Bull case
If a volatility-compressed setup resolving upward would accelerate the move, the upside path is the 80–95th percentile band shown here.
band +1.0% … +2.0% · 334.89 – 334.89
Broadcom Inc.
AVGO NEUTRAL MEDIUM EQUITY DEMO
$334.89
+1.12%
1-day change from the stored snapshot · 2 days ago
DEMO DATASET last stored bar 2026-10-23 · scores computed 2026-10-25 04:13:59 · every figure below is read from these rows, nothing is computed in the browser
Price · stored daily bars
126 bars ending 2026-10-23 · demo data
Indicators are computed from the same stored closes the score used; the forecast fan is drawn from qm_predictions, not from a live model call.
how this is drawn
Open$329.09
Day range$343.84 / $326.61
Prev close$331.19
Volume103M
RVOL 30d1.64×session volume over stored 30-day average
Avg $ volume$22.8B
Market cap$1.99T
HV2033.3% ann.
Beta0.61
RSI(14)36.6
ATR %4.56%
Max drawdown-61.1%
52-week rangefrom $316.58 to $524.70
52-week low / high$316.58 / $524.70
From 52w high-36.2%
Liquiditynot storeddays of average volume to fill 1% of float
Forecast
Stored scenarios from the last pipeline run. The model that wrote them is named on each row; no forecast is generated when you look at this page.
| Horizon | Ref | Bull high | Base range | Bear low | P10 → P90 | P(up) | Confidence | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1D
2026-10-25 04:13:59 |
334.89 | 341.59 +2.0% | 331.54 → 338.24 -1.0% … +1.0% |
328.19 -2.0% | 329.87 → 339.91 | 51.0% | 55 760 bars, blended vol 32%, score 53, coverage 100%% |
LOW
HV 32.4% ann. · 760 bars |
| 5D
2026-10-25 04:13:59 |
334.89 | 351.63 +5.0% | 328.19 → 341.59 -2.0% … +2.0% |
321.49 -4.0% | 324.84 → 348.29 | 51.0% | 55 760 bars, blended vol 32%, score 53, coverage 100%% |
LOW
HV 32.4% ann. · 760 bars |
| 1M
2026-10-25 04:13:59 |
334.89 | 368.38 +10.0% | 321.49 → 348.29 -4.0% … +4.0% |
304.75 -9.0% | 311.45 → 361.68 | 51.0% | 55 760 bars, blended vol 32%, score 53, coverage 100%% |
LOW
HV 32.4% ann. · 760 bars |
| 3M
2026-10-25 04:13:59 |
334.89 | 390.15 +16.5% | 314.80 → 360.01 -6.0% … +7.5% |
284.66 -15.0% | 294.70 → 380.10 | 51.0% | 55 760 bars, blended vol 32%, score 53, coverage 100%% |
LOW
HV 32.4% ann. · 760 bars |
| 6M
2026-10-25 04:13:59 |
334.89 | 415.26 +24.0% | 304.75 → 370.05 -9.0% … +10.5% |
259.54 -22.5% | 279.63 → 395.17 | 51.0% | 55 760 bars, blended vol 32%, score 53, coverage 100%% |
LOW
HV 32.4% ann. · 760 bars |
| 12M
2026-10-25 04:13:59 |
334.89 | 443.73 +32.5% | 293.03 → 385.12 -12.5% … +15.0% |
226.05 -32.5% | 251.17 → 418.61 | 51.0% | 55 760 bars, blended vol 32%, score 53, coverage 100%% |
MEDIUM
HV 32.4% ann. · 760 bars |
Base case
mildly positive
band -1.0% … +1.0% · 334.89 – 334.89
Bear case
Downside triggers: momentum is fading. Treat the 5–20th percentile band as the stress case for sizing, not as a worst case.
band -2.0% … -1.0% · 334.89 – 334.89
Catalysts the model is watching
- Earnings report 2026-12-10 (as scheduled)
- Demo synthetic: street lifts AVGO target after channel checks
- Demo synthetic: street lifts AVGO target after channel checks
- Demo synthetic: street lifts AVGO target after channel checks
- Street target implies -4.3%
Key risks & invalidation
- Historic drawdown deeper than 61%
- Binary event: 2026-12-10
Model assumptions
- Realised volatility stays near its recent level (blended 32.4% annualised).
