Oracle Corp.

ORCL CONSTRUCTIVE MEDIUM EQUITY DEMO

$584.14 -0.31% 1-day change from the stored snapshot · 27 hours ago

DEMO DATASET last stored bar 2026-10-23 · scores computed 2026-10-23 17:35:22 · every figure below is read from these rows, nothing is computed in the browser

Price · stored daily bars

126 bars ending 2026-10-23 · demo data

Indicators are computed from the same stored closes the score used; the forecast fan is drawn from qm_predictions, not from a live model call. how this is drawn

Open$576.18

Day range$590.15 / $569.76

Prev close$585.97

Volume69.1M

RVOL 30d1.92×session volume over stored 30-day average

Avg $ volume$21.4B

Market cap$3.13T

HV2020.1% ann.

Beta0.54

RSI(14)48.6

ATR %3.29%

Max drawdown-57.3%

52-week rangefrom $534.95 to $875.20

52-week low / high$534.95 / $875.20

From 52w high-33.3%

Liquiditynot storeddays of average volume to fill 1% of float

Forecast

Stored scenarios from the last pipeline run. The model that wrote them is named on each row; no forecast is generated when you look at this page.

Horizon	Ref	Bull high	Base range	Bear low	P10 → P90	P(up)	Confidence	Risk
1D 2026-10-23 17:35:22	584.14	595.82 +2.0%	581.22 → 589.98 -0.5% … +1.0%	575.38 -1.5%	578.30 → 592.90	54.0%	68 760 bars, blended vol 23%, score 60, coverage 100%%	LOW HV 23.0% ann. · 760 bars
5D 2026-10-23 17:35:22	584.14	601.66 +3.0%	578.30 → 595.82 -1.0% … +2.0%	566.62 -3.0%	572.46 → 601.66	55.0%	68 760 bars, blended vol 23%, score 60, coverage 100%%	LOW HV 23.0% ann. · 760 bars
1M 2026-10-23 17:35:22	584.14	625.03 +7.0%	572.46 → 601.66 -2.0% … +3.0%	554.93 -5.0%	560.77 → 613.35	55.0%	68 760 bars, blended vol 23%, score 60, coverage 100%%	LOW HV 23.0% ann. · 760 bars
3M 2026-10-23 17:35:22	584.14	654.24 +12.0%	566.62 → 619.19 -3.0% … +6.0%	531.57 -9.0%	540.33 → 636.71	55.0%	68 760 bars, blended vol 23%, score 60, coverage 100%%	LOW HV 23.0% ann. · 760 bars
6M 2026-10-23 17:35:22	584.14	680.52 +16.5%	557.85 → 627.95 -4.5% … +7.5%	505.28 -13.5%	522.81 → 663.00	55.0%	68 760 bars, blended vol 23%, score 60, coverage 100%%	LOW HV 23.0% ann. · 760 bars
12M 2026-10-23 17:35:22	584.14	715.57 +22.5%	554.93 → 642.55 -5.0% … +10.0%	481.92 -17.5%	496.52 → 686.36	55.0%	68 760 bars, blended vol 23%, score 60, coverage 100%%	LOW HV 23.0% ann. · 760 bars

Bull case

If RSI mid-range — room to extend, a volatility-compressed setup resolving upward would accelerate the move, the upside path is the 80–95th percentile band shown here.

band +1.0% … +2.0% · 584.14 – 584.14

Base case

mildly positive

band -0.5% … +1.0% · 584.14 – 584.14

Bear case

Downside triggers: P/E 30× leaves no valuation buffer. Treat the 5–20th percentile band as the stress case for sizing, not as a worst case.

band -1.5% … -0.5% · 584.14 – 584.14

Catalysts the model is watching

Earnings report 2026-10-23 (as scheduled)
Demo synthetic: rate expectations shift, ORCL beta repriced
Street target implies 12.5%

Key risks & invalidation

Historic drawdown deeper than 57%
Binary event: 2026-10-23

Model assumptions

Realised volatility stays near its recent level (blended 23% annualised).
The scoring tilt persists over the window; no structural break (fraud, delisting, forced guidance cut).
Returns are approximated as lognormal; fat tails are handled by widening, not by point forecasts.
Index regime assumed: sideways.
Close below the 660.58 support band or the strategy stop.
Earnings or regulatory headline that changes forward estimates by more than the modelled window σ.
Volatility expanding beyond 37% annualised invalidates position sizing.
Loss of the fundamental pillars used in the score (guidance cut, covenant breach, auditor change).

