Sherwin-Williams

SHW CONSTRUCTIVE MEDIUM EQUITY DEMO

$81.28 -0.41% 1-day change from the stored snapshot · 27 hours ago

DEMO DATASET last stored bar 2026-10-23 · scores computed 2026-10-23 17:35:23 · every figure below is read from these rows, nothing is computed in the browser

Price · stored daily bars

126 bars ending 2026-10-23 · demo data

Indicators are computed from the same stored closes the score used; the forecast fan is drawn from qm_predictions, not from a live model call. how this is drawn

Open$81.23

Day range$81.81 / $80.66

Prev close$81.62

Volume44.2M

RVOL 30d1.47×session volume over stored 30-day average

Avg $ volume$2.33B

Market cap$304B

HV2030.0% ann.

Beta0.61

RSI(14)63.4

ATR %3.96%

Max drawdown-43.8%

52-week rangefrom $69.81 to $130.77

52-week low / high$69.81 / $130.77

From 52w high-37.9%

Liquiditynot storeddays of average volume to fill 1% of float

Forecast

Stored scenarios from the last pipeline run. The model that wrote them is named on each row; no forecast is generated when you look at this page.

Horizon	Ref	Bull high	Base range	Bear low	P10 → P90	P(up)	Confidence	Risk
1D 2026-10-23 17:35:23	81.28	83.31 +2.5%	80.47 → 82.09 -1.0% … +1.0%	79.65 -2.0%	80.06 → 82.91	53.0%	68 760 bars, blended vol 29%, score 59, coverage 100%%	LOW HV 29.0% ann. · 760 bars
5D 2026-10-23 17:35:23	81.28	84.53 +4.0%	80.47 → 82.91 -1.0% … +2.0%	78.03 -4.0%	78.84 → 84.53	54.0%	68 760 bars, blended vol 29%, score 59, coverage 100%%	LOW HV 29.0% ann. · 760 bars
1M 2026-10-23 17:35:23	81.28	88.60 +9.0%	78.84 → 84.53 -3.0% … +4.0%	74.78 -8.0%	76.40 → 86.97	54.0%	68 760 bars, blended vol 29%, score 59, coverage 100%%	LOW HV 29.0% ann. · 760 bars
3M 2026-10-23 17:35:23	81.28	93.47 +15.0%	77.62 → 87.38 -4.5% … +7.5%	70.31 -13.5%	72.75 → 91.03	54.0%	68 760 bars, blended vol 29%, score 59, coverage 100%%	LOW HV 29.0% ann. · 760 bars
6M 2026-10-23 17:35:23	81.28	99.57 +22.5%	76.40 → 89.81 -6.0% … +10.5%	66.65 -18.0%	70.31 → 95.91	54.0%	68 760 bars, blended vol 29%, score 59, coverage 100%%	LOW HV 29.0% ann. · 760 bars
12M 2026-10-23 17:35:23	81.28	107.70 +32.5%	73.15 → 93.47 -10.0% … +15.0%	58.93 -27.5%	65.02 → 101.60	54.0%	68 760 bars, blended vol 29%, score 59, coverage 100%%	MEDIUM HV 29.0% ann. · 760 bars

Bull case

If a volatility-compressed setup resolving upward would accelerate the move, the upside path is the 80–95th percentile band shown here.

band +1.5% … +2.5% · 81.28 – 81.28

Base case

mildly positive

band -1.0% … +1.0% · 81.28 – 81.28

Bear case

Downside triggers: a market-wide risk-off move alone can carry the 5–20th percentile band. Treat the 5–20th percentile band as the stress case for sizing, not as a worst case.

band -2.0% … -1.0% · 81.28 – 81.28

Catalysts the model is watching

Earnings report 2026-10-23 (as scheduled)
Street target implies 6%

Key risks & invalidation

Historic drawdown deeper than 44%
Binary event: 2026-10-23

Model assumptions

Realised volatility stays near its recent level (blended 29% annualised).
The scoring tilt persists over the window; no structural break (fraud, delisting, forced guidance cut).
Returns are approximated as lognormal; fat tails are handled by widening, not by point forecasts.
Index regime assumed: sideways.
Close below the 93.93 support band or the strategy stop.
Earnings or regulatory headline that changes forward estimates by more than the modelled window σ.
Volatility expanding beyond 46% annualised invalidates position sizing.
Loss of the fundamental pillars used in the score (guidance cut, covenant breach, auditor change).

