Orbital Freight Systems

ORBT CONSTRUCTIVE MEDIUM IPO DEMO

$27.40 -1.75% 1-day change from the stored snapshot · 27 hours ago

DEMO DATASET last stored bar 2026-10-23 · scores computed 2026-10-23 17:35:24 · every figure below is read from these rows, nothing is computed in the browser

Price · stored daily bars

126 bars ending 2026-10-23 · demo data

Indicators are computed from the same stored closes the score used; the forecast fan is drawn from qm_predictions, not from a live model call. how this is drawn

Open$28.08

Day range$28.23 / $27.23

Prev close$27.89

Volume1.55M

RVOL 30d1.03×session volume over stored 30-day average

Avg $ volume$39.3M

Market cap$27.4B

HV2025.1% ann.

Beta0.55

RSI(14)57.8

ATR %2.87%

Max drawdown-36.7%

52-week rangefrom $23.65 to $38.25

52-week low / high$23.65 / $38.25

From 52w high-28.4%

Liquiditynot storeddays of average volume to fill 1% of float

Forecast

Stored scenarios from the last pipeline run. The model that wrote them is named on each row; no forecast is generated when you look at this page.

Horizon	Ref	Bull high	Base range	Bear low	P10 → P90	P(up)	Confidence	Risk
1D 2026-10-23 17:35:24	27.40	27.81 +1.5%	27.26 → 27.54 -0.5% … +0.5%	27.13 -1.0%	27.13 → 27.67	57.0%	68 760 bars, blended vol 23%, score 63, coverage 96%%	LOW HV 22.7% ann. · 760 bars
5D 2026-10-23 17:35:24	27.40	28.22 +3.0%	27.13 → 27.95 -1.0% … +2.0%	26.85 -2.0%	26.85 → 28.22	57.0%	68 760 bars, blended vol 23%, score 63, coverage 96%%	LOW HV 22.7% ann. · 760 bars
1M 2026-10-23 17:35:24	27.40	29.32 +7.0%	26.85 → 28.22 -2.0% … +3.0%	26.03 -5.0%	26.30 → 28.77	57.0%	68 760 bars, blended vol 23%, score 63, coverage 96%%	LOW HV 22.7% ann. · 760 bars
3M 2026-10-23 17:35:24	27.40	30.69 +12.0%	26.58 → 29.04 -3.0% … +6.0%	24.93 -9.0%	25.76 → 29.87	57.0%	68 760 bars, blended vol 23%, score 63, coverage 96%%	LOW HV 22.7% ann. · 760 bars
6M 2026-10-23 17:35:24	27.40	31.92 +16.5%	26.17 → 29.46 -4.5% … +7.5%	24.11 -12.0%	24.93 → 31.10	57.0%	68 760 bars, blended vol 23%, score 63, coverage 96%%	LOW HV 22.7% ann. · 760 bars
12M 2026-10-23 17:35:24	27.40	33.57 +22.5%	26.03 → 30.83 -5.0% … +12.5%	22.61 -17.5%	23.98 → 32.88	57.0%	68 760 bars, blended vol 23%, score 63, coverage 96%%	LOW HV 22.7% ann. · 760 bars

Bull case

If RSI mid-range — room to extend, outperforming the benchmark over 3 months, a volatility-compressed setup resolving upward would accelerate the move, the upside path is the 80–95th percentile band shown here.

band +1.0% … +1.5% · 27.40 – 27.40

Base case

mildly positive

band -0.5% … +0.5% · 27.40 – 27.40

Bear case

Downside triggers: P/E 28.2× leaves no valuation buffer. Treat the 5–20th percentile band as the stress case for sizing, not as a worst case.

band -1.0% … -0.5% · 27.40 – 27.40

Catalysts the model is watching

None recorded for this horizon.

Key risks & invalidation

No exceptional risk flags from stored data; normal market risk always applies

Model assumptions

Realised volatility stays near its recent level (blended 22.7% annualised).
The scoring tilt persists over the window; no structural break (fraud, delisting, forced guidance cut).
Returns are approximated as lognormal; fat tails are handled by widening, not by point forecasts.
Index regime assumed: sideways.
Close below the 29.68 support band or the strategy stop.
Earnings or regulatory headline that changes forward estimates by more than the modelled window σ.
Volatility expanding beyond 36% annualised invalidates position sizing.
Loss of the fundamental pillars used in the score (guidance cut, covenant breach, auditor change).

