Tesla Inc.
TSLA
CONSTRUCTIVE MEDIUM EQUITY
DEMO
$319.16
-6.19% 1-day change from the stored snapshot · 27 hours ago
DEMO DATASET
last stored bar 2026-10-23 · scores computed 2026-10-23 17:35:22 · every figure below is read from these rows, nothing is computed in the browser
Price · stored daily bars
126 bars ending 2026-10-23 · demo data
1M
3M
6M
1Y
2Y
5Y
MAX
SMA 20
SMA 50
SMA 200
Bollinger
VWAP
Indicators are computed from the same stored closes the score used; the forecast fan is drawn from qm_predictions, not from a live model call.
how this is drawn
Open $329.70
Day range $339.36 / $315.37
Prev close $340.22
Volume 35.1M
RVOL 30d 1.43× session volume over stored 30-day average
Avg $ volume $7.09B
Market cap $606B
HV20 61.8% ann.
Beta 0.51
RSI(14) 60.3
ATR % 8.87%
Max drawdown -50.0%
52-week range from $138.53 to $371.45
52-week low / high $138.53 / $371.45
From 52w high -14.1%
Liquidity not stored days of average volume to fill 1% of float
Forecast
Stored scenarios from the last pipeline run. The model that wrote them is named on each row; no forecast is generated when you look at this page.
1D +2.0%
5D +4.0%
1M +8.0%
3M +13.5%
6M +19.5%
12M +27.5%
Horizon Ref Bull high Base range Bear low
P10 → P90 P(up) Confidence Risk
1D
2026-10-23 17:35:22
319.16
333.52 +4.5%
314.37 → 325.54 -1.5% … +2.0%
306.39 -4.0%
309.59 → 330.33
55.0% 67 760 bars, blended vol 58%, score 61, coverage 100%%
LOW
HV 57.7% ann. · 760 bars
5D
2026-10-23 17:35:22
319.16
344.69 +8.0%
312.78 → 331.93 -2.0% … +4.0%
300.01 -6.0%
303.20 → 341.50
56.0% 67 760 bars, blended vol 58%, score 61, coverage 100%%
LOW
HV 57.7% ann. · 760 bars
1M
2026-10-23 17:35:22
319.16
373.42 +17.0%
306.39 → 344.69 -4.0% … +8.0%
277.67 -13.0%
287.24 → 363.84
56.0% 67 760 bars, blended vol 58%, score 61, coverage 100%%
LOW
HV 57.7% ann. · 760 bars
3M
2026-10-23 17:35:22
319.16
414.91 +30.0%
295.22 → 362.25 -7.5% … +13.5%
247.35 -22.5%
266.50 → 395.76
56.0% 67 760 bars, blended vol 58%, score 61, coverage 100%%
MEDIUM
HV 57.7% ann. · 760 bars
6M
2026-10-23 17:35:22
319.16
453.21 +42.0%
285.65 → 381.40 -10.5% … +19.5%
218.62 -31.5%
242.56 → 424.48
56.0% 67 760 bars, blended vol 58%, score 61, coverage 100%%
MEDIUM
HV 57.7% ann. · 760 bars
12M
2026-10-23 17:35:22
319.16
510.66 +60.0%
271.29 → 406.93 -15.0% … +27.5%
175.54 -45.0%
207.45 → 470.76
56.0% 67 760 bars, blended vol 58%, score 61, coverage 100%%
HIGH
HV 57.7% ann. · 760 bars
Bull case
If price above the 200-day average (trend intact), RSI mid-range — room to extend, outperforming the benchmark over 3 months, a volatility-compressed setup resolving upward would accelerate the move, the upside path is the 80–95th percentile band shown here.
band +2.5% … +4.5% · 319.16 – 319.16
Base case
mildly positive
band -1.5% … +2.0% · 319.16 – 319.16
Bear case
Downside triggers: P/E 52.7× leaves no valuation buffer; realised volatility already elevated. Treat the 5–20th percentile band as the stress case for sizing, not as a worst case.
band -4.0% … -1.5% · 319.16 – 319.16
Catalysts the model is watching
Earnings report 2026-10-23 (as scheduled)
Demo synthetic: TSLA cut to neutral on valuation
Demo synthetic: TSLA cut to neutral on valuation
Demo synthetic: TSLA cut to neutral on valuation
Street target implies -1.1%
Key risks & invalidation
Elevated realised volatility (61.8%)
Historic drawdown deeper than 50%
Binary event: 2026-10-23
P/E 52.7× — multiple compression risk
Model assumptions
Realised volatility stays near its recent level (blended 57.7% annualised).
The scoring tilt persists over the window; no structural break (fraud, delisting, forced guidance cut).
Returns are approximated as lognormal; fat tails are handled by widening, not by point forecasts.
Index regime assumed: sideways.
