Meta Platforms Inc.

META NEUTRAL MEDIUM EQUITY DEMO

$40.06 -2.07% 1-day change from the stored snapshot · 31 hours ago

DEMO DATASET last stored bar 2026-10-23 · scores computed 2026-10-23 17:35:22 · every figure below is read from these rows, nothing is computed in the browser

Price · stored daily bars

126 bars ending 2026-10-23 · demo data

Indicators are computed from the same stored closes the score used; the forecast fan is drawn from qm_predictions, not from a live model call. how this is drawn

Open$40.89

Day range$41.25 / $39.60

Prev close$40.91

Volume20.0M

RVOL 30d1.19×session volume over stored 30-day average

Avg $ volume$697M

Market cap$74.0B

HV2043.7% ann.

Beta0.97

RSI(14)43.2

ATR %6.28%

Max drawdown-34.2%

52-week rangefrom $35.91 to $57.98

52-week low / high$35.91 / $57.98

From 52w high-30.9%

Liquiditynot storeddays of average volume to fill 1% of float

Forecast

Stored scenarios from the last pipeline run. The model that wrote them is named on each row; no forecast is generated when you look at this page.

Horizon	Ref	Bull high	Base range	Bear low	P10 → P90	P(up)	Confidence	Risk
1D 2026-10-23 17:35:22	40.06	42.26 +5.5%	39.26 → 41.06 -2.0% … +2.5%	37.86 -5.5%	38.46 → 41.86	50.0%	68 760 bars, blended vol 42%, score 52, coverage 100%%	LOW HV 42.2% ann. · 760 bars
5D 2026-10-23 17:35:22	40.06	44.07 +10.0%	38.46 → 41.66 -4.0% … +4.0%	36.45 -9.0%	37.26 → 42.86	50.0%	68 760 bars, blended vol 42%, score 52, coverage 100%%	LOW HV 42.2% ann. · 760 bars
1M 2026-10-23 17:35:22	40.06	48.07 +20.0%	36.86 → 43.26 -8.0% … +8.0%	32.45 -19.0%	34.05 → 46.07	50.0%	68 760 bars, blended vol 42%, score 52, coverage 100%%	LOW HV 42.2% ann. · 760 bars
3M 2026-10-23 17:35:22	40.06	53.88 +34.5%	34.65 → 45.47 -13.5% … +13.5%	26.84 -33.0%	29.84 → 50.88	50.0%	68 760 bars, blended vol 42%, score 52, coverage 100%%	MEDIUM HV 42.2% ann. · 760 bars
6M 2026-10-23 17:35:22	40.06	59.29 +48.0%	32.25 → 47.87 -19.5% … +19.5%	21.43 -46.5%	25.64 → 55.08	50.0%	68 760 bars, blended vol 42%, score 52, coverage 100%%	HIGH HV 42.2% ann. · 760 bars
12M 2026-10-23 17:35:22	40.06	67.10 +67.5%	29.04 → 51.08 -27.5% … +27.5%	13.02 -67.5%	19.03 → 61.09	50.0%	68 760 bars, blended vol 42%, score 52, coverage 100%%	VERY_HIGH HV 42.2% ann. · 760 bars

Bull case

If a volatility-compressed setup resolving upward would accelerate the move, the upside path is the 80–95th percentile band shown here.

band +3.0% … +5.5% · 40.06 – 40.06

Base case

mildly positive

band -2.0% … +2.5% · 40.06 – 40.06

Bear case

Downside triggers: P/E 56× leaves no valuation buffer; realised volatility already elevated. Treat the 5–20th percentile band as the stress case for sizing, not as a worst case.

band -5.5% … -2.5% · 40.06 – 40.06

Catalysts the model is watching

Earnings report 2026-10-23 (after close)
Demo synthetic: META confirms exploratory talks with supplier
Street target implies 5.8%

Key risks & invalidation

Elevated realised volatility (43.7%)
Binary event: 2026-10-23
P/E 56× — multiple compression risk

Model assumptions

Realised volatility stays near its recent level (blended 42.2% annualised).
The scoring tilt persists over the window; no structural break (fraud, delisting, forced guidance cut).
Returns are approximated as lognormal; fat tails are handled by widening, not by point forecasts.
Index regime assumed: sideways.
Close below the 43.83 support band or the strategy stop.
Earnings or regulatory headline that changes forward estimates by more than the modelled window σ.
Volatility expanding beyond 67% annualised invalidates position sizing.
Loss of the fundamental pillars used in the score (guidance cut, covenant breach, auditor change).

