Orbital Freight Systems

ORBT LISTED DEMO

NASDAQ · priced 2026-08-18 · lists 2026-08-21 · lockup 2027-02-17

DEMO DATASET last stored bar 2026-10-23 · scores computed 2026-10-23 17:35:24 · every figure below is read from these rows, nothing is computed in the browser

Synthetic demo listing generated for UI/algorithm testing. Company is fictional; no real filing exists at the internal:// URL.

Offer range21.00 – 23.00priced at 22.00

Shares offered13.0M

Gross proceeds$1.31B

Valuation range$5.58B – $6.94B

Day-one return+24.6%first trade versus the final offer

Since listing+14.1%

Float offered17.3%

Greenshoe15%

Revenue (TTM)$1.42Bgrowth 31.0%

Net income$96.0M

Gross margin69.5%

Cash − debt$-230Mdebt/revenue 0.45×

Runwaynot burningfrom the stored burn column

Altman Z8.31computed on the stored columns

Lead underwritersMorgan Stanley, J.P. Morgan, BofA Secur…tier 3

Intel score68.3stored ranking column

Score breakdown

The parts stored in intel_breakdown_json, each on 0–100. The composite is their mean — the model's own arithmetic, reproduced from the row.

Growth 83.4

Revenue 100.0

Profitability 67.2

Valuation 58.9

Balance 41.4

Market 58.8

Since listing

Stored daily bars for the listed security, starting at its first stored session.

Short histories are common for new listings; the indicators need 200 bars to be meaningful and are simply absent before that. how this is drawn

Comparables stored with the filing

Whatever the row holds. Blank cells mean the comparable was recorded without metrics, not that it trades at zero.

Comparable	P/E	P/S	EV/Revenue	Growth	Note on the row
CAT	28.4×	8.1×	not stored	10.3%	Demo comparable selected by sector tag (synthetic financials).

Implied at the offer: P/S 4.9× at the top of the valuation range, revenue 1,420M.

Security score

63.2

composite / 100 · model score-1.0.0

CONSTRUCTIVE risk MEDIUM confidence 64

Technical 25 55.3

Fundamental 25 60.5

Momentum 15 58.1

Sentiment 10 74.3

Institutional 10 50.0

Risk 15 83.6

Why the model scored it this way

SENTIMENT Sentiment Delta 95
30-day sentiment change 15.5 pts
RISK Gap Risk 95
Median overnight gap 0.39% — position sizing must survive opens
RISK Liquidity 92
Average $39.3M traded per session
RISK Correlation 92
Correlation to benchmark 0.63-year rolling: 0.48
RISK Beta 89
Beta 0.55 vs the reference index
RISK Market Risk 85
Benchmark volatility 20.1% · regime: Sideways · normal vol · risk-off
RISK Sector Risk 82
Sector average volatility 26.5%
FUNDAMENTAL Operating Margin 82
Operating margin 31.3%
FUNDAMENTAL Free Cash Flow 82
FCF margin 26.3%
FUNDAMENTAL Coverage 82
Interest coverage 28.6×
RISK Event Risk Earnings 82
No scheduled earnings date on file
FUNDAMENTAL Gross Margin 76
Gross margin 55.3%
FUNDAMENTAL Return On Invested Capital 75
ROIC 15.8%
MOMENTUM Relative Strength Vs Index 73
3-month return minus index +8%

Scored on synthetic demonstration data. Directionally realistic, not a forecast of any real market.

Forecast

Horizon	Ref	Bull high	Base range	Bear low	P10 → P90	P(up)	Confidence	Risk
1D 2026-10-23 17:35:24	25.10	25.48 +1.5%	24.97 → 25.23 -0.5% … +0.5%	24.85 -1.0%	24.85 → 25.35	57.0%	68 760 bars, blended vol 23%, score 63, coverage 96%%	LOW HV 22.7% ann. · 760 bars
5D 2026-10-23 17:35:24	25.10	25.85 +3.0%	24.85 → 25.60 -1.0% … +2.0%	24.60 -2.0%	24.60 → 25.85	57.0%	68 760 bars, blended vol 23%, score 63, coverage 96%%	LOW HV 22.7% ann. · 760 bars
1M 2026-10-23 17:35:24	25.10	26.86 +7.0%	24.60 → 25.85 -2.0% … +3.0%	23.85 -5.0%	24.10 → 26.36	57.0%	68 760 bars, blended vol 23%, score 63, coverage 96%%	LOW HV 22.7% ann. · 760 bars
3M 2026-10-23 17:35:24	25.10	28.11 +12.0%	24.35 → 26.61 -3.0% … +6.0%	22.84 -9.0%	23.59 → 27.36	57.0%	68 760 bars, blended vol 23%, score 63, coverage 96%%	LOW HV 22.7% ann. · 760 bars
6M 2026-10-23 17:35:24	25.10	29.24 +16.5%	23.97 → 26.98 -4.5% … +7.5%	22.09 -12.0%	22.84 → 28.49	57.0%	68 760 bars, blended vol 23%, score 63, coverage 96%%	LOW HV 22.7% ann. · 760 bars
12M 2026-10-23 17:35:24	25.10	30.75 +22.5%	23.85 → 28.24 -5.0% … +12.5%	20.71 -17.5%	21.96 → 30.12	57.0%	68 760 bars, blended vol 23%, score 63, coverage 96%%	LOW HV 22.7% ann. · 760 bars

Bull case

If RSI mid-range — room to extend, outperforming the benchmark over 3 months, a volatility-compressed setup resolving upward would accelerate the move, the upside path is the 80–95th percentile band shown here.

band +1.0% … +1.5% · 25.10 – 25.10

Base case

mildly positive

band -0.5% … +0.5% · 25.10 – 25.10

Bear case

Downside triggers: P/E 28.2× leaves no valuation buffer. Treat the 5–20th percentile band as the stress case for sizing, not as a worst case.

band -1.0% … -0.5% · 25.10 – 25.10

Catalysts the model is watching

None recorded for this horizon.

Key risks & invalidation

No exceptional risk flags from stored data; normal market risk always applies

Model assumptions

Realised volatility stays near its recent level (blended 22.7% annualised).
The scoring tilt persists over the window; no structural break (fraud, delisting, forced guidance cut).
Returns are approximated as lognormal; fat tails are handled by widening, not by point forecasts.
Index regime assumed: sideways.
Close below the 29.68 support band or the strategy stop.
Earnings or regulatory headline that changes forward estimates by more than the modelled window σ.
Volatility expanding beyond 36% annualised invalidates position sizing.
Loss of the fundamental pillars used in the score (guidance cut, covenant breach, auditor change).

Reference price 25.10 at 2026-10-23 17:35:24 · regime at generation sideways · data demo · freshness 0s. These bands are conditional distributions from stored inputs, not advice or a promise about outcomes.

Read this as a record, not a recommendation.

The filing data in this application is descriptive: offer sizes, dates and the stored score. It is not a prospectus, and the synthetic demo rows here describe fictional companies.