Vega Bio Foods

VEGA CONSTRUCTIVE LOW IPO DEMO

$10.40 +0.57% 1-day change from the stored snapshot · 27 hours ago

DEMO DATASET last stored bar 2026-10-23 · scores computed 2026-10-23 17:35:24 · every figure below is read from these rows, nothing is computed in the browser

Price · stored daily bars

126 bars ending 2026-10-23 · demo data

Indicators are computed from the same stored closes the score used; the forecast fan is drawn from qm_predictions, not from a live model call. how this is drawn

Open$10.35

Day range$10.47 / $10.32

Prev close$10.34

Volume4.33M

RVOL 30d1.47×session volume over stored 30-day average

Avg $ volume$29.8M

Market cap$6.02B

HV2020.4% ann.

Beta0.51

RSI(14)62.1

ATR %2.96%

Max drawdown-39.6%

52-week rangefrom $9.00 to $15.40

52-week low / high$9.00 / $15.40

From 52w high-32.5%

Liquiditynot storeddays of average volume to fill 1% of float

Forecast

Stored scenarios from the last pipeline run. The model that wrote them is named on each row; no forecast is generated when you look at this page.

Horizon	Ref	Bull high	Base range	Bear low	P10 → P90	P(up)	Confidence	Risk
1D 2026-10-23 17:35:24	10.40	10.56 +1.5%	10.35 → 10.45 -0.5% … +0.5%	10.30 -1.0%	10.30 → 10.50	56.0%	69 760 bars, blended vol 21%, score 61, coverage 96%%	LOW HV 20.7% ann. · 760 bars
5D 2026-10-23 17:35:24	10.40	10.71 +3.0%	10.30 → 10.50 -1.0% … +1.0%	10.19 -2.0%	10.19 → 10.61	56.0%	69 760 bars, blended vol 21%, score 61, coverage 96%%	LOW HV 20.7% ann. · 760 bars
1M 2026-10-23 17:35:24	10.40	11.02 +6.0%	10.19 → 10.71 -2.0% … +3.0%	9.88 -5.0%	9.98 → 10.92	56.0%	69 760 bars, blended vol 21%, score 61, coverage 96%%	LOW HV 20.7% ann. · 760 bars
3M 2026-10-23 17:35:24	10.40	11.49 +10.5%	10.09 → 10.87 -3.0% … +4.5%	9.62 -7.5%	9.78 → 11.34	56.0%	69 760 bars, blended vol 21%, score 61, coverage 96%%	LOW HV 20.7% ann. · 760 bars
6M 2026-10-23 17:35:24	10.40	11.96 +15.0%	10.09 → 11.18 -3.0% … +7.5%	9.15 -12.0%	9.46 → 11.65	56.0%	69 760 bars, blended vol 21%, score 61, coverage 96%%	LOW HV 20.7% ann. · 760 bars
12M 2026-10-23 17:35:24	10.40	12.48 +20.0%	9.88 → 11.44 -5.0% … +10.0%	8.58 -17.5%	9.10 → 12.22	56.0%	69 760 bars, blended vol 21%, score 61, coverage 96%%	LOW HV 20.7% ann. · 760 bars

Bull case

If a volatility-compressed setup resolving upward would accelerate the move, the upside path is the 80–95th percentile band shown here.

band +1.0% … +1.5% · 10.40 – 10.40

Base case

mildly positive

band -0.5% … +0.5% · 10.40 – 10.40

Bear case

Downside triggers: P/E 28.7× leaves no valuation buffer. Treat the 5–20th percentile band as the stress case for sizing, not as a worst case.

band -1.0% … -0.5% · 10.40 – 10.40

Catalysts the model is watching

None recorded for this horizon.

Key risks & invalidation

No exceptional risk flags from stored data; normal market risk always applies

Model assumptions

Realised volatility stays near its recent level (blended 20.7% annualised).
The scoring tilt persists over the window; no structural break (fraud, delisting, forced guidance cut).
Returns are approximated as lognormal; fat tails are handled by widening, not by point forecasts.
Index regime assumed: sideways.
Close below the 11.67 support band or the strategy stop.
Earnings or regulatory headline that changes forward estimates by more than the modelled window σ.
Volatility expanding beyond 33% annualised invalidates position sizing.
Loss of the fundamental pillars used in the score (guidance cut, covenant breach, auditor change).

