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Markets · Politics

Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?

California Governor Election Winner · restricted by venue

stale · last good capture 13 days ago Source: Polymarket Gamma · last capture 25 Oct 2026, 23:15 UTC · 626 ms Figures below are the last values that were successfully read, not the current market.
Implied probability 96.9% venue price, not a Qvicom forecast
24h move — reported by the venue
Liquidity $173,436 24h volume $14,776
What Qvicom can say about the movement

Not enough history

Qvicom needs at least 3 captured points before describing a move.

Heuristic thresholds: moves under 2 points are treated as noise, 10 points or more as a sharp move. The rule is published so it can be checked, not so it can be trusted blindly.

Outcomes
Outcomes and prices
OutcomePrice
Yes 96.9%
No 3.2%
Resolution and provenance
Resolution source
Not published by the venue for this market.
End date
04 Nov 2026, 04:59 UTC
Data source
polymarket-gamma · captured 25 Oct 2026, 23:15 UTC
Restricted
Yes — the venue restricts trading in this market. Qvicom shows the price and does not offer access.
Category
politics (auto)
Venue tags
California Midterm, Governor Elections, California Governor, Elections, Politics, US Election
Resolution criteria, as published by the venue

This market will resolve to according to the candidate who wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.

Where this number comes from. It is Polymarket's own implied price, captured by Qvicom Signal and stored with the time it was read. It is a price, not a probability anyone at Qvicom computed, and not advice. This application cannot place an order, hold funds or give you access to any venue. Qvicom Signal is independent research software and is not affiliated with Polymarket or any venue it reads.