Reference price 40.06 at 2026-10-23 17:35:22 · regime at generation sideways · data demo · freshness 0s. These bands are conditional distributions from stored inputs, not advice or a promise about outcomes.

Fundamentals

Latest stored period · FY2026 · filed 2026-12-31

snapshot JSON

Revenue$8.58BYoY +20.1%

EPS (TTM)0.72growth +21.2%

Net income$1.32B

Free cash flow$978Mmargin 11.6%

Gross margin36.1%

Operating margin15.5%

ROE2.9%

ROIC9.1%

Debt / equity1.73

Current ratio1.75

Interest cover23.69×

Net debt$1.13B

P/E56.01×

P/E forward47.15×

PEG2.98

P/S · P/B · EV/EBITDA8.64 · 1.65 · 38.63

Dividend yield0.18%payout 37%

Buyback yield2.03%

Profit margin15.4%

Cash$1.43B

Stored periods (raw rows, newest first)

Period	Revenue	Revenue YoY	EPS	Gross margin	Op margin	FCF margin	ROE	Filed
FY2026 FY	$8.58B	+20.1%	0.72	36.1%	15.5%	11.6%	2.9%	2026-12-31
FY2025 FY	$7.19B	+19.0%	0.60	36.1%	17.2%	13.5%	3.1%	2025-12-31
FY2024 FY	$6.17B	+19.3%	0.52	31.1%	16.0%	16.4%	10.6%	2024-12-31
FY2023 FY	$5.25B	+19.5%	0.44	30.7%	18.3%	14.3%	5.7%	2023-12-31
Q4 2026 Q	$1.31B	+19.5%	0.11	30.7%	18.3%	14.3%	5.7%	2026-07-01

Earnings and estimates

Next stored report 2026-12-10 · 0 day(s) away

Implied move4.9%from the stored option chain

EPS estimate0.18

Revenue estimate$2.15B

Consensus index46.0stored on 0–100 in the snapshot; higher = more constructive

% buy ratingsnot storednull on this row — the snapshot job did not store it

Target upsidenot stored

Gap risk0.77%median overnight gap

Time of dayamc

Report	EPS est	EPS actual	Surprise	Rev est	Rev actual	Guidance	Source
2026-12-10	0.18	not stored	not stored	$2.15B	not stored	none	synthetic_demo
2026-10-23	0.19	not stored	not stored	$2.15B	not stored	none	synthetic_demo
2026-07-19	0.18	0.18	+1.7%	$2.15B	$2.08B	raise	synthetic_demo
2026-06-01	0.19	0.22	+15.5%	$2.15B	$2.19B	lower	synthetic_demo
2026-04-14	0.19	0.19	-3.6%	$2.15B	$2.25B	maintain	synthetic_demo
2026-02-25	0.19	0.22	+16.4%	$2.15B	$2.07B	maintain	synthetic_demo
2026-01-08	0.18	0.18	+2.2%	$2.15B	$2.21B	raise	synthetic_demo
2025-11-21	0.19	0.22	+14.0%	$2.15B	$2.25B	lower	synthetic_demo

As of	Horizon	EPS avg	EPS high	EPS low	Revenue	Analysts	90d revisions
2026-10-23	FY1	0.85	1.01	0.75	$9.34B	26	1 / 1
2026-10-23	FY2	0.83	0.95	0.81	$8.88B	18	5 / 1
2026-10-23	Q1	0.21	0.25	0.16	$2.16B	28	2 / 9
2026-10-23	Q2	0.21	0.21	0.19	$2.29B	24	2 / 1

Analyst actions

Stored rating changes and targets. The consensus numbers are the same ones the sentiment component read.

Date	Firm	Action	From	To	Target	Consensus	% buy
2026-10-04	Meridian Research	maintained	Neutral	Neutral	$44.11	4.09	25%
2026-08-26	Halcyon Partners	downgrade	Buy	Buy	$48.19	4.09	8%
2026-07-19	Meridian Research	downgrade	Buy	Neutral	$36.29	4.09	17%
2026-06-02	Kestrel Analytics	upgrade	Hold	Outperform	$39.36	4.09	19%
2026-04-10	Northgate Securities	upgrade	Hold	Buy	$43.99	4.09	16%

