Bull case
If a volatility-compressed setup resolving upward would accelerate the move, the upside path is the 80–95th percentile band shown here.
band +1.0% … +2.0% · 163.48 – 163.48
BlackRock Inc.
BLK CONSTRUCTIVE MEDIUM EQUITY DEMO
$163.48
-1.00%
1-day change from the stored snapshot · 2 days ago
DEMO DATASET last stored bar 2026-10-23 · scores computed 2026-10-25 04:13:59 · every figure below is read from these rows, nothing is computed in the browser
Price · stored daily bars
126 bars ending 2026-10-23 · demo data
Indicators are computed from the same stored closes the score used; the forecast fan is drawn from qm_predictions, not from a live model call.
how this is drawn
Open$164.61
Day range$166.14 / $161.75
Prev close$165.13
Volume34.9M
RVOL 30d1.04×session volume over stored 30-day average
Avg $ volume$5.08B
Market cap$418B
HV2030.1% ann.
Beta0.60
RSI(14)66.1
ATR %3.37%
Max drawdown-40.7%
52-week rangefrom $139.35 to $241.90
52-week low / high$139.35 / $241.90
From 52w high-32.4%
Liquiditynot storeddays of average volume to fill 1% of float
Forecast
Stored scenarios from the last pipeline run. The model that wrote them is named on each row; no forecast is generated when you look at this page.
| Horizon | Ref | Bull high | Base range | Bear low | P10 → P90 | P(up) | Confidence | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1D
2026-10-25 04:13:59 |
163.48 | 166.75 +2.0% | 162.66 → 165.11 -0.5% … +1.0% |
161.03 -1.5% | 161.85 → 165.93 | 55.0% | 57 760 bars, blended vol 28%, score 62, coverage 100%% |
LOW
HV 27.8% ann. · 760 bars |
| 5D
2026-10-25 04:13:59 |
163.48 | 170.02 +4.0% | 161.85 → 166.75 -1.0% … +2.0% |
158.58 -3.0% | 158.58 → 168.38 | 55.0% | 57 760 bars, blended vol 28%, score 62, coverage 100%% |
LOW
HV 27.8% ann. · 760 bars |
| 1M
2026-10-25 04:13:59 |
163.48 | 178.19 +9.0% | 160.21 → 170.02 -2.0% … +4.0% |
152.04 -7.0% | 155.31 → 174.92 | 55.0% | 57 760 bars, blended vol 28%, score 62, coverage 100%% |
LOW
HV 27.8% ann. · 760 bars |
| 3M
2026-10-25 04:13:59 |
163.48 | 188.00 +15.0% | 156.12 → 175.74 -4.5% … +7.5% |
143.86 -12.0% | 148.77 → 183.10 | 55.0% | 57 760 bars, blended vol 28%, score 62, coverage 100%% |
LOW
HV 27.8% ann. · 760 bars |
| 6M
2026-10-25 04:13:59 |
163.48 | 197.81 +21.0% | 153.67 → 180.65 -6.0% … +10.5% |
136.51 -16.5% | 141.41 → 190.45 | 55.0% | 57 760 bars, blended vol 28%, score 62, coverage 100%% |
LOW
HV 27.8% ann. · 760 bars |
| 12M
2026-10-25 04:13:59 |
163.48 | 212.52 +30.0% | 151.22 → 188.00 -7.5% … +15.0% |
122.61 -25.0% | 134.87 → 204.35 | 55.0% | 57 760 bars, blended vol 28%, score 62, coverage 100%% |
MEDIUM
HV 27.8% ann. · 760 bars |
Base case
mildly positive
band -0.5% … +1.0% · 163.48 – 163.48
Bear case
Downside triggers: a market-wide risk-off move alone can carry the 5–20th percentile band. Treat the 5–20th percentile band as the stress case for sizing, not as a worst case.
band -1.5% … -0.5% · 163.48 – 163.48
Catalysts the model is watching
- Earnings report 2026-12-10 (after close)
- Demo synthetic: BLK cut to neutral on valuation
- Demo synthetic: BLK cut to neutral on valuation
- Demo synthetic: BLK cut to neutral on valuation
- Street target implies 1.6%
Key risks & invalidation
- Historic drawdown deeper than 41%
- Binary event: 2026-12-10
Model assumptions
- Realised volatility stays near its recent level (blended 27.8% annualised).
