Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Ballon d'Or Winner 2026 · restricted by venue

stale · last good capture 10 days ago Source: Polymarket Gamma · last capture 25 Oct 2026, 23:15 UTC · 626 ms Figures below are the last values that were successfully read, not the current market.

Implied probability 0.2% venue price, not a Qvicom forecast

24h move +0.1 pts reported by the venue

Liquidity $428,744 24h volume $444,726

What Qvicom can say about the movement

Not enough history

Qvicom needs at least 3 captured points before describing a move.

Heuristic thresholds: moves under 2 points are treated as noise, 10 points or more as a sharp move. The rule is published so it can be checked, not so it can be trusted blindly.

Outcomes

Outcomes and prices
Outcome	Price
Yes	0.2%
No	99.9%

Resolution and provenance

Resolution source: https://www.francefootball.fr/
End date: 27 Oct 2026, 03:59 UTC
Data source: polymarket-gamma · captured 25 Oct 2026, 23:15 UTC
Restricted: Yes — the venue restricts trading in this market. Qvicom shows the price and does not offer access.
Category: sports (auto)
Venue tags: Soccer, Sports, Awards, Ballon d'Or

Resolution criteria, as published by the venue

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).

Where this number comes from. It is Polymarket's own implied price, captured by Qvicom Signal and stored with the time it was read. It is a price, not a probability anyone at Qvicom computed, and not advice. This application cannot place an order, hold funds or give you access to any venue. Qvicom Signal is independent research software and is not affiliated with Polymarket or any venue it reads.