Vega Bio Foods

VEGA LISTED DEMO

NASDAQ · priced 2026-03-03 · lists 2026-03-06 · lockup 2026-09-02

DEMO DATASET last stored bar 2026-10-23 · scores computed 2026-10-23 17:35:24 · every figure below is read from these rows, nothing is computed in the browser

Synthetic demo listing generated for UI/algorithm testing. Company is fictional; no real filing exists at the internal:// URL.

Offer range11.00 – 13.00priced at 12.00

Shares offered8.06M

Gross proceeds$1.18B

Valuation range$702M – $874M

Day-one return-13.3%first trade versus the final offer

Since listing-7.5%

Float offered39.7%

Greenshoe15%

Revenue (TTM)$128Mgrowth 96.0%

Net income$-19.0M

Gross margin54.1%

Cash − debt$114Mdebt/revenue 0.75×

Runway44 monthsfrom the stored burn column

Altman Z1.02computed on the stored columns

Lead underwritersMorgan Stanley, J.P. Morgan, BofA Secur…tier 2

Intel score66.8stored ranking column

Score breakdown

The parts stored in intel_breakdown_json, each on 0–100. The composite is their mean — the model's own arithmetic, reproduced from the row.

Growth 100.0

Revenue 100.0

Profitability 16.6

Valuation 58.5

Balance 64.6

Market 61.3

Risk flags on the row: unprofitable

Since listing

Stored daily bars for the listed security, starting at its first stored session.

Short histories are common for new listings; the indicators need 200 bars to be meaningful and are simply absent before that. how this is drawn

Comparables stored with the filing

Whatever the row holds. Blank cells mean the comparable was recorded without metrics, not that it trades at zero.

Comparable	P/E	P/S	EV/Revenue	Growth	Note on the row
COST	12.9×	3.0×	not stored	5.9%	Demo comparable selected by sector tag (synthetic financials).

Implied at the offer: P/S 6.8× at the top of the valuation range, revenue 128M.

Security score

61.3

composite / 100 · model score-1.0.0

CONSTRUCTIVE risk LOW confidence 65

Technical 25 59.6

Fundamental 25 58.6

Momentum 15 52.1

Sentiment 10 56.7

Institutional 10 50.0

Risk 15 84.9

Why the model scored it this way

RISK Gap Risk 95
Median overnight gap 0.39% — position sizing must survive opens
RISK Correlation 92
Correlation to benchmark 0.63-year rolling: 0.47
RISK Liquidity 92
Average $29.8M traded per session
RISK Sector Risk 89
Sector average volatility 21.5%
RISK Beta 87
Beta 0.51 vs the reference index
RISK Market Risk 85
Benchmark volatility 20.1% · regime: Sideways · normal vol · risk-off
FUNDAMENTAL Free Cash Flow 82
FCF margin 21.9%
RISK Event Risk Earnings 82
No scheduled earnings date on file
RISK Volatility 80
20-day realised volatility 20.4% annualised
FUNDAMENTAL Operating Margin 79
Operating margin 26.8%
FUNDAMENTAL Return On Invested Capital 75
ROIC 15.9%
FUNDAMENTAL Gross Margin 73
Gross margin 52.5%
TECHNICAL Volume Confirmation 72
Relative volume 1.47× its own 30-day average
TECHNICAL Trend Structure 70
Price vs 20/50/200-day moving averages: up

Scored on synthetic demonstration data. Directionally realistic, not a forecast of any real market.

Forecast

Horizon	Ref	Bull high	Base range	Bear low	P10 → P90	P(up)	Confidence	Risk
1D 2026-10-23 17:35:24	11.10	11.27 +1.5%	11.04 → 11.16 -0.5% … +0.5%	10.99 -1.0%	10.99 → 11.21	56.0%	69 760 bars, blended vol 21%, score 61, coverage 96%%	LOW HV 20.7% ann. · 760 bars
5D 2026-10-23 17:35:24	11.10	11.43 +3.0%	10.99 → 11.21 -1.0% … +1.0%	10.88 -2.0%	10.88 → 11.32	56.0%	69 760 bars, blended vol 21%, score 61, coverage 96%%	LOW HV 20.7% ann. · 760 bars
1M 2026-10-23 17:35:24	11.10	11.77 +6.0%	10.88 → 11.43 -2.0% … +3.0%	10.55 -5.0%	10.66 → 11.66	56.0%	69 760 bars, blended vol 21%, score 61, coverage 96%%	LOW HV 20.7% ann. · 760 bars
3M 2026-10-23 17:35:24	11.10	12.27 +10.5%	10.77 → 11.60 -3.0% … +4.5%	10.27 -7.5%	10.43 → 12.10	56.0%	69 760 bars, blended vol 21%, score 61, coverage 96%%	LOW HV 20.7% ann. · 760 bars
6M 2026-10-23 17:35:24	11.10	12.77 +15.0%	10.77 → 11.93 -3.0% … +7.5%	9.77 -12.0%	10.10 → 12.43	56.0%	69 760 bars, blended vol 21%, score 61, coverage 96%%	LOW HV 20.7% ann. · 760 bars
12M 2026-10-23 17:35:24	11.10	13.32 +20.0%	10.55 → 12.21 -5.0% … +10.0%	9.16 -17.5%	9.71 → 13.04	56.0%	69 760 bars, blended vol 21%, score 61, coverage 96%%	LOW HV 20.7% ann. · 760 bars

Bull case

If a volatility-compressed setup resolving upward would accelerate the move, the upside path is the 80–95th percentile band shown here.

band +1.0% … +1.5% · 11.10 – 11.10

Base case

mildly positive

band -0.5% … +0.5% · 11.10 – 11.10

Bear case

Downside triggers: P/E 28.7× leaves no valuation buffer. Treat the 5–20th percentile band as the stress case for sizing, not as a worst case.

band -1.0% … -0.5% · 11.10 – 11.10

Catalysts the model is watching

None recorded for this horizon.

Key risks & invalidation

No exceptional risk flags from stored data; normal market risk always applies

Model assumptions

Realised volatility stays near its recent level (blended 20.7% annualised).
The scoring tilt persists over the window; no structural break (fraud, delisting, forced guidance cut).
Returns are approximated as lognormal; fat tails are handled by widening, not by point forecasts.
Index regime assumed: sideways.
Close below the 11.67 support band or the strategy stop.
Earnings or regulatory headline that changes forward estimates by more than the modelled window σ.
Volatility expanding beyond 33% annualised invalidates position sizing.
Loss of the fundamental pillars used in the score (guidance cut, covenant breach, auditor change).

Reference price 11.10 at 2026-10-23 17:35:24 · regime at generation sideways · data demo · freshness 0s. These bands are conditional distributions from stored inputs, not advice or a promise about outcomes.

Read this as a record, not a recommendation.

The filing data in this application is descriptive: offer sizes, dates and the stored score. It is not a prospectus, and the synthetic demo rows here describe fictional companies.