PepsiCo Inc.

PEP CONSTRUCTIVE LOW EQUITY DEMO

$16.68 -1.98% 1-day change from the stored snapshot · 28 hours ago

DEMO DATASET last stored bar 2026-10-23 · scores computed 2026-10-23 17:35:22 · every figure below is read from these rows, nothing is computed in the browser

Price · stored daily bars

126 bars ending 2026-10-23 · demo data

Indicators are computed from the same stored closes the score used; the forecast fan is drawn from qm_predictions, not from a live model call. how this is drawn

Open$16.96

Day range$17.20 / $16.55

Prev close$17.02

Volume14.3M

RVOL 30d1.08×session volume over stored 30-day average

Avg $ volume$214M

Market cap$18.0B

HV2022.3% ann.

Beta0.46

RSI(14)59.2

ATR %3.29%

Max drawdown-31.7%

52-week rangefrom $15.09 to $22.79

52-week low / high$15.09 / $22.79

From 52w high-26.8%

Liquiditynot storeddays of average volume to fill 1% of float

Forecast

Stored scenarios from the last pipeline run. The model that wrote them is named on each row; no forecast is generated when you look at this page.

Horizon	Ref	Bull high	Base range	Bear low	P10 → P90	P(up)	Confidence	Risk
1D 2026-10-23 17:35:22	16.68	16.93 +1.5%	16.60 → 16.85 -0.5% … +1.0%	16.43 -1.5%	16.51 → 16.93	54.0%	69 760 bars, blended vol 21%, score 60, coverage 100%%	LOW HV 20.7% ann. · 760 bars
5D 2026-10-23 17:35:22	16.68	17.18 +3.0%	16.51 → 16.85 -1.0% … +1.0%	16.35 -2.0%	16.35 → 17.01	56.0%	69 760 bars, blended vol 21%, score 60, coverage 100%%	LOW HV 20.7% ann. · 760 bars
1M 2026-10-23 17:35:22	16.68	17.68 +6.0%	16.35 → 17.18 -2.0% … +3.0%	15.85 -5.0%	16.01 → 17.51	56.0%	69 760 bars, blended vol 21%, score 60, coverage 100%%	LOW HV 20.7% ann. · 760 bars
3M 2026-10-23 17:35:22	16.68	18.43 +10.5%	16.18 → 17.43 -3.0% … +4.5%	15.43 -7.5%	15.68 → 18.18	56.0%	69 760 bars, blended vol 21%, score 60, coverage 100%%	LOW HV 20.7% ann. · 760 bars
6M 2026-10-23 17:35:22	16.68	19.18 +15.0%	15.93 → 17.93 -4.5% … +7.5%	14.68 -12.0%	15.18 → 18.68	56.0%	69 760 bars, blended vol 21%, score 60, coverage 100%%	LOW HV 20.7% ann. · 760 bars
12M 2026-10-23 17:35:22	16.68	20.02 +20.0%	15.85 → 18.35 -5.0% … +10.0%	13.76 -17.5%	14.60 → 19.60	56.0%	69 760 bars, blended vol 21%, score 60, coverage 100%%	LOW HV 20.7% ann. · 760 bars

Bull case

If RSI mid-range — room to extend, fundamentals scoring above the coverage median, a volatility-compressed setup resolving upward would accelerate the move, the upside path is the 80–95th percentile band shown here.

band +1.0% … +1.5% · 16.68 – 16.68

Base case

mildly positive

band -0.5% … +1.0% · 16.68 – 16.68

Bear case

Downside triggers: a market-wide risk-off move alone can carry the 5–20th percentile band. Treat the 5–20th percentile band as the stress case for sizing, not as a worst case.

band -1.5% … -0.5% · 16.68 – 16.68

Catalysts the model is watching

Earnings report 2026-10-23 (after close)
Street target implies 6.9%

Key risks & invalidation

Binary event: 2026-10-23

Model assumptions

Realised volatility stays near its recent level (blended 20.7% annualised).
The scoring tilt persists over the window; no structural break (fraud, delisting, forced guidance cut).
Returns are approximated as lognormal; fat tails are handled by widening, not by point forecasts.
Index regime assumed: sideways.
Close below the 17.33 support band or the strategy stop.
Earnings or regulatory headline that changes forward estimates by more than the modelled window σ.
Volatility expanding beyond 33% annualised invalidates position sizing.
Loss of the fundamental pillars used in the score (guidance cut, covenant breach, auditor change).