- The scoring tilt persists over the window; no structural break (fraud, delisting, forced guidance cut).
- Returns are approximated as lognormal; fat tails are handled by widening, not by point forecasts.
- Index regime assumed: sideways.
- Close below the 177.11 support band or the strategy stop.
- Earnings or regulatory headline that changes forward estimates by more than the modelled window σ.
- Volatility expanding beyond 44% annualised invalidates position sizing.
- Loss of the fundamental pillars used in the score (guidance cut, covenant breach, auditor change).
Reference price 163.48 at
2026-10-25 04:13:59 · regime at generation
sideways · data
demo · freshness
112439s.
These bands are conditional distributions from stored inputs, not advice or a promise about outcomes.
Fundamentals
Latest stored period · FY2026 · filed 2026-12-31
Revenue$153BYoY +5.1%
EPS (TTM)13.62growth +4.5%
Net income$34.8B
Free cash flow$43.9Bmargin 21.8%
Gross margin48.0%
Operating margin26.4%
ROE49.1%
ROIC11.6%
Debt / equity1.76
Current ratio0.70
Interest cover30.88×
Net debt$56.8B
P/E11.67×
P/E forward11.25×
PEG3.11
P/S · P/B · EV/EBITDA2.65 · 5.73 · 8.05
Dividend yield1.89%payout 40%
Buyback yield2.13%
Profit margin22.7%
Cash$28.6B
Stored periods (raw rows, newest first)
| Period | Revenue | Revenue YoY | EPS | Gross margin | Op margin | FCF margin | ROE | Filed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2026 FY | $153B | +5.1% | 13.62 | 48.0% | 26.4% | 21.8% | 49.1% | 2026-12-31 |
| FY2025 FY | $152B | +2.9% | 13.51 | 49.3% | 27.2% | 17.9% | 27.3% | 2025-12-31 |
| FY2024 FY | $144B | +5.1% | 12.75 | 48.1% | 26.3% | 26.4% | 39.2% | 2024-12-31 |
| FY2023 FY | $144B | +3.9% | 12.79 | 43.7% | 27.2% | 18.0% | 32.7% | 2023-12-31 |
| Q4 2026 Q | $36.0B | +3.9% | 3.20 | 43.7% | 27.2% | 18.0% | 32.7% | 2026-07-01 |
Earnings and estimates
Next stored report 2026-12-10 · 33 day(s) away
Implied move3.7%from the stored option chain
EPS estimate3.43
Revenue estimate$38.4B
Consensus index58.7stored on 0–100 in the snapshot; higher = more constructive
% buy ratingsnot storednull on this row — the snapshot job did not store it
Target upsidenot stored
Gap risk0.43%median overnight gap
Time of dayamc
| Report | EPS est | EPS actual | Surprise | Rev est | Rev actual | Guidance | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-12-10 | 3.43 | not stored | not stored | $38.4B | not stored | none | synthetic_demo |
| 2026-10-23 | 3.43 | not stored | not stored | $38.4B | not stored | none | synthetic_demo |
| 2026-07-19 | 3.67 | 3.50 | -4.6% | $38.4B | $40.5B | maintain | synthetic_demo |
| 2026-06-01 | 3.67 | 3.57 | -2.6% | $38.4B | $38.5B | lower | synthetic_demo |
| 2026-04-14 | 3.48 | 3.45 | -0.9% | $38.4B | $37.6B | maintain | synthetic_demo |
| 2026-02-25 | 3.51 | 3.34 | -4.8% | $38.4B | $38.9B | maintain | synthetic_demo |
| 2026-01-08 | 3.51 | 3.92 | +11.7% | $38.4B | $39.9B | raise | synthetic_demo |
| 2025-11-21 | 3.48 | 4.05 | +16.5% | $38.4B | $40.2B | raise | synthetic_demo |
| As of | Horizon | EPS avg | EPS high | EPS low | Revenue | Analysts | 90d revisions |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-25 | FY1 | 15.44 | 16.95 | 13.29 | $159B | 11 | 1 / 4 |
