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Markets · Politics

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Benjamin Netanyahu become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?

Fall Elections Combo: Brazil, Israel, US Senate · restricted by venue

stale · last good capture 16 days ago Source: Polymarket Gamma · last capture 25 Oct 2026, 23:15 UTC · 626 ms Figures below are the last values that were successfully read, not the current market.
Implied probability 4.5% venue price, not a Qvicom forecast
24h move — reported by the venue
Liquidity $16,455 24h volume $3,462
What Qvicom can say about the movement

Not enough history

Qvicom needs at least 3 captured points before describing a move.

Heuristic thresholds: moves under 2 points are treated as noise, 10 points or more as a sharp move. The rule is published so it can be checked, not so it can be trusted blindly.

Outcomes
Outcomes and prices
OutcomePrice
Yes 4.5%
No 95.5%
Resolution and provenance
Resolution source
Not published by the venue for this market.
End date
05 Nov 2026, 04:59 UTC
Data source
polymarket-gamma · captured 25 Oct 2026, 23:15 UTC
Restricted
Yes — the venue restricts trading in this market. Qvicom shows the price and does not offer access.
Category
politics (auto)
Venue tags
Brazil, Israel, Senate, Midterms, Politics, Elections, netanyahu, 2026 Midterms
Resolution criteria, as published by the venue

The runoff round of the Brazilian presidential election is scheduled to take place on October 25, 2026. Legislative elections in Israel are scheduled to be held on October 27, 2026. The United States midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve to the single listed outcome that matches all three of the following: the winner of the Brazilian presidential election, the first Prime Minister of Israel to be sworn in as a result of the election, and the party that wins control of the United States Senate in the midterm elections. For full rules for the Brazilian presidential election, click here: https://polymarket.com/event/brazil-presidential-election For full rules for the Israeli Prime Minister, click here: https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-be-the-next-prime-minister-of-israel-after-the-next-election For full rules for the United States Senate control, click here: https://polymarket.com/event/which-party-will-win-the-senate-in-2026 Additional options may be added to this market between market creation and resolution. In the event that any constituent market resolves to "Other," this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve according to the sources named in the three markets linked above.

Where this number comes from. It is Polymarket's own implied price, captured by Qvicom Signal and stored with the time it was read. It is a price, not a probability anyone at Qvicom computed, and not advice. This application cannot place an order, hold funds or give you access to any venue. Qvicom Signal is independent research software and is not affiliated with Polymarket or any venue it reads.