Reference price 81.28 at 2026-10-23 17:35:23 · regime at generation sideways · data demo · freshness 0s. These bands are conditional distributions from stored inputs, not advice or a promise about outcomes.

Fundamentals

Latest stored period · FY2026 · filed 2026-12-31

snapshot JSON

Revenue$36.6BYoY +8.9%

EPS (TTM)2.99growth +8.5%

Net income$11.2B

Free cash flow$9.24Bmargin 29.1%

Gross margin59.9%

Operating margin35.9%

ROE19.4%

ROIC17.4%

Debt / equity1.35

Current ratio1.14

Interest cover17.06×

Net debt$3.09B

P/E27.90×

P/E forward25.64×

PEG3.17

P/S · P/B · EV/EBITDA8.53 · 5.40 · 19.24

Dividend yield0.50%payout 15%

Buyback yield0.78%

Profit margin30.6%

Cash$13.2B

Stored periods (raw rows, newest first)

Period	Revenue	Revenue YoY	EPS	Gross margin	Op margin	FCF margin	ROE	Filed
FY2026 FY	$36.6B	+8.9%	2.99	59.9%	35.9%	29.1%	19.4%	2026-12-31
FY2025 FY	$33.7B	+8.9%	2.75	64.7%	35.1%	34.2%	22.8%	2025-12-31
FY2024 FY	$30.2B	+7.6%	2.46	59.4%	35.7%	33.5%	19.6%	2024-12-31
FY2023 FY	$28.0B	+10.2%	2.29	66.3%	34.3%	27.4%	8.3%	2023-12-31
Q4 2026 Q	$7.01B	+10.2%	0.57	66.3%	34.3%	27.4%	8.3%	2026-07-01

Earnings and estimates

Next stored report 2026-12-10 · 0 day(s) away

Implied move9.2%from the stored option chain

EPS estimate0.78

Revenue estimate$9.14B

Consensus index51.7stored on 0–100 in the snapshot; higher = more constructive

% buy ratingsnot storednull on this row — the snapshot job did not store it

Target upsidenot stored

Gap risk0.48%median overnight gap

Time of daybmo

Report	EPS est	EPS actual	Surprise	Rev est	Rev actual	Guidance	Source
2026-12-10	0.78	not stored	not stored	$9.14B	not stored	none	synthetic_demo
2026-10-23	0.72	not stored	not stored	$9.14B	not stored	none	synthetic_demo
2026-07-19	0.77	0.88	+14.0%	$9.14B	$9.06B	raise	synthetic_demo
2026-06-01	0.77	0.75	-2.6%	$9.14B	$9.62B	raise	synthetic_demo
2026-04-14	0.74	0.77	+3.8%	$9.14B	$8.86B	raise	synthetic_demo
2026-02-25	0.78	0.72	-7.3%	$9.14B	$9.21B	lower	synthetic_demo
2026-01-08	0.80	0.79	-0.4%	$9.14B	$8.79B	maintain	synthetic_demo
2025-11-21	0.79	0.92	+16.5%	$9.14B	$9.15B	lower	synthetic_demo

As of	Horizon	EPS avg	EPS high	EPS low	Revenue	Analysts	90d revisions
2026-10-23	FY1	3.24	3.32	2.61	$38.5B	24	5 / 3
2026-10-23	FY2	3.54	3.73	2.84	$40.2B	33	2 / 8
2026-10-23	Q1	0.86	0.87	0.75	$9.92B	10	7 / 8
2026-10-23	Q2	0.83	0.89	0.63	$9.47B	14	10 / 6

Analyst actions

Stored rating changes and targets. The consensus numbers are the same ones the sentiment component read.