Reference price 16.68 at 2026-10-23 17:35:22 · regime at generation sideways · data demo · freshness 0s. These bands are conditional distributions from stored inputs, not advice or a promise about outcomes.

Fundamentals

Latest stored period · FY2026 · filed 2026-12-31

snapshot JSON

Revenue$10.6BYoY -0.1%

EPS (TTM)1.39growth -1.2%

Net income$1.50B

Free cash flow$1.19Bmargin 16.6%

Gross margin32.2%

Operating margin16.7%

ROE24.0%

ROIC8.6%

Debt / equity1.43

Current ratio1.23

Interest cover10.12×

Net debt$1.83B

P/E11.93×

P/E forward12.09×

PEGnot stored

P/S · P/B · EV/EBITDA1.68 · 2.87 · 8.23

Dividend yield2.22%payout 36%

Buyback yield2.89%

Profit margin14.1%

Cash$559M

Stored periods (raw rows, newest first)

Period	Revenue	Revenue YoY	EPS	Gross margin	Op margin	FCF margin	ROE	Filed
FY2026 FY	$10.6B	-0.1%	1.39	32.2%	16.7%	16.6%	24.0%	2026-12-31
FY2025 FY	$10.8B	-0.3%	1.41	27.0%	16.1%	15.5%	47.5%	2025-12-31
FY2024 FY	$11.0B	-0.8%	1.44	32.7%	14.5%	10.7%	45.6%	2024-12-31
FY2023 FY	$10.6B	-1.3%	1.38	32.9%	16.2%	15.0%	42.2%	2023-12-31
Q4 2026 Q	$2.64B	-1.3%	0.35	32.9%	16.2%	15.0%	42.2%	2026-07-01

Earnings and estimates

Next stored report 2026-12-10 · 0 day(s) away

Implied move4.1%from the stored option chain

EPS estimate0.37

Revenue estimate$2.65B

Consensus index42.0stored on 0–100 in the snapshot; higher = more constructive

% buy ratingsnot storednull on this row — the snapshot job did not store it

Target upsidenot stored

Gap risk0.38%median overnight gap

Time of daybmo

Report	EPS est	EPS actual	Surprise	Rev est	Rev actual	Guidance	Source
2026-12-10	0.37	not stored	not stored	$2.65B	not stored	none	synthetic_demo
2026-10-23	0.33	not stored	not stored	$2.65B	not stored	none	synthetic_demo
2026-07-19	0.38	0.39	+1.6%	$2.65B	$2.66B	raise	synthetic_demo
2026-06-01	0.35	0.36	+5.2%	$2.65B	$2.69B	maintain	synthetic_demo
2026-04-14	0.37	0.33	-9.8%	$2.65B	$2.62B	maintain	synthetic_demo
2026-02-25	0.35	0.35	-1.4%	$2.65B	$2.63B	lower	synthetic_demo
2026-01-08	0.34	0.32	-6.2%	$2.65B	$2.67B	lower	synthetic_demo
2025-11-21	0.36	0.40	+12.0%	$2.65B	$2.63B	raise	synthetic_demo

As of	Horizon	EPS avg	EPS high	EPS low	Revenue	Analysts	90d revisions
2026-10-23	FY1	1.58	1.67	1.52	$11.7B	33	10 / 9
2026-10-23	FY2	1.51	1.60	1.37	$11.1B	26	9 / 7
2026-10-23	Q1	0.38	0.46	0.32	$2.90B	17	9 / 7
2026-10-23	Q2	0.38	0.42	0.35	$2.67B	30	7 / 1

Analyst actions

Stored rating changes and targets. The consensus numbers are the same ones the sentiment component read.

Date	Firm	Action	From	To	Target	Consensus	% buy
2026-10-15	Kestrel Analytics	downgrade	Buy	Outperform	$18.28	3.86	15%
2026-08-21	Kestrel Analytics	downgrade	Buy	Outperform	$15.41	3.86	26%
2026-07-20	Halcyon Partners	downgrade	Buy	Buy	$20.13	3.86	18%
2026-05-23	Blue Harbor Capital Research	initiated	Neutral	Neutral	$18.46	3.86	18%
2026-04-16	Blue Harbor Capital Research	maintained	Buy	Buy	$16.84	3.86	12%