Reference price 10.40 at 2026-10-23 17:35:24 · regime at generation sideways · data demo · freshness 0s. These bands are conditional distributions from stored inputs, not advice or a promise about outcomes.

Fundamentals

Latest stored period · FY2026 · filed 2026-12-31

snapshot JSON

Revenue$799MYoY +9.4%

EPS (TTM)0.35growth +12.4%

Net income$204M

Free cash flow$175Mmargin 21.9%

Gross margin52.5%

Operating margin26.8%

ROE10.3%

ROIC15.9%

Debt / equity0.61

Current ratio1.52

Interest cover7.62×

Net debt$276M

P/E28.73×

P/E forward25.96×

PEG2.70

P/S · P/B · EV/EBITDA7.33 · 2.96 · 19.82

Dividend yield1.26%payout 21%

Buyback yield1.27%

Profit margin25.5%

Cash$164M

Stored periods (raw rows, newest first)

Period	Revenue	Revenue YoY	EPS	Gross margin	Op margin	FCF margin	ROE	Filed
FY2026 FY	$799M	+9.4%	0.35	52.5%	26.8%	21.9%	10.3%	2026-12-31
FY2025 FY	$755M	+11.4%	0.33	56.5%	27.8%	21.5%	6.9%	2025-12-31
FY2024 FY	$657M	+11.6%	0.29	52.8%	27.3%	20.3%	9.0%	2024-12-31
FY2023 FY	$592M	+12.1%	0.26	58.2%	27.6%	22.1%	15.2%	2023-12-31
Q4 2026 Q	$148M	+12.1%	0.07	58.2%	27.6%	22.1%	15.2%	2026-07-01

Earnings and estimates

No future report date stored.

Implied movenot storedfrom the stored option chain

EPS estimatenot stored

Revenue estimatenot stored

Consensus index48.1stored on 0–100 in the snapshot; higher = more constructive

% buy ratingsnot storednull on this row — the snapshot job did not store it

Target upsidenot stored

Gap risk0.39%median overnight gap

Time of daynot stated

Nothing stored yet.

No past report rows stored for this symbol — surprise history appears after ingestion.

Analyst actions

Stored rating changes and targets. The consensus numbers are the same ones the sentiment component read.

Nothing stored yet.

No analyst actions stored for this symbol.

Ownership, insiders and short interest

Inst. position changenot storedreported change vs the prior stored quarter

Net insider (USD)not stored

Short % of floatnot stored

Days to covernot stored

No ownership rows stored.

13F-style holdings, insider filings and short-interest settlements are separate ingestion jobs; none of them has written a row for this symbol.

The score card marks the institutional component as incomplete instead of guessing.

Options

No chain stored for this symbol

Full chain Flow

No option chain stored.

Chains are only stored for symbols the options job covers, and only for the expiry it snapshots.

Open the flow page for a symbol that has data, or run the options ingestion.

News mentioning VEGA

Stored headlines linked to this security, newest first. Sentiment scores come from the stored scorer, not from this page.

No stored headline mentions this symbol.

Score

qm_ai_scores row #918

61.3

composite / 100 · model score-1.0.0

CONSTRUCTIVE risk LOW confidence 65

Technical 25 59.6

Fundamental 25 58.6

Momentum 15 52.1

Sentiment 10 56.7

Institutional 10 50.0

Risk 15 84.9

Why the model scored it this way

RISK Gap Risk 95
Median overnight gap 0.39% — position sizing must survive opens
RISK Correlation 92
Correlation to benchmark 0.63-year rolling: 0.47
RISK Liquidity 92
Average $29.8M traded per session
RISK Sector Risk 89
Sector average volatility 21.5%
RISK Beta 87
Beta 0.51 vs the reference index
RISK Market Risk 85
Benchmark volatility 20.1% · regime: Sideways · normal vol · risk-off
FUNDAMENTAL Free Cash Flow 82
FCF margin 21.9%
RISK Event Risk Earnings 82
No scheduled earnings date on file
RISK Volatility 80
20-day realised volatility 20.4% annualised
FUNDAMENTAL Operating Margin 79
Operating margin 26.8%
FUNDAMENTAL Return On Invested Capital 75
ROIC 15.9%
FUNDAMENTAL Gross Margin 73
Gross margin 52.5%
TECHNICAL Volume Confirmation 72
Relative volume 1.47× its own 30-day average
TECHNICAL Trend Structure 70
Price vs 20/50/200-day moving averages: up

Scored on synthetic demonstration data. Directionally realistic, not a forecast of any real market.

