Procter & Gamble

PG NEUTRAL LOW EQUITY DEMO

$32.81 -2.20% 1-day change from the stored snapshot · 2 days ago

DEMO DATASET last stored bar 2026-10-23 · scores computed 2026-10-25 04:13:59 · every figure below is read from these rows, nothing is computed in the browser

Price · stored daily bars

126 bars ending 2026-10-23 · demo data

Indicators are computed from the same stored closes the score used; the forecast fan is drawn from qm_predictions, not from a live model call. how this is drawn

Open$33.58

Day range$34.28 / $32.44

Prev close$33.55

Volume1.96M

RVOL 30d1.27×session volume over stored 30-day average

Avg $ volume$52.7M

Market cap$14.0B

HV2022.7% ann.

Beta0.41

RSI(14)42.9

ATR %2.77%

Max drawdown-34.7%

52-week rangefrom $28.85 to $45.17

52-week low / high$28.85 / $45.17

From 52w high-27.4%

Liquiditynot storeddays of average volume to fill 1% of float

Forecast

Stored scenarios from the last pipeline run. The model that wrote them is named on each row; no forecast is generated when you look at this page.

Horizon	Ref	Bull high	Base range	Bear low	P10 → P90	P(up)	Confidence	Risk
1D 2026-10-25 04:13:59	32.81	33.14 +1.0%	32.65 → 32.97 -0.5% … +0.5%	32.48 -1.0%	32.48 → 33.14	52.0%	58 760 bars, blended vol 21%, score 55, coverage 100%%	LOW HV 20.6% ann. · 760 bars
5D 2026-10-25 04:13:59	32.81	33.79 +3.0%	32.48 → 33.14 -1.0% … +1.0%	32.15 -2.0%	32.15 → 33.47	52.0%	58 760 bars, blended vol 21%, score 55, coverage 100%%	LOW HV 20.6% ann. · 760 bars
1M 2026-10-25 04:13:59	32.81	34.78 +6.0%	32.15 → 33.47 -2.0% … +2.0%	31.17 -5.0%	31.50 → 34.12	52.0%	58 760 bars, blended vol 21%, score 55, coverage 100%%	LOW HV 20.6% ann. · 760 bars
3M 2026-10-25 04:13:59	32.81	36.26 +10.5%	31.83 → 34.29 -3.0% … +4.5%	29.86 -9.0%	30.35 → 35.27	52.0%	58 760 bars, blended vol 21%, score 55, coverage 100%%	LOW HV 20.6% ann. · 760 bars
6M 2026-10-25 04:13:59	32.81	37.24 +13.5%	31.33 → 34.78 -4.5% … +6.0%	28.87 -12.0%	29.86 → 36.26	52.0%	58 760 bars, blended vol 21%, score 55, coverage 100%%	LOW HV 20.6% ann. · 760 bars
12M 2026-10-25 04:13:59	32.81	39.37 +20.0%	30.35 → 35.27 -7.5% … +7.5%	27.07 -17.5%	28.71 → 37.73	52.0%	58 760 bars, blended vol 21%, score 55, coverage 100%%	LOW HV 20.6% ann. · 760 bars

Bull case

If fundamentals scoring above the coverage median, a volatility-compressed setup resolving upward would accelerate the move, the upside path is the 80–95th percentile band shown here.

band +0.5% … +1.0% · 32.81 – 32.81

Base case

mildly positive

band -0.5% … +0.5% · 32.81 – 32.81

Bear case

Downside triggers: a market-wide risk-off move alone can carry the 5–20th percentile band. Treat the 5–20th percentile band as the stress case for sizing, not as a worst case.

band -1.0% … -0.5% · 32.81 – 32.81

Catalysts the model is watching

Earnings report 2026-12-10 (as scheduled)
Demo synthetic: PG announces platform refresh for enterprise buyers
Demo synthetic: PG announces platform refresh for enterprise buyers
Street target implies 10.7%