Ownership, insiders and short interest

Inst. position change-58.1%reported change vs the prior stored quarter

Net insider (USD)$-3.64M

Short % of float14.2%

Days to cover26.4

Period end	Holder	Type	Shares	Value	% float	Change
2026-09-01	Fidelity Concord	fund	58.7M	$979M	8.8%	not stored
2026-09-01	Fidelity Concord	fund	58.7M	$979M	8.8%	not stored
2026-09-01	Fidelity Concord	fund	58.7M	$979M	8.8%	not stored
2026-09-01	Fidelity Concord	fund	58.7M	$979M	8.8%	not stored
2026-09-01	Fidelity Concord	fund	58.7M	$979M	8.8%	not stored
2026-09-01	Vanguard Index Group	fund	55.6M	$928M	8.3%	not stored
2026-09-01	Vanguard Index Group	fund	55.6M	$928M	8.3%	not stored
2026-09-01	Vanguard Index Group	fund	55.6M	$928M	8.3%	not stored

Trade date	Owner	Title	Type	Shares	Price	Value	Owned after
2026-10-12	Demo Officer 67DFF6	Director	Sale - Tax	218k	$16.08	$3.64M	1.98M
2026-01-25	Demo Officer 990DB1	Chief Executive Officer	Option Exercise (option)	218k	$16.90	$3.63M	3.57M

Dividends and splits

Ex-date	Pay date	Amount	Frequency	Yield at ex
2026-09-11	2026-09-29	$0.093	quarterly	2.22%
2026-06-05	2026-06-23	$0.093	quarterly	2.22%
2026-03-20	2026-04-07	$0.093	quarterly	2.22%
2025-12-19	2026-01-06	$0.094	quarterly	2.22%
2025-08-29	2025-09-16	$0.094	quarterly	2.22%
2025-06-13	2025-07-01	$0.095	quarterly	2.22%
2025-03-14	2025-04-01	$0.095	quarterly	2.22%
2024-11-29	2024-12-17	$0.095	quarterly	2.22%
2024-09-06	2024-09-24	$0.096	quarterly	2.22%

Nothing stored yet.

Options

No chain stored for this symbol

Full chain Flow

No option chain stored.

Chains are only stored for symbols the options job covers, and only for the expiry it snapshots.

Open the flow page for a symbol that has data, or run the options ingestion.

News mentioning PEP

Stored headlines linked to this security, newest first. Sentiment scores come from the stored scorer, not from this page.

No stored headline mentions this symbol.

Score

qm_ai_scores row #814

60.5

composite / 100 · model score-1.0.0

CONSTRUCTIVE risk LOW confidence 64

Technical 25 61.4

Fundamental 25 68.0

Momentum 15 51.1

Sentiment 10 47.8

Institutional 10 30.6

Risk 15 84.2

Why the model scored it this way

RISK Liquidity 96
Average $213.8M traded per session
SENTIMENT Sentiment Delta 5
30-day sentiment change -23.9 pts
RISK Gap Risk 95
Median overnight gap 0.38% — position sizing must survive opens
RISK Correlation 93
Correlation to benchmark 0.63-year rolling: 0.44
SENTIMENT Estimate Revisions 92
Net EPS estimate revisions (90d): 11
RISK Sector Risk 89
Sector average volatility 21.5%
RISK Beta 86
Beta 0.46 vs the reference index
FUNDAMENTAL Valuation Sales 85
P/S 1.7× vs sector median 5.2×
RISK Market Risk 85
Benchmark volatility 20.1% · regime: Sideways · normal vol · risk-off
FUNDAMENTAL Valuation Pe 84
P/E 11.9× vs sector median 20.3× (discount)
FUNDAMENTAL Return On Equity 80
ROE 24%
TECHNICAL Trend Strength Adx 79
ADX(14) 36.1 — trending
INSTITUTIONAL Institutional Flows 22
Reported 13F-style positioning change -58.1% vs prior quarter2026-09-01
RISK Volatility 77
20-day realised volatility 22.3% annualised

Scored on synthetic demonstration data. Directionally realistic, not a forecast of any real market.

Category ranks

Position among scored securities in each evidence category.

