Honeywell Intl

HON CONSTRUCTIVE MEDIUM EQUITY DEMO

$495.99 -0.43% 1-day change from the stored snapshot · 27 hours ago

DEMO DATASET last stored bar 2026-10-23 · scores computed 2026-10-23 17:35:23 · every figure below is read from these rows, nothing is computed in the browser

Price · stored daily bars

126 bars ending 2026-10-23 · demo data

Indicators are computed from the same stored closes the score used; the forecast fan is drawn from qm_predictions, not from a live model call. how this is drawn

Open$496.71

Day range$498.31 / $491.25

Prev close$498.12

Volume64.2M

RVOL 30d1.34×session volume over stored 30-day average

Avg $ volume$23.8B

Market cap$2.98T

HV2027.3% ann.

Beta0.61

RSI(14)52.4

ATR %3.61%

Max drawdown-57.0%

52-week rangefrom $443.83 to $772.73

52-week low / high$443.83 / $772.73

From 52w high-35.8%

Liquiditynot storeddays of average volume to fill 1% of float

Forecast

Stored scenarios from the last pipeline run. The model that wrote them is named on each row; no forecast is generated when you look at this page.

Horizon	Ref	Bull high	Base range	Bear low	P10 → P90	P(up)	Confidence	Risk
1D 2026-10-23 17:35:23	495.99	508.39 +2.5%	493.51 → 500.95 -0.5% … +1.0%	486.07 -2.0%	488.55 → 505.91	53.0%	68 760 bars, blended vol 26%, score 59, coverage 100%%	LOW HV 26.4% ann. · 760 bars
5D 2026-10-23 17:35:23	495.99	515.83 +4.0%	491.03 → 505.91 -1.0% … +2.0%	481.11 -3.0%	481.11 → 510.87	54.0%	68 760 bars, blended vol 26%, score 59, coverage 100%%	LOW HV 26.4% ann. · 760 bars
1M 2026-10-23 17:35:23	495.99	535.67 +8.0%	486.07 → 515.83 -2.0% … +4.0%	461.27 -7.0%	471.19 → 530.71	54.0%	68 760 bars, blended vol 26%, score 59, coverage 100%%	LOW HV 26.4% ann. · 760 bars
3M 2026-10-23 17:35:23	495.99	570.39 +15.0%	473.67 → 525.75 -4.5% … +6.0%	436.47 -12.0%	451.35 → 555.51	54.0%	68 760 bars, blended vol 26%, score 59, coverage 100%%	LOW HV 26.4% ann. · 760 bars
6M 2026-10-23 17:35:23	495.99	600.15 +21.0%	466.23 → 540.63 -6.0% … +9.0%	414.15 -16.5%	429.03 → 577.83	54.0%	68 760 bars, blended vol 26%, score 59, coverage 100%%	LOW HV 26.4% ann. · 760 bars
12M 2026-10-23 17:35:23	495.99	644.79 +30.0%	458.79 → 557.99 -7.5% … +12.5%	371.99 -25.0%	409.19 → 607.59	54.0%	68 760 bars, blended vol 26%, score 59, coverage 100%%	MEDIUM HV 26.4% ann. · 760 bars

Bull case

If RSI mid-range — room to extend, a volatility-compressed setup resolving upward would accelerate the move, the upside path is the 80–95th percentile band shown here.

band +1.0% … +2.5% · 495.99 – 495.99

Base case

mildly positive

band -0.5% … +1.0% · 495.99 – 495.99

Bear case

Downside triggers: P/E 28.4× leaves no valuation buffer. Treat the 5–20th percentile band as the stress case for sizing, not as a worst case.

band -2.0% … -1.0% · 495.99 – 495.99

Catalysts the model is watching

Earnings report 2026-10-23 (as scheduled)
Street target implies 19.3%

Key risks & invalidation

Historic drawdown deeper than 57%
Binary event: 2026-10-23

Model assumptions

Realised volatility stays near its recent level (blended 26.4% annualised).
The scoring tilt persists over the window; no structural break (fraud, delisting, forced guidance cut).
Returns are approximated as lognormal; fat tails are handled by widening, not by point forecasts.
Index regime assumed: sideways.
Close below the 574.2 support band or the strategy stop.
Earnings or regulatory headline that changes forward estimates by more than the modelled window σ.
Volatility expanding beyond 42% annualised invalidates position sizing.
Loss of the fundamental pillars used in the score (guidance cut, covenant breach, auditor change).

