: CSCO guides below consensus on cost pressure
Demo synthetic: rate expectations shift, CSCO beta repriced
Street target implies 6.7%
Key risks & invalidation
Model assumptions
Realised volatility stays near its recent level (blended 31.6% annualised).
The scoring tilt persists over the window; no structural break (fraud, delisting, forced guidance cut).
Returns are approximated as lognormal; fat tails are handled by widening, not by point forecasts.
Index regime assumed: sideways.
Close below the 288.21 support band or the strategy stop.
Earnings or regulatory headline that changes forward estimates by more than the modelled window σ.
Volatility expanding beyond 51% annualised invalidates position sizing.
Loss of the fundamental pillars used in the score (guidance cut, covenant breach, auditor change).
Reference price 310.38 at
2026-10-23 17:35:22 · regime at generation
sideways · data
demo · freshness
0s.
These bands are conditional distributions from stored inputs, not advice or a promise about outcomes.
Fundamentals
Latest stored period · FY2026 · filed 2026-12-31
Revenue $190B YoY +13.9%
EPS (TTM) 12.68 growth +17.1%
Net income $62.3B
Free cash flow $68.9B margin 34.8%
Gross margin 66.2%
Operating margin 37.4%
ROE 19.7%
ROIC 19.1%
Debt / equity 1.36
Current ratio 1.14
Interest cover 8.50×
Net debt $6.11B
P/E 24.85×
P/E forward 21.91×
PEG 1.85
P/S · P/B · EV/EBITDA 8.17 · 4.90 · 17.14
Dividend yield 1.35% payout 52%
Buyback yield 1.55%
Profit margin 32.9%
Cash $52.5B
Stored periods (raw rows, newest first)
Period Revenue Revenue YoY EPS Gross margin Op margin FCF margin ROE Filed FY2026 FY $190B +13.9% 12.68 66.2% 37.4% 34.8% 19.7% 2026-12-31 FY2025 FY $162B +13.2% 10.84 77.1% 36.6% 26.3% 16.4% 2025-12-31 FY2024 FY $143B +14.9% 9.58 65.5% 36.8% 23.4% 17.2% 2024-12-31 FY2023 FY $131B +14.5% 8.75 73.8% 39.0% 32.7% 8.3% 2023-12-31 Q4 2026 Q $32.7B +14.5% 2.19 73.8% 39.0% 32.7% 8.3% 2026-07-01
Earnings and estimates
Next stored report 2026-12-10 · 0 day(s) away
Implied move 4.2% from the stored option chain
EPS estimate 3.17
Revenue estimate $47.4B
Consensus index 64.4 stored on 0–100 in the snapshot; higher = more constructive
% buy ratings not stored null on this row — the snapshot job did not store it
Target upside not stored
Gap risk 0.62% median overnight gap
Time of day amc
Report EPS est EPS actual Surprise Rev est Rev actual Guidance Source 2026-12-10 3.17 not stored not stored $47.4B not stored none synthetic_demo 2026-10-23 3.30 not stored not stored $47.4B not stored none synthetic_demo 2026-07-19 3.19 3.67 +14.9% $47.4B $48.2B lower synthetic_demo 2026-06-01 3.18 3.43 +7.8% $47.4B $47.2B maintain synthetic_demo 2026-04-14 3.16 3.63 +14.9% $47.4B $47.3B maintain synthetic_demo 2026-02-25 3.45 3.90 +12.8% $47.4B $48.4B maintain synthetic_demo 2026-01-08 3.03 3.27 +7.9% $47.4B $46.7B maintain synthetic_demo 2025-11-21 3.28 2.93 -10.5% $47.4B $45.9B raise synthetic_demo
As of Horizon EPS avg EPS high EPS low Revenue Analysts 90d revisions 2026-10-23 FY1 14.84 16.92 12.78 $199B 22 6 / 0 2026-10-23 FY2 13.76 15.93 13.21 $196B 23 1 / 9 2026-10-23 Q1 3.33 3.98 3.29 $48.7B 35 5 / 8 2026-10-23 Q2 3.74 4.40 3.05 $51.4B 7 5 / 9
Analyst actions
Stored rating changes and targets. The consensus numbers are the same ones the sentiment component read.