Date	Firm	Action	From	To	Target	Consensus	% buy
2026-10-05	Kestrel Analytics	initiated	Hold	Hold	$95.97	3.54	33%
2026-09-03	Halcyon Partners	initiated	Neutral	Neutral	$84.95	3.54	29%
2026-07-17	Northgate Securities	downgrade	Buy	Neutral	$96.83	3.54	32%
2026-05-27	Kestrel Analytics	upgrade	Hold	Buy	$82.60	3.54	33%
2026-04-12	Northgate Securities	initiated	Outperform	Outperform	$70.50	3.54	35%

Ownership, insiders and short interest

Inst. position change-44.3%reported change vs the prior stored quarter

Net insider (USD)not stored

Short % of float13.2%

Days to cover36.4

Period end	Holder	Type	Shares	Value	% float	Change
2026-09-01	State Street Global Advisors	fund	205M	$16.7B	8.8%	not stored
2026-09-01	State Street Global Advisors	fund	205M	$16.7B	8.8%	not stored
2026-09-01	State Street Global Advisors	fund	205M	$16.7B	8.8%	not stored
2026-09-01	State Street Global Advisors	fund	205M	$16.7B	8.8%	not stored
2026-09-01	State Street Global Advisors	fund	205M	$16.7B	8.8%	not stored
2026-09-01	BlackRock Fund Advisors	fund	194M	$15.8B	8.4%	not stored
2026-09-01	BlackRock Fund Advisors	fund	194M	$15.8B	8.4%	not stored
2026-09-01	BlackRock Fund Advisors	fund	194M	$15.8B	8.4%	not stored

Dividends and splits

Ex-date	Pay date	Amount	Frequency	Yield at ex
2026-09-11	2026-09-29	$0.101	quarterly	0.50%
2026-05-29	2026-06-16	$0.101	quarterly	0.50%
2026-03-20	2026-04-07	$0.101	quarterly	0.50%
2025-12-12	2025-12-30	$0.102	quarterly	0.50%
2025-09-12	2025-09-30	$0.102	quarterly	0.50%
2025-05-30	2025-06-17	$0.103	quarterly	0.50%
2025-02-28	2025-03-18	$0.103	quarterly	0.50%
2024-12-06	2024-12-24	$0.103	quarterly	0.50%
2024-09-13	2024-10-01	$0.104	quarterly	0.50%

Nothing stored yet.

Options

No chain stored for this symbol

Full chain Flow

No option chain stored.

Chains are only stored for symbols the options job covers, and only for the expiry it snapshots.

Open the flow page for a symbol that has data, or run the options ingestion.

News mentioning SHW

Stored headlines linked to this security, newest first. Sentiment scores come from the stored scorer, not from this page.

No stored headline mentions this symbol.

Score

qm_ai_scores row #859

58.7

composite / 100 · model score-1.0.0

CONSTRUCTIVE risk MEDIUM confidence 63

Technical 25 60.6

Fundamental 25 60.8

Momentum 15 50.5

Sentiment 10 60.3

Institutional 10 26.7

Risk 15 80.6

Why the model scored it this way

RISK Liquidity 96
Average $2332.7M traded per session
SENTIMENT Sentiment Delta 95
30-day sentiment change 17 pts
RISK Gap Risk 95
Median overnight gap 0.48% — position sizing must survive opens
RISK Correlation 94
Correlation to benchmark 0.63-year rolling: 0.43
RISK Beta 90
Beta 0.61 vs the reference index
FUNDAMENTAL Operating Margin 85
Operating margin 35.9%
RISK Market Risk 85
Benchmark volatility 20.1% · regime: Sideways · normal vol · risk-off
FUNDAMENTAL Free Cash Flow 82
FCF margin 29.1%
FUNDAMENTAL Coverage 82
Interest coverage 17.1×
FUNDAMENTAL Gross Margin 80
Gross margin 59.9%
FUNDAMENTAL Return On Invested Capital 79
ROIC 17.4%
RISK Sector Risk 78
Sector average volatility 29.7%
INSTITUTIONAL Institutional Flows 22
Reported 13F-style positioning change -44.3% vs prior quarter2026-09-01
SENTIMENT Analyst Distribution 77
77% Buy/Strong Buy · 17% Hold · 6% Sell/Short

