American Electric Power

AEP ACCUMULATE LOW EQUITY DEMO

$85.29 -0.01% 1-day change from the stored snapshot · 2 days ago

DEMO DATASET last stored bar 2026-10-23 · scores computed 2026-10-25 04:14:00 · every figure below is read from these rows, nothing is computed in the browser

Price · stored daily bars

126 bars ending 2026-10-23 · demo data

Indicators are computed from the same stored closes the score used; the forecast fan is drawn from qm_predictions, not from a live model call. how this is drawn

Open$84.99

Day range$85.49 / $84.56

Prev close$85.30

Volume5.38M

RVOL 30d1.85×session volume over stored 30-day average

Avg $ volume$249M

Market cap$44.5B

HV2016.7% ann.

Beta0.40

RSI(14)58.1

ATR %2.11%

Max drawdown-20.4%

52-week rangefrom $76.55 to $97.73

52-week low / high$76.55 / $97.73

From 52w high-12.7%

Liquiditynot storeddays of average volume to fill 1% of float

Forecast

Stored scenarios from the last pipeline run. The model that wrote them is named on each row; no forecast is generated when you look at this page.

Horizon	Ref	Bull high	Base range	Bear low	P10 → P90	P(up)	Confidence	Risk
1D 2026-10-25 04:14:00	85.29	86.14 +1.0%	85.29 → 85.72 +0.0% … +0.5%	84.44 -1.0%	84.86 → 86.14	58.0%	60 760 bars, blended vol 17%, score 66, coverage 100%%	LOW HV 17.0% ann. · 760 bars
5D 2026-10-25 04:14:00	85.29	87.85 +3.0%	84.44 → 86.14 -1.0% … +1.0%	83.58 -2.0%	84.44 → 87.00	58.0%	60 760 bars, blended vol 17%, score 66, coverage 100%%	LOW HV 17.0% ann. · 760 bars
1M 2026-10-25 04:14:00	85.29	89.55 +5.0%	84.44 → 87.85 -1.0% … +3.0%	81.88 -4.0%	82.73 → 88.70	58.0%	60 760 bars, blended vol 17%, score 66, coverage 100%%	LOW HV 17.0% ann. · 760 bars
3M 2026-10-25 04:14:00	85.29	92.97 +9.0%	84.01 → 89.13 -1.5% … +4.5%	80.17 -6.0%	81.45 → 91.69	58.0%	60 760 bars, blended vol 17%, score 66, coverage 100%%	LOW HV 17.0% ann. · 760 bars
6M 2026-10-25 04:14:00	85.29	95.52 +12.0%	82.73 → 90.41 -3.0% … +6.0%	77.61 -9.0%	80.17 → 94.25	58.0%	60 760 bars, blended vol 17%, score 66, coverage 100%%	LOW HV 17.0% ann. · 760 bars
12M 2026-10-25 04:14:00	85.29	100.22 +17.5%	81.03 → 93.82 -5.0% … +10.0%	74.63 -12.5%	76.76 → 98.08	58.0%	60 760 bars, blended vol 17%, score 66, coverage 100%%	LOW HV 17.0% ann. · 760 bars

Bull case

If RSI mid-range — room to extend, fundamentals scoring above the coverage median, a volatility-compressed setup resolving upward would accelerate the move, the upside path is the 80–95th percentile band shown here.

band +0.5% … +1.0% · 85.29 – 85.29

Base case

mildly positive

band +0.0% … +0.5% · 85.29 – 85.29

Bear case

Downside triggers: a market-wide risk-off move alone can carry the 5–20th percentile band. Treat the 5–20th percentile band as the stress case for sizing, not as a worst case.

band -1.0% … -0.5% · 85.29 – 85.29

Catalysts the model is watching

Earnings report 2026-12-10 (as scheduled)
Demo synthetic: AEP announces platform refresh for enterprise buyers
Demo synthetic: AEP posts quarterly result inside modelled range
Street target implies 10.7%
Volatility compression (squeeze)

Key risks & invalidation

Binary event: 2026-12-10

Model assumptions

Realised volatility stays near its recent level (blended 17% annualised).
The scoring tilt persists over the window; no structural break (fraud, delisting, forced guidance cut).
Returns are approximated as lognormal; fat tails are handled by widening, not by point forecasts.
Index regime assumed: sideways.
Close below the 85.76 support band or the strategy stop.
Earnings or regulatory headline that changes forward estimates by more than the modelled window σ.
Volatility expanding beyond 27% annualised invalidates position sizing.
Loss of the fundamental pillars used in the score (guidance cut, covenant breach, auditor change).