Key risks & invalidation

Binary event: 2026-12-10

Model assumptions

Realised volatility stays near its recent level (blended 20.6% annualised).
The scoring tilt persists over the window; no structural break (fraud, delisting, forced guidance cut).
Returns are approximated as lognormal; fat tails are handled by widening, not by point forecasts.
Index regime assumed: sideways.
Close below the 35.23 support band or the strategy stop.
Earnings or regulatory headline that changes forward estimates by more than the modelled window σ.
Volatility expanding beyond 33% annualised invalidates position sizing.
Loss of the fundamental pillars used in the score (guidance cut, covenant breach, auditor change).

Reference price 32.81 at 2026-10-25 04:13:59 · regime at generation sideways · data demo · freshness 112439s. These bands are conditional distributions from stored inputs, not advice or a promise about outcomes.

Fundamentals

Latest stored period · FY2026 · filed 2026-12-31

snapshot JSON

Revenue$3.02BYoY +0.8%

EPS (TTM)1.54growth -0.5%

Net income$657M

Free cash flow$636Mmargin 25.1%

Gross margin41.5%

Operating margin24.7%

ROE29.9%

ROIC11.3%

Debt / equity0.67

Current ratio1.96

Interest cover22.98×

Net debt$1.17B

P/E21.61×

P/E forward21.72×

PEGnot stored

P/S · P/B · EV/EBITDA4.70 · 6.46 · 14.90

Dividend yield3.52%payout 47%

Buyback yield2.64%

Profit margin21.8%

Cash$570M

Stored periods (raw rows, newest first)

Period	Revenue	Revenue YoY	EPS	Gross margin	Op margin	FCF margin	ROE	Filed
FY2026 FY	$3.02B	+0.8%	1.54	41.5%	24.7%	25.1%	29.9%	2026-12-31
FY2025 FY	$2.93B	-1.4%	1.49	48.7%	25.3%	18.8%	12.4%	2025-12-31
FY2024 FY	$3.00B	+1.0%	1.53	47.2%	26.0%	25.7%	10.8%	2024-12-31
FY2023 FY	$2.90B	+0.3%	1.48	44.9%	22.8%	21.7%	26.2%	2023-12-31
Q4 2026 Q	$725M	+0.3%	0.37	44.9%	22.8%	21.7%	26.2%	2026-07-01

Earnings and estimates

Next stored report 2026-12-10 · 33 day(s) away

Implied move7.2%from the stored option chain

EPS estimate0.36

Revenue estimate$755M

Consensus index46.5stored on 0–100 in the snapshot; higher = more constructive

% buy ratingsnot storednull on this row — the snapshot job did not store it

Target upsidenot stored

Gap risk0.36%median overnight gap

Time of daybmo

Report	EPS est	EPS actual	Surprise	Rev est	Rev actual	Guidance	Source
2026-12-10	0.36	not stored	not stored	$755M	not stored	none	synthetic_demo
2026-10-23	0.39	not stored	not stored	$755M	not stored	none	synthetic_demo
2026-07-19	0.39	0.41	+5.1%	$755M	$781M	lower	synthetic_demo
2026-06-01	0.38	0.37	-2.1%	$755M	$755M	lower	synthetic_demo
2026-04-14	0.41	0.39	-3.4%	$755M	$757M	lower	synthetic_demo
2026-02-25	0.39	0.39	-2.0%	$755M	$790M	lower	synthetic_demo
2026-01-08	0.39	0.41	+6.7%	$755M	$780M	raise	synthetic_demo
2025-11-21	0.38	0.42	+10.5%	$755M	$738M	maintain	synthetic_demo