Scored on synthetic demonstration data. Directionally realistic, not a forecast of any real market.

Levels

Stored support/resistance from the snapshot row, not drawn from the chart in the browser.

Resistance (stored): $80.70
Support (stored): $72.44
20-day SMA: $77.42
50-day SMA: $76.76
200-day SMA: $93.93
Trend: up
Above SMA50 / SMA200: yes / no
From 52w high: -37.9%
MACD histogram: 0.616
RSI(14): 63.4
Relative strength (3m): -2.1%
RS rank: not stored /100

Sentiment

Stored buckets (each row is one scoring run over the news window).

Bucket start	Score	Label	Mentions	Method
2026-10-20 13:00	+8%	neutral	17	synthetic demo tone index — not real sentiment
2026-10-20 14:00	+8%	neutral	17	synthetic demo tone index — not real sentiment
2026-10-20 16:00	+8%	neutral	17	synthetic demo tone index — not real sentiment
2026-10-20 17:00	+8%	neutral	17	synthetic demo tone index — not real sentiment
2026-10-23 13:00	+38%	positive	18	synthetic demo tone index — not real sentiment
2026-10-23 14:00	+38%	positive	18	synthetic demo tone index — not real sentiment
2026-10-23 16:00	+38%	positive	18	synthetic demo tone index — not real sentiment
2026-10-23 17:00	+38%	positive	18	synthetic demo tone index — not real sentiment

Catalysts and risks

Stored catalysts

Earnings report 2026-10-23 (as scheduled)
Street target implies 6%

Stored risks

Historic drawdown deeper than 44%
Binary event: 2026-10-23

Same sector

Ranked by stored composite score.

Symbol	Price	1d	Score	Stance
FCX	$516.41	-1.45%	56.7	NEUTRAL
ECL	$511.59	-1.52%	55.1	NEUTRAL
XLB	$108.00	-1.05%	54.9	NEUTRAL
NEM	$142.70	+1.65%	53.4	NEUTRAL
LIN	$422.89	-1.59%	51.6	NEUTRAL

Validation

Forecasts on this symbol whose horizon has matured, scored against the stored bars.

All models

Nothing to score yet: settle the matured forecasts with php bin/pipeline.php --cmd=settle and this table fills with realised-versus-forecast rows.

Peer comparison

Symbol	Price	1d	Cap	P/E	PEG	P/S	P/B	Rev growth	EPS growth	ROE	Gross	Op margin
NEM	$142.70	+1.65%	$586B	33.61×	6.09	7.58×	5.80×	+6.2%	+6.6%	17.3%	46.6%	25.1%
LIN	$422.89	-1.59%	$2.08T	32.11×	6.65	6.59×	3.87×	+4.2%	+5.2%	12.0%	48.3%	24.3%
FCX	$516.41	-1.45%	$2.58T	21.88×	1.74	4.54×	1.32×	+13.4%	+12.1%	6.0%	41.7%	22.3%
ECL	$511.59	-1.52%	$2.80T	28.46×	2.50	6.73×	1.78×	+11.1%	+11.9%	6.2%	56.7%	26.4%

What this page did not do.

It did not fetch a quote, call an external model, or extend the chart. It read 156000 stored bar rows in total across the universe (demo data, last trade 2026-10-23), and the score shown here was written at 2026-10-23 17:35 by model score-1.0.0.