Reference price 495.99 at 2026-10-23 17:35:23 · regime at generation sideways · data demo · freshness 0s. These bands are conditional distributions from stored inputs, not advice or a promise about outcomes.

Fundamentals

Latest stored period · FY2026 · filed 2026-12-31

snapshot JSON

Revenue$318BYoY +4.4%

EPS (TTM)17.48growth +7.2%

Net income$105B

Free cash flow$125Bmargin 35.7%

Gross margin68.8%

Operating margin34.1%

ROE14.8%

ROIC18.7%

Debt / equity1.40

Current ratio1.85

Interest cover13.90×

Net debt$108B

P/E28.42×

P/E forward26.86×

PEG4.89

P/S · P/B · EV/EBITDA9.40 · 4.21 · 19.60

Dividend yield0.83%payout 32%

Buyback yield-0.91%

Profit margin33.1%

Cash$125B

Stored periods (raw rows, newest first)

Period	Revenue	Revenue YoY	EPS	Gross margin	Op margin	FCF margin	ROE	Filed
FY2026 FY	$318B	+4.4%	17.48	68.8%	34.1%	35.7%	14.8%	2026-12-31
FY2025 FY	$305B	+7.1%	16.78	72.5%	33.1%	37.8%	14.7%	2025-12-31
FY2024 FY	$290B	+5.1%	15.95	64.3%	35.6%	34.1%	3.2%	2024-12-31
FY2023 FY	$276B	+4.8%	15.16	63.0%	39.0%	28.7%	20.7%	2023-12-31
Q4 2026 Q	$68.9B	+4.8%	3.79	63.0%	39.0%	28.7%	20.7%	2026-07-01

Earnings and estimates

Next stored report 2026-12-10 · 0 day(s) away

Implied move6.0%from the stored option chain

EPS estimate4.25

Revenue estimate$79.4B

Consensus index75.2stored on 0–100 in the snapshot; higher = more constructive

% buy ratingsnot storednull on this row — the snapshot job did not store it

Target upsidenot stored

Gap risk0.47%median overnight gap

Time of dayamc

Report	EPS est	EPS actual	Surprise	Rev est	Rev actual	Guidance	Source
2026-12-10	4.25	not stored	not stored	$79.4B	not stored	none	synthetic_demo
2026-10-23	4.68	not stored	not stored	$79.4B	not stored	none	synthetic_demo
2026-07-19	4.39	3.87	-11.9%	$79.4B	$80.7B	lower	synthetic_demo
2026-06-01	4.77	4.83	+1.1%	$79.4B	$78.8B	raise	synthetic_demo
2026-04-14	4.15	4.55	+9.5%	$79.4B	$80.1B	maintain	synthetic_demo
2026-02-25	4.60	4.03	-12.4%	$79.4B	$79.4B	maintain	synthetic_demo
2026-01-08	4.21	4.03	-4.4%	$79.4B	$78.8B	lower	synthetic_demo
2025-11-21	4.55	5.14	+12.8%	$79.4B	$80.3B	raise	synthetic_demo

As of	Horizon	EPS avg	EPS high	EPS low	Revenue	Analysts	90d revisions
2026-10-23	FY1	18.76	22.04	17.53	$327B	21	10 / 3
2026-10-23	FY2	19.18	22.26	17.40	$322B	17	3 / 3
2026-10-23	Q1	4.91	5.43	4.49	$87.0B	36	6 / 6
2026-10-23	Q2	5.20	5.20	4.85	$85.3B	28	6 / 5

Analyst actions

Stored rating changes and targets. The consensus numbers are the same ones the sentiment component read.