Reference price 584.14 at 2026-10-23 17:35:22 · regime at generation sideways · data demo · freshness 0s. These bands are conditional distributions from stored inputs, not advice or a promise about outcomes.

Fundamentals

Latest stored period · FY2026 · filed 2026-12-31

snapshot JSON

Revenue$316BYoY +8.9%

EPS (TTM)19.03growth +12.1%

Net income$102B

Free cash flow$127Bmargin 23.6%

Gross margin73.7%

Operating margin34.2%

ROE3.0%

ROIC14.7%

Debt / equity0.59

Current ratio0.89

Interest cover16.64×

Net debt$58.9B

P/E30.03×

P/E forward27.37×

PEG3.09

P/S · P/B · EV/EBITDA9.69 · 0.89 · 20.71

Dividend yield0.43%payout 58%

Buyback yield2.94%

Profit margin32.3%

Cash$104B

Stored periods (raw rows, newest first)

Period	Revenue	Revenue YoY	EPS	Gross margin	Op margin	FCF margin	ROE	Filed
FY2026 FY	$316B	+8.9%	19.03	73.7%	34.2%	23.6%	3.0%	2026-12-31
FY2025 FY	$303B	+8.4%	18.25	62.5%	35.1%	26.5%	20.0%	2025-12-31
FY2024 FY	$261B	+8.7%	15.74	68.5%	32.7%	36.5%	21.0%	2024-12-31
FY2023 FY	$239B	+8.8%	14.38	67.5%	34.9%	27.3%	3.4%	2023-12-31
Q4 2026 Q	$59.6B	+8.8%	3.60	67.5%	34.9%	27.3%	3.4%	2026-07-01

Earnings and estimates

Next stored report 2026-12-10 · 0 day(s) away

Implied move5.3%from the stored option chain

EPS estimate5.19

Revenue estimate$78.9B

Consensus index51.5stored on 0–100 in the snapshot; higher = more constructive

% buy ratingsnot storednull on this row — the snapshot job did not store it

Target upsidenot stored

Gap risk0.50%median overnight gap

Time of daybmo

Report	EPS est	EPS actual	Surprise	Rev est	Rev actual	Guidance	Source
2026-12-10	5.19	not stored	not stored	$78.9B	not stored	none	synthetic_demo
2026-10-23	5.10	not stored	not stored	$78.9B	not stored	none	synthetic_demo
2026-07-19	5.21	5.88	+12.8%	$78.9B	$82.3B	lower	synthetic_demo
2026-06-01	5.14	4.68	-9.0%	$78.9B	$82.6B	maintain	synthetic_demo
2026-04-14	4.77	4.65	-2.6%	$78.9B	$78.1B	lower	synthetic_demo
2026-02-25	4.67	4.08	-12.6%	$78.9B	$76.0B	maintain	synthetic_demo
2026-01-08	4.82	4.54	-5.9%	$78.9B	$78.6B	lower	synthetic_demo
2025-11-21	5.02	4.51	-10.0%	$78.9B	$81.2B	maintain	synthetic_demo

As of	Horizon	EPS avg	EPS high	EPS low	Revenue	Analysts	90d revisions
2026-10-23	FY1	21.34	23.60	19.24	$317B	30	2 / 1
2026-10-23	FY2	20.65	22.98	18.41	$337B	11	7 / 6
2026-10-23	Q1	5.52	6.17	4.94	$79.9B	31	11 / 0
2026-10-23	Q2	5.56	5.93	5.12	$85.6B	36	0 / 7

Analyst actions

Stored rating changes and targets. The consensus numbers are the same ones the sentiment component read.

Date	Firm	Action	From	To	Target	Consensus	% buy
2026-10-20	Northgate Securities	maintained	Outperform	Outperform	$727.11	1.43	64%
2026-09-03	Meridian Research	initiated	Hold	Hold	$744.92	1.43	60%
2026-07-07	Northgate Securities	maintained	Outperform	Outperform	$658.32	1.43	70%
2026-05-26	Meridian Research	upgrade	Hold	Outperform	$638.52	1.43	68%
2026-04-11	Halcyon Partners	initiated	Buy	Buy	$515.58	1.43	70%