Category ranks

Position among scored securities in each evidence category.

Category	Score	Rank	Evidence
DEFENSIVE	59.2	1	Volatility 20.4% with beta 0.51 and fundamental quality 59
DEFENSIVE	59.2	1	Volatility 20.4% with beta 0.51 and fundamental quality 59
DEFENSIVE	59.2	1	Volatility 20.4% with beta 0.51 and fundamental quality 59
DEFENSIVE	59.2	1	Volatility 20.4% with beta 0.51 and fundamental quality 59
DEFENSIVE	59.2	1	Volatility 20.4% with beta 0.51 and fundamental quality 59

Levels

Stored support/resistance from the snapshot row, not drawn from the chart in the browser.

Resistance (stored): $10.52
Support (stored): $10.00
20-day SMA: $10.17
50-day SMA: $9.87
200-day SMA: $11.67
Trend: up
Above SMA50 / SMA200: yes / no
From 52w high: -32.5%
MACD histogram: 0.011
RSI(14): 62.1
Relative strength (3m): -2.7%
RS rank: not stored /100

Sentiment

Stored buckets (each row is one scoring run over the news window).

Bucket start	Score	Label	Mentions	Method
2026-10-20 13:00	+53%	positive	36	synthetic demo tone index — not real sentiment
2026-10-20 14:00	+53%	positive	36	synthetic demo tone index — not real sentiment
2026-10-20 16:00	+53%	positive	36	synthetic demo tone index — not real sentiment
2026-10-20 17:00	+53%	positive	36	synthetic demo tone index — not real sentiment
2026-10-23 13:00	-45%	negative	44	synthetic demo tone index — not real sentiment
2026-10-23 14:00	-45%	negative	44	synthetic demo tone index — not real sentiment
2026-10-23 16:00	-45%	negative	44	synthetic demo tone index — not real sentiment
2026-10-23 17:00	-45%	negative	44	synthetic demo tone index — not real sentiment

Catalysts and risks

Stored catalysts

none stored

Stored risks

No exceptional risk flags from stored data; normal market risk always applies

Same sector

Ranked by stored composite score.

Symbol	Price	1d	Score	Stance
COST	$83.22	-0.87%	62.5	CONSTRUCTIVE
PEP	$16.68	-1.98%	60.5	CONSTRUCTIVE
MDLZ	$164.74	-0.04%	58.0	CONSTRUCTIVE
KO	$69.83	-1.91%	57.8	NEUTRAL
PM	$24.05	-1.55%	55.4	NEUTRAL
PG	$32.81	-2.20%	54.6	NEUTRAL

Validation

Forecasts on this symbol whose horizon has matured, scored against the stored bars.

All models

Nothing to score yet: settle the matured forecasts with php bin/pipeline.php --cmd=settle and this table fills with realised-versus-forecast rows.

Peer comparison

Symbol	Price	1d	Cap	P/E	PEG	P/S	P/B	Rev growth	EPS growth	ROE	Gross	Op margin
PG	$32.81	-2.20%	$14.0B	21.61×	not stored	4.70×	6.46×	+0.8%	-0.5%	29.9%	41.5%	24.7%
PEP	$16.68	-1.98%	$18.0B	11.93×	not stored	1.68×	2.87×	-0.1%	-1.2%	24.0%	32.2%	16.7%
PM	$24.05	-1.55%	$24.6B	11.60×	not stored	1.91×	4.61×	-1.8%	-1.2%	39.7%	38.6%	18.8%
KO	$69.83	-1.91%	$65.5B	8.85×	2.70	1.65×	0.87×	+3.7%	+4.2%	9.9%	42.2%	22.2%
COST	$83.22	-0.87%	$156B	12.94×	2.86	3.01×	5.19×	+5.9%	+5.4%	40.1%	50.1%	27.6%
MDLZ	$164.74	-0.04%	$697B	33.45×	2.60	11.14×	0.86×	+14.0%	+14.5%	2.6%	73.5%	35.0%
WMT	$235.28	-0.26%	$1.35T	31.14×	4.89	9.82×	5.59×	+5.7%	+8.9%	18.0%	66.0%	31.7%

What this page did not do.

It did not fetch a quote, call an external model, or extend the chart. It read 156000 stored bar rows in total across the universe (demo data, last trade 2026-10-23), and the score shown here was written at 2026-10-23 17:35 by model score-1.0.0.