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Markets · Sports

Will FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?

FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF · restricted by venue

stale · last good capture 10 days ago Source: Polymarket Gamma · last capture 25 Oct 2026, 23:15 UTC · 626 ms Figures below are the last values that were successfully read, not the current market.
Implied probability 24.5% venue price, not a Qvicom forecast
24h move +9.0 pts reported by the venue
Liquidity $674,760 24h volume $1,557,336
Recorded probability history

Range 0.1% – 15.5%. 8 daily rows from Qvicom's own capture, plus any CLOB history stored for this market.

What Qvicom can say about the movement

Falling sharply (-14.5 points)

Implied probability fell 14.5 points across 8 daily observations. This is a description of past prices, not a forecast.

Heuristic thresholds: moves under 2 points are treated as noise, 10 points or more as a sharp move. The rule is published so it can be checked, not so it can be trusted blindly.

Outcomes
Outcomes and prices
OutcomePrice
Yes 24.5%
No 75.5%
Resolution and provenance
Resolution source
https://www.laliga.com/
End date
25 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC
Data source
polymarket-gamma · captured 25 Oct 2026, 21:05 UTC
Restricted
Yes — the venue restricts trading in this market. Qvicom shows the price and does not offer access.
Category
sports (auto)
Venue tags
Sports, Games, Soccer, La Liga
Resolution criteria, as published by the venue

In the upcoming game, scheduled for October 25, 2026 If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Yes". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.

Where this number comes from. It is Polymarket's own implied price, captured by Qvicom Signal and stored with the time it was read. It is a price, not a probability anyone at Qvicom computed, and not advice. This application cannot place an order, hold funds or give you access to any venue. Qvicom Signal is independent research software and is not affiliated with Polymarket or any venue it reads.