| 2026-10-25 | FY2 | 14.36 | 15.58 | 11.87 | $165B | 18 | 11 / 7 |
| 2026-10-25 | Q1 | 3.77 | 4.46 | 3.10 | $38.4B | 21 | 0 / 2 |
| 2026-10-25 | Q2 | 3.59 | 4.22 | 3.45 | $40.7B | 28 | 6 / 4 |
| 2026-10-24 | FY1 | 15.44 | 16.95 | 13.29 | $159B | 11 | 1 / 4 |
| 2026-10-24 | FY2 | 14.36 | 15.58 | 11.87 | $165B | 18 | 11 / 7 |
| 2026-10-24 | Q1 | 3.77 | 4.46 | 3.10 | $38.4B | 21 | 0 / 2 |
| 2026-10-24 | Q2 | 3.59 | 4.22 | 3.45 | $40.7B | 28 | 6 / 4 |
Analyst actions
Stored rating changes and targets. The consensus numbers are the same ones the sentiment component read.
| Date | Firm | Action | From | To | Target | Consensus | % buy |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-25 | Blue Harbor Capital Research | downgrade | Buy | Neutral | $184.40 | 1.66 | 56% |
| 2026-09-02 | Kestrel Analytics | downgrade | Buy | Hold | $190.88 | 1.66 | 62% |
| 2026-07-04 | Northgate Securities | upgrade | Hold | Buy | $156.21 | 1.66 | 69% |
| 2026-05-30 | Kestrel Analytics | initiated | Outperform | Outperform | $157.88 | 1.66 | 69% |
| 2026-04-12 | Blue Harbor Capital Research | initiated | Outperform | Outperform | $140.80 | 1.66 | 66% |
Ownership, insiders and short interest
Inst. position change-53.9%reported change vs the prior stored quarter
Net insider (USD)$28.6M
Short % of float4.9%
Days to cover8.7
| Period end | Holder | Type | Shares | Value | % float | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | BlackRock Fund Advisors | fund | 115M | $18.8B | 7.3% | not stored |
| 2026-09-01 | BlackRock Fund Advisors | fund | 115M | $18.8B | 7.3% | not stored |
| 2026-09-01 | BlackRock Fund Advisors | fund | 115M | $18.8B | 7.3% | not stored |
| 2026-09-01 | BlackRock Fund Advisors | fund | 115M | $18.8B | 7.3% | not stored |
| 2026-09-01 | BlackRock Fund Advisors | fund | 115M | $18.8B | 7.3% | not stored |
| 2026-09-01 | BlackRock Fund Advisors | fund | 115M | $18.8B | 7.3% | not stored |
| 2026-09-01 | BlackRock Fund Advisors | fund | 115M | $18.8B | 7.3% | not stored |
| 2026-09-01 | BlackRock Fund Advisors | fund | 115M | $18.8B | 7.3% | not stored |
| Trade date | Owner | Title | Type | Shares | Price | Value | Owned after |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | Demo Officer 5E93BE | VP, Product | Buy - 10b5-1 Plan | 175k | $153.38 | $28.6M | 2.05M |
| 2026-07-21 | Demo Officer D07929 | General Counsel | Grant | 103k | $180.09 | $16.8M | 2.80M |
| 2026-06-18 | Demo Officer 7176EA | Chief Financial Officer | Sale - Tax | 219k | $155.56 | $35.9M | 2.13M |
| 2026-06-01 | Demo Officer 2C767B | VP, Product | Buy - Open Market | 74.7k | $151.98 | $12.2M | 721k |
| 2026-05-25 | Demo Officer 21828B | Chief Financial Officer | Grant | 77.7k | $161.83 | $12.7M | 776k |
Dividends and splits
| Ex-date | Pay date | Amount | Frequency | Yield at ex |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | 2026-09-24 | $0.770 | quarterly | 1.89% |
| 2026-09-05 | 2026-09-23 | $0.770 | quarterly | 1.89% |
| 2026-09-04 | 2026-09-22 | $0.770 | quarterly | 1.89% |
| 2026-06-07 | 2026-06-25 | $0.773 | quarterly | 1.89% |
| 2026-06-06 | 2026-06-24 | $0.773 | quarterly | 1.89% |