Date Firm Action From To Target Consensus % buy 2026-10-15 Northgate Securities upgrade Hold Neutral $333.57 2.30 42% 2026-08-31 Blue Harbor Capital Research maintained Outperform Outperform $332.02 2.30 42% 2026-07-05 Meridian Research upgrade Hold Buy $311.87 2.30 59% 2026-05-26 Northgate Securities upgrade Hold Hold $325.45 2.30 49% 2026-04-13 Blue Harbor Capital Research downgrade Buy Hold $352.85 2.30 55%
Ownership, insiders and short interest
Inst. position change -65.0% reported change vs the prior stored quarter
Net insider (USD) not stored
Short % of float 6.0%
Days to cover 11.1
Period end Holder Type Shares Value % float Change 2026-09-01 Capital Research Global fund 241M $74.9B 7.9% not stored 2026-09-01 Capital Research Global fund 241M $74.9B 7.9% not stored 2026-09-01 Capital Research Global fund 241M $74.9B 7.9% not stored 2026-09-01 Capital Research Global fund 241M $74.9B 7.9% not stored 2026-09-01 Capital Research Global fund 241M $74.9B 7.9% not stored 2026-09-01 Vanguard Index Group fund 196M $60.7B 6.4% not stored 2026-09-01 Vanguard Index Group fund 196M $60.7B 6.4% not stored 2026-09-01 Vanguard Index Group fund 196M $60.7B 6.4% not stored
Trade date Owner Title Type Shares Price Value Owned after 2026-07-04 Demo Officer 881E85 VP, Product Grant 84.5k $297.49 $26.2M 1.89M 2026-05-15 Demo Officer 0165DF Chief Executive Officer Grant 56.0k $295.84 $17.4M 521k 2026-01-18 Demo Officer 56D8A0 General Counsel Buy - 10b5-1 Plan 151k $275.94 $46.8M 2.14M 2026-01-11 Demo Officer F3FAB4 Director Buy - Open Market 206k $358.98 $64.0M 8.09M
Ex-date Pay date Amount Frequency Yield at ex 2026-08-28 2026-09-15 $1.050 quarterly 1.35% 2026-06-12 2026-06-30 $1.054 quarterly 1.35% 2026-03-20 2026-04-07 $1.058 quarterly 1.35% 2025-12-19 2026-01-06 $1.062 quarterly 1.35% 2025-09-19 2025-10-07 $1.067 quarterly 1.35% 2025-05-30 2025-06-17 $1.071 quarterly 1.35% 2025-02-28 2025-03-18 $1.075 quarterly 1.35% 2024-12-20 2025-01-07 $1.079 quarterly 1.35% 2024-09-20 2024-10-08 $1.083 quarterly 1.35%
Options
Stored chain for expiry 2026-11-06 · 9 call / 9 put strikes
Strikes stored 18 9 calls / 9 puts on this expiry
Chain volume 95.7k contracts across all listed strikes
Chain open interest 678k
Chain IV (mean) 39.5% the column stores a fraction; ×100 for display
Put/call volume 1.271 from the daily aggregate row for 2026-10-23
Call / put volume 24.4k / 31.0k
IV30 35.2% stored as a fraction
HV30 36.5% realised 30-day vol
IV rank 33.3 /100
OI change +0.0% percent, as stored
Expiries stored 4
Chain as of 2026-10-23 17:35
News mentioning CSCO
Stored headlines linked to this security, newest first. Sentiment scores come from the stored scorer, not from this page.
Demo synthetic: CSCO cut to neutral on valuation
analyst
9 days ago
-58% sentiment importance 0
Synthetic demo item generated to exercise the sentiment pipeline. No external source; no factual content.
Demo synthetic: CSCO guides below consensus on cost pressure
earnings
10 days ago
-69% sentiment importance 0 earnings
Synthetic demo item generated to exercise the sentiment pipeline. No external source; no factual content.
Demo synthetic: rate expectations shift, CSCO beta repriced
macro
17 days ago
+1% sentiment importance 0
Synthetic demo item generated to exercise the sentiment pipeline. No external source; no factual content.
Score qm_ai_scores row #788
65.4
composite / 100 · model score-1.0.0
ACCUMULATE
risk MEDIUM
confidence 63
Technical 25
70.3
Fundamental 25
65.0
Momentum 15
70.2
Sentiment 10
57.3
Institutional 10
31.2
Risk 15
81.4
Why the model scored it this way
SENTIMENT
Analyst Distribution
100
100% Buy/Strong Buy · 1% Hold · 3% Sell/Short
RISK
Correlation
96
Correlation to benchmark 0.63-year rolling: 0.32
RISK
Liquidity
96
Average $17557.1M traded per session
MOMENTUM
Momentum Persistence
95
4 of 4 measured horizons are positive
SENTIMENT
Sentiment Delta
95
30-day sentiment change 44.1 pts
SENTIMENT
Recent Headline Tone
5
Last items: 0 positive / 2 negative headlines
RISK
Gap Risk
95
Median overnight gap 0.62% — position sizing must survive opens
SENTIMENT
Estimate Revisions
10
Net EPS estimate revisions (90d): -9
RISK
Beta
89
Beta 0.58 vs the reference index
TECHNICAL
Trend Structure
88
Price vs 20/50/200-day moving averages: strong up
FUNDAMENTAL
Operating Margin
86
Operating margin 37.4%
TECHNICAL
Macd Signal
85
MACD(12,26,9) bullish, histogram 0.525
RISK
Market Risk
85
Benchmark volatility 20.1% · regime: Sideways · normal vol · risk-off
FUNDAMENTAL
Gross Margin
83
Gross margin 66.2%
Scored on synthetic demonstration data . Directionally realistic, not a forecast of any real market.
