Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.25% before 2027?
How low will 5-year Treasury yield get before 2027? · restricted by venue
Not enough history
Qvicom needs at least 3 captured points before describing a move.
Heuristic thresholds: moves under 2 points are treated as noise, 10 points or more as a sharp move. The rule is published so it can be checked, not so it can be trusted blindly.
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Yes | 10.7% |
| No | 89.4% |
- Resolution source
- https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026
- End date
- 31 Dec 2026, 00:00 UTC
- Data source
- polymarket-gamma · captured 25 Oct 2026, 23:15 UTC
- Restricted
- Yes — the venue restricts trading in this market. Qvicom shows the price and does not offer access.
- Category
- economy (auto)
- Venue tags
- Economy, Finance, Fed Rates, Treasuries
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 5-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 5-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "5 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).