Reference price 85.29 at 2026-10-25 04:14:00 · regime at generation sideways · data demo · freshness 112440s. These bands are conditional distributions from stored inputs, not advice or a promise about outcomes.

Fundamentals

Latest stored period · FY2026 · filed 2026-12-31

snapshot JSON

Revenue$11.2BYoY -0.8%

EPS (TTM)5.02growth -0.9%

Net income$2.62B

Free cash flow$2.59Bmargin 17.0%

Gross margin53.3%

Operating margin27.0%

ROE28.8%

ROIC13.0%

Debt / equity0.78

Current ratio1.89

Interest cover18.63×

Net debt$3.23B

P/E16.51×

P/E forward16.66×

PEGnot stored

P/S · P/B · EV/EBITDA3.84 · 4.75 · 11.38

Dividend yield4.87%payout 32%

Buyback yield0.74%

Profit margin23.3%

Cash$608M

Stored periods (raw rows, newest first)

Period	Revenue	Revenue YoY	EPS	Gross margin	Op margin	FCF margin	ROE	Filed
FY2026 FY	$11.2B	-0.8%	5.02	53.3%	27.0%	17.0%	28.8%	2026-12-31
FY2025 FY	$11.8B	-0.4%	5.29	47.1%	27.0%	26.9%	35.3%	2025-12-31
FY2024 FY	$11.3B	-1.9%	5.06	53.5%	27.5%	16.9%	17.3%	2024-12-31
FY2023 FY	$11.7B	-0.7%	5.23	49.6%	24.3%	26.5%	7.5%	2023-12-31
Q4 2026 Q	$2.93B	-0.7%	1.31	49.6%	24.3%	26.5%	7.5%	2026-07-01

Earnings and estimates

Next stored report 2026-12-10 · 33 day(s) away

Implied move8.6%from the stored option chain

EPS estimate1.33

Revenue estimate$2.81B

Consensus index61.0stored on 0–100 in the snapshot; higher = more constructive

% buy ratingsnot storednull on this row — the snapshot job did not store it

Target upsidenot stored

Gap risk0.27%median overnight gap

Time of daybmo

Report	EPS est	EPS actual	Surprise	Rev est	Rev actual	Guidance	Source
2026-12-10	1.33	not stored	not stored	$2.81B	not stored	none	synthetic_demo
2026-10-23	1.36	not stored	not stored	$2.81B	not stored	none	synthetic_demo
2026-07-19	1.26	1.21	-4.0%	$2.81B	$2.71B	raise	synthetic_demo
2026-06-01	1.28	1.39	+8.0%	$2.81B	$2.78B	maintain	synthetic_demo
2026-04-14	1.22	1.31	+7.6%	$2.81B	$2.85B	raise	synthetic_demo
2026-02-25	1.31	1.30	-0.3%	$2.81B	$2.92B	raise	synthetic_demo
2026-01-08	1.22	1.11	-9.0%	$2.81B	$2.76B	maintain	synthetic_demo
2025-11-21	1.22	1.21	-0.3%	$2.81B	$2.96B	maintain	synthetic_demo

As of	Horizon	EPS avg	EPS high	EPS low	Revenue	Analysts	90d revisions
2026-10-25	FY1	5.75	6.32	5.11	$11.9B	16	10 / 6
2026-10-25	FY2	5.53	5.72	4.77	$11.4B	12	11 / 1
2026-10-25	Q1	1.47	1.58	1.36	$2.88B	31	5 / 7
2026-10-25	Q2	1.43	1.49	1.20	$2.87B	36	7 / 7
2026-10-24	FY1	5.75	6.32	5.11	$11.9B	16	10 / 6
2026-10-24	FY2	5.53	5.72	4.77	$11.4B	12	11 / 1
2026-10-24	Q1	1.47	1.58	1.36	$2.88B	31	5 / 7
2026-10-24	Q2	1.43	1.49	1.20	$2.87B	36	7 / 7

Analyst actions

Stored rating changes and targets. The consensus numbers are the same ones the sentiment component read.

