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Markets · Politics

Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Presidential Election Winner 2028 · restricted by venue

Sign in to watch this market What does the crowd think?
stale · last good capture 12 days ago Source: Polymarket Gamma · last capture 25 Oct 2026, 23:15 UTC · 626 ms Figures below are the last values that were successfully read, not the current market.
Implied probability 0.1% venue price, not a Qvicom forecast
24h move — reported by the venue
Liquidity $1,280,181 24h volume $60,000
What Qvicom can say about the movement

Not enough history

Qvicom needs at least 3 captured points before describing a move.

Heuristic thresholds: moves under 2 points are treated as noise, 10 points or more as a sharp move. The rule is published so it can be checked, not so it can be trusted blindly.

Outcomes
Outcomes and prices
OutcomePrice
Yes 0.1%
No 100.0%
Resolution and provenance
Resolution source
Not published by the venue for this market.
End date
08 Nov 2028, 04:59 UTC
Data source
polymarket-gamma · captured 25 Oct 2026, 23:15 UTC
Restricted
Yes — the venue restricts trading in this market. Qvicom shows the price and does not offer access.
Category
politics (auto)
Venue tags
President, United States, US Election, Elections, Politics, World Elections, Global Elections, Earn 3.25%
Resolution criteria, as published by the venue

The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.

Where this number comes from. It is Polymarket's own implied price, captured by Qvicom Signal and stored with the time it was read. It is a price, not a probability anyone at Qvicom computed, and not advice. This application cannot place an order, hold funds or give you access to any venue. Qvicom Signal is independent research software and is not affiliated with Polymarket or any venue it reads.