Ownership, insiders and short interest

Inst. position change-68.7%reported change vs the prior stored quarter

Net insider (USD)not stored

Short % of float3.3%

Days to cover9.6

Period end	Holder	Type	Shares	Value	% float	Change
2026-09-01	BlackRock Fund Advisors	fund	214M	$125B	6.4%	not stored
2026-09-01	BlackRock Fund Advisors	fund	214M	$125B	6.4%	not stored
2026-09-01	BlackRock Fund Advisors	fund	214M	$125B	6.4%	not stored
2026-09-01	BlackRock Fund Advisors	fund	214M	$125B	6.4%	not stored
2026-09-01	BlackRock Fund Advisors	fund	214M	$125B	6.4%	not stored
2026-09-01	Capital Research Global	fund	213M	$124B	6.4%	not stored
2026-09-01	Capital Research Global	fund	213M	$124B	6.4%	not stored
2026-09-01	Capital Research Global	fund	213M	$124B	6.4%	not stored

Trade date	Owner	Title	Type	Shares	Price	Value	Owned after
2026-06-19	Demo Officer A0C4D7	Chief Financial Officer	Sale - Open Market	117k	$512.94	$68.2M	1.84M

Dividends and splits

Ex-date	Pay date	Amount	Frequency	Yield at ex
2026-08-28	2026-09-15	$0.624	quarterly	0.43%
2026-06-19	2026-07-07	$0.626	quarterly	0.43%
2026-03-13	2026-03-31	$0.629	quarterly	0.43%
2025-12-12	2025-12-30	$0.631	quarterly	0.43%
2025-09-05	2025-09-23	$0.634	quarterly	0.43%
2025-06-20	2025-07-08	$0.636	quarterly	0.43%
2025-02-28	2025-03-18	$0.639	quarterly	0.43%
2024-11-29	2024-12-17	$0.641	quarterly	0.43%
2024-09-20	2024-10-08	$0.644	quarterly	0.43%

Nothing stored yet.

Options

Stored chain for expiry 2026-11-06 · 9 call / 9 put strikes

Full chain Flow

Strikes stored189 calls / 9 puts on this expiry

Chain volume81.6kcontracts across all listed strikes

Chain open interest551k

Chain IV (mean)33.6%the column stores a fraction; ×100 for display

Put/call volume1.371from the daily aggregate row for 2026-10-23

Call / put volume36.3k / 49.8k

IV3029.8%stored as a fraction

HV3029.1%realised 30-day vol

IV rank32.0 /100

OI change-2.2%percent, as stored

Expiries stored4

Chain as of2026-10-23 17:35

News mentioning ORCL

Stored headlines linked to this security, newest first. Sentiment scores come from the stored scorer, not from this page.

Demo synthetic: rate expectations shift, ORCL beta repriced

macro 13 days ago -5% sentiment importance 0

Synthetic demo item generated to exercise the sentiment pipeline. No external source; no factual content.

Score

qm_ai_scores row #790

60.4

composite / 100 · model score-1.0.0

CONSTRUCTIVE risk MEDIUM confidence 63

Technical 25 56.3

Fundamental 25 63.4

Momentum 15 44.0

Sentiment 10 81.7

Institutional 10 34.3

Risk 15 81.6

Why the model scored it this way

SENTIMENT Analyst Distribution 100
126% Buy/Strong Buy · 0% Hold · 0% Sell/Short
RISK Liquidity 96
Average $21408.6M traded per session
SENTIMENT Sentiment Delta 95
30-day sentiment change 16 pts
RISK Gap Risk 95
Median overnight gap 0.5% — position sizing must survive opens
RISK Correlation 95
Correlation to benchmark 0.63-year rolling: 0.39
RISK Beta 88
Beta 0.54 vs the reference index
FUNDAMENTAL Gross Margin 87
Gross margin 73.7%
SENTIMENT Analyst Consensus 87
Analyst consensus score 1.43 (1=Strong Buy, 5=Sell) across 5 ratings
SENTIMENT Estimate Revisions 86
Net EPS estimate revisions (90d): 6
RISK Market Risk 85
Benchmark volatility 20.1% · regime: Sideways · normal vol · risk-off
FUNDAMENTAL Operating Margin 84
Operating margin 34.2%
FUNDAMENTAL Free Cash Flow 82
FCF margin 23.6%
FUNDAMENTAL Coverage 82
Interest coverage 16.6×
RISK Volatility 80
20-day realised volatility 20.1% annualised

Scored on synthetic demonstration data. Directionally realistic, not a forecast of any real market.

Category ranks

Position among scored securities in each evidence category.

Category	Score	Rank	Evidence
DEFENSIVE	59.9	1	Volatility 20.1% with beta 0.54 and fundamental quality 63
DEFENSIVE	59.9	1	Volatility 20.1% with beta 0.54 and fundamental quality 63
DEFENSIVE	59.9	1	Volatility 20.1% with beta 0.54 and fundamental quality 63
DEFENSIVE	59.9	1	Volatility 20.1% with beta 0.54 and fundamental quality 63
DEFENSIVE	59.9	1	Volatility 20.1% with beta 0.54 and fundamental quality 63

Levels

Stored support/resistance from the snapshot row, not drawn from the chart in the browser.

