Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
Michigan Senate Election Winner · restricted by venue
Not enough history
Qvicom needs at least 3 captured points before describing a move.
Heuristic thresholds: moves under 2 points are treated as noise, 10 points or more as a sharp move. The rule is published so it can be checked, not so it can be trusted blindly.
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Yes | 30.0% |
| No | 70.0% |
- Resolution source
- Not published by the venue for this market.
- End date
- 04 Nov 2026, 04:59 UTC
- Data source
- polymarket-gamma · captured 25 Oct 2026, 23:15 UTC
- Restricted
- Yes — the venue restricts trading in this market. Qvicom shows the price and does not offer access.
- Category
- politics (auto)
- Venue tags
- Michigan Midterm, Senate Elections, Midterms, US Election, Politics, Elections, Abdul El-Sayed, mike rogers
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.