Date	Firm	Action	From	To	Target	Consensus	% buy
2026-10-16	Northgate Securities	upgrade	Hold	Sell	$627.78	1.81	52%
2026-08-26	Kestrel Analytics	initiated	Neutral	Neutral	$627.80	1.81	61%
2026-07-17	Blue Harbor Capital Research	maintained	Sell	Sell	$551.95	1.81	70%
2026-06-03	Halcyon Partners	initiated	Buy	Buy	$596.50	1.81	61%
2026-04-12	Meridian Research	downgrade	Buy	Neutral	$553.59	1.81	70%

Ownership, insiders and short interest

Inst. position change-75.8%reported change vs the prior stored quarter

Net insider (USD)$30.7M

Short % of float3.3%

Days to cover8.7

Period end	Holder	Type	Shares	Value	% float	Change
2026-09-01	Vanguard Index Group	fund	283M	$140B	7.6%	not stored
2026-09-01	Vanguard Index Group	fund	283M	$140B	7.6%	not stored
2026-09-01	Vanguard Index Group	fund	283M	$140B	7.6%	not stored
2026-09-01	Vanguard Index Group	fund	283M	$140B	7.6%	not stored
2026-09-01	Vanguard Index Group	fund	283M	$140B	7.6%	not stored
2026-09-01	Fidelity Concord	fund	188M	$93.1B	5.0%	not stored
2026-09-01	Fidelity Concord	fund	188M	$93.1B	5.0%	not stored
2026-09-01	Fidelity Concord	fund	188M	$93.1B	5.0%	not stored

Trade date	Owner	Title	Type	Shares	Price	Value	Owned after
2026-08-17	Demo Officer 5A6CAF	General Counsel	Buy - 10b5-1 Plan	61.9k	$513.48	$30.7M	939k
2026-05-23	Demo Officer FB750E	General Counsel	Option Exercise (option)	228k	$499.78	$113M	6.60M
2026-05-21	Demo Officer D6CFEB	Chief Executive Officer	Grant	98.8k	$558.45	$49.0M	1.72M
2025-12-17	Demo Officer 1C7F60	Director	Grant	138k	$572.79	$68.3M	5.66M

Dividends and splits

Ex-date	Pay date	Amount	Frequency	Yield at ex
2026-09-18	2026-10-06	$1.034	quarterly	0.83%
2026-06-19	2026-07-07	$1.038	quarterly	0.83%
2026-02-27	2026-03-17	$1.042	quarterly	0.83%
2025-12-12	2025-12-30	$1.047	quarterly	0.83%
2025-09-05	2025-09-23	$1.051	quarterly	0.83%
2025-06-13	2025-07-01	$1.055	quarterly	0.83%
2025-03-14	2025-04-01	$1.059	quarterly	0.83%
2024-11-29	2024-12-17	$1.063	quarterly	0.83%
2024-09-06	2024-09-24	$1.067	quarterly	0.83%

Nothing stored yet.

Options

No chain stored for this symbol

Full chain Flow

No option chain stored.

Chains are only stored for symbols the options job covers, and only for the expiry it snapshots.

Open the flow page for a symbol that has data, or run the options ingestion.

News mentioning HON

Stored headlines linked to this security, newest first. Sentiment scores come from the stored scorer, not from this page.

No stored headline mentions this symbol.

Score

qm_ai_scores row #842

59.0

composite / 100 · model score-1.0.0

CONSTRUCTIVE risk MEDIUM confidence 63

Technical 25 46.3

Fundamental 25 58.5

Momentum 15 48.7

Sentiment 10 86.8

Institutional 10 47.7

Risk 15 80.5

Why the model scored it this way

SENTIMENT Analyst Distribution 100
120% Buy/Strong Buy · 0% Hold · 0% Sell/Short
RISK Liquidity 96
Average $23786.6M traded per session
SENTIMENT Sentiment Delta 95
30-day sentiment change 25.8 pts
RISK Gap Risk 95
Median overnight gap 0.47% — position sizing must survive opens
RISK Correlation 93
Correlation to benchmark 0.63-year rolling: 0.43
SENTIMENT Estimate Revisions 92
Net EPS estimate revisions (90d): 8
RISK Beta 90
Beta 0.61 vs the reference index
INSTITUTIONAL Insider Activity 88
Net insider purchases ≈ $30.7M over 1 filings
TECHNICAL Trend Structure 14
Price vs 20/50/200-day moving averages: strong down
RISK Market Risk 85
Benchmark volatility 20.1% · regime: Sideways · normal vol · risk-off
FUNDAMENTAL Gross Margin 84
Gross margin 68.8%
FUNDAMENTAL Operating Margin 84
Operating margin 34.1%
RISK Sector Risk 82
Sector average volatility 26.5%
FUNDAMENTAL Free Cash Flow 82
FCF margin 35.7%

Scored on synthetic demonstration data. Directionally realistic, not a forecast of any real market.