As of	Horizon	EPS avg	EPS high	EPS low	Revenue	Analysts	90d revisions
2026-10-25	FY1	1.76	1.85	1.53	$3.24B	14	0 / 7
2026-10-25	FY2	1.62	1.90	1.33	$3.19B	29	0 / 5
2026-10-25	Q1	0.41	0.44	0.37	$825M	24	5 / 8
2026-10-25	Q2	0.41	0.49	0.33	$800M	14	2 / 8
2026-10-24	FY1	1.76	1.85	1.53	$3.24B	14	0 / 7
2026-10-24	FY2	1.62	1.90	1.33	$3.19B	29	0 / 5
2026-10-24	Q1	0.41	0.44	0.37	$825M	24	5 / 8
2026-10-24	Q2	0.41	0.49	0.33	$800M	14	2 / 8

Analyst actions

Stored rating changes and targets. The consensus numbers are the same ones the sentiment component read.

Date	Firm	Action	From	To	Target	Consensus	% buy
2026-10-15	Meridian Research	maintained	Sell	Sell	$39.41	2.88	35%
2026-08-30	Kestrel Analytics	downgrade	Buy	Outperform	$31.27	2.88	46%
2026-07-19	Meridian Research	maintained	Outperform	Outperform	$36.21	2.88	49%
2026-05-31	Kestrel Analytics	maintained	Sell	Sell	$36.22	2.88	38%
2026-04-19	Halcyon Partners	upgrade	Hold	Hold	$38.56	2.88	51%

Ownership, insiders and short interest

Inst. position change-63.2%reported change vs the prior stored quarter

Net insider (USD)$-7.97M

Short % of float13.4%

Days to cover74.3

Period end	Holder	Type	Shares	Value	% float	Change
2026-09-01	State Street Global Advisors	fund	22.5M	$738M	8.5%	not stored
2026-09-01	State Street Global Advisors	fund	22.5M	$738M	8.5%	not stored
2026-09-01	State Street Global Advisors	fund	22.5M	$738M	8.5%	not stored
2026-09-01	State Street Global Advisors	fund	22.5M	$738M	8.5%	not stored
2026-09-01	State Street Global Advisors	fund	22.5M	$738M	8.5%	not stored
2026-09-01	State Street Global Advisors	fund	22.5M	$738M	8.5%	not stored
2026-09-01	State Street Global Advisors	fund	22.5M	$738M	8.5%	not stored
2026-09-01	State Street Global Advisors	fund	22.5M	$738M	8.5%	not stored

Trade date	Owner	Title	Type	Shares	Price	Value	Owned after
2026-09-23	Demo Officer 54DD4D	Chief Executive Officer	Sale - Open Market	123k	$29.53	$4.02M	4.82M
2026-08-30	Demo Officer E9B1A8	General Counsel	Sale - Open Market	120k	$30.32	$3.95M	1.18M
2026-05-27	Demo Officer AF5D18	VP, Product	Buy - 10b5-1 Plan	188k	$28.66	$6.18M	5.55M
2026-05-09	Demo Officer 1D86A9	Director	Option Exercise (option)	221k	$28.76	$7.26M	7.45M
2026-01-28	Demo Officer A46239	Chief Financial Officer	Sale - Open Market	159k	$30.82	$5.23M	3.12M

Dividends and splits

Ex-date	Pay date	Amount	Frequency	Yield at ex
2026-09-20	2026-10-08	$0.289	quarterly	3.52%
2026-09-19	2026-10-07	$0.289	quarterly	3.52%
2026-09-18	2026-10-06	$0.289	quarterly	3.52%
2026-06-21	2026-07-09	$0.290	quarterly	3.52%
2026-06-20	2026-07-08	$0.290	quarterly	3.52%
2026-06-19	2026-07-07	$0.290	quarterly	3.52%
2026-03-01	2026-03-19	$0.291	quarterly	3.52%
2026-02-28	2026-03-18	$0.291	quarterly	3.52%
2026-02-27	2026-03-17	$0.291	quarterly	3.52%
2025-12-14	2026-01-01	$0.292	quarterly	3.52%

Nothing stored yet.