| 2026-06-05 | 2026-06-23 | $0.773 | quarterly | 1.89% |
| 2026-03-15 | 2026-04-02 | $0.777 | quarterly | 1.89% |
| 2026-03-14 | 2026-04-01 | $0.777 | quarterly | 1.89% |
| 2026-03-13 | 2026-03-31 | $0.777 | quarterly | 1.89% |
| 2025-11-30 | 2025-12-18 | $0.780 | quarterly | 1.89% |
Nothing stored yet.
Options
Stored chain for expiry 2026-11-06 · 9 call / 9 put strikes
Strikes stored189 calls / 9 puts on this expiry
Chain volume78.4kcontracts across all listed strikes
Chain open interest532k
Chain IV (mean)27.2%the column stores a fraction; ×100 for display
Put/call volume1.126from the daily aggregate row for 2026-10-25
Call / put volume34.3k / 38.6k
IV3023.9%stored as a fraction
HV3022.5%realised 30-day vol
IV rank66.6 /100
OI change-5.3%percent, as stored
Expiries stored12
Chain as of2026-10-23 17:35
News mentioning BLK
Stored headlines linked to this security, newest first. Sentiment scores come from the stored scorer, not from this page.
Demo synthetic: BLK cut to neutral on valuation
Synthetic demo item generated to exercise the sentiment pipeline. No external source; no factual content.
Demo synthetic: BLK cut to neutral on valuation
Synthetic demo item generated to exercise the sentiment pipeline. No external source; no factual content.
Demo synthetic: BLK cut to neutral on valuation
Synthetic demo item generated to exercise the sentiment pipeline. No external source; no factual content.
Demo synthetic: BLK cut to neutral on valuation
Synthetic demo item generated to exercise the sentiment pipeline. No external source; no factual content.
Demo synthetic: BLK cut to neutral on valuation
Synthetic demo item generated to exercise the sentiment pipeline. No external source; no factual content.
Demo synthetic: BLK faces second request in pending acquisition
Synthetic demo item generated to exercise the sentiment pipeline. No external source; no factual content.
Demo synthetic: BLK faces second request in pending acquisition
Synthetic demo item generated to exercise the sentiment pipeline. No external source; no factual content.
Demo synthetic: BLK faces second request in pending acquisition
Synthetic demo item generated to exercise the sentiment pipeline. No external source; no factual content.
Demo synthetic: BLK faces second request in pending acquisition
Synthetic demo item generated to exercise the sentiment pipeline. No external source; no factual content.
Demo synthetic: BLK faces second request in pending acquisition
Synthetic demo item generated to exercise the sentiment pipeline. No external source; no factual content.
Demo synthetic: BLK cut to neutral on valuation
Synthetic demo item generated to exercise the sentiment pipeline. No external source; no factual content.
Demo synthetic: BLK cut to neutral on valuation
Synthetic demo item generated to exercise the sentiment pipeline. No external source; no factual content.
Demo synthetic: BLK cut to neutral on valuation
Synthetic demo item generated to exercise the sentiment pipeline. No external source; no factual content.
Demo synthetic: BLK cut to neutral on valuation
Synthetic demo item generated to exercise the sentiment pipeline. No external source; no factual content.