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Markets · Climate

Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on October 26?

Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on October 26? · restricted by venue

stale · last good capture 10 days ago Source: Polymarket Gamma · last capture 25 Oct 2026, 23:15 UTC · 626 ms Figures below are the last values that were successfully read, not the current market.
Implied probability 1.4% venue price, not a Qvicom forecast
24h move — reported by the venue
Liquidity $1,464 24h volume $2,847
What Qvicom can say about the movement

Not enough history

Qvicom needs at least 3 captured points before describing a move.

Heuristic thresholds: moves under 2 points are treated as noise, 10 points or more as a sharp move. The rule is published so it can be checked, not so it can be trusted blindly.

Outcomes
Outcomes and prices
OutcomePrice
Yes 1.4%
No 98.6%
Resolution and provenance
Resolution source
https://aviationweather.gov/api/data/metar?ids=RKSI&format=raw&date=2026-10-26T18:00:00Z&hours=30
End date
26 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC
Data source
polymarket-gamma · captured 25 Oct 2026, 23:00 UTC
Restricted
Yes — the venue restricts trading in this market. Qvicom shows the price and does not offer access.
Category
climate (auto)
Venue tags
Weather, Recurring, Hide From New, Seoul, Daily Temperature, Highest temperature
Resolution criteria, as published by the venue

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature reported at Incheon Intl Airport (RKSI) on 26 Oct '26. The qualifying value is the highest temperature reported in the hourly temperature remark of any routine (METAR) observation for Incheon Intl Airport (RKSI) on that date, in tenths of a degree Celsius as reported. A report whose line begins with SPECI is a special observation and does not count. Every other report is routine, including one issued off the nominal hour and one that carries no METAR or SPECI label. For How to Read the METAR Report, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Weather/How+to+Read+the+METAR+Report.pdf The hourly temperature remark is the group beginning with the letter T followed by exactly eight digits. After the T, one digit for sign (0 positive, 1 negative) and three for tenths of a degree Celsius give the temperature; the following four are the dew point and are not used. T01390133 is 13.9°C; T10171022 is −1.7°C. If a routine observation does not carry the hourly temperature remark, the temperature group in the body of that observation governs for that observation, in whole degrees Celsius as reported. It appears as temperature and dew point separated by a slash, with M marking a negative value: 18/12 is 18°C; M11/M17 is −11°C. An observation that reports no temperature in either place is disregarded. Each market in this event states its range in whole degrees Celsius. The qualifying value is rounded to the nearest whole degree, with a value ending in exactly half rounded up to the next higher whole degree, and that whole Celsius value determines which range contains it. For example, 13.9°C counts as 14°C; 17.4°C counts as 17°C; 16.5°C counts as 17°C; −1.7°C counts as −2°C; −8.5°C counts as −8°C. An observation counts if its time stamp, converted to the station's local time (including any daylight-saving shift in effect), falls on the observation date. This market will resolve at the issuance of the first METAR observation for the station on the day following the observation date or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. Resolution is determined from the observations the resolution source shows for the observation date. In the event that the Aviation Weather Center has published no routine observation reporting a t…

Where this number comes from. It is Polymarket's own implied price, captured by Qvicom Signal and stored with the time it was read. It is a price, not a probability anyone at Qvicom computed, and not advice. This application cannot place an order, hold funds or give you access to any venue. Qvicom Signal is independent research software and is not affiliated with Polymarket or any venue it reads.