Options

No chain stored for this symbol

Full chain Flow

No option chain stored.

Chains are only stored for symbols the options job covers, and only for the expiry it snapshots.

Open the flow page for a symbol that has data, or run the options ingestion.

News mentioning PG

Stored headlines linked to this security, newest first. Sentiment scores come from the stored scorer, not from this page.

Demo synthetic: PG announces platform refresh for enterprise buyers

product 6 days ago +38% sentiment importance 0

Synthetic demo item generated to exercise the sentiment pipeline. No external source; no factual content.

Demo synthetic: PG announces platform refresh for enterprise buyers

product 9 days ago +56% sentiment importance 0

Synthetic demo item generated to exercise the sentiment pipeline. No external source; no factual content.

Score

qm_ai_scores row #1429

54.8

composite / 100 · model score-1.0.0

NEUTRAL risk LOW confidence 53

Technical 25 42.2

Fundamental 25 66.6

Momentum 15 44.2

Sentiment 10 53.6

Institutional 10 29.3

Risk 15 84.8

Why the model scored it this way

SENTIMENT Analyst Distribution 95
95% Buy/Strong Buy · 3% Hold · 3% Sell/Short
SENTIMENT Recent Headline Tone 95
Last items: 2 positive / 0 negative headlines
RISK Gap Risk 95
Median overnight gap 0.36% — position sizing must survive opens
RISK Correlation 93
Correlation to benchmark 0.63-year rolling: 0.44
RISK Liquidity 93
Average $52.7M traded per session
SENTIMENT Sentiment Delta 9
30-day sentiment change -11.7 pts
SENTIMENT Estimate Revisions 10
Net EPS estimate revisions (90d): -63
RISK Sector Risk 89
Sector average volatility 21.5%
TECHNICAL Trend Structure 14
Price vs 20/50/200-day moving averages: strong down
RISK Market Risk 85
Benchmark volatility 20.1% · regime: Sideways · normal vol · risk-off
FUNDAMENTAL Return On Equity 85
ROE 29.9%
RISK Beta 84
Beta 0.41 vs the reference index
FUNDAMENTAL Free Cash Flow 82
FCF margin 25.1%
FUNDAMENTAL Coverage 82
Interest coverage 23×

Scored on synthetic demonstration data. Directionally realistic, not a forecast of any real market.

Category ranks

Position among scored securities in each evidence category.

Category	Score	Rank	Evidence
EVENT_DRIVEN	62.0	1	Dated/observable catalyst: unusual options activity (5 flagged)
EVENT_DRIVEN	62.0	1	Dated/observable catalyst: unusual options activity (3 flagged)
EVENT_DRIVEN	62.0	1	Dated/observable catalyst: unusual options activity (1 flagged)
EVENT_DRIVEN	62.0	1	Dated/observable catalyst: unusual options activity (3 flagged)
EVENT_DRIVEN	62.0	1	Dated/observable catalyst: unusual options activity (1 flagged)
EVENT_DRIVEN	62.0	1	Dated/observable catalyst: unusual options activity (4 flagged)
EVENT_DRIVEN	62.0	1	Dated/observable catalyst: unusual options activity (2 flagged)
EVENT_DRIVEN	62.0	1	Dated/observable catalyst: unusual options activity (2 flagged)
INCOME	61.3	2	Yield 3.52% · payout 47% · FCF margin 25.1%
INCOME	61.3	2	Yield 3.52% · payout 47% · FCF margin 25.1%
INCOME	61.3	2	Yield 3.52% · payout 47% · FCF margin 25.1%
INCOME	61.3	2	Yield 3.52% · payout 47% · FCF margin 25.1%
INCOME	61.3	2	Yield 3.52% · payout 47% · FCF margin 25.1%
INCOME	61.3	2	Yield 3.52% · payout 47% · FCF margin 25.1%
INCOME	61.3	2	Yield 3.52% · payout 47% · FCF margin 25.1%
INCOME	61.3	2	Yield 3.52% · payout 47% · FCF margin 25.1%

Levels

Stored support/resistance from the snapshot row, not drawn from the chart in the browser.