Reference price 27.40 at 2026-10-23 17:35:24 · regime at generation sideways · data demo · freshness 0s. These bands are conditional distributions from stored inputs, not advice or a promise about outcomes.

Fundamentals

Latest stored period · FY2026 · filed 2026-12-31

snapshot JSON

Revenue$3.56BYoY +11.4%

EPS (TTM)0.96growth +14.4%

Net income$958M

Free cash flow$1.20Bmargin 26.3%

Gross margin55.3%

Operating margin31.3%

ROE19.7%

ROIC15.8%

Debt / equity0.80

Current ratio1.99

Interest cover28.57×

Net debt$987M

P/E28.21×

P/E forward25.13×

PEG2.30

P/S · P/B · EV/EBITDA7.60 · 5.55 · 19.45

Dividend yield0.62%payout 27%

Buyback yield-0.64%

Profit margin26.9%

Cash$1.09B

Stored periods (raw rows, newest first)

Period	Revenue	Revenue YoY	EPS	Gross margin	Op margin	FCF margin	ROE	Filed
FY2026 FY	$3.56B	+11.4%	0.96	55.3%	31.3%	26.3%	19.7%	2026-12-31
FY2025 FY	$3.26B	+12.1%	0.88	56.8%	31.3%	25.5%	11.5%	2025-12-31
FY2024 FY	$2.91B	+12.1%	0.78	60.6%	28.9%	32.2%	16.8%	2024-12-31
FY2023 FY	$2.59B	+13.7%	0.70	53.3%	28.4%	22.2%	7.1%	2023-12-31
Q4 2026 Q	$648M	+13.7%	0.17	53.3%	28.4%	22.2%	7.1%	2026-07-01

Earnings and estimates

No future report date stored.

Implied movenot storedfrom the stored option chain

EPS estimatenot stored

Revenue estimatenot stored

Consensus index53.7stored on 0–100 in the snapshot; higher = more constructive

% buy ratingsnot storednull on this row — the snapshot job did not store it

Target upsidenot stored

Gap risk0.39%median overnight gap

Time of daynot stated

Nothing stored yet.

No past report rows stored for this symbol — surprise history appears after ingestion.

Analyst actions

Stored rating changes and targets. The consensus numbers are the same ones the sentiment component read.

Nothing stored yet.

No analyst actions stored for this symbol.

Ownership, insiders and short interest

Inst. position changenot storedreported change vs the prior stored quarter

Net insider (USD)not stored

Short % of floatnot stored

Days to covernot stored

No ownership rows stored.

13F-style holdings, insider filings and short-interest settlements are separate ingestion jobs; none of them has written a row for this symbol.

The score card marks the institutional component as incomplete instead of guessing.

Options

No chain stored for this symbol

Full chain Flow

No option chain stored.

Chains are only stored for symbols the options job covers, and only for the expiry it snapshots.

Open the flow page for a symbol that has data, or run the options ingestion.

News mentioning ORBT

Stored headlines linked to this security, newest first. Sentiment scores come from the stored scorer, not from this page.

No stored headline mentions this symbol.

Score

qm_ai_scores row #914

63.2

composite / 100 · model score-1.0.0

CONSTRUCTIVE risk MEDIUM confidence 64

Technical 25 55.3

Fundamental 25 60.5

Momentum 15 58.1

Sentiment 10 74.3

Institutional 10 50.0

Risk 15 83.6

Why the model scored it this way

SENTIMENT Sentiment Delta 95
30-day sentiment change 15.5 pts
RISK Gap Risk 95
Median overnight gap 0.39% — position sizing must survive opens
RISK Liquidity 92
Average $39.3M traded per session
RISK Correlation 92
Correlation to benchmark 0.63-year rolling: 0.48
RISK Beta 89
Beta 0.55 vs the reference index
RISK Market Risk 85
Benchmark volatility 20.1% · regime: Sideways · normal vol · risk-off
RISK Sector Risk 82
Sector average volatility 26.5%
FUNDAMENTAL Operating Margin 82
Operating margin 31.3%
FUNDAMENTAL Free Cash Flow 82
FCF margin 26.3%
FUNDAMENTAL Coverage 82
Interest coverage 28.6×
RISK Event Risk Earnings 82
No scheduled earnings date on file
FUNDAMENTAL Gross Margin 76
Gross margin 55.3%
FUNDAMENTAL Return On Invested Capital 75
ROIC 15.8%
MOMENTUM Relative Strength Vs Index 73
3-month return minus index +8%

Scored on synthetic demonstration data. Directionally realistic, not a forecast of any real market.