Date	Firm	Action	From	To	Target	Consensus	% buy
2026-10-18	Kestrel Analytics	initiated	Hold	Hold	$96.89	4.14	24%
2026-08-24	Halcyon Partners	maintained	Hold	Hold	$81.46	4.14	23%
2026-07-07	Meridian Research	initiated	Buy	Buy	$97.30	4.14	7%
2026-06-06	Meridian Research	upgrade	Hold	Outperform	$98.36	4.14	25%
2026-04-01	Kestrel Analytics	downgrade	Buy	Sell	$98.04	4.14	16%

Ownership, insiders and short interest

Inst. position change-53.5%reported change vs the prior stored quarter

Net insider (USD)$-12.8M

Short % of float13.2%

Days to cover50.7

Period end	Holder	Type	Shares	Value	% float	Change
2026-09-01	Fidelity Concord	fund	28.2M	$2.40B	8.7%	not stored
2026-09-01	Fidelity Concord	fund	28.2M	$2.40B	8.7%	not stored
2026-09-01	Fidelity Concord	fund	28.2M	$2.40B	8.7%	not stored
2026-09-01	Fidelity Concord	fund	28.2M	$2.40B	8.7%	not stored
2026-09-01	Fidelity Concord	fund	28.2M	$2.40B	8.7%	not stored
2026-09-01	Fidelity Concord	fund	28.2M	$2.40B	8.7%	not stored
2026-09-01	Fidelity Concord	fund	28.2M	$2.40B	8.7%	not stored
2026-09-01	Fidelity Concord	fund	28.2M	$2.40B	8.7%	not stored

Trade date	Owner	Title	Type	Shares	Price	Value	Owned after
2026-10-20	Demo Officer 630D48	Chief Financial Officer	Sale - Open Market	134k	$80.26	$11.4M	1.90M
2026-10-06	Demo Officer CDDBF1	Chief Executive Officer	Sale - Tax	164k	$95.40	$14.0M	3.61M
2026-09-04	Demo Officer 96BD1F	VP, Product	Buy - Open Market	148k	$95.74	$12.6M	549k
2026-08-26	Demo Officer F1E482	Chief Financial Officer	Option Exercise (option)	197k	$94.33	$16.8M	7.71M
2026-04-15	Demo Officer E89E43	VP, Product	Sale - Tax	123k	$78.33	$10.5M	2.42M

Dividends and splits

Ex-date	Pay date	Amount	Frequency	Yield at ex
2026-09-13	2026-10-01	$1.039	quarterly	4.87%
2026-09-12	2026-09-30	$1.039	quarterly	4.87%
2026-09-11	2026-09-29	$1.039	quarterly	4.87%
2026-05-31	2026-06-18	$1.043	quarterly	4.87%
2026-05-30	2026-06-17	$1.043	quarterly	4.87%
2026-05-29	2026-06-16	$1.043	quarterly	4.87%
2026-03-15	2026-04-02	$1.047	quarterly	4.87%
2026-03-14	2026-04-01	$1.047	quarterly	4.87%
2026-03-13	2026-03-31	$1.047	quarterly	4.87%
2025-11-30	2025-12-18	$1.051	quarterly	4.87%

Nothing stored yet.

Options

No chain stored for this symbol

Full chain Flow

No option chain stored.

Chains are only stored for symbols the options job covers, and only for the expiry it snapshots.

Open the flow page for a symbol that has data, or run the options ingestion.

News mentioning AEP

Stored headlines linked to this security, newest first. Sentiment scores come from the stored scorer, not from this page.

Demo synthetic: AEP announces platform refresh for enterprise buyers

product 3 days ago +51% sentiment importance 0

Synthetic demo item generated to exercise the sentiment pipeline. No external source; no factual content.

