Forecasting
Qvicom forecasting polls arrive in Phase 4. They are ours, not Polymarket’s, and there is no money in them.
How they will work
- Each question states its resolution criteria, evidence sources, and the exact closing time.
- You submit a prediction with a confidence level and an optional explanation.
- Answers are timestamped and cannot be edited after the deadline — the server clock decides, not the browser.
- When a question resolves, the evidence and the decision are published, and accuracy is scored over time.
- Points and badges only. No cash, no tokens, no entry fee, no purchase necessary.
Different from a market
A prediction market prices an outcome continuously. A Qvicom poll asks people to commit to a view and be scored on it. The two are unrelated: a Qvicom poll never affects, and is never affected by, a Polymarket resolution.
Why keep a record
A forecaster who cannot be scored is a forecaster who cannot be wrong. Publishing the record is the point.
Tools
All tools
One page with your own figures in every tool.
Watchlist
The markets you follow, at their last stored capture.
Polls
Put your probability on a market, see the crowd's median.
Calculator
Turn a price and a stake into shares, break-even and expected value.
Virtual portfolio
Fill simulated orders at stored captures. Virtual funds only.
Journal
Write the thesis before the outcome, then score it honestly.
Forecast game
Allocate probability, get a Brier score. No money, no prizes.
Risk education
Ten short topics on cost, calibration and size.