Levels

Stored support/resistance from the snapshot row, not drawn from the chart in the browser.

Resistance (stored): $517.21
Support (stored): $482.17
20-day SMA: $490.34
50-day SMA: $496.25
200-day SMA: $574.20
Trend: strong_down
Above SMA50 / SMA200: no / no
From 52w high: -35.8%
MACD histogram: 0.925
RSI(14): 52.4
Relative strength (3m): -3.5%
RS rank: not stored /100

Sentiment

Stored buckets (each row is one scoring run over the news window).

Bucket start	Score	Label	Mentions	Method
2026-10-20 13:00	+49%	positive	27	synthetic demo tone index — not real sentiment
2026-10-20 14:00	+49%	positive	27	synthetic demo tone index — not real sentiment
2026-10-20 16:00	+49%	positive	27	synthetic demo tone index — not real sentiment
2026-10-20 17:00	+49%	positive	27	synthetic demo tone index — not real sentiment
2026-10-23 13:00	+50%	positive	12	synthetic demo tone index — not real sentiment
2026-10-23 14:00	+50%	positive	12	synthetic demo tone index — not real sentiment
2026-10-23 16:00	+50%	positive	12	synthetic demo tone index — not real sentiment
2026-10-23 17:00	+50%	positive	12	synthetic demo tone index — not real sentiment

Catalysts and risks

Stored catalysts

Earnings report 2026-10-23 (as scheduled)
Street target implies 19.3%

Stored risks

Historic drawdown deeper than 57%
Binary event: 2026-10-23

Same sector

Ranked by stored composite score.

Symbol	Price	1d	Score	Stance
ORBT	$27.40	-1.75%	63.2	CONSTRUCTIVE
DE	$511.82	-0.91%	62.9	CONSTRUCTIVE
ETN	$140.24	-2.12%	60.8	CONSTRUCTIVE
BA	$367.61	+0.94%	60.4	CONSTRUCTIVE
GE	$85.54	-0.55%	57.6	NEUTRAL
UPS	$132.24	-1.01%	56.0	NEUTRAL

Validation

Forecasts on this symbol whose horizon has matured, scored against the stored bars.

All models

Nothing to score yet: settle the matured forecasts with php bin/pipeline.php --cmd=settle and this table fills with realised-versus-forecast rows.

Peer comparison

Symbol	Price	1d	Cap	P/E	PEG	P/S	P/B	Rev growth	EPS growth	ROE	Gross	Op margin
LMT	$632.87	-1.33%	$2.84T	31.57×	2.71	7.40×	4.77×	+10.3%	+12.3%	15.1%	48.4%	25.5%
DE	$511.82	-0.91%	$2.45T	25.28×	2.33	6.89×	1.22×	+11.4%	+11.2%	4.8%	59.8%	28.5%
BA	$367.61	+0.94%	$1.71T	32.88×	5.35	9.24×	4.76×	+6.5%	+8.6%	14.5%	55.5%	31.8%
CAT	$222.36	+0.50%	$1.13T	28.35×	2.70	8.12×	4.03×	+10.3%	+12.5%	14.2%	64.2%	33.0%
ETN	$140.24	-2.12%	$696B	21.08×	1.68	3.94×	1.01×	+12.7%	+15.4%	4.8%	38.2%	19.2%
GE	$85.54	-0.55%	$350B	32.41×	2.38	10.65×	4.43×	+12.3%	+14.0%	13.7%	73.5%	38.2%
UPS	$132.24	-1.01%	$116B	11.43×	9.15	1.71×	5.35×	+0.9%	+1.6%	46.8%	31.8%	16.7%

What this page did not do.

It did not fetch a quote, call an external model, or extend the chart. It read 156000 stored bar rows in total across the universe (demo data, last trade 2026-10-23), and the score shown here was written at 2026-10-23 17:35 by model score-1.0.0.