- The scoring tilt persists over the window; no structural break (fraud, delisting, forced guidance cut).
- Returns are approximated as lognormal; fat tails are handled by widening, not by point forecasts.
- Index regime assumed: sideways.
- Close below the 408.4 support band or the strategy stop.
- Earnings or regulatory headline that changes forward estimates by more than the modelled window σ.
- Volatility expanding beyond 52% annualised invalidates position sizing.
- Loss of the fundamental pillars used in the score (guidance cut, covenant breach, auditor change).
Reference price 334.89 at
2026-10-25 04:13:59 · regime at generation
sideways · data
demo · freshness
112439s.
These bands are conditional distributions from stored inputs, not advice or a promise about outcomes.
Fundamentals
Latest stored period · FY2026 · filed 2026-12-31
Revenue$339BYoY +8.2%
EPS (TTM)14.23growth +10.3%
Net income$84.4B
Free cash flow$71.7Bmargin 17.7%
Gross margin54.1%
Operating margin29.4%
ROE4.1%
ROIC12.6%
Debt / equity2.24
Current ratio1.93
Interest cover14.33×
Net debt$106B
P/E23.51×
P/E forward21.52×
PEG2.54
P/S · P/B · EV/EBITDA5.85 · 0.98 · 16.21
Dividend yield1.19%payout 20%
Buyback yield1.23%
Profit margin24.9%
Cash$72.6B
Stored periods (raw rows, newest first)
| Period | Revenue | Revenue YoY | EPS | Gross margin | Op margin | FCF margin | ROE | Filed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2026 FY | $339B | +8.2% | 14.23 | 54.1% | 29.4% | 17.7% | 4.1% | 2026-12-31 |
| FY2025 FY | $305B | +7.9% | 12.80 | 58.7% | 29.0% | 19.2% | 21.6% | 2025-12-31 |
| FY2024 FY | $285B | +8.3% | 11.95 | 48.8% | 28.6% | 22.9% | 18.9% | 2024-12-31 |
| FY2023 FY | $262B | +9.9% | 11.00 | 57.0% | 26.6% | 28.9% | 16.7% | 2023-12-31 |
| Q4 2026 Q | $65.5B | +9.9% | 2.75 | 57.0% | 26.6% | 28.9% | 16.7% | 2026-07-01 |
Earnings and estimates
Next stored report 2026-12-10 · 33 day(s) away
Implied move6.7%from the stored option chain
EPS estimate3.80
Revenue estimate$84.7B
Consensus index54.5stored on 0–100 in the snapshot; higher = more constructive
% buy ratingsnot storednull on this row — the snapshot job did not store it
Target upsidenot stored
Gap risk0.54%median overnight gap
Time of daybmo
| Report | EPS est | EPS actual | Surprise | Rev est | Rev actual | Guidance | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-12-10 | 3.80 | not stored | not stored | $84.7B | not stored | none | synthetic_demo |
| 2026-10-23 | 3.45 | not stored | not stored | $84.7B | not stored | none | synthetic_demo |
| 2026-07-19 | 3.36 | 3.58 | +6.7% | $84.7B | $87.8B | raise | synthetic_demo |
| 2026-06-01 | 3.45 | 3.23 | -6.3% | $84.7B | $86.6B | raise | synthetic_demo |
| 2026-04-14 | 3.40 | 3.14 | -7.7% | $84.7B | $85.3B | maintain | synthetic_demo |
| 2026-02-25 | 3.65 | 3.97 | +8.8% | $84.7B | $83.2B | raise | synthetic_demo |
| 2026-01-08 | 3.41 | 3.64 | +6.8% | $84.7B | $81.6B | lower | synthetic_demo |
| 2025-11-21 | 3.69 | 4.04 | +9.4% | $84.7B | $84.5B | maintain | synthetic_demo |
| As of | Horizon | EPS avg | EPS high | EPS low | Revenue | Analysts | 90d revisions |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-25 | FY1 | 16.88 | 17.16 | 15.55 | $360B | 6 | 8 / 1 |
| 2026-10-25 | FY2 | 16.84 | 16.96 | 16.70 | $364B | 26 | 7 / 2 |