Ownership, insiders and short interest

Inst. position change-76.5%reported change vs the prior stored quarter

Net insider (USD)not stored

Short % of float7.8%

Days to cover17.4

Period end	Holder	Type	Shares	Value	% float	Change
2026-09-01	Capital Research Global	fund	72.2M	$2.89B	6.3%	not stored
2026-09-01	Capital Research Global	fund	72.2M	$2.89B	6.3%	not stored
2026-09-01	Capital Research Global	fund	72.2M	$2.89B	6.3%	not stored
2026-09-01	Capital Research Global	fund	72.2M	$2.89B	6.3%	not stored
2026-09-01	Capital Research Global	fund	72.2M	$2.89B	6.3%	not stored
2026-09-01	BlackRock Fund Advisors	fund	61.0M	$2.44B	5.3%	not stored
2026-09-01	BlackRock Fund Advisors	fund	61.0M	$2.44B	5.3%	not stored
2026-09-01	BlackRock Fund Advisors	fund	61.0M	$2.44B	5.3%	not stored

Options

Stored chain for expiry 2026-11-06 · 9 call / 9 put strikes

Full chain Flow

Strikes stored189 calls / 9 puts on this expiry

Chain volume71.4kcontracts across all listed strikes

Chain open interest512k

Chain IV (mean)53.9%the column stores a fraction; ×100 for display

Put/call volume0.542from the daily aggregate row for 2026-10-23

Call / put volume43.8k / 23.8k

IV3046.7%stored as a fraction

HV3049.4%realised 30-day vol

IV rank66.1 /100

OI change+1.2%percent, as stored

Expiries stored4

Chain as of2026-10-23 17:35

When	Expiry	Strike	Right	Contracts	Premium	Unusual	Context
2026-10-23 13:46	2026-12-08	$41.00	PUT	1.84M	$2.21M	5.68	volume ≫ open interest (new positioning)
2026-10-23 14:25	2026-12-08	$41.00	PUT	1.84M	$2.21M	5.68	volume ≫ open interest (new positioning)
2026-10-23 16:05	2026-12-08	$41.00	PUT	1.84M	$2.21M	5.68	volume ≫ open interest (new positioning)
2026-10-23 16:58	2026-12-08	$41.00	PUT	1.84M	$2.21M	5.68	volume ≫ open interest (new positioning)
2026-10-23 17:35	2026-12-08	$41.00	PUT	1.84M	$2.21M	5.68	volume ≫ open interest (new positioning)
2026-10-22 13:46	2026-11-09	$39.00	CALL	1.69M	$2.03M	1.22	volume ≫ open interest (new positioning)
2026-10-22 14:25	2026-11-09	$39.00	CALL	1.69M	$2.03M	1.22	volume ≫ open interest (new positioning)
2026-10-22 16:05	2026-11-09	$39.00	CALL	1.69M	$2.03M	1.22	volume ≫ open interest (new positioning)
2026-10-22 16:58	2026-11-09	$39.00	CALL	1.69M	$2.03M	1.22	volume ≫ open interest (new positioning)
2026-10-22 17:35	2026-11-09	$39.00	CALL	1.69M	$2.03M	1.22	volume ≫ open interest (new positioning)

Flow rows are stored observations of size, not information about who traded. The flagged note on each row says so; nothing here implies insider activity.

News mentioning META

Stored headlines linked to this security, newest first. Sentiment scores come from the stored scorer, not from this page.

Demo synthetic: META confirms exploratory talks with supplier

mna 13 days ago +84% sentiment importance 0

Synthetic demo item generated to exercise the sentiment pipeline. No external source; no factual content.

Score

qm_ai_scores row #797

51.5

composite / 100 · model score-1.0.0

NEUTRAL risk MEDIUM confidence 63

Technical 25 42.1

Fundamental 25 49.4

Momentum 15 57.1

Sentiment 10 52.0

Institutional 10 29.7

Risk 15 79.4

Why the model scored it this way

RISK Beta 96
Beta 0.97 vs the reference index
RISK Liquidity 96
Average $696.5M traded per session
SENTIMENT Recent Headline Tone 95
Last items: 1 positive / 0 negative headlines
RISK Gap Risk 95
Median overnight gap 0.77% — position sizing must survive opens
RISK Correlation 92
Correlation to benchmark 0.63-year rolling: 0.47
TECHNICAL Trend Structure 14
Price vs 20/50/200-day moving averages: strong down
RISK Market Risk 85
Benchmark volatility 20.1% · regime: Sideways · normal vol · risk-off
FUNDAMENTAL Coverage 82
Interest coverage 23.7×
FUNDAMENTAL Valuation Ebitda 21
EV/EBITDA 38.6×
MOMENTUM Momentum Persistence 79
3 of 4 measured horizons are positive
TECHNICAL Volatility Compression 78
Bollinger width 12.5%
INSTITUTIONAL Institutional Flows 22
Reported 13F-style positioning change -76.5% vs prior quarter2026-09-01
SENTIMENT Analyst Consensus 22
Analyst consensus score 4.09 (1=Strong Buy, 5=Sell) across 5 ratings
FUNDAMENTAL Valuation Pe 24
P/E 56× vs sector median 29.3× (premium)

Scored on synthetic demonstration data. Directionally realistic, not a forecast of any real market.