Close below the 218.49 support band or the strategy stop.
Earnings or regulatory headline that changes forward estimates by more than the modelled window σ.
Volatility expanding beyond 92% annualised invalidates position sizing.
Loss of the fundamental pillars used in the score (guidance cut, covenant breach, auditor change).
Reference price 319.16 at
2026-10-23 17:35:22 · regime at generation
sideways · data
demo · freshness
0s.
These bands are conditional distributions from stored inputs, not advice or a promise about outcomes.
Fundamentals
Latest stored period · FY2026 · filed 2026-12-31
Revenue $242B YoY +31.9%
EPS (TTM) 6.13 growth +30.6%
Net income $11.6B
Free cash flow $11.7B margin 5.0%
Gross margin 10.8%
Operating margin 5.6%
ROE 10.1%
ROIC 3.9%
Debt / equity 2.20
Current ratio 1.42
Interest cover 30.18×
Net debt $50.4B
P/E 52.70×
P/E forward 39.83×
PEG 1.63
P/S · P/B · EV/EBITDA 2.53 · 5.32 · 36.34
Dividend yield 0.12% payout 36%
Buyback yield 0.42%
Profit margin 4.8%
Cash $92.0B
Stored periods (raw rows, newest first)
Period Revenue Revenue YoY EPS Gross margin Op margin FCF margin ROE Filed FY2026 FY $242B +31.9% 6.13 10.8% 5.6% 5.0% 10.1% 2026-12-31 FY2025 FY $177B +31.4% 4.49 10.0% 5.3% 3.7% 10.0% 2025-12-31 FY2024 FY $135B +31.6% 3.41 10.5% 5.1% 4.2% 3.2% 2024-12-31 FY2023 FY $102B +32.4% 2.57 11.4% 5.0% 5.8% 3.8% 2023-12-31 Q4 2026 Q $25.4B +32.4% 0.64 11.4% 5.0% 5.8% 3.8% 2026-07-01
Earnings and estimates
Next stored report 2026-12-10 · 0 day(s) away
Implied move 8.9% from the stored option chain
EPS estimate 1.63
Revenue estimate $60.6B
Consensus index 54.8 stored on 0–100 in the snapshot; higher = more constructive
% buy ratings not stored null on this row — the snapshot job did not store it
Target upside not stored
Gap risk 1.24% median overnight gap
Time of day amc
Report EPS est EPS actual Surprise Rev est Rev actual Guidance Source 2026-12-10 1.63 not stored not stored $60.6B not stored none synthetic_demo 2026-10-23 1.59 not stored not stored $60.6B not stored none synthetic_demo 2026-07-19 1.65 1.83 +10.8% $60.6B $62.3B maintain synthetic_demo 2026-06-01 1.54 1.72 +12.1% $60.6B $57.9B raise synthetic_demo 2026-04-14 1.62 1.89 +16.4% $60.6B $62.6B raise synthetic_demo 2026-02-25 1.60 1.52 -5.0% $60.6B $58.8B raise synthetic_demo 2026-01-08 1.59 1.55 -2.6% $60.6B $61.0B raise synthetic_demo 2025-11-21 1.59 1.73 +8.7% $60.6B $63.2B lower synthetic_demo
As of Horizon EPS avg EPS high EPS low Revenue Analysts 90d revisions 2026-10-23 FY1 6.51 7.32 5.38 $248B 28 9 / 0 2026-10-23 FY2 6.74 7.69 5.58 $254B 16 10 / 3 2026-10-23 Q1 1.62 1.87 1.48 $61.4B 37 8 / 4 2026-10-23 Q2 1.76 1.96 1.70 $61.4B 21 4 / 3
Analyst actions
Stored rating changes and targets. The consensus numbers are the same ones the sentiment component read.
Date Firm Action From To Target Consensus % buy 2026-10-19 Blue Harbor Capital Research downgrade Buy Hold $288.94 1.81 52% 2026-08-27 Northgate Securities maintained Outperform Outperform $326.08 1.81 70% 2026-07-18 Northgate Securities downgrade Buy Sell $322.59 1.81 58% 2026-05-22 Kestrel Analytics maintained Outperform Outperform $342.94 1.81 54% 2026-04-12 Meridian Research initiated Buy Buy $297.76 1.81 55%
Ownership, insiders and short interest
Inst. position change -55.9% reported change vs the prior stored quarter
Net insider (USD) not stored
Short % of float 9.8%
Days to cover 17.5
Period end Holder Type Shares Value % float Change 2026-09-01 BlackRock Fund Advisors fund 89.2M $28.5B 7.6% not stored 2026-09-01 BlackRock Fund Advisors fund 89.2M $28.5B 7.6% not stored 2026-09-01 BlackRock Fund Advisors fund 89.2M $28.5B 7.6% not stored 2026-09-01 BlackRock Fund Advisors fund 89.2M $28.5B 7.6% not stored 2026-09-01 BlackRock Fund Advisors fund 89.2M $28.5B 7.6% not stored 2026-09-01 Capital Research Global fund 79.9M $25.5B 6.8% not stored 2026-09-01 Capital Research Global fund 79.9M $25.5B 6.8% not stored 2026-09-01 Capital Research Global fund 79.9M $25.5B 6.8% not stored
Options
No chain stored for this symbol
No option chain stored.