Resistance (stored): $32.32
Support (stored): $30.95
20-day SMA: $34.02
50-day SMA: $33.12
200-day SMA: $35.23
Trend: strong_down
Above SMA50 / SMA200: no / no
From 52w high: -27.4%
MACD histogram: -0.188
RSI(14): 42.9
Relative strength (3m): -1.2%
RS rank: not stored /100

Sentiment

Stored buckets (each row is one scoring run over the news window).

Bucket start	Score	Label	Mentions	Method
2026-10-22 04:00	-38%	negative	46	synthetic demo tone index — not real sentiment
2026-10-23 13:00	+5%	neutral	37	synthetic demo tone index — not real sentiment
2026-10-23 14:00	+5%	neutral	37	synthetic demo tone index — not real sentiment
2026-10-23 16:00	+5%	neutral	37	synthetic demo tone index — not real sentiment
2026-10-23 17:00	+5%	neutral	37	synthetic demo tone index — not real sentiment
2026-10-24 23:00	+5%	neutral	37	synthetic demo tone index — not real sentiment
2026-10-25 02:00	+5%	neutral	37	synthetic demo tone index — not real sentiment
2026-10-25 04:00	+5%	neutral	37	synthetic demo tone index — not real sentiment

Catalysts and risks

Stored catalysts

Earnings report 2026-12-10 (as scheduled)
Demo synthetic: PG announces platform refresh for enterprise buyers
Demo synthetic: PG announces platform refresh for enterprise buyers
Street target implies 10.7%

Stored risks

Binary event: 2026-12-10

Same sector

Ranked by stored composite score.

Symbol	Price	1d	Score	Stance
COST	$83.22	-0.87%	62.7	CONSTRUCTIVE
VEGA	$10.40	+0.57%	61.3	CONSTRUCTIVE
PEP	$16.68	-1.98%	60.7	CONSTRUCTIVE
MDLZ	$164.74	-0.04%	58.3	CONSTRUCTIVE
KO	$69.83	-1.91%	58.0	NEUTRAL
PM	$24.05	-1.55%	55.7	NEUTRAL

Validation

Forecasts on this symbol whose horizon has matured, scored against the stored bars.

All models

Nothing to score yet: settle the matured forecasts with php bin/pipeline.php --cmd=settle and this table fills with realised-versus-forecast rows.

Peer comparison

Symbol	Price	1d	Cap	P/E	PEG	P/S	P/B	Rev growth	EPS growth	ROE	Gross	Op margin
PEP	$16.68	-1.98%	$18.0B	11.93×	not stored	1.68×	2.87×	-0.1%	-1.2%	24.0%	32.2%	16.7%
PM	$24.05	-1.55%	$24.6B	11.60×	not stored	1.91×	4.61×	-1.8%	-1.2%	39.7%	38.6%	18.8%
KO	$69.83	-1.91%	$65.5B	8.85×	2.70	1.65×	0.87×	+3.7%	+4.2%	9.9%	42.2%	22.2%
COST	$83.22	-0.87%	$156B	12.94×	2.86	3.01×	5.19×	+5.9%	+5.4%	40.1%	50.1%	27.6%
MDLZ	$164.74	-0.04%	$697B	33.45×	2.60	11.14×	0.86×	+14.0%	+14.5%	2.6%	73.5%	35.0%
WMT	$235.28	-0.26%	$1.35T	31.14×	4.89	9.82×	5.59×	+5.7%	+8.9%	18.0%	66.0%	31.7%

What this page did not do.

It did not fetch a quote, call an external model, or extend the chart. It read 168800 stored bar rows in total across the universe (demo data, last trade 2026-10-23), and the score shown here was written at 2026-10-25 04:13 by model score-1.0.0.