Category ranks

Position among scored securities in each evidence category.

Category	Score	Rank	Evidence
EVENT_DRIVEN	62.0	1	Dated/observable catalyst: unusual options activity (3 flagged)
EVENT_DRIVEN	62.0	1	Dated/observable catalyst: unusual options activity (1 flagged)
EVENT_DRIVEN	62.0	1	Dated/observable catalyst: unusual options activity (4 flagged)
EVENT_DRIVEN	62.0	1	Dated/observable catalyst: unusual options activity (2 flagged)
EVENT_DRIVEN	62.0	1	Dated/observable catalyst: unusual options activity (5 flagged)

Levels

Stored support/resistance from the snapshot row, not drawn from the chart in the browser.

Resistance (stored): $43.33
Support (stored): $36.71
20-day SMA: $42.47
50-day SMA: $41.16
200-day SMA: $43.83
Trend: strong_down
Above SMA50 / SMA200: no / no
From 52w high: -30.9%
MACD histogram: -0.392
RSI(14): 43.2
Relative strength (3m): +2.0%
RS rank: not stored /100

Sentiment

Stored buckets (each row is one scoring run over the news window).

Bucket start	Score	Label	Mentions	Method
2026-10-20 13:00	-22%	negative	6	synthetic demo tone index — not real sentiment
2026-10-20 14:00	-22%	negative	6	synthetic demo tone index — not real sentiment
2026-10-20 16:00	-22%	negative	6	synthetic demo tone index — not real sentiment
2026-10-20 17:00	-22%	negative	6	synthetic demo tone index — not real sentiment
2026-10-23 13:00	+7%	neutral	35	synthetic demo tone index — not real sentiment
2026-10-23 14:00	+7%	neutral	35	synthetic demo tone index — not real sentiment
2026-10-23 16:00	+7%	neutral	35	synthetic demo tone index — not real sentiment
2026-10-23 17:00	+7%	neutral	35	synthetic demo tone index — not real sentiment

Catalysts and risks

Stored catalysts

Earnings report 2026-10-23 (after close)
Demo synthetic: META confirms exploratory talks with supplier
Street target implies 5.8%

Stored risks

Elevated realised volatility (43.7%)
Binary event: 2026-10-23
P/E 56× — multiple compression risk

Same sector

Ranked by stored composite score.

Symbol	Price	1d	Score	Stance
CMCSA	$482.06	-0.56%	64.3	CONSTRUCTIVE
GOOGL	$170.83	+0.68%	61.9	CONSTRUCTIVE
TMUS	$119.14	-1.79%	61.2	CONSTRUCTIVE
VZ	$184.82	-1.27%	60.2	CONSTRUCTIVE
DIS	$123.39	-1.89%	54.0	NEUTRAL
XLC	$205.00	-2.06%	51.4	NEUTRAL

Validation

Forecasts on this symbol whose horizon has matured, scored against the stored bars.

All models

Nothing to score yet: settle the matured forecasts with php bin/pipeline.php --cmd=settle and this table fills with realised-versus-forecast rows.

Peer comparison

Symbol	Price	1d	Cap	P/E	PEG	P/S	P/B	Rev growth	EPS growth	ROE	Gross	Op margin
DIS	$123.39	-1.89%	$120B	10.27×	14.34	1.39×	1.01×	+0.5%	+0.9%	9.8%	30.2%	14.6%
VZ	$184.82	-1.27%	$159B	7.29×	not stored	1.03×	1.86×	-2.4%	-3.1%	25.5%	30.6%	15.8%
NFLX	$214.07	-6.25%	$432B	46.56×	1.53	3.99×	4.14×	+30.6%	+41.7%	8.9%	18.4%	8.6%
TMUS	$119.14	-1.79%	$541B	26.19×	5.19	6.17×	6.32×	+5.2%	+6.4%	24.1%	49.3%	25.0%
GOOGL	$170.83	+0.68%	$770B	20.51×	1.60	5.10×	4.72×	+13.8%	+16.0%	23.0%	57.6%	26.7%
CMCSA	$482.06	-0.56%	$2.76T	31.74×	2.69	8.49×	5.63×	+11.5%	+13.9%	17.7%	58.8%	31.0%

What this page did not do.

It did not fetch a quote, call an external model, or extend the chart. It read 156000 stored bar rows in total across the universe (demo data, last trade 2026-10-23), and the score shown here was written at 2026-10-23 17:35 by model score-1.0.0.