Categories
Technology
44 open markets in this category,
ranked by 24-hour volume.
stale · last good capture 9 days ago
Source: Polymarket Gamma
· last capture 25 Oct 2026, 23:15 UTC · 626 ms
Figures below are the last values that were successfully read, not the current market.
Open markets in this category
| Market | Probability | 24h | Volume 24h |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? |
12.9% |
+4.9 |
$96,316 |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? |
19.4% |
+0.1 |
$43,869 |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day? |
28.5% |
— |
$25,383 |
| Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? |
14.5% |
— |
$20,833 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? |
84.9% |
— |
$19,689 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? |
82.0% |
+4.5 |
$17,399 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? |
35.5% |
— |
$16,635 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? |
63.5% |
— |
$13,454 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? |
1.0% |
+0.4 |
$13,354 |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026? |
45.6% |
+15.6 |
$12,725 |
| Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? |
55.5% |
— |
$10,602 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026? |
81.5% |
+8.0 |
$10,521 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? |
53.5% |
+4.0 |
$9,865 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? |
86.5% |
— |
$9,468 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? |
16.5% |
— |
$7,803 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 20, 2026? |
29.5% |
+4.0 |
$7,110 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31? |
4.0% |
+0.4 |
$7,099 |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 30, 2026? |
45.5% |
+17.5 |
$6,882 |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 27, 2026? |
23.0% |
— |
$5,999 |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 29, 2026? |
40.0% |
+13.5 |
$5,314 |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day? |
6.5% |
+0.9 |
$4,938 |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 26, 2026? |
4.6% |
— |
$3,945 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 25, 2026? |
49.5% |
— |
$3,915 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026? |
2.9% |
+0.9 |
$3,725 |
| Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? |
1.4% |
+0.1 |
$2,405 |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day? |
2.9% |
— |
$2,363 |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day? |
8.5% |
— |
$1,773 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31? |
7.2% |
+1.8 |
$1,760 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? |
5.8% |
— |
$1,666 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31? |
5.3% |
— |
$1,522 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? |
59.0% |
— |
$1,521 |
| Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? |
1.0% |
— |
$1,393 |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? |
9.0% |
— |
$1,290 |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day? |
18.8% |
+0.4 |
$1,268 |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.75T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day? |
1.1% |
— |
$1,262 |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be $3.0T or greater at market close on IPO day? |
2.3% |
— |
$1,244 |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 28, 2026? |
33.0% |
+8.0 |
$1,019 |
| Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027? |
2.3% |
— |
$947 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? |
26.5% |
+1.0 |
$563 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? |
77.0% |
— |
$330 |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by December 31, 2026? |
93.8% |
— |
$309 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.25T by December 31? |
32.0% |
— |
$282 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31? |
3.9% |
+0.2 |
$100 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $600B by December 31? |
3.2% |
— |
$0 |