Demo synthetic: AEP posts quarterly result inside modelled range

earnings 17 days ago +61% sentiment importance 0 earnings

Synthetic demo item generated to exercise the sentiment pipeline. No external source; no factual content.

Score

qm_ai_scores row #1468

65.9

composite / 100 · model score-1.0.0

ACCUMULATE risk LOW confidence 55

Technical 25 67.7

Fundamental 25 67.8

Momentum 15 59.3

Sentiment 10 70.1

Institutional 10 28.3

Risk 15 88.7

Why the model scored it this way

RISK Liquidity 96
Average $248.8M traded per session
RISK Sector Risk 95
Sector average volatility 15.6%
SENTIMENT Sentiment Delta 95
30-day sentiment change 20.4 pts
SENTIMENT Recent Headline Tone 95
Last items: 2 positive / 0 negative headlines
RISK Gap Risk 95
Median overnight gap 0.27% — position sizing must survive opens
SENTIMENT Estimate Revisions 92
Net EPS estimate revisions (90d): 36
RISK Correlation 91
Correlation to benchmark 0.63-year rolling: 0.53
RISK Volatility 86
20-day realised volatility 16.7% annualised
RISK Drawdown History 86
Max drawdown in stored history -20.4%
RISK Market Risk 85
Benchmark volatility 20.1% · regime: Sideways · normal vol · risk-off
FUNDAMENTAL Return On Equity 84
ROE 28.8%
RISK Beta 84
Beta 0.4 vs the reference index
FUNDAMENTAL Coverage 82
Interest coverage 18.6×
RISK Event Risk Earnings 82
No earnings inside the next 3 weeks

Scored on synthetic demonstration data. Directionally realistic, not a forecast of any real market.

Category ranks

Position among scored securities in each evidence category.

Category	Score	Rank	Evidence
INCOME	86.9	1	Yield 4.87% · payout 32% · FCF margin 17%
INCOME	86.9	1	Yield 4.87% · payout 32% · FCF margin 17%
INCOME	86.9	1	Yield 4.87% · payout 32% · FCF margin 17%
INCOME	86.9	1	Yield 4.87% · payout 32% · FCF margin 17%
INCOME	86.9	1	Yield 4.87% · payout 32% · FCF margin 17%
INCOME	86.9	1	Yield 4.87% · payout 32% · FCF margin 17%
INCOME	86.9	1	Yield 4.87% · payout 32% · FCF margin 17%
INCOME	86.9	1	Yield 4.87% · payout 32% · FCF margin 17%
DEFENSIVE	66.7	2	Volatility 16.7% with beta 0.4 and fundamental quality 68
DEFENSIVE	66.7	2	Volatility 16.7% with beta 0.4 and fundamental quality 68
DEFENSIVE	66.7	2	Volatility 16.7% with beta 0.4 and fundamental quality 68
DEFENSIVE	66.7	2	Volatility 16.7% with beta 0.4 and fundamental quality 68
DEFENSIVE	66.7	2	Volatility 16.7% with beta 0.4 and fundamental quality 68
DEFENSIVE	66.7	2	Volatility 16.7% with beta 0.4 and fundamental quality 68
DEFENSIVE	66.7	2	Volatility 16.7% with beta 0.4 and fundamental quality 68
DEFENSIVE	66.7	2	Volatility 16.7% with beta 0.4 and fundamental quality 68
EVENT_DRIVEN	62.0	3	Dated/observable catalyst: net insider selling in last 90d
EVENT_DRIVEN	62.0	3	Dated/observable catalyst: net insider selling in last 90d
EVENT_DRIVEN	62.0	3	Dated/observable catalyst: net insider selling in last 90d
EVENT_DRIVEN	62.0	3	Dated/observable catalyst: net insider selling in last 90d
EVENT_DRIVEN	62.0	3	Dated/observable catalyst: net insider selling in last 90d
EVENT_DRIVEN	62.0	3	Dated/observable catalyst: net insider selling in last 90d
EVENT_DRIVEN	62.0	3	Dated/observable catalyst: net insider selling in last 90d
EVENT_DRIVEN	62.0	3	Dated/observable catalyst: net insider selling in last 90d
VALUE	50.5	4	P/E 16.5× · PEG n/a · P/B 4.7× with ROE 28.8%
VALUE	50.5	4	P/E 16.5× · PEG n/a · P/B 4.7× with ROE 28.8%
VALUE	50.5	4	P/E 16.5× · PEG n/a · P/B 4.7× with ROE 28.8%
VALUE	50.5	4	P/E 16.5× · PEG n/a · P/B 4.7× with ROE 28.8%
VALUE	50.5	4	P/E 16.5× · PEG n/a · P/B 4.7× with ROE 28.8%
VALUE	50.5	4	P/E 16.5× · PEG n/a · P/B 4.7× with ROE 28.8%
VALUE	50.5	4	P/E 16.5× · PEG n/a · P/B 4.7× with ROE 28.8%
VALUE	50.5	4	P/E 16.5× · PEG n/a · P/B 4.7× with ROE 28.8%