Resistance (stored): $607.96
Support (stored): $580.06
20-day SMA: $589.32
50-day SMA: $580.26
200-day SMA: $660.58
Trend: up
Above SMA50 / SMA200: yes / no
From 52w high: -33.3%
MACD histogram: -1.741
RSI(14): 48.6
Relative strength (3m): -5.3%
RS rank: not stored /100

Sentiment

Stored buckets (each row is one scoring run over the news window).

Bucket start	Score	Label	Mentions	Method
2026-10-20 13:00	-3%	neutral	5	synthetic demo tone index — not real sentiment
2026-10-20 14:00	-3%	neutral	5	synthetic demo tone index — not real sentiment
2026-10-20 16:00	-3%	neutral	5	synthetic demo tone index — not real sentiment
2026-10-20 17:00	-3%	neutral	5	synthetic demo tone index — not real sentiment
2026-10-23 13:00	-27%	negative	35	synthetic demo tone index — not real sentiment
2026-10-23 14:00	-27%	negative	35	synthetic demo tone index — not real sentiment
2026-10-23 16:00	-27%	negative	35	synthetic demo tone index — not real sentiment
2026-10-23 17:00	-27%	negative	35	synthetic demo tone index — not real sentiment

Catalysts and risks

Stored catalysts

Earnings report 2026-10-23 (as scheduled)
Demo synthetic: rate expectations shift, ORCL beta repriced
Street target implies 12.5%

Stored risks

Historic drawdown deeper than 57%
Binary event: 2026-10-23

Same sector

Ranked by stored composite score.

Symbol	Price	1d	Score	Stance
CSCO	$310.38	+1.53%	65.4	ACCUMULATE
ATLS	$27.00	-1.03%	64.8	CONSTRUCTIVE
XLK	$240.00	-0.59%	64.6	CONSTRUCTIVE
NOW	$409.75	+1.39%	64.6	CONSTRUCTIVE
PLTR	$48.96	+0.32%	60.8	CONSTRUCTIVE
NVX	$24.50	-0.16%	59.9	CONSTRUCTIVE

Validation

Forecasts on this symbol whose horizon has matured, scored against the stored bars.

All models

Nothing to score yet: settle the matured forecasts with php bin/pipeline.php --cmd=settle and this table fills with realised-versus-forecast rows.

Peer comparison

Symbol	Price	1d	Cap	P/E	PEG	P/S	P/B	Rev growth	EPS growth	ROE	Gross	Op margin
ADBE	$530.53	-0.57%	$2.47T	23.08×	1.99	4.66×	1.01×	+10.3%	+14.7%	4.4%	39.3%	20.4%
AVGO	$334.89	+1.12%	$1.99T	23.51×	2.54	5.85×	0.98×	+8.2%	+10.3%	4.1%	54.1%	29.4%
CSCO	$310.38	+1.53%	$1.53T	24.85×	1.85	8.17×	4.90×	+13.9%	+17.1%	19.7%	66.2%	37.4%
MSFT	$235.96	-2.04%	$1.40T	21.12×	2.31	7.04×	5.41×	+10.3%	+8.9%	25.6%	75.0%	37.6%
CRM	$205.75	-4.05%	$1.22T	27.69×	2.85	5.85×	4.82×	+10.3%	+9.6%	17.4%	48.6%	21.3%
NOW	$409.75	+1.39%	$1.18T	58.28×	1.58	11.79×	6.30×	+38.2%	+34.4%	10.8%	39.6%	20.6%
AMD	$521.19	-2.33%	$971B	38.99×	0.96	5.19×	3.70×	+39.7%	+42.5%	9.5%	29.0%	13.6%
AAPL	$136.25	-0.95%	$595B	23.62×	3.25	6.62×	0.85×	+8.7%	+7.4%	3.6%	57.5%	29.2%
NVDA	$190.18	+0.10%	$383B	36.75×	0.83	2.00×	4.56×	+45.5%	+59.2%	12.4%	12.1%	6.0%
SHOP	$96.96	+3.50%	$191B	63.65×	1.58	10.73×	2.13×	+41.4%	+53.5%	3.3%	34.9%	19.8%

What this page did not do.

It did not fetch a quote, call an external model, or extend the chart. It read 156000 stored bar rows in total across the universe (demo data, last trade 2026-10-23), and the score shown here was written at 2026-10-23 17:35 by model score-1.0.0.