Chains are only stored for symbols the options job covers, and only for the expiry it snapshots.
Open the flow page for a symbol that has data, or run the options ingestion.
News mentioning TSLA
Stored headlines linked to this security, newest first. Sentiment scores come from the stored scorer, not from this page.
Demo synthetic: TSLA cut to neutral on valuation
analyst
12 days ago
-40% sentiment importance 0
Synthetic demo item generated to exercise the sentiment pipeline. No external source; no factual content.
Demo synthetic: TSLA cut to neutral on valuation
analyst
12 days ago
-40% sentiment importance 0
Synthetic demo item generated to exercise the sentiment pipeline. No external source; no factual content.
Demo synthetic: TSLA cut to neutral on valuation
analyst
12 days ago
-40% sentiment importance 0
Synthetic demo item generated to exercise the sentiment pipeline. No external source; no factual content.
Demo synthetic: TSLA cut to neutral on valuation
analyst
12 days ago
-40% sentiment importance 0
Synthetic demo item generated to exercise the sentiment pipeline. No external source; no factual content.
Demo synthetic: TSLA cut to neutral on valuation
analyst
12 days ago
-40% sentiment importance 0
Synthetic demo item generated to exercise the sentiment pipeline. No external source; no factual content.
Demo synthetic: TSLA confirms exploratory talks with supplier
mna
18 days ago
+79% sentiment importance 0
Synthetic demo item generated to exercise the sentiment pipeline. No external source; no factual content.
Demo synthetic: TSLA confirms exploratory talks with supplier
mna
18 days ago
+79% sentiment importance 0
Synthetic demo item generated to exercise the sentiment pipeline. No external source; no factual content.
Demo synthetic: TSLA confirms exploratory talks with supplier
mna
18 days ago
+79% sentiment importance 0
Synthetic demo item generated to exercise the sentiment pipeline. No external source; no factual content.
Demo synthetic: TSLA confirms exploratory talks with supplier
mna
18 days ago
+79% sentiment importance 0
Synthetic demo item generated to exercise the sentiment pipeline. No external source; no factual content.
Demo synthetic: TSLA confirms exploratory talks with supplier
mna
18 days ago
+79% sentiment importance 0
Synthetic demo item generated to exercise the sentiment pipeline. No external source; no factual content.
Score qm_ai_scores row #818
61.4
composite / 100 · model score-1.0.0
CONSTRUCTIVE
risk MEDIUM
confidence 62
Technical 25
68.3
Fundamental 25
46.5
Momentum 15
75.4
Sentiment 10
72.2
Institutional 10
28.2
Risk 15
75.8
Why the model scored it this way
SENTIMENT
Analyst Distribution
100
114% Buy/Strong Buy · 0% Hold · 0% Sell/Short
RISK
Correlation
97
Correlation to benchmark 0.63-year rolling: 0.14
RISK
Liquidity
96
Average $7085.8M traded per session
MOMENTUM
Momentum Persistence
95
4 of 4 measured horizons are positive
RISK
Gap Risk
93
Median overnight gap 1.24% — position sizing must survive opens
MOMENTUM
Relative Strength Vs Index
93
3-month return minus index +51.5%
SENTIMENT
Estimate Revisions
92
Net EPS estimate revisions (90d): 21
MOMENTUM
Multi Horizon Performance
89
1M +28% · 3M +55.8% · 6M +78.3% · 12M +30.7%
TECHNICAL
Trend Structure
88
Price vs 20/50/200-day moving averages: strong up
RISK
Beta
87
Beta 0.51 vs the reference index
SENTIMENT
Sentiment Delta
87
30-day sentiment change 10.7 pts
FUNDAMENTAL
Valuation Sales
85
P/S 2.5× vs sector median 5.5×
RISK
Market Risk
85
Benchmark volatility 20.1% · regime: Sideways · normal vol · risk-off
FUNDAMENTAL
Coverage
82
Interest coverage 30.2×
Scored on synthetic demonstration data . Directionally realistic, not a forecast of any real market.
Category ranks Position among scored securities in each evidence category.