Levels

Stored support/resistance from the snapshot row, not drawn from the chart in the browser.

Resistance (stored): $83.58
Support (stored): $80.10
20-day SMA: $84.15
50-day SMA: $83.45
200-day SMA: $85.76
Trend: up
Above SMA50 / SMA200: yes / no
From 52w high: -12.7%
MACD histogram: 0.074
RSI(14): 58.1
Relative strength (3m): +0.1%
RS rank: not stored /100

Sentiment

Stored buckets (each row is one scoring run over the news window).

Bucket start	Score	Label	Mentions	Method
2026-10-22 04:00	+27%	positive	38	synthetic demo tone index — not real sentiment
2026-10-23 13:00	-25%	negative	30	synthetic demo tone index — not real sentiment
2026-10-23 14:00	-25%	negative	30	synthetic demo tone index — not real sentiment
2026-10-23 16:00	-25%	negative	30	synthetic demo tone index — not real sentiment
2026-10-23 17:00	-25%	negative	30	synthetic demo tone index — not real sentiment
2026-10-24 23:00	-25%	negative	30	synthetic demo tone index — not real sentiment
2026-10-25 02:00	-25%	negative	30	synthetic demo tone index — not real sentiment
2026-10-25 04:00	-25%	negative	30	synthetic demo tone index — not real sentiment

Catalysts and risks

Stored catalysts

Earnings report 2026-12-10 (as scheduled)
Demo synthetic: AEP announces platform refresh for enterprise buyers
Demo synthetic: AEP posts quarterly result inside modelled range
Street target implies 10.7%
Volatility compression (squeeze)

Stored risks

Binary event: 2026-12-10

Same sector

Ranked by stored composite score.

Symbol	Price	1d	Score	Stance
SO	$3.35	-0.28%	60.6	CONSTRUCTIVE
DUK	$40.31	-1.22%	59.1	CONSTRUCTIVE
NEE	$78.32	+0.33%	57.8	NEUTRAL
XLU	$88.00	-0.28%	55.1	NEUTRAL

Validation

Forecasts on this symbol whose horizon has matured, scored against the stored bars.

All models

Nothing to score yet: settle the matured forecasts with php bin/pipeline.php --cmd=settle and this table fills with realised-versus-forecast rows.

Peer comparison

Symbol	Price	1d	Cap	P/E	PEG	P/S	P/B	Rev growth	EPS growth	ROE	Gross	Op margin
NEE	$78.32	+0.33%	$43.4B	16.01×	9.84	2.84×	2.79×	+0.4%	+1.8%	17.4%	40.4%	18.2%
DUK	$40.31	-1.22%	$20.2B	15.95×	10.69	2.91×	5.78×	+0.2%	+1.8%	36.2%	40.7%	19.4%
SO	$3.35	-0.28%	$893M	21.96×	not stored	5.23×	4.59×	+0.6%	-0.0%	20.9%	52.7%	26.1%

What this page did not do.

It did not fetch a quote, call an external model, or extend the chart. It read 168800 stored bar rows in total across the universe (demo data, last trade 2026-10-23), and the score shown here was written at 2026-10-25 04:14 by model score-1.0.0.