Category ranks Position among scored securities in each evidence category.
Category Score Rank Evidence GROWTH 30.9 1 Revenue 13.9% / EPS 17.1% growth GROWTH 30.9 1 Revenue 13.9% / EPS 17.1% growth GROWTH 30.9 1 Revenue 13.9% / EPS 17.1% growth GROWTH 30.9 1 Revenue 13.9% / EPS 17.1% growth GROWTH 30.9 1 Revenue 13.9% / EPS 17.1% growth
Levels Stored support/resistance from the snapshot row, not drawn from the chart in the browser.
Resistance (stored)
$313.89
Support (stored)
$268.93
20-day SMA
$300.81
50-day SMA
$297.79
200-day SMA
$288.21
Trend
strong_up
Above SMA50 / SMA200
yes / no From 52w high
-8.8% MACD histogram
0.525
RSI(14)
58.2
Relative strength (3m)
-3.3% RS rank
not stored /100
Sentiment Stored buckets (each row is one scoring run over the news window).
Bucket start Score Label Mentions Method 2026-10-20 13:00 -4% neutral 11 synthetic demo tone index — not real sentiment 2026-10-20 14:00 -4% neutral 11 synthetic demo tone index — not real sentiment 2026-10-20 16:00 -4% neutral 11 synthetic demo tone index — not real sentiment 2026-10-20 17:00 -4% neutral 11 synthetic demo tone index — not real sentiment 2026-10-23 13:00 -8% neutral 29 synthetic demo tone index — not real sentiment 2026-10-23 14:00 -8% neutral 29 synthetic demo tone index — not real sentiment 2026-10-23 16:00 -8% neutral 29 synthetic demo tone index — not real sentiment 2026-10-23 17:00 -8% neutral 29 synthetic demo tone index — not real sentiment
Stored catalysts Earnings report 2026-10-23 (after close) Demo synthetic: CSCO cut to neutral on valuation Demo synthetic: CSCO guides below consensus on cost pressure Demo synthetic: rate expectations shift, CSCO beta repriced Street target implies 6.7% Stored risks
Same sector Ranked by stored composite score.
Symbol Price 1d Score Stance ATLS $27.00 -1.03% 64.8 CONSTRUCTIVE XLK $240.00 -0.59% 64.6 CONSTRUCTIVE NOW $409.75 +1.39% 64.6 CONSTRUCTIVE PLTR $48.96 +0.32% 60.8 CONSTRUCTIVE ORCL $584.14 -0.31% 60.4 CONSTRUCTIVE NVX $24.50 -0.16% 59.9 CONSTRUCTIVE
Validation
Forecasts on this symbol whose horizon has matured, scored against the stored bars.
Nothing to score yet: settle the matured forecasts with
php bin/pipeline.php --cmd=settle and this table fills with realised-versus-forecast rows.
Symbol Price 1d Cap P/E PEG P/S P/B Rev growth EPS growth ROE Gross Op margin MSFT $235.96 -2.04% $1.40T 21.12× 2.31 7.04× 5.41× +10.3% +8.9% 25.6% 75.0% 37.6% CRM $205.75 -4.05% $1.22T 27.69× 2.85 5.85× 4.82× +10.3% +9.6% 17.4% 48.6% 21.3% NOW $409.75 +1.39% $1.18T 58.28× 1.58 11.79× 6.30× +38.2% +34.4% 10.8% 39.6% 20.6% AVGO $334.89 +1.12% $1.99T 23.51× 2.54 5.85× 0.98× +8.2% +10.3% 4.1% 54.1% 29.4% AMD $521.19 -2.33% $971B 38.99× 0.96 5.19× 3.70× +39.7% +42.5% 9.5% 29.0% 13.6% AAPL $136.25 -0.95% $595B 23.62× 3.25 6.62× 0.85× +8.7% +7.4% 3.6% 57.5% 29.2% ADBE $530.53 -0.57% $2.47T 23.08× 1.99 4.66× 1.01× +10.3% +14.7% 4.4% 39.3% 20.4% NVDA $190.18 +0.10% $383B 36.75× 0.83 2.00× 4.56× +45.5% +59.2% 12.4% 12.1% 6.0% SHOP $96.96 +3.50% $191B 63.65× 1.58 10.73× 2.13× +41.4% +53.5% 3.3% 34.9% 19.8% QCOM $55.28 -3.31% $179B 29.84× 4.28 5.58× 4.84× +6.0% +7.8% 16.2% 42.9% 19.1%
What this page did not do.
It did not fetch a quote, call an external model, or extend the chart. It read
156000 stored bar rows in total across the universe (demo data,
last trade 2026-10-23), and the score shown here was written at
2026-10-23 17:35 by model score-1.0.0.