Category Score Rank Evidence GROWTH 62.4 1 Revenue 31.9% / EPS 30.6% growth GROWTH 62.4 1 Revenue 31.9% / EPS 30.6% growth GROWTH 62.4 1 Revenue 31.9% / EPS 30.6% growth GROWTH 62.4 1 Revenue 31.9% / EPS 30.6% growth GROWTH 62.4 1 Revenue 31.9% / EPS 30.6% growth HIGH_RISK 61.8 2 Volatility 61.8% / ATR 8.9% of price — expected move per bar is large HIGH_RISK 61.8 2 Volatility 61.8% / ATR 8.9% of price — expected move per bar is large HIGH_RISK 61.8 2 Volatility 61.8% / ATR 8.9% of price — expected move per bar is large HIGH_RISK 61.8 2 Volatility 61.8% / ATR 8.9% of price — expected move per bar is large HIGH_RISK 61.8 2 Volatility 61.8% / ATR 8.9% of price — expected move per bar is large
Levels Stored support/resistance from the snapshot row, not drawn from the chart in the browser.
Resistance (stored)
$249.38
Support (stored)
$184.05
20-day SMA
$304.23
50-day SMA
$262.74
200-day SMA
$218.49
Trend
strong_up
Above SMA50 / SMA200
yes / no From 52w high
-14.1% MACD histogram
1.308
RSI(14)
60.3
Relative strength (3m)
+51.5% RS rank
not stored /100
Sentiment Stored buckets (each row is one scoring run over the news window).
Bucket start Score Label Mentions Method 2026-10-20 13:00 +48% positive 27 synthetic demo tone index — not real sentiment 2026-10-20 14:00 +48% positive 27 synthetic demo tone index — not real sentiment 2026-10-20 16:00 +48% positive 27 synthetic demo tone index — not real sentiment 2026-10-20 17:00 +48% positive 27 synthetic demo tone index — not real sentiment 2026-10-23 13:00 +9% neutral 8 synthetic demo tone index — not real sentiment 2026-10-23 14:00 +9% neutral 8 synthetic demo tone index — not real sentiment 2026-10-23 16:00 +9% neutral 8 synthetic demo tone index — not real sentiment 2026-10-23 17:00 +9% neutral 8 synthetic demo tone index — not real sentiment
Stored catalysts Earnings report 2026-10-23 (as scheduled) Demo synthetic: TSLA cut to neutral on valuation Demo synthetic: TSLA cut to neutral on valuation Demo synthetic: TSLA cut to neutral on valuation Street target implies -1.1% Stored risks Elevated realised volatility (61.8%) Historic drawdown deeper than 50% Binary event: 2026-10-23 P/E 52.7× — multiple compression risk
Same sector Ranked by stored composite score.
Symbol Price 1d Score Stance BKNG $188.18 -2.25% 65.5 ACCUMULATE NKE $43.52 -1.59% 62.6 CONSTRUCTIVE HD $246.33 +0.28% 61.1 CONSTRUCTIVE MCD $106.31 -1.37% 57.8 NEUTRAL CMG $386.49 -2.54% 57.4 NEUTRAL XLY $168.00 -1.60% 56.2 NEUTRAL
Validation
Forecasts on this symbol whose horizon has matured, scored against the stored bars.
Nothing to score yet: settle the matured forecasts with
php bin/pipeline.php --cmd=settle and this table fills with realised-versus-forecast rows.
Symbol Price 1d Cap P/E PEG P/S P/B Rev growth EPS growth ROE Gross Op margin AMZN $147.66 -1.57% $624B 24.38× 3.31 7.50× 6.27× +6.1% +9.8% 25.7% 64.3% 35.2% MCD $106.31 -1.37% $448B 29.00× 2.37 6.80× 4.48× +12.3% +11.1% 15.5% 52.9% 26.4% UBER $368.46 -4.37% $853B 41.51× 2.22 6.07× 2.76× +17.4% +17.6% 6.6% 31.8% 16.2% SBUX $202.51 +0.80% $885B 20.41× 2.41 6.65× 2.60× +9.1% +11.6% 12.7% 62.3% 36.4% BKNG $188.18 -2.25% $923B 22.07× 3.89 4.15× 1.26× +4.7% +5.7% 5.7% 40.1% 19.8% HD $246.33 +0.28% $1.08T 26.30× 1.91 8.51× 3.97× +13.6% +15.2% 15.1% 75.6% 37.7% NKE $43.52 -1.59% $39.9B 7.24× 7.12 0.86× 4.43× +2.3% +1.4% 61.2% 23.0% 13.5% CMG $386.49 -2.54% $1.79T 23.99× 3.43 5.58× 1.30× +7.0% +6.9% 5.4% 47.5% 25.3%
What this page did not do.
It did not fetch a quote, call an external model, or extend the chart. It read
156000 stored bar rows in total across the universe (demo data,
last trade 2026-10-23), and the score shown here was written at
2026-10-23 17:35 by model score-1.0.0.