Category	Score	Rank	Evidence
VALUE	64.2	1	P/E 11.9× · PEG n/a · P/B 2.9× with ROE 24%
VALUE	64.2	1	P/E 11.9× · PEG n/a · P/B 2.9× with ROE 24%
VALUE	64.2	1	P/E 11.9× · PEG n/a · P/B 2.9× with ROE 24%
VALUE	64.2	1	P/E 11.9× · PEG n/a · P/B 2.9× with ROE 24%
VALUE	64.2	1	P/E 11.9× · PEG n/a · P/B 2.9× with ROE 24%
INCOME	61.7	2	Yield 2.22% · payout 36% · FCF margin 16.6%
INCOME	61.7	2	Yield 2.22% · payout 36% · FCF margin 16.6%
INCOME	61.7	2	Yield 2.22% · payout 36% · FCF margin 16.6%
INCOME	61.7	2	Yield 2.22% · payout 36% · FCF margin 16.6%
INCOME	61.7	2	Yield 2.22% · payout 36% · FCF margin 16.6%

Levels

Stored support/resistance from the snapshot row, not drawn from the chart in the browser.

Resistance (stored): $16.36
Support (stored): $15.52
20-day SMA: $16.32
50-day SMA: $15.95
200-day SMA: $17.33
Trend: up
Above SMA50 / SMA200: yes / no
From 52w high: -26.8%
MACD histogram: 0.050
RSI(14): 59.2
Relative strength (3m): -1.4%
RS rank: not stored /100

Sentiment

Stored buckets (each row is one scoring run over the news window).

Bucket start	Score	Label	Mentions	Method
2026-10-20 13:00	+31%	positive	21	synthetic demo tone index — not real sentiment
2026-10-20 14:00	+31%	positive	21	synthetic demo tone index — not real sentiment
2026-10-20 16:00	+31%	positive	21	synthetic demo tone index — not real sentiment
2026-10-20 17:00	+31%	positive	21	synthetic demo tone index — not real sentiment
2026-10-23 13:00	-27%	negative	4	synthetic demo tone index — not real sentiment
2026-10-23 14:00	-27%	negative	4	synthetic demo tone index — not real sentiment
2026-10-23 16:00	-27%	negative	4	synthetic demo tone index — not real sentiment
2026-10-23 17:00	-27%	negative	4	synthetic demo tone index — not real sentiment

Catalysts and risks

Stored catalysts

Earnings report 2026-10-23 (after close)
Street target implies 6.9%

Stored risks

Binary event: 2026-10-23

Same sector

Ranked by stored composite score.

Symbol	Price	1d	Score	Stance
COST	$83.22	-0.87%	62.5	CONSTRUCTIVE
VEGA	$10.40	+0.57%	61.3	CONSTRUCTIVE
MDLZ	$164.74	-0.04%	58.0	CONSTRUCTIVE
KO	$69.83	-1.91%	57.8	NEUTRAL
PM	$24.05	-1.55%	55.4	NEUTRAL
PG	$32.81	-2.20%	54.6	NEUTRAL

Validation

Forecasts on this symbol whose horizon has matured, scored against the stored bars.

All models

Nothing to score yet: settle the matured forecasts with php bin/pipeline.php --cmd=settle and this table fills with realised-versus-forecast rows.

Peer comparison

Symbol	Price	1d	Cap	P/E	PEG	P/S	P/B	Rev growth	EPS growth	ROE	Gross	Op margin
PG	$32.81	-2.20%	$14.0B	21.61×	not stored	4.70×	6.46×	+0.8%	-0.5%	29.9%	41.5%	24.7%
PM	$24.05	-1.55%	$24.6B	11.60×	not stored	1.91×	4.61×	-1.8%	-1.2%	39.7%	38.6%	18.8%
KO	$69.83	-1.91%	$65.5B	8.85×	2.70	1.65×	0.87×	+3.7%	+4.2%	9.9%	42.2%	22.2%
COST	$83.22	-0.87%	$156B	12.94×	2.86	3.01×	5.19×	+5.9%	+5.4%	40.1%	50.1%	27.6%
MDLZ	$164.74	-0.04%	$697B	33.45×	2.60	11.14×	0.86×	+14.0%	+14.5%	2.6%	73.5%	35.0%
WMT	$235.28	-0.26%	$1.35T	31.14×	4.89	9.82×	5.59×	+5.7%	+8.9%	18.0%	66.0%	31.7%

What this page did not do.

It did not fetch a quote, call an external model, or extend the chart. It read 156000 stored bar rows in total across the universe (demo data, last trade 2026-10-23), and the score shown here was written at 2026-10-23 17:35 by model score-1.0.0.