Levels

Stored support/resistance from the snapshot row, not drawn from the chart in the browser.

Resistance (stored): $25.96
Support (stored): $24.99
20-day SMA: $27.00
50-day SMA: $25.83
200-day SMA: $29.68
Trend: up
Above SMA50 / SMA200: yes / no
From 52w high: -28.4%
MACD histogram: -0.049
RSI(14): 57.8
Relative strength (3m): +8.0%
RS rank: not stored /100

Sentiment

Stored buckets (each row is one scoring run over the news window).

Bucket start	Score	Label	Mentions	Method
2026-10-20 13:00	+33%	positive	11	synthetic demo tone index — not real sentiment
2026-10-20 14:00	+33%	positive	11	synthetic demo tone index — not real sentiment
2026-10-20 16:00	+33%	positive	11	synthetic demo tone index — not real sentiment
2026-10-20 17:00	+33%	positive	11	synthetic demo tone index — not real sentiment
2026-10-23 13:00	+21%	positive	19	synthetic demo tone index — not real sentiment
2026-10-23 14:00	+21%	positive	19	synthetic demo tone index — not real sentiment
2026-10-23 16:00	+21%	positive	19	synthetic demo tone index — not real sentiment
2026-10-23 17:00	+21%	positive	19	synthetic demo tone index — not real sentiment

Catalysts and risks

Stored catalysts

none stored

Stored risks

No exceptional risk flags from stored data; normal market risk always applies

Same sector

Ranked by stored composite score.

Symbol	Price	1d	Score	Stance
DE	$511.82	-0.91%	62.9	CONSTRUCTIVE
ETN	$140.24	-2.12%	60.8	CONSTRUCTIVE
BA	$367.61	+0.94%	60.4	CONSTRUCTIVE
HON	$495.99	-0.43%	59.0	CONSTRUCTIVE
GE	$85.54	-0.55%	57.6	NEUTRAL
UPS	$132.24	-1.01%	56.0	NEUTRAL

Validation

Forecasts on this symbol whose horizon has matured, scored against the stored bars.

All models

Nothing to score yet: settle the matured forecasts with php bin/pipeline.php --cmd=settle and this table fills with realised-versus-forecast rows.

Peer comparison

Symbol	Price	1d	Cap	P/E	PEG	P/S	P/B	Rev growth	EPS growth	ROE	Gross	Op margin
UPS	$132.24	-1.01%	$116B	11.43×	9.15	1.71×	5.35×	+0.9%	+1.6%	46.8%	31.8%	16.7%
GE	$85.54	-0.55%	$350B	32.41×	2.38	10.65×	4.43×	+12.3%	+14.0%	13.7%	73.5%	38.2%
ETN	$140.24	-2.12%	$696B	21.08×	1.68	3.94×	1.01×	+12.7%	+15.4%	4.8%	38.2%	19.2%
CAT	$222.36	+0.50%	$1.13T	28.35×	2.70	8.12×	4.03×	+10.3%	+12.5%	14.2%	64.2%	33.0%
BA	$367.61	+0.94%	$1.71T	32.88×	5.35	9.24×	4.76×	+6.5%	+8.6%	14.5%	55.5%	31.8%
DE	$511.82	-0.91%	$2.45T	25.28×	2.33	6.89×	1.22×	+11.4%	+11.2%	4.8%	59.8%	28.5%
LMT	$632.87	-1.33%	$2.84T	31.57×	2.71	7.40×	4.77×	+10.3%	+12.3%	15.1%	48.4%	25.5%
HON	$495.99	-0.43%	$2.98T	28.42×	4.89	9.40×	4.21×	+4.4%	+7.2%	14.8%	68.8%	34.1%

What this page did not do.

It did not fetch a quote, call an external model, or extend the chart. It read 156000 stored bar rows in total across the universe (demo data, last trade 2026-10-23), and the score shown here was written at 2026-10-23 17:35 by model score-1.0.0.