| 2026-10-25 | Q1 | 3.89 | 4.02 | 3.15 | $86.0B | 11 | 0 / 9 |
| 2026-10-25 | Q2 | 3.75 | 3.95 | 3.35 | $89.2B | 33 | 7 / 2 |
| 2026-10-24 | FY1 | 16.88 | 17.16 | 15.55 | $360B | 6 | 8 / 1 |
| 2026-10-24 | FY2 | 16.84 | 16.96 | 16.70 | $364B | 26 | 7 / 2 |
| 2026-10-24 | Q1 | 3.89 | 4.02 | 3.15 | $86.0B | 11 | 0 / 9 |
| 2026-10-24 | Q2 | 3.75 | 3.95 | 3.35 | $89.2B | 33 | 7 / 2 |
Analyst actions
Stored rating changes and targets. The consensus numbers are the same ones the sentiment component read.
| Date | Firm | Action | From | To | Target | Consensus | % buy |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-13 | Meridian Research | downgrade | Buy | Buy | $317.09 | 3.61 | 35% |
| 2026-08-28 | Blue Harbor Capital Research | upgrade | Hold | Buy | $289.78 | 3.61 | 23% |
| 2026-07-21 | Kestrel Analytics | maintained | Neutral | Neutral | $328.63 | 3.61 | 32% |
| 2026-05-31 | Halcyon Partners | downgrade | Buy | Hold | $340.63 | 3.61 | 22% |
| 2026-04-06 | Northgate Securities | downgrade | Buy | Neutral | $325.81 | 3.61 | 31% |
Ownership, insiders and short interest
Inst. position change-71.7%reported change vs the prior stored quarter
Net insider (USD)not stored
Short % of float5.7%
Days to cover10.7
| Period end | Holder | Type | Shares | Value | % float | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | Capital Research Global | fund | 269M | $90.2B | 7.3% | not stored |
| 2026-09-01 | Capital Research Global | fund | 269M | $90.2B | 7.3% | not stored |
| 2026-09-01 | Capital Research Global | fund | 269M | $90.2B | 7.3% | not stored |
| 2026-09-01 | Capital Research Global | fund | 269M | $90.2B | 7.3% | not stored |
| 2026-09-01 | Capital Research Global | fund | 269M | $90.2B | 7.3% | not stored |
| 2026-09-01 | Capital Research Global | fund | 269M | $90.2B | 7.3% | not stored |
| 2026-09-01 | Capital Research Global | fund | 269M | $90.2B | 7.3% | not stored |
| 2026-09-01 | Capital Research Global | fund | 269M | $90.2B | 7.3% | not stored |
| Trade date | Owner | Title | Type | Shares | Price | Value | Owned after |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-20 | Demo Officer AEBD2A | VP, Product | Sale - Open Market | 35.4k | $387.22 | $11.9M | 1.36M |
| 2026-06-05 | Demo Officer 224A75 | Director | Grant | 42.9k | $319.30 | $14.4M | 1.03M |
| 2026-04-03 | Demo Officer 2E4A45 | Director | Grant | 28.8k | $303.68 | $9.65M | 623k |
| 2026-02-17 | Demo Officer 06CC1D | Chief Executive Officer | Grant | 242k | $332.91 | $81.0M | 3.12M |
Dividends and splits
| Ex-date | Pay date | Amount | Frequency | Yield at ex |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | 2026-09-17 | $0.995 | quarterly | 1.19% |
| 2026-08-29 | 2026-09-16 | $0.995 | quarterly | 1.19% |
| 2026-08-28 | 2026-09-15 | $0.995 | quarterly | 1.19% |
| 2026-06-21 | 2026-07-09 | $0.999 | quarterly | 1.19% |
| 2026-06-20 | 2026-07-08 | $0.999 | quarterly | 1.19% |
| 2026-06-19 | 2026-07-07 | $0.999 | quarterly | 1.19% |
| 2026-03-01 | 2026-03-19 | $1.003 | quarterly | 1.19% |
| 2026-02-28 | 2026-03-18 | $1.003 | quarterly | 1.19% |
| 2026-02-27 | 2026-03-17 | $1.003 | quarterly | 1.19% |
| 2025-11-30 | 2025-12-18 | $1.007 | quarterly | 1.19% |
Nothing stored yet.
Options
Stored chain for expiry 2026-11-06 · 9 call / 9 put strikes
Strikes stored189 calls / 9 puts on this expiry
Chain volume62.5kcontracts across all listed strikes
Chain open interest414k
Chain IV (mean)33.7%the column stores a fraction; ×100 for display
Put/call volume0.800from the daily aggregate row for 2026-10-25
Call / put volume32.1k / 25.7k
IV3029.8%stored as a fraction
HV3031.4%realised 30-day vol
IV rank48.9 /100
OI change+0.6%percent, as stored
Expiries stored12
Chain as of2026-10-23 17:35
News mentioning AVGO
Stored headlines linked to this security, newest first. Sentiment scores come from the stored scorer, not from this page.
Demo synthetic: street lifts AVGO target after channel checks
Synthetic demo item generated to exercise the sentiment pipeline. No external source; no factual content.
Demo synthetic: street lifts AVGO target after channel checks
Synthetic demo item generated to exercise the sentiment pipeline. No external source; no factual content.
Demo synthetic: street lifts AVGO target after channel checks
Synthetic demo item generated to exercise the sentiment pipeline. No external source; no factual content.
Demo synthetic: street lifts AVGO target after channel checks
Synthetic demo item generated to exercise the sentiment pipeline. No external source; no factual content.
Demo synthetic: street lifts AVGO target after channel checks
Synthetic demo item generated to exercise the sentiment pipeline. No external source; no factual content.
Demo synthetic: street lifts AVGO target after channel checks
Synthetic demo item generated to exercise the sentiment pipeline. No external source; no factual content.
Demo synthetic: street lifts AVGO target after channel checks
Synthetic demo item generated to exercise the sentiment pipeline. No external source; no factual content.
Demo synthetic: street lifts AVGO target after channel checks
Synthetic demo item generated to exercise the sentiment pipeline. No external source; no factual content.
Demo synthetic: rate expectations shift, AVGO beta repriced
Synthetic demo item generated to exercise the sentiment pipeline. No external source; no factual content.
Demo synthetic: rate expectations shift, AVGO beta repriced
Synthetic demo item generated to exercise the sentiment pipeline. No external source; no factual content.
Demo synthetic: rate expectations shift, AVGO beta repriced
Synthetic demo item generated to exercise the sentiment pipeline. No external source; no factual content.
Demo synthetic: rate expectations shift, AVGO beta repriced
Synthetic demo item generated to exercise the sentiment pipeline. No external source; no factual content.
Demo synthetic: rate expectations shift, AVGO beta repriced
Synthetic demo item generated to exercise the sentiment pipeline. No external source; no factual content.
Demo synthetic: rate expectations shift, AVGO beta repriced
Synthetic demo item generated to exercise the sentiment pipeline. No external source; no factual content.